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Mobile applications in Asia and the Pacific Indonesia Case DR Iwan Krisnadi Commissioner BRTI Indonesia Telecommunication Regulatory Authority Bangkok, 24 November 2010 Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific Committee on Information and Communications Technology UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COUNCIL

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Mobile applications in Asia and the Pacific Indonesia Case

DR Iwan KrisnadiCommissioner

BRTI – Indonesia Telecommunication Regulatory AuthorityBangkok, 24 November 2010

Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the PacificCommittee on Information and Communications Technology

UNITED NATIONS

ECONOMIC

AND

SOCIAL COUNCIL

"We must not fail the billions who look to the international community to fulfil the promise

of the Millennium Declaration for a better world. Let us meet in September to keep the

promise.“

-- UN Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon

UN SUMMIT 20 – 22 September 2010 ;New York High Level Plenary Meeting of the General Assembly

We can end poverty 2015Millenium Development Goal

WSIS – Geneva Action Plan Target by 2015

1. To connect villages with ICTs and establish community access points

2. To connect Universities, colleges, secondary schools and primary schools with ICT‟s

3. To connect scientific and Research Centers with ICTs

4. To connect Public Libraries , cultural centers, museums, post offices and archives with ICTs

5. To connect health centres and hospitals with ICTs

6. To connect all local and central government departments and establish websites

7. To adapt all primary and secondary school curicula to meet the challenges of the information society, taking into account national circumstances

8. To ensure that all of the world „s population have access to television and radio services

9. To ecourage the development of content and put in place technical conditions in order to facilitate the presence and use of all world language on the internet

10. To ensure that more than half the world‟s inhabitants have acces to ICTs within their reach.

Outline

Country Profile

ICT Profile

ICT Policy and Regulation

COUNTRY PROFILE : Indonesia

Trend Population in Indonesia

Sex Ratio on Indonesia Population

Population Growth rate 2000-2010

Population Density 2010

Distribution Percentage based on the islands

ICT PROFILE

Economy Reg Rank 2008

Rank2008

IDI 2008

Rank 2007

IDI 2007

Rank 2002

IDI 2001

Rank change2007-2008

Korea 1 3 7.68 2 7.23 2 5.84 -1

Japan 2 8 7.12 7 6.89 17 4.79 -1

Singapore 4 14 6.95 15 6.47 16 4.79 1

Malaysia 9 56 3.96 55 3.66 50 2.71 -1

Thailand 11 76 3.27 75 3.03 74 2.13 -1

Vietnam 14 86 3.05 93 2.61 106 1.59 7

Indonesia 19 107 2.46 108 2.15 109 1.57 1

Cambodia 23 120 1.70 120 1.53 122 1.10 0

Pakistan 25 128 1.54 127 1.45 144 0.92 -1

Papua New Guinea

28 151 1.08 150 1.06 137 0.99 -1

IDI ( The ICT Development Index)Asia Pacific

ICT Readiness,Infrastructure Access

ICT Impact

Outcomes

ICT UseIntensity

ICT CapabilitySkills

ICTDevelopmentIndex

Three stages in the evolution towards an information society

Telephone Desnity

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Fixed Wireline

Fixed Wireless

Celullar

Total

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Fixed Wireline 3,97 3,94 3,88 3,81 3,83

Fixed Wireless 2,14 2,71 4,81 9,53 11,21

Mobile Cellular 21,4 28,73 41,52 61,72 66,82

Total 27,51 35,38 50,21 75,06 81,86

Household Teledensity based on Provinces

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

NAD

Sum

ut

Sum

bar

Ria

u

Jam

bi

Sum

sel/

Babel

Bengkulu

Lam

pung

Kepri

DKI

Jakart

a

Jabar

Bante

n

Jate

ng

DIY

Jatim

Bali

NTB

NTT

Kalteng

Kalb

ar

Kals

el

Kaltim

Suls

es+

Sulb

ar

Sulu

t

Sulteng

Sultra

Goro

nta

lo

Malu

ku

Papua +

Irja

Bara

t

Based on teledensity variaety based on provinces in Indonesia, there are a correlation between teledensity and Income per capita .

