mobile phone use, brain tumor risk and public health policy joel m. moskowitz, ph.d., director...
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Mobile Phone Use, Brain Tumor Risk and Public Health Policy
Joel M. Moskowitz, Ph.D., Director
Center for Family and CommunitySchool of Public Health
University of California, Berkeley
The Commonwealth ClubNovember 18, 2010
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Overview
• Review studies of mobile phone use and tumor risk
• Results of 2010 Interphone Study paper
• Trends in cell phone use in U.S.
• Public health policy options
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Meta-analysis: publication
• Mobile Phone Use and Risk of Tumors: A Meta-Analysis. Journal of Clinical Oncology, 27(33):5565-72. 2009.
– Seung-Kwon Myung, National Cancer Center, S. Korea– Woong Ju, Ewha Womans University, S. Korea– Yeon Li Gee, Seoul National Univ. Hospital, S. Korea– Chih-Tao Cheng, Koo Foundation Sun Yat-Sen Cancer Center,
Taiwan – Diana McDonnell, Gene Kazinets, and Joel M. Moskowitz, UC
Berkeley
http://jco.ascopubs.org/content/27/33/5565.abstract
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Meta-analysis: study selection
• One cohort study – No association between cell phone use and
brain tumor risk– Weak study
• 23 case-control studies – 37,916 participants—12,344 patient cases &
25,572 controls
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Meta-analysis: case-control study
• What is a case-control study?– Compare “cases” to matched “controls.”– Determine if characteristics differ between 2 groups.– “Exposure” is mobile phone use.– Compute Odds Ratio (OR)
• (Odds of having tumor for people using phones) ÷ (Odds of having tumor for people not using phones)
– OR interpreted as Relative Risk• < 1 = reduced risk, 1 = no risk, > 1 = increased risk
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Meta-analysis: overall tumor risk
• Overall no association between mobile phone use & tumor risk (OR = 0.98; n = 23 studies)
– High research quality–increased tumor risk- govt. or foundation-funded (OR=1.17; n = 8)
- Low research quality–reduced tumor risk- mostly industry-funded (OR = 0.85; n=15)
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Meta-analysis: brain tumor risk for 10+ years mobile phone use
• Overall increased brain tumor risk (OR = 1.24; n = 8)
- High quality – increased risk; Hardell (OR = 1.54; n = 4)
- Low quality – no risk; Interphone (OR =1.00; n = 4)
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Meta-analysis: lessons learned
• Know– Increased brain tumor
risk for 10+ years– Results vary
• Research quality• Research group
– 1994–2004
• Don’t Know?– Longer durations– Heavier use– Children & teens– 2005 and beyond– Other tumors & health
risks
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Interphone study
• 13 nation case-control study – funded by World Health Org. & Industry ($25 million)
• 2010 - overall results for 2 brain tumors reported– meningioma (n = 2,409) and glioma (n = 2,708)– 2000-2004 - data collected– average lifetime cell phone use < 100 hours
• Numerous shortcomings bias– Reduce estimates of tumor risk
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Interphone study: results
• Meningioma Risk
– Any regular use -- reduced risk
– After bias correction no risk
• Glioma Risk
– Any regular use -- reduced risk
• likely due to bias
– Heavy use (1,640+ hrs) -- increased risk (OR=1.40)
• replicates in 44 tests• greater after bias
correction (OR=1.82)– Dose-response relationship
w/ more years of use• after bias correction
10-yr risk (OR=2.18)
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Tumor risk for 10+ yrs. cell phone use by study group & tumor type
0
1
2
3
Relative Risk
of Tumor
AcousticNeuroma
Meningioma Glioma
Tumor Type
Interphone
Hardell
Relative Risk: < 1 = protective, 1 = no risk, > 1 = harmful
Interphone results from Appendix 2 Table (corrects for bias)
?
?
?
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Mobile Phone Use in U.S.
2010 --293 million subscribers
2.5 hours/ week
CTIA, 10/6/10
1985 --203,000
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U.S. government position
U.S. Food and Drug Administration, May 2010
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Public health policy options
• U.S. govt. position– Cell phones meet safety standards– Wait for conclusive evidence– Invest in minimal research funding
• Our position– Precautionary principle
• Harm reduction approach
• Safe use recommendations
• Precautionary health warnings
• Update safety standards
– Call for major government research funding initiative
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Precautionary Principle
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Policy: Precautionary warnings
HP1207, LD 1706, 124th Maine State Legislature, 2009-2010An Act To Create the Children's Wireless Protection Act
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Policy: independent research
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Contact information
Joel M. Moskowitz, Ph.D., Director
Center for Family and CommunitySchool of Public Health
University of California, Berkeley
A CDC Center for Health Promotion and Disease Prevention Research