moderated by jim grant, hntb and siab will thurmond ......mar 25, 2021 · stephanie meyn, port of...
TRANSCRIPT
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3/25/21
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March 25, 2021ZPH Virtual Session
Moderated by Jim Grant, HNTB and SIAB
Will Thurmond, Emerging MarketsStephanie Meyn, Port of Seattle
ZPH Virtual session
Infrastructure and Challenges related to Sustainable Aviation Fuels at Airports
March 25, 2021ZPH Virtual Session
Next ZPH Virtual sessionNature and Health. Green Indoor Infrastructure Friday, April 9 11:00am EDT
Moderated by Prof. Charles Waldheim, GSD
Our research at the Zofnass Program is founded on the principle that buildings are clients and servers to the infrastructure systems, forming an integrated city system of systems. We have applied this concept to energy, water, transport, solid waste, food. This workshop links the landscape infrastructure to the interior of the buildings being an integral part of the city’s landscape infrastructure.
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Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) Introduction & Outlook A selection of key findings from Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030 study
Prepared For: Zofnass Program for Sustainable Infrastructure at Harvard University, March 25 at 11 am EDT
William Thurmond President & CEO, Emerging Markets Online http://www.emerging-markets.com [email protected]
Author, Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030, Drop-In Fuels 2020, Biodiesel 2020, Algae 2020 Studies
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
BIO - Will Thurmond, President and Author, Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030
- Market research and consulting services professional for 25+ years
- Author: Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030, Drop-In Fuels 2020, Biodiesel 2020 and Algae 2020 studies
- Thought Leadership Columnist, Biofuels Digest, Biofuels International and Renewable Energy World
- Moderator and speaker at 70+ energy, infrastructure and biofuels industry conferences 2006-2021
- Former Co-Chair, Greater Houston Partnership’s Biofuels Task Force
- Former Chairman of R&D, American Biofuels Council
- Former Energy Advisor, Start –Up Incubator Houston Technology Center
-- Commentator, Biochannel.TV, TerraTech on Radio Free America
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Snapshot of Sustainable Aviation Producers and Feedstocks from Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030 study
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
1. Introduction to Sustainable Aviation Fuels
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Why Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF), Now?
Challenges and Opportunities for New Feedstocks and Lower-Carbon Fuels
NEW GHG REGULATIONS BRING NEW OPPORTUNITIES FOR AVIATION INDUSTRY
1. Low Carbon Fuel Initiatives Bring Opportunities to Airports: US, EU, Americas, Asia
2. New Initiatives for Sustainable Aviation – COP21 Corsia (U.N.) Program Begins 2021
3. New Opportunities for Low-Carbon Biofuels Producers to Address Fuel Demands and Feedstocks to Emerging Markets like :
1. California’s LCFS (Low Carbon Fuel Standard). – With a Target of 20% Petroleum Diesel Replacement by 2030 With Lower-Carbon Bio-Based Fuels
2. E.U – a leader in Sustainable Aviation and The Largest Diesel/Biodiesel Market In The World
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
USA: GHG Emissions Criteria Prevail in U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) and in California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS)
Source: US Renewable Fuel Standard GHG Criteria, Energy Information Administration, United States Department of Energy
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
USA: Sustainable Aviation Fuels and Renewable Diesel Production Facilities
Source: Commercial Aviation Alternative Fuels Institute (CAAFI)
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
California: Big Growth in Due to the State’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard GHG CO2 Scheme
Emerging Markets in Oregon, British Colombia,
Canada following California’s LCFS Model
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
SAF & BIOFUEL GROWTH: LCFS IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST NEW BIOFUEL REFINERIES, PETRO REFINING CO-PROCESSING OF BIO-BASED FEEDSTOCKS
Source: National Biodiesel Board (NBB)
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
California Low-Carbon Feedstocks: Measured by GHG Carbon Intensity Score
Source:: California Air Resource Board (CARB) List of Certified Low-Carbon-Fuel-Standard P:athways for Feed stocks Measured by Carbon Intensity, 2017
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Carbon Intensity Values in $/Gallon by Feedstock – UCO, DCO, VGO, Animal Fats Credits from Low Carbon, Non-Food Feedstocks (Used Cooking Oil, Beef Tallow, Distillers Corn Oil) Drive Growth
� Source: NBB. http://www.iowabiodiesel.org/documents/filelibrary/documents/2018_pdfs/Shelby_Neal_53FA09E44DAA1.pdf
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Carbon Intensity Values in $/Gallon Credits from Low Carbon Feedstocks (UCO, Tallow, DCO) Drive Growth Threshold for Low Carbon Fuel Standard is a C.I. Carbon Intensity score of 50. ----------------------- --------- FEEDSTOCK/C.I. PRICE/GALLON ----------------------- --------- UCO = 19 $1.49 Corn Oil – 28 $1.32 Tallow = 32 $1.24 Canola = 50.23 $0.91 Soy = 51.83 $0.88 Values calculated at $150/MT Source:NBB
