mitigating the kfc. stakeholders kfc mpak mw mestizo kuh govt ctf ipm sis cadre materials sanctuary...
TRANSCRIPT
Mitigating the KFC
Stakeholders
KFCMPAK
MW MestizoKUH Govt
CTFIPMSIS
Cadre
Materials
Sanctuary
Public Face ?
Terror Actions
Incidental Attacks
Understanding KFC
• Aim / Motivation• Strength & Structure• Weapons & Capabilities• Funding / Supplies• Sanctuaries and Support• Tactics & Modus Operandi• Likely Targets• Where, When, How
Background Intel
Actionable Intel
IMAGERY, COMINT, HUMINT
Lines of Ops• Anti-terrorist operations
– Prevent– Contain– Eliminate
• People-based Operations– Mestizo– Local leaders
• Engage in dialogue– KFC leadership– MPAK– Isla Del Sol (SIS)– Free Mojave (MW)
• Make Kuhistan capable of anti-terrorist operations.
DiplomacyInfo
InfoSocialEconomic
Military
Lines of CommunicationLikely Govt targetsPopulation CentresCBRN detection & MitigationPsy Ops
Border ManagementMaritime (Weapons control)Camps (Isolation)Area Domination (deny movement)Anti-drug (deny funding)Psy Ops
CampsSearch & Destroy OperationsLeadershipDefensive Actions
MilitaryContain
Eliminate ?
Prevent
Concept of Ops
• Prevention, Containment & Engagement
Strategy Map
Military
Diplomacy / Info Ops / Economic / Social
END STATE
To Mitigate KFC’s effort in disrupting
CTF operation in
Kuhistan
Strategy MapMilitary
• Protection of Lines of Communication– Log Supply to CTF– IHC movement
• Likely targets– Symbols of Govt authority– Industrial buildings
• Population Centres– Salt Lake City– Provo– Spokane– Boise
Contain
Prevent
END STATE
• Isolation– Border Management– Maritime Ops (SLOCs from IDS)– Camps (Training areas of KFC – Great Basin)
• Area Domination (deny freedom of movement)– Spokane, Bosie, SLC, Provo– IDPs– Around likely Govt Targets
• Population Control Measures (Deny Support)– Physical checks– Resource Control
• Anti-Narcotics (deny funding)• CBRN Detection and mitigation
To Mitigate KFC’s effort in disrupting
CTF operation in
Kuhistan
Strategy MapDiplomacy / Info Ops / Economic / Social
• Dialogue – MPAK (support for CTF’s commitment
to peaceful resolution)– KFC leadership (to cease offensive
action and seek avenues for rehab)• People-based operations
– Mestizos (denial to KFC action and support for CTF)
– Local Leader• Info Operations
– Continue building CTF’s creditability and commitment
– Condemnation of KFC’s action– Support from local populace,
intelligence gathering on KFC• Training/Education
– Capability of KUH to conduct anti-terrorist ops
• Timely Sharing of Information
Engagement
END STATE
To Mitigate KFC’s effort in disrupting
CTF operation in
Kuhistan
CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI
Protection of Line of Communication
Log supply to CTF
IHC movt
• Protect Salt Lake City Seaport (main SPOD for HA)
(1 Inf Bn(-))
• Maintain LOC between the 3 hotspots, Salt Lake City, Boise and Spokane
(1 Inf Bn)
• CTF (Mobile)
• Local Forces & Police (static)
• What are the condition of roads between the 3 hotspots and if IED operations are likely?
Likely Targets
Govt Tgt
Industrial Bldg
• Protection of govt building, police station, Parliament house, etc
• Chemical industry and Nuclear Plant
• Timely Intel cooperation
• Local authorities
• Which are the KINs in the various key towns, and what are the existing security measures in place?
Population Centre
Places where people congregate
Incidents put Govt in bad light
• Bus depot, train stations, market, shopping mall, govt office
(1 Inf Coy)
• Local Authorities
•With CTF Observers
• Which are the population centres with high human traffic flow and if there is a pattern?
CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI
Isolation
Border Mgt
Maritime Ops
Trg Camps of KFC
• Check Post• Observation Post• Patrol• Joint maritime ops
• Joint ops by KUH military and CTF (1/3 & 2/3 concept)
(1 Inf Bn)
• KUH Border Gds / Armed Forces / Police• KUH Coast Gds and CTF Maritime Comd
• Where are the likely sanctuaries of KFC, what are their ingress/egress points and routes? Availability of real-time imagery of these areas• What are the current Border control arrangement?• Where are the likely KFC training camps and weapon caches?
Area Domination
Deny freedom of movt fringing key population and industrial centres
• Joint Patrol & Surveillance
(1 Inf Coy)
• 2/3 KUH Police• 1/3 CTF
• Sanctuary – hiding places and supporters• Tactics that they are likely to employ
CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI
Population Control
Resource control
• Checks Post in town centres
• Restrict / control critical supplies, eg morphine, batteries, explosive derivatives
• KUH Police• CTF
• Info on known terrorist• Tactics that they are likely to employ
Anti-Narcotics
Source of funding for KFC
• Smuggling control• Check Post• Observation Post• Patrol
• KUH authorities• Int’l Agency assistance
• Areas where drugs are processed• Drugs distribution networks
Engagement
Dialogue with MPAK
Dialogue with KFC
• Convince MPAK of CTF commitment• Create conditions for meaningful dialogue between KFC and KUH Govt• Convince Mestizo populace that KUH Govt is committed to address issues of discrimination• KFC Leadership to cease hostile actions and seek avenues for rehab
• Tripartite – CTF, KUH Govt and KFC
• Personality profile of key personnel
CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI
People based operations
Mestizos
Local Leaders of the other ethnic groups
• Dignified conduct• No bias actions
• Dialogue with local leaders
• KUH Local authority (Observers and Joint ops with CTF)
• Social Structure• Opinion Leaders
Information Operations
• Continue building CTF’s creditability and commitment• Condemnation of KFC’s action• Support from local populace, intelligence gathering on KFC
• CTF• Local Media
Training / Education • Co-operation in-threatre• Education & Training of civil authorities
• CTF• UN PKF
CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI
Timely sharing of information
• Estab formal network (meetings and dialogues with parties involved)
• Estab Informal channel for info sharing (eg forces on the ground, local leaders, etc)
• CTF
• MNF