mitigating the kfc. stakeholders kfc mpak mw mestizo kuh govt ctf ipm sis cadre materials sanctuary...

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Mitigating the KFC

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Page 1: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Mitigating the KFC

Page 2: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Stakeholders

KFCMPAK

MW MestizoKUH Govt

CTFIPMSIS

Cadre

Materials

Sanctuary

Public Face ?

Terror Actions

Incidental Attacks

Page 3: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Understanding KFC

• Aim / Motivation• Strength & Structure• Weapons & Capabilities• Funding / Supplies• Sanctuaries and Support• Tactics & Modus Operandi• Likely Targets• Where, When, How

Background Intel

Actionable Intel

IMAGERY, COMINT, HUMINT

Page 4: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Lines of Ops• Anti-terrorist operations

– Prevent– Contain– Eliminate

• People-based Operations– Mestizo– Local leaders

• Engage in dialogue– KFC leadership– MPAK– Isla Del Sol (SIS)– Free Mojave (MW)

• Make Kuhistan capable of anti-terrorist operations.

DiplomacyInfo

InfoSocialEconomic

Military

Page 5: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Lines of CommunicationLikely Govt targetsPopulation CentresCBRN detection & MitigationPsy Ops

Border ManagementMaritime (Weapons control)Camps (Isolation)Area Domination (deny movement)Anti-drug (deny funding)Psy Ops

CampsSearch & Destroy OperationsLeadershipDefensive Actions

MilitaryContain

Eliminate ?

Prevent

Page 6: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Concept of Ops

• Prevention, Containment & Engagement

Page 7: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Strategy Map

Military

Diplomacy / Info Ops / Economic / Social

END STATE

To Mitigate KFC’s effort in disrupting

CTF operation in

Kuhistan

Page 8: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Strategy MapMilitary

• Protection of Lines of Communication– Log Supply to CTF– IHC movement

• Likely targets– Symbols of Govt authority– Industrial buildings

• Population Centres– Salt Lake City– Provo– Spokane– Boise

Contain

Prevent

END STATE

• Isolation– Border Management– Maritime Ops (SLOCs from IDS)– Camps (Training areas of KFC – Great Basin)

• Area Domination (deny freedom of movement)– Spokane, Bosie, SLC, Provo– IDPs– Around likely Govt Targets

• Population Control Measures (Deny Support)– Physical checks– Resource Control

• Anti-Narcotics (deny funding)• CBRN Detection and mitigation

To Mitigate KFC’s effort in disrupting

CTF operation in

Kuhistan

Page 9: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

Strategy MapDiplomacy / Info Ops / Economic / Social

• Dialogue – MPAK (support for CTF’s commitment

to peaceful resolution)– KFC leadership (to cease offensive

action and seek avenues for rehab)• People-based operations

– Mestizos (denial to KFC action and support for CTF)

– Local Leader• Info Operations

– Continue building CTF’s creditability and commitment

– Condemnation of KFC’s action– Support from local populace,

intelligence gathering on KFC• Training/Education

– Capability of KUH to conduct anti-terrorist ops

• Timely Sharing of Information

Engagement

END STATE

To Mitigate KFC’s effort in disrupting

CTF operation in

Kuhistan

Page 10: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI

Protection of Line of Communication

Log supply to CTF

IHC movt

• Protect Salt Lake City Seaport (main SPOD for HA)

(1 Inf Bn(-))

• Maintain LOC between the 3 hotspots, Salt Lake City, Boise and Spokane

(1 Inf Bn)

• CTF (Mobile)

• Local Forces & Police (static)

• What are the condition of roads between the 3 hotspots and if IED operations are likely?

Likely Targets

Govt Tgt

Industrial Bldg

• Protection of govt building, police station, Parliament house, etc

• Chemical industry and Nuclear Plant

• Timely Intel cooperation

• Local authorities

• Which are the KINs in the various key towns, and what are the existing security measures in place?

Population Centre

Places where people congregate

Incidents put Govt in bad light

• Bus depot, train stations, market, shopping mall, govt office

(1 Inf Coy)

• Local Authorities

•With CTF Observers

• Which are the population centres with high human traffic flow and if there is a pattern?

Page 11: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI

Isolation

Border Mgt

Maritime Ops

Trg Camps of KFC

• Check Post• Observation Post• Patrol• Joint maritime ops

• Joint ops by KUH military and CTF (1/3 & 2/3 concept)

(1 Inf Bn)

• KUH Border Gds / Armed Forces / Police• KUH Coast Gds and CTF Maritime Comd

• Where are the likely sanctuaries of KFC, what are their ingress/egress points and routes? Availability of real-time imagery of these areas• What are the current Border control arrangement?• Where are the likely KFC training camps and weapon caches?

Area Domination

Deny freedom of movt fringing key population and industrial centres

• Joint Patrol & Surveillance

(1 Inf Coy)

• 2/3 KUH Police• 1/3 CTF

• Sanctuary – hiding places and supporters• Tactics that they are likely to employ

Page 12: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI

Population Control

Resource control

• Checks Post in town centres

• Restrict / control critical supplies, eg morphine, batteries, explosive derivatives

• KUH Police• CTF

• Info on known terrorist• Tactics that they are likely to employ

Anti-Narcotics

Source of funding for KFC

• Smuggling control• Check Post• Observation Post• Patrol

• KUH authorities• Int’l Agency assistance

• Areas where drugs are processed• Drugs distribution networks

Engagement

Dialogue with MPAK

Dialogue with KFC

• Convince MPAK of CTF commitment• Create conditions for meaningful dialogue between KFC and KUH Govt• Convince Mestizo populace that KUH Govt is committed to address issues of discrimination• KFC Leadership to cease hostile actions and seek avenues for rehab

• Tripartite – CTF, KUH Govt and KFC

• Personality profile of key personnel

Page 13: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI

People based operations

Mestizos

Local Leaders of the other ethnic groups

• Dignified conduct• No bias actions

• Dialogue with local leaders

• KUH Local authority (Observers and Joint ops with CTF)

• Social Structure• Opinion Leaders

Information Operations

• Continue building CTF’s creditability and commitment• Condemnation of KFC’s action• Support from local populace, intelligence gathering on KFC

• CTF• Local Media

Training / Education • Co-operation in-threatre• Education & Training of civil authorities

• CTF• UN PKF

Page 14: Mitigating the KFC. Stakeholders KFC MPAK MW Mestizo KUH Govt CTF IPM SIS Cadre Materials Sanctuary Public Face ? Terror Actions Incidental Attacks

CTF Action ListISSUES MEASURES ACTIONS BY RFI

Timely sharing of information

• Estab formal network (meetings and dialogues with parties involved)

• Estab Informal channel for info sharing (eg forces on the ground, local leaders, etc)

• CTF

• MNF