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Milford Plan Change 34
Updated Integrated Transport Assessment
May 2011
Project: Milford Plan Change 34
Title: Updated Integrated Transport Assessment
Document Reference: S:\NZPG\001 Milford Plan Change\ITA Report\R1A110527.docx
Prepared by: Michelle Seymour/Sandy Halligan/Bronwyn Coomer-Smit
Reviewed by: Bronwyn Coomer- Smit
Revisions:
Date Status Reference Approved by Initials
27 May 2011 Final R1A110527 B Coomer-Smit
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment i
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report provides an update to the Integrated Transportation Assessment (ITA) undertaken by SKM
in 2008 assessing the transport effects of proposed Plan Change 34 which seeks to allow for
intensification at the Milford Shopping Centre through the development of 250 residential units.
The main task undertaken as part of this update has been focused on updating the 2007 Paramics
models which were used to assess the traffic impacts of the proposed Plan Change. This has included
carrying out additional traffic demand surveys in August 2010, calibrating and validating the base
Paramics models in conjunction with Auckland Transport, producing Do-Minimum and Development
models and using the results predicted by the models to assess the traffic impact of the proposed Plan
Change. In addition to this the following matters have been included in this updated ITA to provide
further context and assessment of transportation effects with regard to proposed Plan Change 34.
A review and update of existing transport accessibility conditions of the Milford Shopping Centre
with regard to all modes of travel
A description of the transport planning and policy framework relevant to the proposed Plan
Change
A brief description of the transport aspects with regard to the existing Milford Shopping Centre,
the additional development that has been consented but not implemented, and the extent of
development that could be implemented under the proposed Plan Change
Additional assessments of transport impacts having regard to the relevant requirements of the
Auckland Regional Transport Authority’s ITA Guidelines1 including:
o Safety Assessment
o Accessibility Assessment
o Integration Assessment
o Traffic Assessment including a review of the trip generation and distribution
assumptions contained in the SKM ITA with regard to the peak period traffic generating
potential of a proposed development that could be enabled by the Plan Change and
the testing of this additional traffic using the update 2010 Paramics models
o Parking Assessment.
The assessment concludes that proposed Plan Change 34 is consistent with, and supports the key
national, regional and local transportation objectives and policies relating to site accessibility and
transportation sustainability, in as much as it promotes residential activity in a town centre and is also
situated on a major passenger transport route. The development of such residential opportunities
within town centres encourages more walk and cycle trips and together with the provision of good
passenger transport results in less private vehicular travel than if the activity was located out of a
centre, resulting in strategic transportation benefits.
1 Integrated Transport Assessments: Guidelines and Supplementary Documents, ARTA, October 2007
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment ii
The traffic assessment has shown that while the proposed residential development will result in
additional private vehicular trips on the surrounding road network, the Paramics models predicts that
the difference in the operation of the road network during peak commuter periods between the Do
Minimum and Development model results is negligible. Accordingly, and also taking into account the
mixed use nature of the resulting development in the Milford town centre, it is considered that the
transport effects of proposed Plan Change 34 can be accommodated by the road, passenger transport
and walking network in a way that results in a safe and efficient transport environment.
Proposed Plan Change 34 promotes the provision of additional parking to support the proposed
development in accordance with the North Shore City Council District Plan parking requirements for
residential activities in mixed use town centres, including the use of shared parking to accommodate
visitor parking demand. This proposed parking provision conforms to parking demand management
principals through the proposed sharing of parking resources and will therefore avoid the excessive
provision of parking resources. Further the proposed parking provision in the context of serving
various activities in a mixed use environment, is consistent with regional and local parking strategies
and provides the opportunity to better integrate parking in the area.
In conclusion this updated ITA has reached similar conclusions to those reached in the SKM ITA namely
that proposed Plan Change 34 will have no more than minor effects on the safety and efficiency of the
surrounding road network and hence, from a transportation perspective, proposed Plan Change 34
should be supported.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment iii
CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................ 1
1.1 Background............................................................................................................................. 1
1.2 Scope of Works ...................................................................................................................... 1
2 SITE LOCATION AND EXISTING ROAD NETWORK ............................................................................. 3
3 ACCESSIBILITY ................................................................................................................................... 6
3.1 Private Vehicle Accessibility ................................................................................................... 6
3.2 Passenger Transport Accessibility .......................................................................................... 7
3.2.1 Passenger Transport Network ...................................................................................... 7
3.2.2 Bus Services .................................................................................................................. 8
3.2.3 Bus Facilities ............................................................................................................... 10
3.2.4 Passenger Transport Conclusions .............................................................................. 10
3.3 Walking and Cycling Accessibility ......................................................................................... 11
4 TRANSPORT PLANNING AND POLICY FRAMEWORK ...................................................................... 12
4.1 National Transport Strategies and Planning Documents ..................................................... 12
4.1.1 New Zealand Transport Strategy (Ministry of Transport, 2008) ................................ 12
4.1.2 Government Policy Statement (MoT, 2009, amended in November 2010) .............. 12
4.2 Regional Transport Strategies and Planning Documents ..................................................... 12
4.2.1 Auckland Regional Policy Statement (Auckland Regional Council, 1999) .................. 13
4.2.2 Auckland Regional Growth Strategy (Auckland Regional Council, 1999) .................. 14
4.2.3 Auckland Regional Land Transport Strategy (Auckland Regional Council, 2010) ...... 14
4.2.4 Auckland Spatial Plan: Discussion Document (Auckland Council, 2011) ................... 15
4.3 Local Transport Strategies and Planning Documents .......................................................... 16
4.3.1 North Shore City Plan (NSCC 2009) ............................................................................ 16
4.3.2 North Shore City Walking & Cycling Strategies (NSCC 2009) ..................................... 17
5 THE MILFORD SHOPPING CENTRE .................................................................................................. 18
5.1 Existing Milford Shopping Centre ......................................................................................... 18
5.1.1 Site Layout and Access ............................................................................................... 18
5.1.2 Existing Parking Provision .......................................................................................... 18
5.1.3 Existing Parking Demand ............................................................................................ 19
5.2 Milford Shopping Centre Consented 2007 Redevelopment ................................................ 20
6 THE PROPOSED PLAN CHANGE ...................................................................................................... 22
7 TRANSPORT IMPACT ASSESSMENTS .............................................................................................. 23
7.1 Impact of Growth on Transportation Sustainability ............................................................ 23
7.2 Safety Assessment ................................................................................................................ 24
7.3 Accessibility Assessment ...................................................................................................... 25
7.4 Integration Assessment ........................................................................................................ 26
7.4.1 Planning and Policy Integration ................................................................................. 26
7.4.2 Integration between Travel Modes ........................................................................... 27
7.5 Traffic Impact Assessment ................................................................................................... 27
7.5.1 Traffic Modelling Approach ........................................................................................ 27
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment iv
7.5.2 Do Minimum Models ................................................................................................. 29
7.5.3 Development Models ................................................................................................. 36
7.6 Parking Assessment .............................................................................................................. 43
7.6.1 Plan Change Proposed Parking Requirements ........................................................... 43
7.6.2 Parking Demand ......................................................................................................... 44
7.6.3 Parking Provision ........................................................................................................ 44
7.6.4 Parking Conclusions ................................................................................................... 45
8 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ..................................................................................................... 45
APPENDICES
APPENDIX A
APPENDIX B
AURECON MODELLING CALIBRATION REPORT
AURECON MODELLING REPORT
Milford Plan Change 34
Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 1
1 INTRODUCTION
Flow Transportation Specialists Ltd (Flow) has been commissioned by New Zealand Retail Property
Group (NZRPG) to review and update the Integrated Transport Assessment (ITA)2 of a development at
the Milford Shopping Centre which could be enabled through proposed Plan Change 34. The original
ITA (SKM ITA) was completed by Sinclair Knight Merz (SKM) in April 2008 and the following provides a
background to the transport assessment carried out and subsequent events which have led to this
piece of work being undertaken.
1.1 Background
In 2008, an application was lodged for proposed Plan Change 34 at the Milford Shopping Centre which
would enable residential intensification of the site to occur. The proposal was supported by the above
mentioned SKM ITA which included the use of a Paramics micro simulation traffic model to quantify
and assess the traffic effects of development scenarios that could be enabled by the proposed Plan
Change.
This application was submitted to North Shore City Council (NSCC) and was publicly notified. As part of
the notification and assessment process, a review of the modelling was undertaken by NSCC and issues
were raised with regard to the accuracy of the base 2008 Paramics models, and hence the accuracy of
the traffic assessment undertaken in the ITA. In addition to this a large number of public submissions
were received, many of which cited traffic effects as a reason to decline the proposed Plan Change.
As a result of these matters, Flow in conjunction with Aurecon have been commissioned by NZRPG to
review and update the Paramics traffic modelling including the development of new 2010 base
models, Do Minimum and Development models, and to deliver an updated ITA for proposed Plan
Change 34.
1.2 Scope of Works
In undertaking the update to the traffic models, Flow and Aurecon have engaged initially with NSCC
and then with the newly formed Auckland Transport with regard to the methodology used in
developing the updated 2010 base traffic models. This has ensured that the validation of the base
models have been thoroughly reviewed by Auckland Transport resulting in Auckland Transport
considering that “the revised Milford Mall models are fit for the purpose of assessing the proposed private
Plan Change at Milford Mall”3.