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Europe: Renewable Energy Directive (RED2) and Targets 2020 to 2030, by Country
�Source: European Biodiesel Board
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
EU Outlook: RED2 Targets for Sustainable Aviation Fuels
�Source: SkyNRG
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUELS: PLAYERS, FEEDSTOCKS, TRENDS & OUTLOOK
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Sustainable Aviation Fuels Take Off
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
GLOBAL BIOFUELS AND SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUELS OPPORTUNITIES
U.N. IEA Models Require Low Carbon Fuels, Feedstocks
�Source: IEA Technology Roadmap
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Key Outlook: CORSIA Deployment Timeline for Aviation in Three Phases
� Source: Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA), I International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) , United Nations, IEA (International Energy Agency) Drop In Fuels for Marine and Aviation Conference
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030 Database: SAF Offtake Agreements
� Source: Sustainable Aviation Fuels 2030 database, Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030 study, Emerging Markets Online
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Current View: Five Airports With Regular Commercial SAF Flights (more coming)
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Sustainable Aviation Fuels: Producers and Partnerships
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
NESTE: is 1 of 2 commercial Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) producers today
� Source: Neste
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
World Energy is one of the two largest producers of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF)
� Source: World Energy
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Local and Global Strategic Partnerships (Fulcrum)
Source: Fulcrum, 2019 CARB Conference in Berkeley, CA
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Local and Global Strategic Partnerships (Gevo-Alaska and Lufthansa)
� Source: Gevo
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Strategic Partnerships With Airlines Rise (Red Rock & Southwest, Fedex)
� Source: Red Rock Biofuels
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Local and Global Strategic Partnerships (Fulcrum-BP Air)
� Source: British Petroleum, BP Air
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUELS: WHAT’S NEXT?
¾ COP21 GHG Targets, Volumes
¾ Low- Carbon Feedstock Development ¾ Technology Commercialization
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Global Targets: CORSIA Deployment Timeline for Aviation in Three Phases
� Source: Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA), I International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) , United Nations, IEA (International Energy Agency) Drop In Fuels for Marine and Aviation Conference
Source: IATA, 2015, updated 2018
SUSTAINABLE AVIATION BIOFUELS GOALS & TARGETS: By State and Aviation Organizations
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Source: Commercial Aviation Alternative Fuels Institute (CAAFI)
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Sustainable Aviation Fuels Economics: Timelines & Forecasts
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
OPEX: Cost - Estimated Minimum Selling Fuel Price of Biojet Fuels by Conversion Technology and Feedstock Type
�Source: Biofuels for Aviation Brief, IRENA
�MFSP (Minimum Selling Fuel Price) of Bio-Jet Fuel Based on Technical and Economic Analysis
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
OPEX: Summary of Comparative Production Costs – HVO vs UCOME vs FT vs Pyrolysis Coprocessing & Stand Alone Pyrolysis
Source: 19_0306_DBFZ_Mueller-Langer_Renewable-fuel-options-for-Germany-within-RED-II-frame.pdf LINK here
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
OPEX: Summary – Aviation Biofuels (HEFA) cost 30-40% more to produce than Renewable Diesel (HVO) due to higher yield losses and Hydrogen energy needs
Source: European Technology Innovation Platform, SGAB Sub-Group, Cost of Advanced Biofuels, Final Version
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Source: United Airlines IATA Alternative Fuel Symposium
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Outlook: Investment Scenarios for Sustainable Aviation Fuels
Source: European Technology Innovation Platform, SGAB Sub-Group, Cost of Advanced Biofuels, Final Version
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
�Source: IEA Technology Roadmap
Outlook: Regulatory Demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuels to 2030
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Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Outlook: Production of Sustainable Aviation Fuels to 2030
Emerging Markets Online www.emerging-markets.com E [email protected] Tel 713 429 4905 (Houston )
Renewable Diesel & SAF 2030 Study Outline / Table of Contents
1. Renewable diesel / HVO trends
2. Global markets and producers
3. Country-specific markets and producers
4. Case studies - HVO and Co-processing producers
5. SAF fuels, markets, players, trends
