money on the table: exploring the forward capacity market ...4 emc2 development company, inc. march...
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EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
Money on the Table:
Exploring the Forward Capacity Market
PJM Capacity Market
May 2013
2 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM: Who We Are
21% of U.S. GDP
produced in PJM As of 7/2012
KEY STATISTICS
Millions of people served 60
Peak load in megawatts 163,848
MWs of generating capacity 185,600
Member companies 800+
Miles of transmission lines 59,750
GWh of annual energy 832,331
Generation sources 1,365
Square miles of territory 214,000
States served 13 + DC
3 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM ‒ Focus on Just 3 Things
Market Operation
• Energy
• Capacity
Regional Planning • 15-Year Outlook
1
2
3
Reliability • Grid Operations
• Supply/Demand Balance
• Transmission monitoring
4 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
The PJM Electric Market
• PJM is the largest power market in world
• PJM Energy market (kWh)
– PJM coordinates the continuous buying, selling and delivery of wholesale electricity
– Pricing based upon location and time
– 8,000+ Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs)
* PJM Territory Shown in Blue
5 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM Capacity Market
* PJM Territory Shown in Blue
• PJM Capacity Market (kW)
– Designed to ensure reliability of the grid
– Provides market signals to support
infrastructure investment
• Locational Capacity Pricing
– Annual auctions
– Pricing by location
• 27 Locational Deliverability Areas
(LDAs)
• Capacity prices primarily driven by
system transmission constraints
Shaded
area is
target
market
6 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
Meeting Capacity Requirements
• Capacity resources include:
• Generation stations
• Demand response actions
• Energy efficiency projects
• Electricity suppliers can meet their capacity
requirements by:
• Owning & operating generation operations
• Purchasing capacity through others
• Obtaining capacity through PJM capacity auctions
7 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
EE Capacity in PJM Market
• As of 2011/12 Delivery Year, PJM Capacity market includes Energy Efficiency as a capacity resource
• Projects must achieve a permanent, continuous reduction in electric energy consumption – not dispatchable
• Load reductions during peak hours between 2-6pm, June 1 to Aug 31.
• Typical projects:
Lighting Upgrades
HVAC Equipment Upgrades
Chiller Upgrades
Installation of VFDs (Variable Frequency Drives)
8 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
EE Projects Eligible for 4 Years of
Capacity Payments
Installation Period Fully Installed for
Summer Eligible Delivery Years
June 2009 - May 2010 2010 2013/2014
June 2010 - May 2011 2011 2013/2014, 2014/2015
June 2011 - May 2012 2012 2013/2014, 2014/2015, 2015/2016
June 2012 - May 2013 2013 2013/2014, 2014/2015, 2015/2016, 2016/2017
9 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM EE Capacity Requirements
• Prior to Participation in Capacity Auctions
– EE capacity must be pre-qualified by PJM for participation in all
Auctions – Required 30 days before each auction.
– Measurement & Verification Plans submitted for planned ECMs
– Minimum 100kW per submission - aggregations allowed within
utility zones
– Must post credit for all planned resources
• ~$35,000/MW; $37,474, $35,205 and $36,193 for 14/15,
15/16 and 16/17
10 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM EE Capacity Requirements
• Prior to Committed Delivery Year
– Post Installation M&V Report documents EE measures
• Measurement and Verification required during EE
Performance Hours (2-6 PM, M-F, June 1- Aug 31) to
document kW savings
• PJM requires measurement of Coincidence Factors
• Must prove out EE Resources prior to Delivery Year
• Accepted “Planned” EERs become “Existing” EERs and are
eligible to satisfy RPM commitments
11 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM Capacity Auctions
• RPM Capacity Auctions
– Base Residual and 3 Incremental Auctions held for each Delivery Year
– Clearing Price based on supply and demand for specific auction
– Credit must be posted for all planned resources prior to each auction
– Inadequate resources subject to Deficiency Penalty and Lost Revenue
12 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
Recent Auction Results
• Recent capacity auctions highlight the unpredictability of the Incremental
Auctions
– EMAAC: NJ + PECO + DPL
– MAAC: EMAAC + PPL + METED + Penelec +SWMAAC
– RTO: Rest of PJM
• Value of project dependent on location and date of installation
Auction
DateMay-09 Sep-10 Jul-11 Mar-12 May-10 Sep-11 Jul-12 Mar-13 May-11 Sep-12 May-12
LDA
BRA - DY
2012/2013
($/kw-yr)
1st IA- DY
2012/2013
($/kw-yr)
2nd IA - DY
2012/2013
($/kw-yr)
3rd IA - DY
2012/2013
($/kw-yr)
BRA - DY
2013/2014
($/kw-yr)
1st IA - DY
2013/2014
($/kw-yr)
2nd IA - DY
2013/2014
($/kw-yr)
3rd IA - DY
2013/2014
($/kw-yr)
BRA - DY
2014/2015
($/kw-yr)
1st IA - DY
2014/2015
($/kw-yr)
BRA - DY
2015/2016
($/kw-yr)
RTO 6.01$ 6.01$ 4.75$ 0.92$ 10.12$ 7.30$ 2.56$ 1.48$ 45.99$ 2.02$ 49.64$
MAAC 48.68$ 6.01$ 4.75$ 0.92$ 82.54$ 7.30$ 3.65$ 10.95$ 49.82$ 6.04$ 61.12$
EMAAC 51.00$ 56.09$ 17.85$ 0.92$ 89.43$ 65.28$ 14.60$ 68.78$ 49.82$ 6.04$ 61.12$
ATSI 6.01$ 6.01$ 4.75$ 0.92$ 10.12$ 7.30$ 2.56$ 1.48$ 45.99$ 2.02$ 130.31$
13 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM Locational Deliverability Areas
EMAAC
MAAC
RTO
(Rest of PJM)
14 EMC2 Development Company, Inc. March 2009
EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
May 2013
Confidential
PJM Resources
PJM RPM Schedule
http://www.pjm.com/markets-and-operations/rpm/rpm-auction-user-
info.aspx RPM Schudule.xls
PJM Capacity Manual: M-18
http://www.pjm.com/~/media/documents/manuals/m18.ashx
PJM EE M&V Requirements Manual: M-18B
http://www.pjm.com/~/media/documents/manuals/m18b.ashx
PJM EE Frequently Asked Questions
http://www.pjm.com/~/media/markets-ops/rpm/rpm-auction-info/rpm-
energy-efficiency-faqs.ashx
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EMC2 Development Company, Inc.
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Confidential
Questions ???