In updating the SKM ITA, the main focus has been on updating the traffic effects of the proposed Plan
Change using the updated 2010 traffic models. Notwithstanding this and for completeness this
updated ITA also contains the following:
2 “Milford Residential Intensification- Plan Change, Integrated Transportation Assessment”, April 2008, SKM 3 “Milford Mall S-Paramics Model: Review of Revised Models, 2 February 2011 Auckland Transport
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 2
A review and update of existing transport accessibility conditions of the Milford Shopping Centre
with regard to all modes of travel
A description of the transport planning and policy framework relevant to the proposed Plan
Change
A brief description of the transport aspects with regard to the existing Milford Shopping Centre,
the additional development that has been consented but not implemented, and the extent of
development that could be implemented under the proposed Plan Change
Additional assessments of transport impacts having regard to the relevant requirements of the
Auckland Regional Transport Authority’s (ARTA) ITA Guidelines4 including:
o Safety Assessment
o Accessibility Assessment
o Integration Assessment
o Traffic Assessment including a review of the trip generation and distribution
assumptions contained in the SKM ITA with regard to the peak period traffic generating
potential of a proposed development that could be enabled by the Plan Change and
the testing of this additional traffic using the update 2010 Paramics models
o Parking Assessment.
By way of summary, it is concluded that proposed Plan Change 34 is consistent with, and supports the
key national, regional and local transportation polices relating to site accessibility and transportation
sustainability, in as much as it is promoting residential growth in a town centre and is also situated
adjacent to the regional passenger transport network. Further it is concluded that the transport
effects generated by a residential development that could be enabled by the proposed Plan Change
can be integrated into the surrounding transport network in a safe and efficient manner.
4 Integrated Transport Assessments: Guidelines and Supplementary Documents, ARTA, October 2007
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 3
2 SITE LOCATION AND EXISTING ROAD NETWORK
The SKM ITA provides a comprehensive description of the Milford Shopping Centre site location and
the existing road network in the Milford town centre area, and since 2008 there have been minimal
changes to this roading infrastructure. For completeness the following section has been provided
(with much of the information being obtained from the SKM ITA) to present context to the proposed
Plan Change.
As shown in Figure 1, the Milford Shopping Centre is located within the Milford town centre bounded
by the road network of Kitchener Road, Omana Road, Ihumata Road and Milford Road.
Figure 1: Location of Site in Surrounding Road Network
The Milford Shopping Centre is located approximately 2.5 km from North Shore City’s sub regional
Takapuna centre with the Kitchener Road/ Hurstmere Road corridor providing the major connection
between these two areas. Access to the strategic motorway system to and from Milford is provided at
the Northcote Road Interchange, located approximately 2.5 km to the south of the Milford town
centre, and accessed via Shakespeare Road and Taharoto Road.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 4
The NSCC District Plan (District Plan) identifies East Coast Road, Shakespeare Road, Kitchener Road,
Ihumata Road and Milford Road as Secondary (District Arterials) with the main function of these routes
being to cater “primarily for traffic movement between major areas of the city and are of strategic
importance.”
As highlighted on Figure 2 , the roads surrounding the Milford Shopping Centre consist of a single lane
in each direction with flush medians being provided on Kitchener Road and Omana Road.
Figure 2: Road Network surrounding the Milford Shopping Centre5
The intersection of Kitchener Road, Omana Road and Shakespeare Road is signalised with free left
turns provided on all approaches. The intersection has full pedestrian provision, with signalised
crossings over all approaches and zebra crossings over all free left turns. Each approach has one
through lane and one right turn lane.
The intersection of Milford Road, Kitchener Road and Dobson Road is also signalised. The Kitchener
Road approaches have shared through and left turn lanes, with short lanes provided for right turn
movements. Milford Road has a free left turn onto Kitchener Road, with a shared through and straight
lane. Signalised pedestrian provisions are also provided, with a zebra crossing on the Milford Road
free left turn.
5 google earth
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 5
The intersection of Omana Road and Ihumata Road is controlled with a roundabout, with the southern
approach leading to the parking area of the Milford Shopping Centre.
There is a median lane provided on Kitchener Road, which also provides for right turn bays into the
main entrance to Milford Shopping Mall and to the service lane further east of the entrance. Omana
Road also has a median lane along the length adjacent to the shopping centre, with right turn bays to
the entrances to the shopping centre.
A midblock zebra crossing is located on Kitchener Road, which has planting on either side and is
approximately 5m wide.
On street parking is provided on Kitchener Road and Milford Road surrounding the existing Milford
Shopping Centre.
The majority of landuse activities surrounding the Milford town centre are residential in nature, with
Kitchener Road between the intersection of Shakespeare Road and the intersection of Frieston Road
comprising of strip retail/commercial activities.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 6
3 ACCESSIBILITY
3.1 Private Vehicle Accessibility
As mentioned above the Milford Shopping Centre can be regarded as being well connected to the
surrounding regional and strategic road network. Figure 3 is an extract from the NSCC District Plan
showing the roading hierarchy in the south eastern part of the North Shore.
Figure 3: Regional Road Network surrounding the Milford Shopping Centre6
As can be seen the Milford Shopping Centre enjoys good private vehicle accessibility with various
District Arterial routes travelling through, or starting/ending at Milford. These include:
Shakespeare Road, a District Arterial route linking Milford to the Regional Arterial routes of
Taharoto Road and Northcote Road, which in turn provide access to the Northern Motorway at
the Northcote Interchange
Beach Road/Inga Road/Omana Road/ Ihumata Road/ Milford Road, a District Arterial route
linking Milford to the eastern bays areas in the north
6 NSCC District Plan Appendix 1 Roading Hierarchy
East Coast/ Kitchener/
Hurstmere Roads
Beach/Inga/Omana/
Ihumata/Milford Roads
Shakespeare Road
Milford Shopping Centre
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 7
East Coast Road/ Kitchener Road/ Hurstmere Road, a District Arterial route passing through
Milford linking the predominantly residential areas to the north to Milford and to Takapuna in
the south.
Generally traffic flow on these arterial routes around and through the Milford town centre is
uncongested with the exception of certain movements during the peak morning and evening
commuter periods. On site observations has shown that this congestion is not necessarily as a result
of traffic demand travelling to and from Milford but rather as result of traffic travelling through
Milford. In the morning peak period this is most evident in the southbound direction on East Coast
Road/ Kitchener Road/ Hurstmere Road and on Beach Road/Inga Road/Omana Road/ Ihumata Road/
Milford Road with travel demand from the north to Takapuna. During the evening peak period the
northbound direction on these routes are busy but not to the same extent as in the morning peak
period.
Traffic queuing during peak periods is most evident at the signalised intersections in the Milford town
centre and although vehicles are delayed the queuing cannot be described as significant. Indeed the
level of congestion experienced at the intersections and on the arterial routes in Milford during peak
times is typical of what is experienced on numerous other arterial routes though other town centres in
Auckland.
During the off-peak periods traffic flows through Milford are relatively uncongested although delay
occurs at the signalised intersection and at the zebra pedestrian crossing on Kitchener Road. This
however does result in significant congestion and can be viewed as beneficial as it supports slow
vehicle speeds through the Milford town centre.
3.2 Passenger Transport Accessibility
3.2.1 Passenger Transport Network
The Auckland Regional Public Transport Plan (2010) is a document prepared by ARTA that specifies
how ARTA (now Auckland Transport) will give effect to the public transport components of the 2010
Auckland Regional Land Transport Strategy (RLTS), and contribute to “achieving an affordable,
integrated, safe, responsive and sustainable land transport system in an efficient and effective
manner.”
The Plan is a statutory document which is prepared pursuant to the provisions of the Public Transport
Management Act 2008 (PTMA). It specifies the public transport services which ARTA proposes for the
region, and the policies which apply to those services.
The Plan identifies the following layers of passenger transport provision:
The Rapid Transit Network (RTN ) which forms the backbone of the system and provides fast,
high-frequency service in its own right of way, unaffected by traffic congestion,
The Quality Transit Network (QTN), providing a network of high-frequency, high-quality services,
mainly with buses, with bus priority measures operating between key centres and over major
corridors, and
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 8
The Local Connector Network (LCN), providing low to medium frequency bus, ferry and train
services that provide access to local centres and connect with the RTN and QTN.
Figure 4: Strategic Passenger Transport Network
As highlighted in Figure 4, the Milford town centre, and hence the Plan Change site, is located on the
QTN, with Kitchener Road and Shakespeare Road both included as parts of the QTN.
3.2.2 Bus Services
Since the SKM ITA was completed in 2008, there have been several changes to the bus services that
operate in the vicinity of the Plan Change. Figure 5 below shows the bus routes which serve the
Milford Shopping Centre including services that run along Kitchener Road, Milford Road, Shakespeare
Road and East Coast Road. Table 1 summarises the origin/destinations of each route as well as the
frequency of each service. Essentially the services connect Milford with the eastern bays and
Takapuna, and also with Smales Farm Busway Station.
Milford Shopping
Centre
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 9
Figure 5: Bus Routes near Milford as per Northern Guide7
Table 1: Bus Services serving Milford Town Centre
Service Origin/Destination Frequency
802/803/804 Milford, North Shore Hospital and Smales Farm
Busway via Takapuna and Belmont
Monday to Sunday: Hourly
822 Midtown to Milford and Takapuna Monday to Friday: Approximately every half
hour in morning and evening peak
837 Midtown to Milford and Takapuna One service – weekday peak – 6 am
839 Midtown to Milford and Takapuna Every 30 minutes in the peak weekday periods
and hourly at all other times
863x Express service to Midtown Every 20 minutes in the peak periods, Monday
to Friday only
858 Midtown via Beach Road, Milford Smales Farm
Station and Takapuna
Every 30 minutes in the peak weekday periods
and hourly at all other times
Overall, based on the frequency and number of services operating through Milford the site is
reasonably well serviced by public transport. Smales Farm Busway station is approximately 1.7 km
from the Milford town centre and is on a level terrain, and Takapuna is slightly further at
approximately 2.5 km from Milford. Both of these urban centres are accessible by bus or walking and
7 Bus Routes as per the Northern Guide supplied by maxx.co.nz accessed on 21 March 2011
Milford Shopping
Centre
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 10
provide access to more bus services, in particular Smales Farm Busway Station providing access to the
Northern Busway.
