mobile – new opportunities ahead (robert stalmach)
DESCRIPTION
Mobilność - analiza trendów i rynku. Prezentacja anglojęzyczna.TRANSCRIPT
Mobile – new opportunities ahead
Robert Stalmach
Director Content Licensing & Mobile, Agora SA Berlin, June 2008
© Agora S.A.
Trends - Media convergence - mobile
(3G, HSDPA, HSUPA, WiMax, LTE, UMB,...) internet EVERYWHERE
MOBILE DEVICES COMPLEMENT PC (same makes, more time in internet)
IN FUTURE – FURTHER UNIFICATION of mobile & PC internet
•Mobile - most popular platform - 2,7 billion mobile phones and:
• 1,5 billion TV’s• 1,4 billion fixed lines• 1,1 billion internet PC’s
•Reasons:• Comfort• Functionality• Fall of prices
ARPU from voice falling – VAS present potential for MNO (not only media)
© Agora S.A.
Mobile Internet Increases Overall Web Use
Base: Mobile Internet Users Q20b. Select the statement which most accurately describes the time you spend on the Internet
TIME SPENT ON PC INTERNET SINCE ACCESSING MOBILE INTERNET
TIME SPENT ON PC INTERNET SINCE ACCESSING MOBILE INTERNET
4% 9% 4% 4% 6% 3% 2%
75%79%73%78% 79% 79%85% 83%
16%17% 15%18% 17% 17%21% 15%
Less Time Same Time More Time
(n=191) (n=413) (n=173) (n=316) (n=276) (n=282)(n=1651) (n=1460)
Mobile Study Europe OPA 07
Trends – change of media consumption
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Trends - New consumer
heavily
uses
INTERNET
(incl mobile)
COMBO-DEVICES
Talk, Read
Listen
Watch
Create
Publish
Searching
Surfing
Active
Mobile
Interacting
-iPhone – 4% of devices, 70% of internet usage (UK)
-55% of iPhone usage – data transfer (25% on other devices)
-30% of iPhone users use them often instead of laptops (USA)
© Agora S.A.
Trends - Generation change „Screenagers”:
Mobile Internet 2x more popular than average
Teenagers are 1/3 of mobile internet users
Pressure on being mobile: 87% of youth (<24) feel pressure of having mobile phone
78% would ask difficult question by sms (30% by mail) (source: mobileYouth)
Annual income from 5-9 years old users in Japan - 160 mln USD (penetration 55%)
Since mid 90’s mobile expenses replaced 500 bln $ for youth products: fashion, games, music & entertainment
© Agora S.A.
Trends - Generation change
Which of the below would you drop out as the latest?
Source: MDA
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1. Big budgets -not yet (2008?):• Big brands are looking for
new ways of comm. to their clients – in 2008 up to 89% of brands will dedicate part of budget to m-advert
2. Highest exp. growth in 2008 – mobile video & mobile TV ads, advergaming
Trends – change of media consumptionMobile advertising
New battlefield:- Google mobile AdWords- Yahoo mobile ad-net (19 countries)- Yahoo /T-mobile- Nokia Ovi, Advertising- GSMA Operators initiative (UK), Vodafone - 65
campaigns, plans in US (SprintNextel, Verizon, AT&T)- AdMob – 1,7 bln PI/monthly- Mobile search (white label vs branded)
© Agora S.A.
Agora’s strategy
StrategyII. Traffic generation
and customer base development
III. Revenue
Positioning Traffic Profit
I. Positioning
of brands in new channel
© Agora S.A.
Strategy
•„Light” portal
•Mobile journalism
•Video/Audio
•Geolocalization
•Games
•Loyalty programmes
•Lotteries
•Mobile Communities
•Content syndication
•Mobile advertising
•Mobile TV?
I. Positioning II. Traffic generation III. Revenue
© Agora S.A.
I. Positioninglight portal version
Launch - Aug 2007
• News
• Sport
• Economics
• Weather
• Cinemas (geolocalization)
• VIDEO
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I. Positioninglight portal version
Cinemas on maps
plans: • Weather
• Theatres
• Drugstores
• ATMs
• Applications
Partership with
Applications free of charge
Wielo.pl - Video UGC platform
© Agora S.A.
Gazeta Wyborcza mobile - beta version
• Gazeta Wyborcza e-edition platform• In cooperation with NewspaperDirect Inc.• Easy access• Intuitive navigation
I. Positioning
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I. Positioning Mobile browser
Opera Mini
• Web browser
• Designed primarily for
mobile phones,
smartphones and PDAs.
