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Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

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Page 1: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

Modelling the Whole Earth System- a challenge whose time has come!

An ICES Workshop

WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland

22nd November 2011

Page 2: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

The Blue Marble – Borderless, Integrated, Holistic

Page 3: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

Our Active & Dynamic Sun

Page 4: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

Our Influential Moon

Page 5: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

How to Model and Simulate this Complexity?

WEATHER & CLIMATE

ENVIRONMENT

BIOSPHERE

EARTH SYSTEM & ITS RESOURCES

SOCIOECONOMICS

THE SOLAR SYSTEM

Page 6: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

The ICES Challenge …

To model the Earth System as a whole - an Holistic Approach

• Multiscience (physical, chemical, geo, bio, socio-economic)• Multiscale (spectrally, spatially & temporally)• Unitary & seamless

… to integrate, connect & couple what we already know!

Page 7: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

ICES Experts Committee

• Dr. Ghassem Assrar:Director, World Climate Research Programme, WMO, Geneva

• Professor Martin Beniston:Chair for Climate Research & Director, Institute of Environmental Science, Uni Geneva

• Professor Marc Palange:Dean of the School of Architecture, Civil & Environmental Engineering, EPFL

• Dr. Michael Rast:Head of the Programme Planning Office, Directorate of Earth Observations, ESA

• Professor Jagadish Shukla:President, Institute of Global Environment and Society, USA

Page 8: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

It is still a very big challenge to bridge from scientific understanding to policy creation!

Page 9: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

From Natural Sciences to Socioeconomic Sciences

Weather Food

Climate Water

Environment Health

Solar, Planetary Education

Cosmology Energy, Transport

… a 10-year path to understanding the planet Earth while generating a unitary knowledge system that leads to safer policies and better governance – a ‘CERN for the Climate’!

Page 10: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

From Natural Sciences to Socioeconomic Sciences

Weather Food

Climate Water

Environment Health

Solar, Planetary Education

Cosmology Energy, Transport

… a 10-year path to understanding the planet Earth while generating a unitary knowledge system that leads to safer policies and better governance – a ‘CERN for the Climate’!

Page 11: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011
Page 12: Modelling the Whole Earth System - a challenge whose time has come! An ICES Workshop WMO Salle C2, Geneva, Switzerland 22 nd November 2011

Helping guide the successful transformation of human society in an era of rapid climate change and frequent natural disasters