The highest Income per capita in a province has the highest teledensity ,

And vice versa

Total SubscribersOPERATORS 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Telkomsel 16.291.000 24.269.000 35.597.000 47.890.000 65.299.991 81.643.532

Prepaid 14.963.000 22.798.000 33.935.000 45.977.000 63.359.619 79.608.839

Post Paid 1.328.000 1.471.000 1.662.000 1.913.000 1.940.372 2.034.693

Indosat 9.754.607 14.512.453 16.704.729 24.545.422 36.510.246 28.707.198

Prepaid 9.214.663 13.836.046 15.878.870 23.945.431 35.591.033 27.416.788

Post Paid 539.944 676.407 825.859 599.991 919.213 1.290.410

Excelkomindo 3.791.000 6.978.519 9.527.970 15.469.000 26.015.517 31.438.377

Prepaid 3.743.000 6.802.325 9.141.331 14.988.000 25.599.297 31.101.047

Post Paid 48.000 176.194 386.639 481.000 416.220 337.330

Mobile 8 500.000 1.200.000 1.825.888 3.012.801 2.701.914 2.805.842

Prepaid 1.150.000 1.778.200 2.920.213 2.552.975 2.683.776

Post Paid 50.000 47.688 92.588 148.939 122.066

STI 10.609 134.713 310.464 784.343 636.868

Prepaid 133.746 310.176 784.129 636.566

Post Paid 967 288 214 302

Natrindo 21.537 12.715 4.788 3.234.800 4.105.156

Prepaid 10.155 4.788 3.234.800 4.105.156

Post Paid 2.560 - - -

Hutchinson 2.039.406 4.500.609 7.311.000

Prepaid 2.036.202 4.490.202 7.295.000

Post Paid 3.204 10.407 16.000

Smart Telecom 115.000 1.530.823 2.599.665

Prepaid 1.456.372 2.528.026

Post Paid 74.451 71.639

TOTAL 30.336.607 46.992.118 63.803.015 93.386.881 140.578.243 159.247.638

Total Cellular Subscriber

-

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

70,000,000

80,000,000

90,000,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Telkomsel

Prepaid

Post Paid

Indosat

Prepaid

Post Paid

Excelkomindo

Prepaid

Post Paid

Mobile 8

Prepaid

Post Paid

STI

Prepaid

Post Paid

Natrindo

Prepaid

Operating Revenue Growth

-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

120.00%

2007

2008

2007 2008

Telkom Group 15,90% 2,10%

Indosat 34,70% 13,20%

Excelkomindo 38,00% 51,20%

Bakrie 112,00% 70,70%

Mobile 8 49,90% -17,10%

EBITDA GROWTH

-40.00%

-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

2007

2008

ARPU

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000 Telkom FWA

Telkomsel

Indosat

Indosat FWA

Excelcom

Bakrie

Mobile 8

Hutchinson

STI

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Pre PaidPre PaidPre Paid

2007 2008 2009

STI

Excelkomindo

Natrindo

Telepon Selular

Hutchinson CPT

Mobile 8 Tel

Smart Telecom

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

Post

Paid

Post

Paid

Post

Paid

2007 2008 2009

STI

Excelkomindo

Natrindo

Telepon Selular

Hutchinson

CPT

The implisit ARPU decline trend due to the increase of the subscribers through various strategies

Cellular‟s Subscribers Growth

-40.00%

-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

120.00%

140.00%

160.00%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Telkomsel

Indosat

Excelkomindo

Mobile 8

OPERATOR 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Telkomsel 49,00% 46,70% 34,50% 36,40% 25,00%

Indosat 48,80% 15,10% 46,90% 48,70% -21,40%

Excelkomindo 84,10% 36,50% 62,40% 68,20% 20,80%

Mobile 8 140,00% 52,20% 65,00% -10,30% 3,80%

Market Shifting

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2008 2009

Smart Telecom

Hutchinson

Natrindo

STI

Mobile 8

Excelkomindo

Indosat

Telkomsel

2008 2009Smart Telecom 1,10% 1,60%Hutchinson 3,20% 4,60%Natrindo 2,20% 2,60%STI 0,60% 0,40%Mobile 8 1,90% 1,80%Excelcomindo 18,50% 19,70%Indosat 26,00% 18,00%Telkomsel 46,50% 51,30%