Promotion of Opera Mini on Gazeta.pl
Gazeta.pl and it’s services in Opera Mini
browser
© Agora S.A.
I.Positioning - Mobile (citizen) journalism
Have you seen anything significant?
Send SMS, MMS – we are waiting for your story
Your story may become
news of the day!!!
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II. Traffic generation\revenue - games
Fantasy Football, Speedway
GamesCo-operation with EA
FIFA 08 Patronage
Mobile games - Java
Games online
WWWMobile Consoles
Politics, Economics
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”Win the league” (football, speedway)
3 media: internet, mobile & paper Mobile – sign up, account mngnt, updates120k teams, 170 k SMS
Revenue:• Sponsoring (whole game, functionalities, leagues, clubs)• SMS/MMS
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II. Traffic generation – loyalty
mCouponData Matrix Code Mobile coupon in Agora’s paper media
Partners:Possible:
• Branded stands
• SMS tails
• Prints on coupons
• Program sponsoring
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II.Traffic generation – loyalty
Send SMS
In return you
will get SMS
...with Matrix code
Redeem your Matrix code - get ticket to cinema
Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4
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III. Revenue - content syndication
Entertainment, Sport
Syndication = Money + Brand Positioning!!!
NewsFashionTV guideEntertainmentSportScience + CultureEconomicsCuisine
© Agora S.A.
III. Revenue - content syndication
Entertainment
News, Premieres, Celebrities
News, Sport, Economics,
Cinemas, Music News
Syndication = Money + Brand Positioning!!!
PDF format
HDTV Platform
E-editions xml
© Agora S.A.
III. Revenue - Mobile advertisingAdvantages: •Targeting•Interactivity
•Always on/with
•Users’ base
Advertising tools (Agora):• SMS (database; competitions, games)
• Sponsored articles, display adv
• Mobile video (outro/intro)
• Java
Java AdsJava sport app
SMS campaignPromoting new game.
Sponsored articleBy Samsung
Display advSonyEricsson/Plus
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Revenue - DVB-HDVB-H
Digital Video Broadcasting - Handheld
Digital TV for mobile phones, palmtops
and other multimedia devices.
Agora as a multimedia content publisher is an active participant of
DVB-H consortium in Poland
© Agora S.A.
Revenue potential – what’s hot•VIDEO – 50% of young Europeans treat mobile screen as video screen. Estimated value of entertainment video – 10% of MNOs’ revenues in 2009 (Juniper)
•MUSIC - estimated growth of mobile music market from 3,3 bln $ in 2005 to 9,3 bln $ in 2010 (Gartner). Growth depending on prices
•MOBILE INTERNET & MOBILE SEARCH– 1/3 of mobile users using mobile internet. The number of mobile devices with access to internet exceeding PC’s (IPSOS)
•MOBILE ADVERTISING (incl geo-advertising)– estimated growth from 0,5 bln $ in 2005 to 9,3 bln $ in 2010 (Gartner, Telecoms&Media). CTR for mobile communities 5% compared to 0,2-0,5% for internet (ABI).
•GAMES – estimated growth of global gaming market from 5 bln $ in 2007 to 16 bln $ in 2012. Market becoming mass; growing number of random players (Juniper)
•NEXT BIG THINGS: Mobile TV (expected growth in no. of users from 12 to 120-200 mln in coming 5 years), M-commerce - 49% users declare using m-commerce in near future, (Nielsen Mobile), NFC
© Agora S.A.
Revenue potential – what’s not (so much)
• Podcasts – very early stage. Only 1% of loyal podcasts users (Pew Internet)
• Ringtones – superseded by MP3. In 2005 -2010 share of ringtones in mobile music expected to fall from 72% to 19% (Gartner)
• Wallpapers – losing popularity because of built-in cameras
• LBS – big hopes not fulfilled yet. Estimated revenue from LBS in 2010 in Europe - 622 mln Euro; 1,8% of non-voice revenues (Berg Insight)
• Mobile communities – only 2% of mobile phone users are members of mobile communities – estimation for 2011 - 5,6% (ABI Research)
• MVNO – very few „success stories” – much more losses
© Agora S.A.
Perspective
Media fast-growing industry adapt to:
changing media landscape
new consumption model
generation change
Early stage develop competencies value chain
Key points:
look for partnerships
don’t ignore the youth
try & learn
„Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future” – Niels Bohr
© Agora S.A.
Thank you
Robert Stalmach
Director Content Licensing & Mobile
Agora SA
tel. +48 507 095 237