3.2.3 Bus Facilities
As shown in Figure 6 bus stops are provided around the Milford Shopping Centre and are in the same
location as described in the SKM ITA.
Figure 6: Bus Stop Locations in Milford Town Centre
In addition to this a transit/bus lane is located in the southbound direction on Shakespeare Road from
the intersection of East Coast Road/ Kitchener Road/ Omana Road to the intersection of Taharoto
Road/ Wairau Road. The lane is operational during the morning peak period and ensures that buses
and private vehicles with more than two occupants can bypass the southbound congestion that is
experienced on the southern end of Shakespeare Road during the morning peak period.
3.2.4 Passenger Transport Conclusions
As the Milford Shopping Centre is located directly adjacent to the QTN and based on the review of the
bus services currently provided at Milford, it can be concluded that the subject site is well serviced by
passenger transport and there is good accessibility to passenger transport facilities. It is also noted
that the Smales Farm Busway station is also within 1.7 km from Milford and provides access to the RTN
network, with rapid services to and from the Auckland CBD on the Northern Busway.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 11
3.3 Walking and Cycling Accessibility
The provision of walking and cycling facilities in the Milford town centre has also remained essentially
unchanged from that described in the SKM ITA. Footpaths are provided on both sides of the majority
of the roads in the Milford town centre and signalised crossing facilities are provided at the signalised
intersections. As mentioned there is also a midblock zebra pedestrian crossing located on Kitchener
Road in the vicinity of the New World supermarket. In terms of cyclists facilities there are no
dedicated facilities on Kitchener Road or East Coast Road, even though this route has been identified in
the 2009 North Shore City Cycle Strategy as part of the strategic cycle network on the North Shore.
Shakespeare Road, also part of the regions strategic cycle network, has a “share with care” pedestrian
and cyclist facility on the eastern side of the road.
The following figure demonstrates the walking and cycling catchments from the Milford shopping
centre area, with a 2 km catchment for walking and a 5 km catchment for cycling.
Figure 7: 2km Walking (Red) and 5km Cycling (Blue) Access to Milford Shopping Centre
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 12
4 TRANSPORT PLANNING AND POLICY FRAMEWORK
4.1 National Transport Strategies and Planning Documents
4.1.1 New Zealand Transport Strategy (Ministry of Transport, 2008)
The New Zealand Transport Strategy (NZTS) promotes a holistic, multi-modal view of transport with
the over arching goal of the strategy being that:
“By 2010, New Zealand will have an affordable, integrated, safe, responsive and
sustainable transport system.”
The five objectives as outlined in the NZTS are:
Assisting economic development,
Assisting safety and personal security,
Improving access and mobility,
Protecting and promoting public health; and
Ensuring environmental sustainability.
4.1.2 Government Policy Statement (Ministry of Transport, 2009, amended in November 2010)
The Government Policy Statement (GPS) on Transport reflects the National government’s priority of
investment in transport infrastructure for economic growth and the modal choices that are realistically
available to New Zealanders.
The GPS was amended in November 2010 to align it with the “Safer Journeys Strategy”, enabling the
funding of several Safer Journeys First Actions. The amendments also reflect the New Zealand
Transport Agency’s (NZTA’s) reviews of the ‘transport planning’ and ‘demand management and
community programmes’ activity classes.
The GPS shows a shift from workplace, community and personal travel planning and other measures
targeted at relieving congestion, and a refocus on road user safety’ and is aligned to the Safer Journeys
strategy.
4.2 Regional Transport Strategies and Planning Documents
It is acknowledged that the policy and planning documents discussed in this section and the following
section on local polices and strategies were developed and published prior to the implementation of
the Local Government (Auckland Council) Act 2009. This aside, the documents assessed here remain
valid policy documents until such time that they are replaced or complemented by the Auckland
Spatial Plan. A discussion document on the Auckland Spatial Plan has been released by Auckland
Council and is further detailed below.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 13
4.2.1 Auckland Regional Policy Statement (Auckland Regional Council, 1999)
The Auckland Regional Policy Statement (ARPS) is the statement about managing the use,
development and protection of the natural and physical resources of the region. The overall goal of
the ARPS is “to achieve an integrated, consistent and coordinated approach to the management of the
region’s resources.”
The current ARPS became operative in 31 August 1999 and was created to fulfil the requirements
under the Resource Management Act 1991. It sets out the broad direction of transport policy,
including managing the effects of transport on the environment and developing an accessible
transport network. Changes to the Auckland Regional Policy Statement were required as a result of
the Local Government (Auckland) Amendment Act and the creation of ARTA. The Appeals Version of
Proposed Change 6 includes the following statements relating to urban structure:
“Urban Intensification is to occur in specified locations (including areas identified in
Schedule 1A) to provide the focus for the Region’s residential, commercial and retail
growth”
“A network of high density centres and corridors is developed which are linked by high
quality public transport ranging from frequent local bus services supplemented by express
services to rapid transit (rail, ferry or bus) on separate rights-of-way”
These paragraphs emphasise the aim of developing town centres, such as Milford, then linking them
with quality passenger transport services.
Section 2.6.11 sets out strategic policies relating to land use and transport integration. These policies
include:
“Land Use and Transport shall be integrated throughout the region to ensure that: a)
within urban areas land use patterns provide communities with improved access to a range
of services and activities and opportunities to work locally; b) within urban areas new
urban development and subdivision provides for improved connectivity for all transport
modes including walking and cycling”
Milford is identified as a town centre and as a high density centre in Schedule 1A. It is noted that (re)
development of the areas in Schedules 1A & 1B are necessary to provide for growth until 2020. A
definition of a high density centres is given as:
“specific localities selected for urban intensification due to physical or locational
characteristics that include the intensity of existing development, the locality’s generation
of, or association with, significant transport movements, and/or passenger transport
nodes, and the locality’s capacity for further growth”.
Taking the above into account it can be concluded that the proposed residential intensification of
Milord as proposed by Plan Change 34 is consistent with, and supports the ARPS.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 14
4.2.2 Auckland Regional Growth Strategy (Auckland Regional Council, 1999)
The Auckland Regional Growth Strategy (ARGS) was published in 1999 by Auckland Regional Council as
a strategy to manage growth in the Auckland region into the future. The purpose of the Regional
Growth Strategy is to “ensure growth is accommodated in a way that meets the best interests of the
inhabitants of the Auckland region”. The strategy provides a vision for what Auckland could look like in
50 years’ time with a population of two million.
The key feature of the ARGS is that growth will be managed by promoting quality, compact urban
environments (intensification). Furthermore it is identified that most urban growth be will focused
around town centres and major transport routes to create higher density communities, with a variety
of housing, jobs, services, recreational and other activities (mixed use).
The strategy sees a shift in land-use patterns towards a more compact urban form which focuses
growth in more intensive mixed-use centres along the northern, western and southern passenger
transit corridors, as well as near main arterial roads. The Growth Concept envisages many people will
consider being close to activities, shops, cafes and possibly work, as well as not having the
responsibility for a large garden, or daily commutes, as a desirable trade-off for living in a busier
environment.
In terms of the Milford town centre, the ARGS details a more specific picture for the northern parts of
Auckland including the following comment:
“Scattered through the North Shore urban area, intensification could be focused in a
number of areas, such as the development of town centres at Browns Bay and Birkenhead,
and more neighbourhood type centres in places like Hauraki Corner, Bayswater, Milford
and Northcote” (emphasis added)
As can be seen the proposed Milford Plan Change 34 is consistent with these policies and goals, and
specifically can be seen to be supporting the objectives of intensification around existing town centre,
and supporting mixed use developments in these areas.
4.2.3 Auckland Regional Land Transport Strategy (Auckland Regional Council, 2010)
The 2010 Auckland Regional Land Transport Strategy (RLTS) sets the direction for the region’s
transport system for the next 30 years. The RLTS identifies what is needed “to achieve an affordable,
integrated, safe, responsive, and sustainable land transport system that can cope with population
growth and the changing economic environment.”
The RLTS identifies six strategic priorities as follows.
Continuing to improve public transport
Integrating transport and land use to support a compact and contained urban form
Changing travel behaviours
Improving the operation of existing roads
Building limited additional roads
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 15
Reducing the impact of travel on the environment and communities.
Plan Change 34 supports integrating transport and landuse to support a compact and contained urban
form, and will result in changes to travel behaviour and reduce the impact of travel on the
environment communities.
4.2.4 Auckland Spatial Plan: Discussion Document (Auckland Council, 2011)
A spatial plan document is required for Auckland City by the Local Government (Auckland Council) Act
2009, and is envisioned to have broad objectives with a long term scope that will influence city and
regional direction and growth. The Auckland Plan is currently a discussion document that has been
released to develop a comprehensive spatial plan for the Auckland Region. The Auckland Plan is
intended to include a range of outcomes, the following being the most pertinent to this proposal:
The long-term social, economic, environmental and cultural objectives for Auckland and its
communities
The role of Auckland in New Zealand
Existing and future land use pattern (residential, business, rural production and industrial use)
Existing and future location of critical infrastructure such as transport, water supply, wastewater
and stormwater, other network utilities, open space and cultural and social infrastructure, how
Auckland might develop, including the sequencing of growth and provision of infrastructure,
policies, priorities, programmes, and land allocations to implement the strategic direction and
indicate how resources will be provided to enable that to happen.
Figure 8 below copies Map 8 from the Spatial Plan discussion document and shows the location of
Milford and its proposed category as a town centre. As can be seen, Milford town centre is identified
as having “Market Potential”, which is defined as:
“Those centres where the market has identified potential and the Council considers
growth is desirable. Attributes may include existing market momentum, good accessibility
and connectedness, availability of appropriate land and infrastructure, and high amenity.