1.1%3.2%

2.2%0.60%

1.90%

18.5%

26.00%

46.50% 51.30%

18.00%

1.80%

19.70%

0.40%2.60%4.6%

1.6%

Internet based on provinces 2008

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

NAD

Sum

ut

Bengklu

lu

Jam

bi

Ria

u

Lam

pung

Sum

bar

Kep B

abel

Sum

sel

Kepri

Jakart

a

Bante

n

Jabar

Jate

ng

Jatim

DIY

Bali

NTB

NTT

Kalb

ar

Kaltim

Kals

el

Kalteng

Goro

nta

lo

Sulu

t

Suls

el

Sultra

Sulb

ar

Sulteng

Malu

ku

Papua B

ara

t

Papua

NAD 9.597

Sumut 72.437

Bengklulu 4.648

Jambi 9.920

Riau 23.914

Lampung 20.232

Sumbar 20.226

Kep Babel 4.648

Sumsel 24.936

Kepri 22.335

Jakarta 659.932

Banten 24.412

Jabar 154.100

Jateng 87.275

Jatim 253.837

DIY 26.837

Bali 45.072

NTB 10.005

NTT 6.118

Kalbar 14.784

Kaltim 30.735

Kalsel 15.959

Kalteng 7.403

Gorontalo 1.281

Sulut 14.701

Sulsel 16.063

Sultra 11.204

Sulbar 1.830

Sulteng 5.100

Maluku 27.108

Papua Barat 15.312

Papua 34.071

Field of industry 2008Q1

2009Agro industry, farming, forresty and fishing 14,4% 15,8%

Mining 11,0% 8,8%

Manufactures 27,9% 27,3%

Electricity, gas and water 0,8% 0,9%

Construction 8,4% 9,6%

Trading, hotel and resto 14,0% 13,4%

Transportation and communication (ICT) 6,3% 6,6%

Financial, rental and corporate services 7,4% 7,6%

services 9,8% 10,0%

Field of industryGrowth (%yoy)

Agro industry, farming, foresty and fishing 4,8%

Mining 2,2%

Manufactures 1,6%

Electricity, gas and water 11,4%

Construction 6,3%

Trading, hotel and resto 0,6%

Transportation and communication (ICT) 16,7%

Financial, rental and corporate services 6,3%

services 6,8%

Agro

industry, farmi

ng, foresty and fishing

16% Mining

9%

Manufactu

res

27%

Electricity

, gas and

water

1%

Constructi

on

10%

Trading, hotel

and resto

13%

Transportation and

communication (ICT)

7%

Financial, rent

al and

corporate services

8%

services

10%

Indonesian GDP

0.0% 5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%

Agro …

Mining

Manufactures

Electricity, gas and …

Construction

Trading, hotel and …

Transportation and …

Financial, rental and …

services

Growth of GDP

ICT in GDP : Highest growth but the portion still relative small

Role of ICT in Indonesian Economy

ICT POLICY AND REGULATION

Regulation Impact on ICT industries

Regulation Impact on Internet Utilization23/09/2009BRTI

28

Universal Service Policy

The Indonesia‟s USO Project

Background:◦ 2 March 2009, ITU (International Telecommunication

Union) announced that using the ICT growth index stated that the position of Indonesia is within the rank of 108 of 154 countries, under Gabon and above Botswana. It is in the medium category.

The USO principal◦ The lowest subsidized◦ Affordability : Willingness to pay ; Ability to pay◦ Sustainability

The target of the USO project :◦ The availability of the “Desa Berdering (Ringing Village)” of

the 33,259 SSL (Phone)◦ The availlability of the “Desa Pintar (Smart Village) “ of the

5,748 SSL (Internet)

a. The purpose is to provide “ the Internet Service Center Provider “to the village/s which is needed the support of USO program continuously.

b. To guarantee the availability and affordability of the internet serviceas target ( 4,700 villages Internet Access Service up to year 2014

Purpose

a. To open the Information Access of the Village Community.

b. To increase the ICT penetration in Indonesia ;

c. To comply with the WSIS target to establish the Information Society inthe year 2015.

d. Bridging the digital divide between city and the villages areas .

e. To support the acceleration of the economic growth under develop areas.

Objective

The availability and the affordability of the internet service within 4,700 villages all

over Indonesia .

Target

USO Project

Short Term

To establish + 38,471villages equipped withvoice services (“DesaBerdering”) in 2009

Long Term

To establish informationsociety in 2025 throughinformation center build invillages, community basedTV broadcasing and otherinformation services

Mid Term

To establish villages withinternet services (“DesaPintar” ) in 2009. Theinternet will be utilized forweather info, commoditytrading,,education and otherinformation necessary

Provision for nationwide infrastructure throughUniversal Service Obligation USO Program

