mktg 442 some specific markets lars perner, instructor 1 some specific agricultural products markets...

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SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, I SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry and eggs Tobacco Tobacco

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Page 1: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1

SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETSPRODUCTS MARKETS

Beef and dairyBeef and dairy Poultry and eggsPoultry and eggs TobaccoTobacco

Page 2: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 2

LivestockLivestock

FARMBreedingRaising

Fattening

WHOLESALING

RETAIL

MANUFAC-TURING

MEATPACKAGING

SLAUGHTER

RAISING

BREEDING

FATTENING

RESTAURANTSAND

INSTITUTIONS

Page 3: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 3

Livestock Marketing IssuesLivestock Marketing Issues

Channels are often shorter to preserve Channels are often shorter to preserve freshness freshness higher cost of distribution higher cost of distribution

Relatively high value-bulk ratioRelatively high value-bulk ratio Production concentration in some areasProduction concentration in some areas Significant price cyclesSignificant price cycles

Stock must actually be held back to increase Stock must actually be held back to increase future production!future production!

Growth of feedlotsGrowth of feedlots Economies of scaleEconomies of scale

Page 4: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 4

Meat ProductionMeat Production

1,000 POUND STEER

60%HIGHER VALUE

CUTS

40%HAMBURGER

540 LBS.RETAIL MEAT

620 POUND

CARCASS

Page 5: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 5

HIGHER PRICES

LOWER PRICESGREATEROUTPUT

INVESTMENT(CAPACITY

ADDED)

DISINVESTMENT(CAPACITY LOWERED)

Price Cycles (Review)Price Cycles (Review)LAG TIME

LAG TIME

LAG TIME

LAG TIME

LAG TIME

Page 6: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 6

Consumption Over TimeConsumption Over Time

U.S. Red Meat Consumption Trends

0

50

100

150

200

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Year

Poun

ds

per

Capit

a

Beef Pork Lamb Total red meat

Year Beef Pork Lamb Total

1950 67 64 4 135

1955 72 62 4 138

1960 69 60 4 133

1965 78 55 3 136

1970 86 55 3 144

1975 90 43 2 135

1980 78 57 1 136

1985 81 51 1 133

1990 65 46 1 112

1995 65 49 1 115

1998 65 49 1 115

Page 7: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 7

Livestock AssemblyLivestock Assembly

OptionsOptions Local cooperative associationsLocal cooperative associations Country dealersCountry dealers Concentration yardsConcentration yards Terminal public marketsTerminal public markets

Move toward decentralized dealingsMove toward decentralized dealings

Page 8: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 8

Meat PackagingMeat Packaging

Heavily concentrated industryHeavily concentrated industry Vertical integration into processing Vertical integration into processing

but not retailingbut not retailing Low traditional margins, due in part Low traditional margins, due in part

to over-capacityto over-capacity

Page 9: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 9

Milk and DairyMilk and Dairy

About 10% of farm salesAbout 10% of farm sales ProductsProducts

MilkMilk WholeWhole Low-fatLow-fat Non-fatNon-fat CreamCream

YogurtYogurt Ice creamIce cream ButterButter CheeseCheese

Page 10: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 10

PoultryPoultry Large increase in Large increase in

turkey consumptionturkey consumption Increased efficiency in Increased efficiency in

chicken productionchicken production Increase in post-farmer Increase in post-farmer

value (e.g., fast food)value (e.g., fast food) Processing is very Processing is very

labor intensive labor intensive shift shift of production to low of production to low wage areaswage areas

Per Capita Chicken Consumption

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

1940 1960 1980 2000

Year

Pounds

PCConsumption

Page 11: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 11

Poultry PricesPoultry Prices

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

1940 1960 1980 2000

Farm value

Retail

Farm1993

Ret1993

Prices adjusted for inflation in 1993 dollars

Page 12: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 12

Chicken as Healthy FoodChicken as Healthy Food

Kentucky Fried Chicken is now known as KFCKentucky Fried Chicken is now known as KFC Chicken first entered fast food menus mostly Chicken first entered fast food menus mostly

as as Fried chickenFried chicken Fried chicken sandwichesFried chicken sandwiches NuggetsNuggets

Broiled chicken sandwiches are increasingly Broiled chicken sandwiches are increasingly availableavailable More delicate and more perishableMore delicate and more perishable Less convenient to eatLess convenient to eat Less of a fried tasteLess of a fried taste

Page 13: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 13

Chicken ExportsChicken Exports

Increasing demand for meat in Increasing demand for meat in expanding economiesexpanding economies

WTO calls for opening of agricultural WTO calls for opening of agricultural marketsmarkets

Exports of lower value dark meat Exports of lower value dark meat from U.S. markets from U.S. markets

History of heavy export subsidiesHistory of heavy export subsidies

Page 14: MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 1 SOME SPECIFIC AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS MARKETS Beef and dairy Beef and dairy Poultry and eggs Poultry

MKTG 442 SOME SPECIFIC MARKETS Lars Perner, Instructor 14

TobaccoTobacco

High value crop but decreasing High value crop but decreasing proportion of farm cash receiptsproportion of farm cash receipts

Large economies of scale in cigarette Large economies of scale in cigarette manufacturing and strong brand manufacturing and strong brand differentiationdifferentiation

Supply control program (since 1933) Supply control program (since 1933) with allocation to eligible farmerswith allocation to eligible farmers