modeling growth in stock synthesis modeling population processes 2009 iattc workshop
TRANSCRIPT
Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis
Modeling population processes2009 IATTC workshop
Outline
• Growth curves– von Bertalanffy– Schnute’s generalized (a.k.a. Richards)
• Variation in length at age
• Growth patterns
• Growth morphs
Growth curves
• The von Bertalanffy, parameterized in terms of,– length at a given young age, – length at a given old age (or optionally L∞)– growth rate parameter
• Schnute’s generalized growth curve (a.k.a. Richards curve)– has additional parameter that generalizes the von
Bertalanffy curve• Length at age is modeled as a function of length
at the previous age– allow for temporal changes in growth without
individuals shrinking
Additional growth options
• Cohort-specific growth – specified by penalty on deviations– allows variation in growth rates between
cohorts– may be due to intra-cohort density
dependence (not modeled explicitly), genetics, or other factors
• Empirical weight at age data option– what about lengths comps?
Variation of length at age
• Several linear functions are available to model the variation of length at age– CV is a function of length at age – CV is a function of age – SD is a function of length at age – SD is a function of age
• In each case, dog-leg function available:
Age
CV
or
SD
of l
en
gth
at a
ge
0 5 10 15 20 25
0.0
00
.10
0.2
0
Growth example
• Example showing:– Two birth seasons– CV = F(A)– Season durations:
10 months& 2 months
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
AGE
LE
NG
TH
(m
id)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Std
& C
V%
Len_Beg
Len_Mid
SD_Beg
SD_Mid
CV_Mid
Growth patterns
• Can be used to model the difference in growth among sub-populations
• When an individual changes areas it maintains the growth parameters of its area of origin
Growth morphs
• Used to account for the effect of size specific selectivity in the population size structure at age
• Can also be used to account for genetic variability in growth (but heritability not modeled)
• Sum of normal distributions for 3 or 5 morphs similar to single normal distribution
Length (cm)
Pro
po
rtio
n in
len
gth
bin
15 20 25
0.0
00
.05
0.1
00
.15
0.2
0
Growth morph example
Growth morph example
Interaction between selectivity and mean weight and length (at age 30)