The Council can consider what it does to enable the market to perform at these locations,
eg prioritise stormwater upgrades or plan changes and urban design guides.” (emphasis
added)
Other centres indentified as having Market Potential on the North Shore include Takapuna and
Birkenhead.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 16
Figure 8: Spatial Plan: Possible Re-categorisation of Town Centres Map 8
4.3 Local Transport Strategies and Planning Documents
4.3.1 North Shore City Plan (NSCC 2009)
The North Shore City Plan replaces the Council's 2006-2016 Long Term Council Community Plan
(LTCCP). The LTCCP has been prepared in response to the requirements of the Local Government Act
2002) and must describe the activities of the local authority; describe the community outcomes;
provide integrated decision-making and coordination of the local authority's resources; provide a long-
term focus for decision-making; provide an accountability basis; and provide an opportunity for public
participation in the decision-making process.
In terms of managing growth Module 2 of the North Shore City Plan states:
“A number of smaller ‘town’ centres are distributed around the city, being locations for
future growth and development serving suburban areas. These include Milford, Highbury,
Browns Bay, Northcote, Glenfield, Sunnynook and Devonport.(emphasis added)... The
potential for change in the scale, form and height of buildings in and around these town
Milford Town
Centre
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 17
centres is significant, reflecting their role along with Takapuna and Albany as 'growth
centres'. These centres are well located on or near major arterial routes and the quality
transit networks (bus routes).”
To move in this direction the Council identifies that it will:
Improve the viability, attractiveness, operation and economic activity of existing centres
Maintain local and neighbourhood centres and enable some of these centres to develop more
local living and employment opportunities
Identify and provide for new local or neighbourhood centres in the City where there is a need
Develop and intensify business and residential development in and around key Town Centres.
Figure 9 shows the various growth centres and identifies Milord as a Town Centre for growth.
Figure 9: North Shore City Plan: Growth Centres
4.3.2 North Shore City Walking & Cycling Strategies (NSCC 2009)
The former North Shore City Council provided strategies for walking and cycling throughout the North
Shore. Overall, the strategies were created to encourage more walking and cycling trips to occur on
the North Shore. Intensification at town centre locations can encourage a reduction in vehicle trips
particularly in locations with mixed use developments. Proposed Plan Change 34 supports this and will
encourage residents to use local facilities and complete trips by walking or cycling.
Milford Town
Centre
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 18
5 THE MILFORD SHOPPING CENTRE
5.1 Existing Milford Shopping Centre
5.1.1 Site Layout and Access
The site layout and the extent of the existing Milford Shopping Centre are shown in Figure 10. As can
be seen the site is served by various vehicular access points from the surrounding road network
ensuring that traffic to and from the centre is well dispersed onto the road network.
Figure 10: Existing Milford Shopping Centre Site Layout
5.1.2 Existing Parking Provision
The site is presently served by 797 parking spaces located in three main parking areas as follows:
At grade parking area to the east of the site and predominately accessed off Milford Road and
the roundabout junction of Omana Road and Ihumata Road (95 spaces)
Covered and at grade parking on Level 1 predominately accessed off Omana Road (222 spaces)
Council parking
area
Service Access
Omana Road Ihumata Road
Milford Road
New World
supermarket
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 19
Covered parking on Level 2 predominately accessed off Omana Road and the roundabout
junction of Omana Road and Ihumata Road (378 spaces plus 22 spaces on the driveway between
Level 1 and Level 2).
In addition to this there is a public parking area located to the west of the shopping centre (91 spaces)
which is used by customers to the shopping centre, to the New World supermarket and the other
various shops, restaurants and commercial activity on Kitchener Road. On street public parking is also
provided on Milford Road and Kitchener Road (approximately 56 spaces).
5.1.3 Existing Parking Demand
Comprehensive parking surveys of the use of the parking spaces in the Milford Shopping Centre site
and within the public parking area were completed by SKM on Thursday 22 March 2007 between 4 pm
and 6 pm and on Saturday 24 March 2007 between 11 am and 1 pm. The results of these surveys as
given in the SKM ITA identified the following key points.
The peak demand for onsite parking on a Thursday afternoon /evening occurred at 4 pm when a
demand of 439 parking spaces was recorded. This resulted in a peak parking occupancy rate of
around 49%
The peak demand for onsite parking on a Saturday midday period occurred at 11 am when a
similar demand of 439 parking spaces was recorded, resulting in a peak parking occupancy rate
of around 49%.
Similar parking occupancy surveys were undertaken again by Flow in August 2010 to identify if any
changes to the recorded 2007 parking demands have occurred over the ensuing 3 years. Similar to the
SKM surveys these surveys were completed on a Thursday and a Saturday but included longer time
periods namely 10 am to 6 pm on Thursday 26 August 2010 and 10 am to 4 pm on Saturday 28 August
2010.
The results of these surveys are summarised in Figure 11 below. From these results it can be
concluded:
During Thursday 26 August 2011, the peak demand for parking occurred at around 1 pm when a
demand of 598 spaces was recorded. This results in a peak parking occupancy rate of around
67%. At 4 pm, a demand of 520 spaces was recorded which when compared to the 2007 SKM
survey shows an increase of about 80 spaces at this time has occurred over the past 3 years.
During the Saturday the peak demand for parking occurred at around 3 pm when a demand of
540 spaces was recorded. This results in a peak parking occupancy rate of around 61%. At 11 am
a demand of 505 spaces was recorded which when compared to the 2007 SKM survey shows an
increase of about 65 spaces at this time has occurred over the past 3 years.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 20
Figure 11: Milford Shopping Centre On site Parking Demand August 2010
While the spot parking surveys suggest that there has been an increase in the peak demand for parking
on the site over the past three years, the 2010 parking surveys have shown that there is still a vast
amount of parking provided on the Milford Shopping Centre site which is not being used. This appears
to be as result of the provision of too much parking on the site and not the under performance of the
centre, as the Milford Shopping Centre (including the New World supermarket) peak parking demand
of 1 parking space per 23.2m2 GFA is consistent with the recently measured peak parking demands of 1
parking space per 22.5m2 GFA at Westfields St Lukes and 1 parking space per 22.7m2 GFA at Sylvia
Park.
5.2 Milford Shopping Centre Consented 2007 Redevelopment
In 2007, resource consent was granted by NSCC for the extension and redevelopment of the Milford
Shopping Centre including a retail/commercial extension of 2,590 m2 GFA and 15 residential units.
As shown in Figure 12 the location of this extension is on the north-eastern potion of the site with the
following changes to parking provision and access included in the application.
The existing north eastern at-grade parking area is proposed to be excavated to provide an
additional basement parking level (Level 2). Access to this basement parking area is proposed to
be gained primarily via the existing site accesses at the Omana Road/Ihumata Road roundabout
and at the Omana Road accesses
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 21
A new rooftop parking area (Level 4) above the proposed retail/commercial uses to be accessed
via a ramp adjacent to the Omana Road/Ihumata Road roundabout
All vehicle accesses for the shopping centre will not change, with the exception of the Milford
Road access which will be closed resulting in the provision of 12 additional parking spaces on
Milford Road
Once completed the parking provision on the site will be 844 spaces which together with 91
public parking spaces referred to above results in an overall parking provision for the Milford
Shopping Centre and New World supermarket of 935 parking spaces.
Figure 12: Consented Development – Ground Level: (Level 3)
Vehicle access to
Level 2 parking
Vehicle access to
Level 4 parking
Pedestrian
access
Milford access
closed and on
street parking
provided
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 22
6 THE PROPOSED PLAN CHANGE
A proposed developed that could be enabled by the Plan Change is described in the SKM ITA and
includes the implementation of 250 residential units. Figure 13 shows a site plan of the proposal
together with the main transport aspects of the proposal, namely parking and access provisions, with
vehicular access points shown in blue and pedestrian access shown in red.
Figure 13: Site Plan of Proposed Development that could be enabled by the Plan Change
As shown no changes are proposed to the vehicular access points with the Omana Road/Ihumata Road
roundabout serving the parking levels on the north east corner of the site and the northern most
Omana Road access serving the parking levels proposed for the western side of the site. Overall it is
proposed that the Plan Change will be supported by an additional 375 parking spaces. Further details
with regard to this parking provision are given in Section 7.6.
Additional
parking
levels
Additional
parking
levels
Access to parking
levels
Access to parking
level 2
Access to parking
levels
Access to parking
level 1
Pedestrian access
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 23
7 TRANSPORT IMPACT ASSESSMENTS
7.1 Impact of Growth on Transportation Sustainability
As outlined previously the Auckland region is expected to accommodate significant growth over the
next 50 years and as such the Auckland Regional Growth Strategy (ARGS) has been developed (by the
Auckland Regional Council) to identify how this growth is going to be accommodated within the region.
The Auckland Regional Policy Statement (ARPS) identifies that 70% of this population growth will occur
within the existing Auckland metropolitan area. This population growth requires development of
intensive housing (as proposed under this Plan Change) and also the provision of employment,
education, retail and entertainment facilities to serve this growth. This intensification is earmarked to
occur predominately within town centres and along transport corridors. Milford is identified as a town
centre and as a high density centre in Schedule 1A of the ARPS, with Kitchener Road and Shakespeare
Road being classified as a part of the Quality Transit Network serving Auckland.
The increase in development at any town centre will inevitably lead to additional vehicular traffic on
the surrounding road network in the short term. The resulting traffic congestion and improvements to
passenger transport infrastructure and services within the town centres will be catalysts in continuing
to encourage change in people’s travel behaviour to more sustainable transport modes and hence
result in the most efficient and economic way to accommodate growth in Auckland in the future.
Accordingly there is a need to accept the short term traffic effects of intensification and growth at
town centres in exchange for an integration of land use and sustainable transportation modes in the
medium and longer term.
