moc related activities at noc joël hirschi, elaine mcdonagh, brian king, gerard mccarthy stuart...

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MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio de Janeiro 11 th – 13 th May 2010

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Page 1: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

MOC related activities at NOC

Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthyStuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker

SAMOC workshop, Rio de Janeiro 11th – 13th May 2010

Page 2: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Outline

• Some thoughts about SAMOC

• Hydrography in the South Atlantic

• Imprints of eddies and internal waves on MOC

Page 3: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Thoughts about SAMOC

• What is the added value of having an observing system in the South Atlantic?

• How and where should we make measurements?

Page 4: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

What value can SAMOC add?

• Heat budget in tropical Atlantic

• Lead/lag relationship between heat fluxes at 26/32°S, 26°N and the development of anomalous heat content/SSTs

• Better understanding of southern vs northern influences on Atlantic MOC

Page 5: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Heat budget of tropical Atlantic?

Page 6: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

MOC anomalies: April 2004 – April 2008

MOC anomalies: deseasoned, 2-month running average

Page 7: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Lag correlation between MOC anomalies and SSTs:MOC leads SSTs by 6 months

Influence onNorth AtlanticStorm Track

Origin of NorthAtlantic Hurricanes

Page 8: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Hydrography in the South Atlantic

Focus on Repeat Zonal Hydrography in the Subtropics

• At 24ºS– 2009: JC032– 1983: OC133– 1958: IGY Section

• At 30ºS– 2003 & 1993

Page 9: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Changes at 30ºS: 2003 - 1993

Max. Anom at 13ºC in

Eastern Basin

Salinification of Thermocline and Intermediate Water in the East

Page 10: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Interannual Variability at 30ºS

• Salinity Anomalies with large temporal amplitude are seen in the Eastern Basin – peak to trough comparable with cruise changes

• Salinity anomalies appear to propagate westwards with speeds of ~ 5cm/s recalling anomalies seen highlighted by Biastoch (2008) in satellite and model data

Page 11: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

• Salinity Anomalies with large temporal amplitude are seen in the Eastern Basin – peak to trough comparable with cruise changes

Raw Argo salinity on 13ºC

F

S

F

Interannual Variability at 30ºS

Page 12: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

• Salinity Anomalies with large temporal amplitude are seen in the Eastern Basin – peak to trough comparable with cruise changes

• Salinity anomalies appear to propagate westwards with speeds of ~ 5cm/s recalling anomalies seen highlighted by Biastoch (2008) in satellite and model data

Interannual Variability at 30ºS

Page 13: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

• Salinity Anomalies with large temporal amplitude are seen in the Eastern Basin – peak to trough comparable with cruise changes

• Salinity anomalies appear to propagate westwards with speeds of ~ 5cm/s recalling anomalies seen highlighted by Biastoch (2008) in satellite and model data

Interannual Variability at 30ºS

Page 14: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Imprint of eddies and internal waves on MOC

Page 15: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

NEMO (Nucleus of European Modelling of the Ocean)

• NEMO ¼° global

1958 to 2001 run

• 64 Vertical levels

• 6-hourly forcing for

wind, heat and

freshwater fluxes

Madec (2008) http://www.nemo-ocean.eu

Page 16: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Two passes through 1958 to 2001 forcing:Influence of initial conditions

Pass 1 Pass 2

Atlantic MOC at 26°S at 1000 m depth

Page 17: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Red: pass 2Blue: pass 1

Atlantic MOC 1100 m depth: 26N

Page 18: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

MOC in 1/4° NEMO spinup: mean MOC 1976-2001 [Sv]

Page 19: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Standard deviation of MOC 1976-2001 (5-day averages)

Sv

Sv

Sv

Page 20: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Snapshots of sea surface height in passes 1 and 2

Pass 1, 21-25/12/1980 Pass 2, 21-25/12/1980m

Page 21: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

SSH difference between passes 2 and 1 [m]

Page 22: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Std. dev .of MOC variability due to eddies & waves

Sv

Sv

Sv

Page 23: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

Ratio between chaotic and total MOC variability

Page 24: MOC related activities at NOC Joël Hirschi, Elaine McDonagh, Brian King, Gerard McCarthy Stuart Cunningham, Harry Bryden, Adam Blaker SAMOC workshop, Rio

• Importance to clearly define benefits of SAMOC

• Hydrographic measurements at 30°S suggest large interannual variability – difficult to detect trends

• Imprint of eddies and internal waves varies from 1-2 Sv std.dev. (Tropics to mid-latitudes) to more than 5 Sv std.dev. at the equator

• Model results suggest similar “chaotic” variability at 25°S and 32°S

• Inferred “chaotic” variability likely to be a lower limit as eddies are likely to be too “predictable” in ¼° model

Conclusions