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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES
Millennials and Me
TU DelftSmart Public Transport Lab24 September 2018
Alexa Delbosc@AlexaDelbosc
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES
About meMy
research areas
All about millennials
Personal reflections
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES3
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES4
City of 4.8 million
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES5
A city of sprawl and of cars
Source: Chris Loader, ChartingTransport
740 cars / 1,000 people 480 cars / 1,000 people
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES6
Monash is Victoria’s largest university with campuses in 5 countries
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES7
About me
Senior Lecturer at Monash Institute of Transport Studies In the Department of Civil Engineering Teach Traffic Engineering and Management subjects
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES8
About me
Master of Social Psychology from Harvard PhD in Transport from Monash University
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES
My Research Areas
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES10
Researcher in travel behaviour and psychology
How do the reasons for fare evasion differ in the population?
Why do people fare evade?Is all fare evasion ‘stealing?’
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES11
Researcher in travel behaviour and psychology
How much mobility is ‘enough’ to make you happy?
Which is more important to well‐being, mobility or accessibility?
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES12
Researcher in travel behaviour and psychology
Why are millennials driving less than previous generations?
How will their travel behaviour change as they age?
How is it related to their life stage?
Are they using public transport more?
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES
All About Millennials
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES14
What is in store for the future of millennials?
Hometrustmortgageloansatlantageorgia.comHuffingtonpost.com
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES15
How does that relationship differ within the millennial generation?
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES16
Millennial Mobility Panel Study (MMPS)
What is the relationship between future life course and travel behaviour?
How does that vary within the millennial generation?
Supported by Research AssistantDr Farhana Naznin
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES17
Millennial Mobility Panel Study (MMPS)
Through a survey of 21-25 year olds in Melbourne and regional Victoria
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES18
Asked how respondents saw their future unfolding
Get a driving license (“P’s”) Have your own car Get a part-time job Get a full-time job Move out of your parent’s home Move in with a partner Buy a home Get married Have children No chance (0)
Below-even chance (1 to 5)Above-even chance (6 to 9)
Certainty (10)Already done (11)
How likely is it that you will …. In the next 12 months, 3 years or by age 30?
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES19
Latent Class Analysis identifies groupings based on responses
Get a license? Buy a car? Move out? Get a job? Marry?
Have Kids? Buy a home?
From 27 To five
In 3 years?
By age 30?
In 12 months
?
Traditional
Launching Traditional
Independent
Delayed with Cars
Delayed without Cars
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES20
Log-likelihood minimised at 5-clusters
40000
42000
44000
46000
48000
50000
52000
54000
56000
58000
1 Cluster 2 Clusters 3 Clusters 4 Clusters 5 Clusters 6 Clusters 7 Clusters
BIC AIC CAIC
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES21
Traditional segment (24% of sample)
Working, living with a partner Some already bought home,
married, had children More likely to live in regional
Victoria (42% vs. survey average 23%)
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES22
Launching Traditional segment (20% of sample)
Living at home with parents, but long-term view toward a traditional future
60% were certain or above-even to buy a home within 3 years
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES23
Independent segment (19% of sample)
Working full-time, living away from parents
Buying home, marriage, children not on the near horizon
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES24
Delayed with Cars segment (21% of sample)
More likely to be studying, lower-income
Low chance of marriage, home, children
Most already have a car
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES25
Delayed without Cars segment (16% of sample)
More likely to be studying, lower-income Low chance of marriage, home, children Cars are a medium-term issue Most likely to be from overseas (29% vs.
14% of survey respondents)
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES26
Life stage strongly associated with transport use…
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES27
…attitudes to transport modes…
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES28
…and with where they see themselves ‘settling down’
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES29
A summary of life course timelines
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES30
Different groups have different policy implications
Drivers to using alternate modes
Short-term constraints to using alternate
modes
Policy options Long-term car
use Traditional (24%)
NoneFamily duties, suburban/rural location, strong car use and attitudes
Few Very high
Launching Traditional (20%) None Suburban location, strong
car use and attitudes Few Very high
Independent (19%)
Prefer transit-rich and inner-city areas, somewhat multi-modal
Fairly strong car use
Support multi-modal travel, provide family housing in accessible areas
High
Delayed with Cars (22%) Prefer transit-rich and
inner-city areas, somewhat multi-modal, university students
Fairly strong car use
Support multi-modal travel, provide alternative options around universities, provide family housing in accessible areas
High
Delayed without Cars (16%)
Live in accessible areas, strongest preference for transit-rich and inner-city areas, heavy transit use, strong transit attitudes, low intent to get a car
None
Reinforce alternative modes in accessible areas, provide family housing in accessible areas
Moderate
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES
A few personal reflections
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES32
Transport is a ‘broad church’
TransportPsychology
GeographyEconomics
Electrical engineering
Public policy
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES33
Cross-disciplinary research is the future
Civil engineeringPsychologist
Biochemists
Social scientists
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES34
Discovery Early Career Research Award
Within 5 years of your PhD
Based at an Australian university
Need a top record, with a top group and a top project
10% success rate
What does it take?
3 years of salary + project cost
You get to work with Australia’s leading public
transport group
What do you get?
Very prestigious award
You get to live in Australia!
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES35
(Second) most liveable city in the world
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MONASH INSTITUTE OF TRANSPORT STUDIES
Any questions?