The assessment of transport effects associated with residential growth in town centres (such as
proposed by Plan Change 34) also needs to acknowledge that the behaviour of the public regarding
traffic is currently changing, (and will continue to do so at an increasing rate) in response to increasing
traffic congestion, the improvements in the provision of public transport services, the price of fuel, the
provision of mixed use developments and other steps being taken by various authorities in response to
the polices of the ARPS. These behavioural changes include:
Increased use of passenger transport
Increased walking and cycling
Increased variability to the times of travel (resulting in peak spreading)
Changes to where people choose to live in regard to where they work, shop, go to school etc
Changes to operating hours of commercial, retail and educational facilities
The changing of travel routes.
Behavioural changes in transport usage are fundamental in accommodating future growth in centres
and along corridors in Auckland as it will not be possible to continue to add private vehicles to the road
network in response to population growth without these travel behavioural changes occurring.
Therefore while this proposed Plan Change will inevitably result in additional traffic generation and
traffic congestion in the Milford town centre, especially during peak commuter times, the effects of
this must be assessed against the longer term beneficial transport effects provided by proposed Plan
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 24
Change 34 as it results in the provision of high intensity residential activity in a town centre which is
well served by passenger transport.
7.2 Safety Assessment
An extensive crash analysis was completed for the Milford town centre in the SKM ITA for the five year
period from 2001 to 2005. The NZTA Crash Analysis System (CAS) database was used for this
assessment and is continuously updated based on police records from incidents reported however
crash data from 2006 was not included as it was unsure if there was a complete year of data for this
time period. The following key points were made in regards to the crash history for 2001 to 2005:
67 crashes were recorded, of which none were fatal, four were serious injury, 12 were minor
injury and the remaining 51 were non injury accidents
Of the 67 crashes reported approximately 50% (33 crashes) occurred midblock and 50%
occurred at intersections (34 crashes)
Of the four serious crashes, three involved pedestrians and there was one minor injury crash
involving a cyclist. There were seven crashes overall involving pedestrian and one overall
involving a cyclist
The intersection of Kitchener Road and Shakespeare Road was identified as the worst crash site
within the assessment area and suggestions were made for an increase in signposting such as
“stop for red signal” or similar. Also longer all red times were suggested for the right turn from
East Coast Road into Shakespeare Road. It was however concluded that this movement was
away from the proposed development and therefore the development envisaged by the
proposed Plan Change was unlikely to contribute to an increase in crashes
No singular safety issue was identified in regards to pedestrians or cyclists, therefore it was
concluded that the proposed Plan Change was unlikely to result in an increase in the number of
these incidents
All other crashes reported were found to be typical of town centre environments with large
parking areas and on street parking. It was noted that the parking area at Milford Shopping
Centre was recently reconfigured and that this may have reduced crashes related to
manoeuvring and parking in these areas.
In order to assess the crash history with more recent data, an updated search of CAS was completed
for the time period of March 2005 to March 2010. The following commentary can be made with
regard to this updated assessment.
86 crashes were reported in the time period measured. Given that the exact location and
boundaries of the SKM search were not provided, it cannot be ascertained if this is an increase in
reported crashes, or if the search area for this updated search was larger. The overall split in
terms of the type of crashes reported appears to be relatively consistent with no fatal crashes,
four serious injury crashes, 22 minor injury crashes, and the 60 remaining crashes being non
injury
There were ten crashes recorded that involved cyclists. Of these ten accidents, four were due to
vehicles turning right failing to give way to oncoming cyclists, three due to changing lanes or
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 25
merging, two due to parked vehicles opening doors on cyclists and one due to cyclist failing to
give way to oncoming traffic. This is a large increase in cyclist related crashes, and may be
attributed to an increase in cyclist numbers and popularity. It is noted that six of the ten crashes
would indicate a lack of awareness from motorists in terms of seeing cyclists
There were six pedestrian related crashes in the search area. Of these six crashes, five were due
to crossing at midblock locations, two of which were due to pedestrians stepping into the
roadway from behind parked vehicles. There was one crash that occurred with the pedestrian
on a zebra crossing
Again the intersection of Kitchener Road, Shakespeare Road and East Coast was noted as having
the highest number of crashes. The type of crashes recorded were also the same as the initial
assessment.
Overall, whilst the number of crashes that have occurred between 2005 and 2010 in the Milord town
centre is slightly higher than the previous assessment the vehicle crashes recorded are similar in type
and cause and do not indicate any inherent concern that will be exacerbated or worsened by the
development. There is an increase in recorded cyclist crashes and this may be attributed to the
increase in popularity for cycling and the incomplete cycle network on these parts of the road network.
7.3 Accessibility Assessment
As outlined in Section 3 above the Milford Shopping Centre presently enjoys excellent accessibly for all
modes of transport. This means that the residential activities anticipated under proposed Plan Change
34 will also be afforded this high level of accessibility including:
The use of various private vehicle access points to enter and egress the site
Accessibility to the QTN and RTN passenger services on Kitchener Road, Shakespeare Road and
the Northern Busway
Accessibility to walking and cycling facilities both for recreational and commuter purposes
Accessibility to retail, entertainment, restaurant and commercial activities which does not
require the use of the private vehicle.
Specifically vehicular access for the site is proposed to remain unchanged from the consented
development. The primary vehicle accesses for the parking supporting the apartments will be either
via the Omana Road/Ihumata Road roundabout or via the northern access off Omana Road. It will
however, also be possible to access apartment parking via other existing shopping centre accesses
thereby ensuring that the traffic generation can be spread evenly overly all access points.
Pedestrian access for the residential units is proposed to be provided via three locations as indicated in
Figure 13 previously. Pedestrian access will be greatly improved on and along the Omana Road
frontage of the site with the Milford Road entrance also providing access to a pedestrian atrium
bordered by retail activity.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 26
Residents the Plan Change development will have excellent accessibility to public transport, retail,
services, bars and restaurants, and also recreation areas such as Milford Beach and Lake Pupuke. The
proposed residential units are located within:
Immediate proximity to Milford Shopping Centre and Milford Town Centre and associated retail,
services, bars and cafes/restaurants
Approximately 100 m to 300 m of bus stops on Kitchener Road and Milford Road
Approximately 500 m to 700 m of Milford Beach
Approximately 400 m to 500 m of Sylvan Park and Lake Pupuke
All of the above activities are located within easy walking distance.
7.4 Integration Assessment
7.4.1 Planning and Policy Integration
Following on from Section 4 of this report which described the various regional and local transport
planning and policy documents relevant to proposed Plan Change 34, Table 2 below assess the
integration of the proposal within this planning framework.
Table 2: Planning and Policy Integration
Planning Document Integration with Proposed Plan Change 34
Auckland Regional Policy Statement
(Auckland Regional Council, 1999)
Milford is identified as a town centre and as a high density
centre in Schedule 1A of the ARPS. It is noted that
(re)development of the areas in schedules 1A & 1B are
necessary to provide for growth until 2020.
Auckland Regional Growth Strategy (ARGS)
(Auckland Regional Council, 1999)
Milford is identified as a potential intensification location for
the northern areas in Auckland. The strategy aims to
encourage a more compact urban form which focuses growth
in more intensive mixed-use centres along the northern,
western and southern passenger transit corridors, as well as
near main arterial routes. The Plan Change is therefore
consistent with this strategy as it proposes to provide
residential activities in a town centre.
Auckland Regional Land Transport Strategy
(Auckland Regional Council, 2010)
Plan Change 34 supports the notion of integrating transport
and landuse to result in a compact and contained urban form.
The proposal is located on the QTN and by providing for mixed
use activities (ie residential activities in close proximity to
retail/ commercial/ entertainment activities in the town centre)
will support and encourage changes to travel behaviour from
the private vehicle to passenger transport and walk and cycle
trips thereby reducing the impact of travel on the environment
communities.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 27
Auckland Spatial Plan – Discussion Document
(Auckland Council, 2011)
Milford town centre is identified as having Market Potential in
the Spatial Plan. Market potential centres are defined as
“centres where the market has identified potential and the
Council considers growth is desirable. Attributes may include
existing market momentum, good accessibility and
connectedness, availability of appropriate land and
infrastructure, and high amenity.” The implementation of Plan
Change 34 should therefore be encouraged and supported by
Council.
North Shore City Plan (North Shore City
Council, 2009)
The City Plan identifies areas that are appropriate for growth
and development and states that: “The potential for change in
the scale, form and height of buildings in and around these
town centres is significant, reflecting their role along with
Takapuna and Albany as 'growth centres'. These centres are
well located on or near major arterial routes and the quality
transit networks (bus routes). “A number of smaller ‘town’
centres are distributed around the city, being locations for
future growth and development serving suburban areas. These
include Milford, Highbury, Browns Bay, Northcote, Glenfield,
Sunnynook and Devonport.”
As shown above, the Milford town centre (and the site of proposed Plan Change 34) has been
specifically identified in the majority of regional plans and policies over previous years, and continues
to be seen as a place that should accommodate growth. Accordingly, it is found that the proposed
Plan Change integrates well with existing transport policy and is consistent with the objectives of the
policy frameworks.
7.4.2 Integration between Travel Modes
By providing additional residential development in the Milford town centre, this will encourage a
mixed use environment which in turn provides an opportunity for residents to walk or cycle to local
facilities and services.
Further, the locations of six bus stops within the vicinity of Milford town centre are placed within close
proximity to the Milford Shopping Centre and provide an accessible passenger transport option for
people to travel to and from Takapuna, and to and from Smales Farm Station (and further afield on the
Northern Busway) with little difficulty.
7.5 Traffic Impact Assessment
7.5.1 Traffic Modelling Approach
The impact of the additional traffic expected to be generated by a development as envisaged by
proposed Plan Change 34 of 250 residential apartments has been undertaken with the use of the S-
Paramics microsimulation software package. This S-Paramics (Paramics) software is able to evaluate
entire street networks where the individual interactions between vehicles and hence intersections can
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 28
be distinctly modelled. The added advantage of using microsimulation is that the behaviour of vehicles
and the ability of the street network to handle these vehicles can be visually observed.