2009 USO „s Villages Target : Desa Berdering

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

USO area

1

USO area

2

USO area

3

USO area

4

USO area

5

USO area

6

USO area

7

USO area

8

USO area

9

USO area

10

USO area

11

Out of targeted villages

Targeted Vilage

Targeted Vilage

Out of targeted villages

USO area 1 75,00% 24,30%

USO area 2 60,00% 40,00%

USO area 3 59,80% 40,20%

USO area 4 73,70% 26,30%

USO area 5 66,80% 33,20%

USO area 6 45,80% 54,20%

USO area 7 47,90% 52,10%

USO area 8 28,10% 71,90%

USO area 9 78,00% 22,00%

USO area 10 59,60% 40,40%

USO area 11 28,70% 71,30%2009 Targeted USO Telephone:36.471 villages

Desa Pintar in the year 2009

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

3333

44 33

333

6

11

9

4 4 44

5

6

7

100 Internet Villages has been realized

Organizing ICT for broadband economy

Creating network for collaboration

IC

T

Infrastructure

35

Creating netwotk for collaboration:

Bro

ad

ba

nd

Eco

no

my A

ctiv

ities

Transport level

Palapa Ring Project Introduced since 2006 : Sub marine optical fiber network to cover whole island in the eastern part of the counttrysinergy

SulawesiKalimantan

о

о

о

оо

Banda Aceh

Sabang

Medan

Palembang

Jakarta

о

Cirebon

о

Semarang

оSurabaya

ооо

Ketapang

Gilimanuk

о

Karangasem

о

Mataram

о

Sumbawa

о о о

ReoMaumereLarantuka

о

Kupang

о

о

Singkawang

оoSampit

Banjarmasin

о

о

о

о

Balikpapan

Samarinda

Tarakan

оPalu

оо

о

о

о

о

о

Batam

о

ManadoToli-toli

Gorontalo

Luwuk

о

Kendari

оUjungpandang

o

Sibolga

оо

Meulaboh

Tapaktuan

оNatal

Padang

Bengkulu

Kalianda

оBelitung

o

Waingapu

Kalabahi

o

Merauke

o

oo

o

Biak

Nabire

Ambon

o

o

Saumlaki

o Doboo

Tual

o

o o

Manokwari

Salawati

Tobelo

oPalopo

Sumatera

JawaNusa Tenggara

Maluku - Papua

Pontianak

Atambua

to Thailand

to Perth, Australia

to Asia Pacific

to India and arab

о

o

o

oo

oo

o

oo

o

o o

to Perth, Australia

to Guam , US

Indonesia will be a high capacity broadband bridge for the region by empowering Palapa Ring Project

Creating Indonesia as a broadband bridge network for the region

USO

ASEAN ICT MASTER PLAN 2010-2015

“Towards an Empowering and Transformational ICT:

Creating an Inclusive, Vibrant and Integrated ASEAN”

Economic Transformation People Empowerment

& EngagementInnovation

Infrastructure Development

Human Capital Development

To promote trade, investment and entrepreneurship in the

ICT sector,

and to build an ICT engine for sectorial transformation

To enhance quality of life through affordable

and equitable ICT

To nurture a creative, innovative, an

d green ICT sector

To provide the next generation infrastructure backbone, and enabling policies and legislation

To develop a skillful ICT workforce and knowledgeable community

5

Bridging the Digital Divide

To elevate countries and people through ICT capabilities

1 2 3

4

6

Necessary F

ou

nd

ati

on

Co

re O

bje

cti

ves

Terima kasih

Thank you

DR.Ir Iwan Krisnadi MBA. CommissionerBRTI – Indonesia Telecommunication Regulatory Authority

Iwan is a Commisioner at the Indonesian Telecommunication Regulatory Authority. He is a dynamic and engaging speaker with national and international audiences. He is a lecturer of the telecommunication management and the Telecommunication Regulation in the Post Graduate Programme of the Universitas Indonesia and the Universitas Mercu Buana. His achievements included his participation in the awakening of the Palapa Satellite Project and the operation of the Palapa Domestic Satellite System starting with the Palapa A Satellite , the Palapa B Satellite up to the Palapa C Satellite generation. He was also the team member during the satellite Launch in the USA.

He has attended several International conferences recently such as the World Telecommunication Policy Forum 2009; Asia Pacific Telecommunity MinistrialMeeting, 10th ASEAN Telecommunication Minister Meeting in the year 2009.

He was with PT Telkom as the Marketing Manager in their project to introduce the Palapa Satellite transponder within the ASEAN member countries and the neighborhood countries to sell more transponder and exceed the company expectation. The rendezvous of the Supplier, the Manufacturer and the Operator as a satellite industry in the PALAPA USER Forum increased the business networking and establishing the mutual cooperation.

Iwan earned his engineering degree in electronics from Institut Teknologi Bandung , and his MBA and PhD degrees from California Coast University