models of wikipedia dynamics

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Models of Wikipedia Dynamics Ed H. Chi (joint work with Bongwon Suh, Gregorio Convertino, Peter Pirolli) Area Manager Augmented Social Cognition Area Intelligent Systems Laboratory

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A summary slide set of the research on wikipedia dynamic changes.To be presented at WikiSym 2009 in Florida.2009-09-25 Wikisym Summary V2

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Page 1: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Ed H. Chi(joint work with

Bongwon Suh, Gregorio Convertino, Peter Pirolli)

Area ManagerAugmented Social Cognition Area

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 2: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Total Edits Changes

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 3: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Total Active Editors

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 4: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Logistic Model (k=carrying capacity)

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

A hypothetical logistic Lotka-Volterra population growth model bounded by a limit K.

P = population sizer = growth rateK = carrying capacity

Page 5: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Logistic Growth Model

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 6: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

A Revised Logistic Growth Model

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 7: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Deeper Analysis based on Editor Classes

Page 8: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Edit Activities by Editor Class

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 9: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Edit Activities by Editor Class

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 10: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Resistance (Revert Ratio)

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 11: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Population shift

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 12: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Population Shifts (log scale)

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 13: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Population Shift (%)

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 14: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Admin Changes and Protection Measures

Page 15: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Admin changes

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 16: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

User Blocks

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 17: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Page Protection

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 18: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Pages Survived vs. Deleted (in thousands)

Intelligent Systems Laboratory

Page 19: Models of Wikipedia Dynamics

Key takeaways• Wikipedia can be viewed as an in-vivo,

unprecedented experiment on knowledge co-creation.

• Editing activity changing– Moved from exponential growth to logistic growth

• Population dynamic changing– Revert resistance different for lower class editors– Middle class being squeezed– Pyramid structure important?

• Protection measures correlate with activity