Typically in using microsimulation, a “base” model is developed which accurately represents an
existing traffic situation. This uses detailed surveyed information, typically vehicle counts at
intersections, queue lengths and travel times, gathered in the field. The process of matching modelled
outputs with those obtained in the field is commonly known as calibration/validation. The degree of
fit of the modelled outputs with observed data determines the legitimacy of the model to be used to
predict future traffic scenarios such as roading or land use changes.
To this end two base models were developed for the weekday morning peak period (6:30 to 9 am) and
the weekday evening peak period 3:30 to 6 pm) which cover the periods where the effects of the
proposed residential development on the operation of the surrounding road network would be
highest. These base models were developed from surveyed information collected in August 2010 with
the model area being shown in Figure 14 below.
Figure 14: Modelled Road Network
Following the development of the base models, the files and accompanying draft calibration/validation
report were submitted to Auckland Transport so that an independent review of the development and
validation of the base models could be carried out. Some modifications were recommended by
Auckland Transport and updates to the base models were finalised, resulting in Auckland Transport
considering that “the revised Milford Mall models are fit for the purpose of assessing the proposed private
Plan Change at Milford Mall”8.
A separate report, included as Appendix A, has been produced by Aurecon outlining the level of
calibration/validation achieved for these base models. This report concludes that:
8 “Milford Mall S-Paramics Model: Review of Revised Models, 2 February 2011 Auckland Transport
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 29
“the Milford Mall models are appropriately calibrated for both the peak hours and the full
model periods. The models replicate existing conditions to an acceptable level of accuracy
and are appropriate tools for future option testing.”
The traffic modelling approach has involved the following methodology:
The development, calibration and validation of the base (2010) weekday morning and evening
simulation models (Base models)
The development of future traffic models (5 to 10 year) to reflect the morning and evening peak
period traffic conditions without the implementation of proposed Plan Change 34 and including
the already consented additional retail and residential development at the Milford Shopping
Centre (Do Minimum models)
The development of future traffic models (5 to 10 year) to reflect the morning and evening
traffic conditions with the implementation of proposed Plan Change 34 (Development models)
Comparison of model outputs.
7.5.2 Do Minimum Models
7.5.2.1 Do Minimum Models: Traffic Demands and Distribution
Development Demands
As mentioned above the Do Minimum models represent a future 5 to 10 year scenario reflecting the
morning and evening peak period traffic conditions without the implementation of proposed Plan
Change 34, and including the already consented 2,590 m2 GFA retail activities and 15 residential units
additional development at the Milford Shopping Centre. Accordingly the following peak hour trip
generation demands for this consented development as given in the development’s Integrated
Transport Assessment9, has been included in the Do Minimum Model. These trips where distributed
onto the surrounding road network as given in the ITA.
Table 3: Milford Shopping Centre: Additional Consented Vehicle Trip Generation
Time Period Trip Generation (vehicles per hour)
Inbound Outbound Total
Morning Peak Hour 2 7 9
Evening Peak Hour 95 113 208
This consented development also includes the closure of the Milford Road shopping centre access and
therefore this has been included in the Do Minimum models resulting in traffic currently using this
access being generally relocated to the Omana Road/Ihumata Road roundabout shopping centre
access.
9 SKM. Integrated Transport Assessment: Milford Shopping Centre Redevelopment – Stage 2. September 2007.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 30
Traffic Growth
In addition to these changes to the peak period traffic demands and road infrastructure resulting from
the implementation of the consented development at the Milford Shopping Centre, the Do Minimum
models also need to include any changes to the 2010 measured background traffic that may occur into
the future.
It is noted that the SKM ITA assumed a 1% per annum growth for background traffic from the 2007
base traffic model to the future year 2011. SKM, however, do not provide any basis for this assumed
level of traffic growth and accordingly Flow has further investigated this matter as the over estimation
of base traffic demands in a future model can result in overplaying traffic issues. This in turn can
create induced traffic demand by the provision of excessive roading based mitigation increasing traffic
capacity beyond what is required to accommodate the additional traffic flows generated by the Plan
Change.
In undertaking this assessment guidance has been taken from other recent Plan Change applications10
in which the primary means of assessing the future growth factor has been to assess the historical
traffic growth (during peak periods and over a day) through a specific area in the recent past.
Traffic data has been supplied by the former NSCC for a traffic counting site located on Hurstmere
Road between Minnehaha Avenue and Tiri Road. This is a permanent count site which collects a
continuous stream of traffic volume data throughout the year, and hence is an excellent source of data
to assess the historical growth in peak period traffic travelling on the main route through the Milford
town centre.
Hourly data for each direction of travel, for weeks commencing on the following dates:
Monday 11 and Monday 18 September, 2006
Monday 6 August, 2007
Monday 4 August, 2008
Monday 3 August, 2009
Monday 2 August, 2010.
Figure 15, below, demonstrates the annual variation in 7 Day Average Daily Traffic (ADT) obtained
from the permanent traffic count station on Hurstmere Road. It is evident that both August and
September are appropriate months representing the average traffic flow on the route.
10Appendix E Brett Harries (Traffic Design Group) evidence to the Council Hearings for Westfields St Lukes Plan Change
8 and The Warehouse Balmoral Propose Plan Change ITA, February 2010, Flow Transportation Specialists
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 31
Figure 15: Annual Variation 7 Day Average Daily Traffic
Transfund’s New Zealand Research Report 205: Guide to Estimation and Monitoring of Traffic Counting
and Traffic Growth, 2001, has been used as a reference in this analysis. Report 205 indicates that
where four or more historical data points exist over the past six years, they may be plotted and a linear
trend line obtained. The slope of this trend line gives the annual arithmetic change in traffic volume,
and from this a percentage change can be obtained.
Table 4 to Table 6 documents the traffic volumes used in the analysis, as well as the percentage
increases each year. It can be seen that traffic volumes are decreasing in both directions during both
peak periods, as well as across the day as a whole.
Table 4: Morning Peak Period Traffic Volumes (7:00 to 9:00 am)
Northbound Traffic
Volume
Percentage
Change
Southbound
Traffic Volume
Percentage
Change
2006 844 2,468
2007 791 -6.3% 2,583 4.7%
2008 669 -15.4% 2,465 -4.6%
2009 654 -2.2% 2,404 -2.5%
2010 691 5.7% 2,477 3.0%
Annual Arithmetic Change -44 -6.4% -16 -0.6%
Hurstmere Road Permanent Counter
Annual Variation in 7 day ADT
October 2009 to October 2010
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
% A
AD
T
Northbound Southbound Total
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 32
Table 5: Evening Peak Period Traffic Volumes (4:00 to 6:00 pm)
Northbound Traffic
Volume
Percentage
Change
Southbound
Traffic Volume
Percentage
Change
2006 2,028 1,085
2007 2,009 -0.9% 984 -9.3%
2008 1,942 -3.3% 982 -0.2%
2009 1,770 -8.9% 974 -0.8%
2010 1,706 -3.6% 946 -2.9%
Annual Arithmetic Change -88 -5.2% -29 -3.1%
Table 6: Average Daily Traffic Volumes
5-Day Average Daily Traffic Percentage Change
2006 18,086
2007 17,279 -4.5%
2008 16,553 -4.2%
2009 16,006 -3.3%
2010 15,970 -0.2%
Annual Arithmetic Change -551 -3.5%
The annual arithmetic change in traffic volumes in the above tables has been obtained from the
relevant trend line in each of the graphs presented in Figure 16 and Figure 17, below. The annual
percentage change has also been calculated, relative to 2010 traffic volumes.
Figure 16: Hurstmere Road Peak Hour Traffic Volumes
Hurstmere RoadMorning Peak Northbound
y = -44x + 89684
500
600
700
800
900
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
Ve
hic
les
/Ho
ur
Hurstmere RoadMorning Peak Southbound
y = -16x + 34808
2200
2300
2400
2500
2600
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
Ve
hic
les
/Ho
ur
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 33
Figure 17: Hurstmere Road Average Daily Traffic Volumes
As shown, the traffic flows on the Kitchener Road/Hurstmere Road corridor during both peak periods
in both directions as well as on the average daily traffic is experiencing negative growth. The reasons
for this generally negative growth in daily and peak hourly traffic flows on this corridor are varied but
potential reasons for this ongoing decrease may include:
Capacity increases to alternative north-south routes including the Wairau Road/ Taharoto Road
corridor
Increased use of public transport, walking and cycling
Increased fuel prices and vehicle running costs resulting in different travel choices or time of
travel
Bottlenecks and capacity restrictions on the wider network that restrict the access of traffic to,
and on the corridor particularly during peak periods.
Hurstmere RoadEvening Peak Northbound
y = -88x + 179197
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
Ve
hic
les
/Ho
ur
Hurstmere RoadEvening Peak Southbound
y = -29x + 58825
800
900
1000
1100
1200
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
Ve
hic
les
/Ho
ur
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 34
On this basis it is considered incorrect to apply a generic daily growth rate factor to the background
traffic in the Paramics peak period models developed for assessing the traffic effects of the Milford
Plan Change. Rather given that the peak periods and daily traffic flows on Kitchener Road/ Hurstmere
Road corridor (the main route through Milford), have over the past 5 to 6 years experienced negative
growth rates, it is considered that the background traffic in the Do Minimum models be taken as the
2010 traffic volumes. This methodology also allows a thorough understanding of the traffic effects of
the proposed Plan Change to be obtained, as traffic effects caused by growth (or in this case a lack of
growth) will not be included in the traffic assessment.