6. Maritime IMO 2020 shipping trends
7. Feedstock trends for low-carbon fuels
8. Technology trends for low-carbon fuels
9. Forecasts – Short, Mid and Long Term
Presentation includes excerpts from selected chapters of the Renewable Diesel & Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) 2030 study
Published by
Emerging Markets Online
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Thank You
Will Thurmond
President & CEO, Emerging Markets Online
Author, Renewable Diesel & Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) 2030
http://www.emerging-markets.com
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3/25/21
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March 25, 2021ZPH Virtual Session
Moderated by Jim Grant, HNTB and SIAB
Will Thurmond, Emerging MarketsStephanie Meyn, Port of Seattle
ZPH Virtual session
Infrastructure and Challenges related to Sustainable Aviation Fuels at Airports
March 25, 2021ZPH Virtual Session
by Jim Grant, HNTB
March 25, 2021
ZPH Virtual session
Aviation Fuel Infrastructure(Storage and distribution of airfield fuel on airports)
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Agenda
Hydrant Fuel Storage and Distribution Systems• Delivery to Airport• Storage• Hydrant Distribution• Electrical• Fire Protection• Cathodic Protection• Leak Detection
Charging Stations for Electric aircraft• Hybrid- or turboelectric aircraft (ten passengers)
Hydrogen Fuel Storage and delivery• Liquified hydrogen storage• Refueling time• Physical dangers
SEA SAF Concept: Fuel Delivery to Airport, Storage on Airport and Supply to Aircraft
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Components of anAviation Fuel System
• Delivery to Airport
• Storage
• Hydrant Distribution
• Electrical
• Fire Protection
• Cathodic Protection
• Leak Detection
Aviation Fuel System
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Click to edit Master title styleAviation Fuel Delivery to Airport - Pipeline
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Click to edit Master title styleAviation Fuel Delivery to Airport –Tanker, Rail, Barge
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Aviation Fuel Storage
Fuel Storage• Pipeline
• Tanker Truck
• Rail Car
• Barge
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Aviation Fuel Hydrant Distribution
Fuel Hydrant Distribution• Pumps
• Pipe
• Isolation Valve Vaults
• High Point Vents
• Low Point Drains
• Hydrant Pits
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Click to edit Master title styleAviation Fuel Hydrant Distribution
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Click to edit Master title styleAviation Fuel Hydrant Distribution
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Click to edit Master title styleAviation Fuel Hydrant Distribution
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Click to edit Master title styleAviation Fuel Hydrant Distribution
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Aviation Fuel Electrical
EFSO, Power, Communications• Emergency Fuel Shutoff System
• Normal Power (Pumps, MOVs)
• Emergency Power
• Hazardous Area Classifications
— Class 1, Division 1 & 2
• Communications
• Control Building
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Aviation Fuel Fire Protection and Standards
Fire Protection• AFFF Systems for Storage Tanks
• Water Suppression
• Secondary Containment
• NFPA 407 – Aircraft Fuel Servicing
• NFPA 415 – Fueling Ramp Drainage
• NFPA 497 – Electrical in Hazardous (Classified) Locations
• ATA 103 – Jet Fuel Quality Control
• B31.3 – Process Piping
• API 650 – Welded Tanks for Oil Storage
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Aviation Fuel Cathodic Protection
Types of Cathodic Protection• Sacrificial Anodes
• Impressed Current
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Aviation Fuel Leak Detection
Types of Leak Detection• Hansas Consult
— Dual pressure system that tracks leakage based on leak rate change
• Vista HT-100
— Dual pressure system that tracks leakage based on volume change
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Hybrid Aircraft
Electric Aircraft
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Turboelectric Aircraft
Electric Aircraft
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Click to edit Master title styleCharging Stations for Electric Aircraft
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Hydrogen Fuel Storage and Delivery
Hydrogen propulsion: • Hydrogen can be combusted through
modified gas-turbine engines
• Hydrogen can be converted into electrical power (Fuel Cells) that complements the existing aircraft gas turbine engines
• The combination of both creates a highly efficient hybrid-electric propulsion chain powered entirely by hydrogen
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Click to edit Master title styleHydrogen Powered Aircraft Airbus ZEROe
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Hydrogen Fuel Storage and Delivery Safety Concerns
Hydrogen Fuel Storage and DeliverySafety Concerns
Types of Leak Detection• Liquified hydrogen storage
• Refueling time
• Chemical dangers
— Heating may cause violent combustion or explosion
— Reacts violently with air, oxygen, halogens and strong oxidants causing fire and explosion hazard.
• Physical dangers
— The gas mixes well with air, explosive mixtures are easily formed
— The gas is lighter than air.
