modeling growth in stock synthesis modeling population processes 2009 iattc workshop

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Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

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Page 1: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis

Modeling population processes2009 IATTC workshop

Page 2: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Outline

• Growth curves– von Bertalanffy– Schnute’s generalized (a.k.a. Richards)

• Variation in length at age

• Growth patterns

• Growth morphs

Page 3: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Growth curves

• The von Bertalanffy, parameterized in terms of,– length at a given young age, – length at a given old age (or optionally L∞)– growth rate parameter

• Schnute’s generalized growth curve (a.k.a. Richards curve)– has additional parameter that generalizes the von

Bertalanffy curve• Length at age is modeled as a function of length

at the previous age– allow for temporal changes in growth without

individuals shrinking

Page 4: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Additional growth options

• Cohort-specific growth – specified by penalty on deviations– allows variation in growth rates between

cohorts– may be due to intra-cohort density

dependence (not modeled explicitly), genetics, or other factors

• Empirical weight at age data option– what about lengths comps?

Page 5: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Variation of length at age

• Several linear functions are available to model the variation of length at age– CV is a function of length at age – CV is a function of age – SD is a function of length at age – SD is a function of age

• In each case, dog-leg function available:

Age

CV

or

SD

of l

en

gth

at a

ge

0 5 10 15 20 25

0.0

00

.10

0.2

0

Page 6: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Growth example

• Example showing:– Two birth seasons– CV = F(A)– Season durations:

10 months& 2 months

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

AGE

LE

NG

TH

(m

id)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Std

& C

V%

Len_Beg

Len_Mid

SD_Beg

SD_Mid

CV_Mid

Page 7: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Growth patterns

• Can be used to model the difference in growth among sub-populations

• When an individual changes areas it maintains the growth parameters of its area of origin

Page 8: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Growth morphs

• Used to account for the effect of size specific selectivity in the population size structure at age

• Can also be used to account for genetic variability in growth (but heritability not modeled)

• Sum of normal distributions for 3 or 5 morphs similar to single normal distribution

Length (cm)

Pro

po

rtio

n in

len

gth

bin

15 20 25

0.0

00

.05

0.1

00

.15

0.2

0

Page 9: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Growth morph example

Page 10: Modeling Growth in Stock Synthesis Modeling population processes 2009 IATTC workshop

Growth morph example

Interaction between selectivity and mean weight and length (at age 30)