7.5.2.2 Do Minimum Models: Results
Section 2 of the Aurecon modelling report (Appendix B) provides the detailed results from the Do
Minimum models as well as a comparison of the Do Minimum and Base models. The following
summarises these results and highlights key conclusions with regard to the peak period operation of
the road network under the Do Minimum scenario (ie without the Plan Change development).
Network Statistics
As would be expected the Do Minimum models predict that with the additional traffic demands
resulting from the consented Milford Shopping Centre retail and residential development, the overall
performance of the road network in the model area will experience an increase in total delay when
compared to the Base (2010) model results. The model predicts a:
4% increase in overall network delay during the morning peak hour
5.2% increase in overall network delay during the evening peak hour
Journey Time Comparisons
Three key routes passing through the modelled area have been selected for comparing changes in
travel times which are predicted by the future models. Figure 18 shows the three routes which have
been assessed in each direction of travel and include:
Route 1: East Coast Road/ Kitchener Road between Wolsey Avenue and Saltburn Road
Route 2: Omana Road between Inga Road and Kitchener Road/Shakespeare Road/East Coast
Road intersection
Route 3: Omana Road/ Ihumata Road/ Milford Road between Inga Road and Kitchener/ Dobson
Avenue intersection.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 35
Figure 18: Journey Time Routes
The Aurecon report concludes:
“Journey time results for the morning peak indicate that the Do Minimum scenario will
result in some minor increases to the average journey time for several routes. The largest
of these increases is for Omana Road southbound route, for which the average journey
time is predicted to increase by 20 seconds. Results for the evening peak indicate that the
three routes are predicted to have an increased journey time, the most significant of which
is the Omana Road northbound route, which is shown to have an average increase travel
time of 22 seconds.”
These results are consistent with the effects that would be excepted as a result of the closure of the
Milford Road access together with additional traffic demand rerouting to the Omana Rod access to the
shopping centre.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 36
Level of Service and Queues at Intersections
The Aurecon modelling report also contains details on the predicted performance of the Base and Do
Minimum model scenarios, for key intersections within the model area, as well as for all access points
to the Milford Shopping Centre. For each movement through a specific intersection, the volume of
traffic, the average delay and corresponding level of service (LOS) as well as the average and 95%
percentile queue lengths are given (See Tables 6,7,8,and 9 in Appendix B).
The Aurecon report concludes:
“Results for the morning peak hour indicate a similar level of performance for the Base and
Do Minimum scenarios. In both instances the greatest levles of delay are experienced on
Shakespeare Road. The evening peak results indicate that the level of performance at the
Kitchener Road intersections with Shakespeare Road/ Omana Road and Milford/ Dobson
Avenue remains similar between the Base and Do Minimum scenarios. A reduction in
performance is noted for the Ihumata Road/Omana Road roundabout , which is a result of
the combined effect of existing traffic being allocated from the Milford Road access (which
will be closed) to the roundabout, as well as additional trips generated by the consented
development.“
7.5.2.3 Do Minimum Models: Results Conclusion
The above Paramics modelling has shown that the operation of the Milford town centre road network
during peak times is likely to operate at a similar level once the consented development at the Milford
Shopping Centre has been implemented when compared to the present day operation. The main
changes to the operation of the road network during both peak periods is as a result of the closing of
the Milford Road access to the shopping centre which in turn routes traffic that presently uses this
access, to the access from the Ihumata Road/Omana Road intersection.
In addition to this it is noted that the Do Minimum models predict LOS E and F for certain movements
showing that that even without the implementation of proposed Plan Change 34 these movements
will experience delay and congestion during certain peak times.
7.5.3 Development Models
7.5.3.1 Development Models: Traffic Demands and Distribution
Trip Generation
The SKM ITA at Section 4 contains a detailed description of appropriate peak morning and evening trip
generation rates for residential apartments in town centres based on the RTA Guide to Traffic
Generating Developments. This section has been reviewed and it is considered that the proposed trip
generation rate of 0.6 trips per unit per hour as given in the SKM ITA is appropriate to assess the traffic
expected to be generated by proposed Plan Change 34. It is noted that this trip generation was used
by SKM in the ITA assessment relating to the additional 15 residential units and as this application had
been approved and consent granted by NSCC, it is assumed that NSCC also accepted this rate to be
appropriate.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 37
Applying the typical residential activity directional split to this trip generation rate of 20% inbound and
80% outbound during the morning peak hour, and 80% inbound and 20% outbound during the evening
peak hour, results in the following trip generation in association with proposed Plan Change 34.
Morning Peak Hour: 30 inbound trips and 120 outbound trips, resulting in a total trip generation
of 150 trips
Evening Peak Hour: 120 inbound trips and 30 outbound trips, resulting in a total trip generation
of 150 trips.
It is noted that no reduction in the traffic modelling has been made to this vehicular trip generation as
a result of the passenger transport that is presently provided on Kitchener Road and Milford Road, nor
the fact that Milford is within walking and cycling distance to Takapuna, a major employment area on
the North Shore. It is expected that residents will use the bus transport and other active modes to
travel during the peak periods (which is usually associated with resident’s employment or educational
trips).
In addition, no reduction has been made to the above vehicular trip generation as a result of the
proposal being located within an existing town centre. For example it can be concluded that as a
result of this, residents of the proposed development no longer need to use the private vehicle to visit
retail and commercial activities that are located in the Milford Shopping Centre.
Therefore it can be concluded that the above peak period trip generation and hence the results of the
Paramics modelling can be viewed as a worst case assessment and it is likely that the actual traffic
effects resulting from proposed Plan Change 34 will be less than identified through the Paramics
modelling assessment.
Trip Distribution
With regard to the expected distribution of these trips onto the surrounding road network, the SKM
ITA assumed that this would be based on existing traffic distributions to/from the Milford town centre.
during peak periods. However the existing trips to/from the Milford town centre are generated by a
combination of activities and therefore the resulting trip distribution is not necessarily relevant to
residential trips, as proposed by Plan Change 34. Rather information has been obtained from the
North Shore TRACKS regional transportation model with regard to the trip distribution for residential
trips to and from the Milord town centre zone. The resulting trip distribution for residential trips to
and from the Milford town centre town is given in Table 7.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 38
Table 7: Trip Distribution from Auckland Council TRACKS Model
Origin/Destination Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak Hour
From Milford To Milford From Milford To Milford
East ( Frater Avenue) 1% 1% 3% 3%
North (Inga Road) 8% 19% 19% 10%
North west (East Coast Road ) 13% 29% 27% 24%
South west (Shakespeare Road) 34% 24% 25% 21%
South east (Hurstmere Road) 43% 27% 27% 43%
The results show consistency with a common sense approach whereby during the morning peak period
the main destinations of residential trips from the Milford town centre is to the south via Shakespeare
Road (34%) or Kitchener Road/Hurstmere Road (43%). Similarly during the evening peak period the
distribution highlights that the majority of trips destined for Milford town centre is from the south
(64%).
7.5.3.2 Development Minimum Models: Results
Section 3 of the Aurecon modelling report (Appendix B) provides the detailed results from the
Development models as well as a comparison of the Do Minimum and Development models. The
following summaries these results and highlights key conclusions with regard to the peak period
operation of the road network under the Development scenario.
Network Statistics
As would be expected the Development models predict that with the additional traffic demands
resulting from the proposed development of 250 residential units, the overall performance of the road
network in the model area will experience an increase in total delay when compared to the Do-
Minimum model results. The model predicts a 12% increase in overall network delay during both the
morning and eveing peak hours.
Journey Time Comparisons
With regard to the effect on journey times along the three previously identified routes, the Aurecon
report concludes:
“Results for the morning peak indicate that the Plan Change scenario would have a small
effect on four of the six journey routes measured. Of those that do change, the Omana
Road southbound route is predicted to increase by 23 seconds (17%), while the Milford
Road southbound route is forecast to increase by 45 seconds (34%).
Results for the evening peak suggest that all journey times would increase by less than 10%
under the Plan Change scenario, with the exception of Milford Road southbound route
which is predicted to increase by 37 seconds (30%).”
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 39
As would be expected the models are predicting additional travel time for the Omana Road and
Milford Road routes, as these are the routes onto which the additional traffic generated by the
proposal are likely to access. It is noted however that these additional travel time on these route
range between 23 and 45 seconds and when taking into account the travel time of the entire journey
cannot be regarded as significant. Further the main bus route through the Milford town centre of East
Coast Road/ Kitchener Road (Route 1) experiences very small increases to travel time as a result of the
proposal and hence it can be concluded that proposed Plan Change 34 will not affect the travel time of
passenger transport through the town centre.
Level of Service at Intersections
The LOS tables for the three main intersections in the model area from the Aurecon modelling report
are copied below as Table 8 and Table 9.
The Aurecon report concludes:
The morning peak LOS results indicate that the Kitchener Road intersections with
Shakespeare Road/Omana Road and Milford Road/ Dodson Avenue retain similar levels of
service under the Plan Change scenario when compared with the Do Minimum.
Examination of the predicted average delays do however indicate several locations where
the Plan Change does have an effect, including the Shakespeare Road and Omana Road
approaches to the intersection with Kitchener Road/ East Coast Road. The northern
Omana Road access, which will provide the principal access for Plan Change traffic, will
continue to operate with minimal delay under the proposed scenario.
The evening peak results for the East Coast Road/ Kitchener Road/ Shakespeare Road/
Omana Road signalised intersection indicate that the increased traffic associated with the
Plan Change may result in increased delay on the Shakespeare Road approach. The LOS of
movements at the Kitchener Road/ Milford Road/ Dodson Avenue intersection will
generally remain the same, although the Plan Change is forecast to increase delay to the
through and right turn movements on the Milford Road approach. The modelling results
indicate that the Plan Change may result in the reduced performance of the site access
approach to the Ihumata Road/ Omana Road roundabout. As with the morning peak hour,
the modelling indicates that the northern Omana Road access may continue to operate
with minimal delay during the evening peak under the proposed scenario."