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Hydrogen Fuel Production and Delivery
• By far the most common method to produce hydrogen is through steam-methane reforming (SMR)
• Steam reacts with the natural gas (methane) at very high temperatures to produce syngas (a hydrogen carbon monoxide mixture)
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Hydrogen Fuel Production and Delivery
Gaseous hydrogen is liquefied by cooling it to below −253°C (−423°F). Once hydrogen is liquefied it can be stored at the liquefaction plant in large insulated tanks. It takes energy to liquefy hydrogen—using today's technology, liquefaction consumes more than 30% of the energy content of the hydrogen and is expensive
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Hydrogen can be physically stored as either a gas or a liquid. Storage as a gas typically requires high-pressure tanks (5000–10,000 psi tank pressure). Storage of hydrogen as a liquidrequires cryogenic temperatures because the boiling point of hydrogen at one atmosphere pressure is -252.8°C.
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Hydrogen Fuel Storage and Delivery
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SEA SAF Concept: Fuel Delivery to Airport, Storage on Airport and Supply to Aircraft
Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)• five airports have regular biofuel distribution today (Bergen, Brisbane,
Los Angeles, Oslo and Stockholm)
• less than 5% of all airports handle 90% of international flights, means SAF availability at a small number of airports could cover a large share of demand
• five aviation biofuel production pathways are approved for blending with fossil jet kerosene
• only one – hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids synthetic paraffinic kerosene (HEFA-SPK) fuel – is currently technically mature and commercialized
• Sustainable aviation fuel, or SAF, is a subset of drop-in alternative jet fuels that is produced from renewable or waste-based feedstocks
• Drop-in alternative jet fuels are Jet A/A-1 fuels that meet requirements per ASTM D1655 (US),
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SEA SAF Concept: Fuel Delivery to Airport, Storage on Airport and Supply to Aircraft
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Projects• 4 New ASTs (settling tanks) adding 10MG (238,095 BBL)
• Install a 500,000-gallon blending tank and 100,000-gallon Sustainable Aviation Biofuels (SAB) receipt tank
• Install piping, pumps, valves
• Expand the Fuel Farm Spill Containment Berm
• Construct a truck fuel rack to support the delivery of SABs for blending
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SEA SAF Concept: Fuel Delivery to Airport, Storage on Airport and Supply to Aircraft
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Q&A
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Sustainable Aviation Fuel at Airports
Stephanie Meyn
Climate Program Manager
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Scope of the Challenge
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SAF role in meeting decarbonization targets
SAF and the Sustainable Development Goals• Increasing the use of SAF helps to work
towards SDG 7 (Affordable and clean energy) and SDG 13 (Climate action)
• Diversifying feedstock can support SDGs 1 & 10 through economic growth
• As the production of SAF is scaled up, some impacts on SDG 6 (Clean water and sanitation) and SDG 15 (Life on land).
• More at https://aviationbenefits.org/un-sustainable-development-goals/
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Jet Fuel Emissions in Context• Represent 20-30 % of an airlines’
total expenses
• Airlines use 18 billion gallons per year in the U.S. alone
• At SEA (8th busiest in US), airlines use 700 million gpy
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Airport Role in Developing SAF Industry
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Sustainable Aviation Fuel Program History
• 2008-2014 – SEA is early supporter of research & development, and charting a path to commercial scale SAF
• 2015 – SEA shifts to a Market Development Role
Infrastructure Feasibility Study
• Evaluated sites for storage and blending infrastructure
• Sites must accommodate pipeline, rail, barge, and truck delivery of SAF and allow for integration with SEA’s hydrant fueling
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Innovative Funding Study
What role SEA could play in:
• Covering the incremental cost of sustainable aviation fuels
• Incentivizing or financing sustainable aviation fuel infrastructure
SAF Goal adopted in 2017
Commission Motion: 10% SAF at SEA by 2028
• Equivalent to 70 million gallons of “neat” SAF
• Annual worldwide production < 5 million gallons
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Strategic Plan
1) Airline-Airport Cooperative Model
2) Policy Support
3) Approval for SAF Co-benefits Expenditures
4) Education & Advocacy
Northwest Feedstock Assessment
Can we meet the 10% SAF goal with regional feedstocks?
• Yes, from Municipal Solid Waste or Forest Residuals
• Finished cost not competitive without policies or incentives
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Airport-Airline Cooperative Models
Many Ways to Address Fuel Cost Difference
Note: illustrative and not specific to any true program or policy
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Airline-Airport Cooperative Models
• At SEA, developed via Memorandum of Understanding
• Similar at SFO
• Can result in aggregated market signals
Thank You!Stephanie Meyn