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 40
Table 8: Morning Peak Hour - Predicted Performance at Key Intersections for Consented Do Minimum and Plan
Change Scenarios
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 41
Table 9: Evening Peak Hour - Predicted Performance at Key Intersections for Consented Do Minimum and Plan
Change Scenarios
Queuing at Intersections
Predicted 95 percentile queue lengths for the consented Do Minimum and proposed Plan Change
scenarios are reported below in Table 10.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 42
Table 10: Predicted 95 Percentile Queue Lengths (m)
Intersection Approach Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak Hour
Consented
Do
Minimum
Proposed
Plan
Change
Consented
Do
Minimum
Proposed
Plan
Change
Kitchener/Shakespeare Omana North
(left/through)
58 60 52 54
Omana North (right) 32 34 80 87
Kitchener East 41 47 57 57
Shakespeare South 92 94 121 142
East Coast Road 178 216 54 54
Kitchener/Milford/
Dobson
Milford North
(through/right)
42 61 43 48
Milford North (left) 83 91 24 24
Kitchener East
(left/through)
65 65 110 113
Kitchener East (right) 29 29 50 55
Dobson South 27 29 33 33
Kitchener West 73 77 51 51
Ihumata/Omana/Shopping
Centre Access
Omana North 0 0 0 0
Ihumata East 21 21 47 65
Shopping Centre Access 0 0 94 122
Ihumata West 23 25 91 93
The Aurecon report concludes:
“The above results indicate that proposed scenario has a similar level of queuing to the Do
Minimum for the majority of approaches, the exception being the East Coast Road
approach to Kitchener Road/Shakespeare Road, which is predicted to increase for 95th
percentile queues from 178m to 216m. A slight increase is also observed on the Milford
Road approach to its intersection with Kitchener Road/Dodson Avenue.
The queue comparison results above indicate that the Plan Change is predicted to result in
increased queuing at the Shakespeare Road and Omana Road approaches to their
intersection with Kitchener Road/ East Coast Road. The level of queuing for each
movement at the Kitchener Road/ Milford Road/ Dodson Avenue intersection remains
similar under the Plan Change scenario, other than for the thru/right turners at Milford
Road, where a slight increase is predicted. The queue comparisons also indicate that the
proposed scenario will result in increased queuing at the Ihumata Road/ Omana Road
roundabout, when compared to the Do Minimum.”
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 43
Taking into account the LOS and queuing results predicted by the models, it can be seen that while
certain movements at certain intersections do experience additional delay which results in a change in
LOS, the majority of these movements are likely to be congested anyway even if the Plan Change is not
implemented. For example during the morning peak period the Shakespeare Road approach to the
East Coast Road/ Omana Road/ Kitchener Road intersection is predicted to operate without the Plan
Change in place at LOS F, with an average delay of 101 seconds per vehicle and a 95% percentile queue
of 92 m. As a result of the Plan Change this movement is predicted to remain at LOS F with an average
increase in delay of 31 seconds and an increase in 95% queue of 2 m (less than one vehicle).
It is noted that the most significant effect to traffic operation as a result of the implementation of the
Plan Change is predicted to occur at the egress from the shopping centre during the evening peak
hour. Specifically the 95% queue is predicted to increase from 15 to 20 vehicles which may affect the
internal operation of the site. While this clearly does not result in effects to the surrounding road
network it is suggested that when the consented development is implemented (and the Milford Road
access is closed), this movement should be monitored and if significant queuing during the peak period
is observed then the shopping centre egress onto the roundabout should be widened and/or remarked
to allow for a two lane egress.
7.5.3.3 Development Models: Results Conclusion
The following key conclusions are reached in the Aurecon modelling report:
“The above Paramics modelling has shown that overall, the Plan Change scenario is
forecast to result in a minor reduction in overall network performance.
The above results predict that the proposed Plan Change may result in additional delay for
several movements during both morning and evening peak periods.
Journey times are predicted to remain similar for Do Minimum and Plan Change scenarios,
with the exception of the Omana Road southbound and Milford Road southbound routes,
which are predicted to increase under the proposed scenario.
In summary the results of the Paramics modelling indicate that although the traffic generated by
proposed Plan Change 34 is likely to result in increased travel time and queue lengths for certain
movements through the Milford town centre and for certain movements at the main intersections
during both the morning and evening peak periods, this increase over the Do Minimum conditions is
not significant and likely to result in less than minor traffic effects on the operation of the road
network.
7.6 Parking Assessment
7.6.1 Plan Change Proposed Parking Requirements
The SKM ITA contains a through and detailed discussion with regard to an appropriate rate of parking
for residential development such as that proposed under the proposed Plan Change. Guidance on the
matter is taken from the NSCC District Plan parking requirements for residential activities in mixed use
town centres which include the following parking requirements:
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 44
Studio/1 bedroom residential unit: 1 space per unit
2 bedroom residential unit : 1.5 spaces per unit
3 or more bedroom residential unit: 2 spaces per unit
Visitor parking spaces shall be required at the rate of 1 space for every 5 units
It is considered that these rates proposed by SKM are appropriate and correct to be applied to the
residential development envisaged by Plan Change 34.
7.6.2 Parking Demand
Applying the above parking requirements to the residential development anticipated by the Plan
Change, results in a parking requirement of 375 parking spaces for residents and 50 parking spaces for
visitors.
7.6.3 Parking Provision
As mentioned previously the additional resident parking is proposed to be provided in various levels on
the western side of the site as well as on the north eastern side of the site. The visitor parking is
proposed to be provided within the existing Milford Shopping Centre parking provision on the site.
This sharing of retail parking resource to cater for residential visor parking is considered to be
appropriate and desirable in a town centre environment when the demand for parking for various
activities peak at different times at the day, and hence with sharing of parking resources a more
efficient and sustainable outcome is reached.
Notwithstanding this, it is noted that surveys of the parking demand at the existing Milford Shopping
Centre has shown that even at the time of peak parking demand associated with the retail activities
there is around 289 parking spaces vacant on the site. With a visitor parking demand generated by the
proposed Plan Change of 50 parking spaces, there is more than sufficient existing parking provision on
the site to be able to accommodate this demand. Indeed as shown below in Table 11.
even with the additional development contemplated by the already consented expansion to the
shopping centre, and assuming the unlikely event that the peak demand for visitor parking associated
with the Plan Change residential units occurs at the same time as the peak parking demand associated
with retail activities, there is still likely to be around 132 parking spaces vacant on the site.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 45
Table 11: Milford Mall Shopping Centre (excluding New World supermarket and NSCC Parking areas): Parking
Assessment
Activity Peak Parking
Demand
(Measured 1 pm
Weekday 2010)
Additional Parking
Demand
(As per District Plan
& Plan Change 34)
Total
Parking
Demand
Total On-site
Parking
Provision
Surplus/
Shortfall
Parking
Retail :Milford
Shopping Centre
508 n/a 508 797 +289
Plus 2007
Consented
development
508 117+38=
155
663 884 +182
Plus Proposed Plan
Change 34
508 375+50=
425
1,088 1,219 +132
7.6.4 Parking Conclusions
Overall it is considered that the provision of 375 additional onsite parking spaces is more than
sufficient to meet the parking demand of the entire Milford Shopping Centre under Proposed Plan
Change 34. The proposed parking provision conforms to parking demand management principals
through the proposed sharing of parking resources and will therefore avoid the excessive provision of
parking resources. Further the proposed parking provision in the context of serving various activities
in a mixed use environment is consistent with regional and local parking strategies and provides the
opportunity to better integrate and manage parking in the area.
8 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
This report provides an update to the 2008 SKM ITA including an update to the Paramics modelling and
associated assessment of traffic impacts during peak commuter periods, as well as additional transport
related assessments with regard to safety, accessibility for all modes, integration and parking.
In terms of the wider strategic transport effects, proposed Plan Change 34 is consistent with, and
supports the key national, regional and local transportation objectives and policies relating to site
accessibility and transportation sustainability, in as much as it will promote residential activity in a
town centre and is also situated on a major passenger transport route. The development of such
residential opportunities within town centres encourages more walk and cycle trips and together with
the provision of good passenger transport results in less private vehicular travel than if the activity was
located out of a centre.
The Milford town centre is identified in various regional and local planning documents as a growth
centre with the Milford Shopping Centre site of this proposed Plan Change having excellent
accessibility for all travel modes though various district arterial roads as well as being located on the
Quality Transit Network serving the North Shore of Auckland.
Milford Plan Change 34 Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 46
The traffic assessment has shown that while the proposed residential development will result in
additional private vehicular trips on the surrounding road network, the Paramics models predicts that
the difference in the operation of the road network during peak commuter periods between the Do
Minimum and Development model results is not significant. Accordingly, and also taking into account
the mixed use nature of the resulting development in the Milford town centre, it is considered that the
residential development of 250 units that could be enabled by proposed Plan Change 34 can be
integrated into the road, passenger transport and walking network in a way that results in a safe and
efficient transport environment.
Proposed Plan Change 34 also ensures that sufficient parking spaces will be provided on the subject
site to serve the expected parking demand generated by the proposed development, and also allows
for the use of parking demand management principals through the proposed sharing of parking
resources.
In conclusion this updated ITA has reached similar conclusions to those reached in the SKM ITA namely
that proposed Plan Change 34 will have no more than minor effects on the safety and efficiency of the
surrounding road network and hence from a transportation perspective, proposed Plan Change 34
should be supported.
Milford Plan Change 34
Updated Integrated Transport Assessment
APPENDIX A Aurecon Modelling Calibration
Report
Milford Plan Change 34
Updated Integrated Transport Assessment 2
Milford Plan Change 34
Updated Integrated Transport Assessment
APPENDIX B Aurecon Modelling Report