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Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
2015 Update Report
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
2
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization January 2016
Introduction
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
In February 2015, a baseline report on the monitoring impacts of recreational marijuana legalization was released. In the ensuing nine months, additional data have been made available, and legislation modifying some of the provisions initially outlined inInitiative 502 has been passed.
This report includes those additional data and, in a few instances, modifies some of the previous measures.
Broadly, the statutory changes from the last legislative session refine and/or clarify some of the rules pertaining to legalized recreational marijuana, but predominately focus on the previously largely unregulated medical marijuana market place by generally folding that market into and under the provisions outlined for recreational use. Any potential impacts of those legislative changes are not expected to be reflected in the measures addressed in this report.
1. HEALTH
– Among students surveyed, current marijuana use increased by grade, with the sixth-graders having the lowest use at 1 percent in 2012 and 12th graders the highest at 27 percent in 2014.
– Between 2006 and 2014, use among 12th graders increased by an average of 3 percent per year. No trends were seen for grades six, eight or 10.
– Use among adults surveyed is highest for those ages 18 to 24: 21 percent in 2014.
– Use among adults ages 65 and older is significantly increasing, although the change is from less than 1 percent in 2011 to slightly more than 2 percent in 2014. No trends were seen in the other age groups.
– No trends were seen in the percentage of 12th graders who first used marijuana at any of the ages assessed, 13 to 16.
– Among adults, approximately one-fifth reported they were between ages 14 and 17 the first time they tried marijuana; this was true for each survey year. No trends in age at first use were identified for these adults.
– Among students, ease of access increased by grade, but no trends were identified over time in any of the grades surveyed.
– Between 2011 and 2013, there was an average of 155 marijuana-related calls per year to the Poison Control Center; in 2014, it markedly increased to 246.
– While the number of youths receiving state-funded substance use disorder (SUD) treatment has decreased, the proportion receiving such treatment for marijuana appears to have leveled off at 78 percent in 2013 and 77 percent in 2014.
1. HEALTH (continued)
– Population-based rates of state-sponsored SUD treatment for marijuana use among youths had been increasing by 5 percent per year from 2006 to 2012. However, from 2012 to 2014, no trend is detected. Concurrently, rates for state-sponsored SUD treatment for youths for other drugs decreased by 11 percent per year from 2009 to 2014.
– Among drivers involved in a traffic fatality who are tested for drugs or alcohol, there is no trend in the percentage of those testing positive for marijuana in combination with other drugs and/or alcohol. Similarly, no trend was identified for those who tested positive for marijuana only.
2. ENFORCEMENT
– While arrests for any drug or narcotic decreased by 17 percent between 2012 and 2013, little to no change was seen between 2013 and 2014.
– Incidents involving marijuana decreased by more than half between 2012 and 2013, and by 13 percent between 2013 and 2014. Concurrently, incidents involving amphetamines and heroin increased.*
– Incidents where marijuana was seized continued to decrease for all quantities involved, but particularly for quantities of 3.5 grams or less.
– While highways and roads remained the most common location where marijuana incidents occurred, such incidents decreased from 2,462 in 2012 to 625 in 2014. However, incidents increased at secondary or primary schools, from 258 in 2012 to 361 in 2014.
– All criminal activities involving marijuana decreased between 2012 and 2014. Possession, the most common incident, decreased from 5,133 in 2012 to 1,918 in 2014.
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Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Highlights and key findings
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
2. ENFORCEMENT (continued)– Drug-only DUI arrests, which do not differentiate marijuana
from other drugs, decreased from a high of 1,710 in 2011 to a low of 1,229 in 2014, for an overall decrease of 28 percent.
– Marked decreases are seen in marijuana-related nonprison convictions, dropping from a high of 502 in 2011 to a low of 98 in 2014, and in prison convictions, from 73 in 2011 to 13 in 2014.
– For the 2013−14 school year, 4 percent of public school students were suspended or expelled; of that 4 percent, 11 percent (or 0.4 percent of all students) were suspended or expelled for marijuana.
3. REVENUES AND TAXES
– As a new enterprise, sales and excise tax revenues markedly increased. However, the rate of increase appears to be leveling off: Sales for September to October rose by 49 percent; from October to November by 24 percent; and from November to December by 6 percent.
– Sales in December 2014 totaled more that $17 million; excise taxes for that month were $4.3 million.
– State revenues from retail and from business and occupation taxes also increased. In November 2014 (the most current data available), those taxes totaled $1.5 million.
4. PRODUCTION AND SALES
– As of October 2015, there were 526 active licensed producers and 195 active licensed retailers in the state.
– Licensed producers and processors appear to be equally located in urban and rural locales. Similarly, high-volume producers/ processors are also somewhat evenly distributed.
4. PRODUCTION AND SALES (continued)
– Retailers tend to be more commonly located in urban and suburban communities. However, some high-volume retailers are located in nonurban communities, particularly those that border other states.
– Of the three counties with the highest per capita sales, two border Oregon: Clark and Klickitat.
– The average price per gram dropped from a high of $25 in August 2014 to a low of $8 in July 2015, and has stayed at that price since.
– The number of retailers increased more than tenfold, from 18 in July 2014 to 185 in October 2015.
5. CITY AND COUNTY ORDINANCES
– Ten cities currently have temporary moratoria on retail sales of recreational marijuana. However, all but three moratoria are due to expire in four or fewer months.
– Sixty-six cities have prohibitions on those sales.– Four counties have temporary moratoria on recreational sales in
unincorporated regions.– Five counties have prohibitions on recreational sales in
unincorporated regions.
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Highlights and key findings (continued)
* As defined by the FBI, an “incident” occurs when any law enforcement officer investigates a scene or situation, whether that investigation results in an arrest or not. Incidents involving multiple illicit drugs or other criminal activities are counted only once, and are included in whichever category is listed first by the local law enforcement agency. The order used by those agencies is not hierarchical.
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
22%
23%
26% 27% 27%
18%19%
20%19%
18%
7%8%
10%
9%
7%
1% 1%
2%
1% 1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1.1 Current Use – Students
Taken from the Healthy Youth Survey, the question, “Have you used marijuana in the past 30 days?” gauges current marijuana use among students. Although the percentage of 12th graders reporting they are current users did not change between 2012 and 2014, use among this group is increasing by 3 percent per year, from 22 percent in 2006 to 27 percent in 2014. For all other grades there are no significant trends.
Source: Washington State Health Youth Survey, 2006-2014
12th grade
10th grade*
8th grade*
6th grade*
3% per year increase
5 Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
* No significant trend
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization January 2016
1.2 Current Use – Adults In the Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance Survey, respondents ages 18 and older are asked, “Have you smoked marijuana in the past 30 days?” With 21 percent responding “yes” in 2014, those ages 18 to 24 are the most likely current users. No significant trends were seen in any age group except those ages 65 and older; starting at a low of slightly less than 1 percent in 2011, and growing to slightly more than 2 percent by 2014, the average annual increase equals 45 percent per year.Source: Washington State Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance System
6
8% 7%
9%10%
15%14%
19%
21%
11% 10%11%
12%
6% 6%
8%9%
1%1% 2%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Ages 18-24*
Ages 25-44*
Ages 45-64*
Ages 65+
45% per year increase
All ages combined*
* No significant trend
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
1.3 Age at First Use – Students Among 12th graders asked, “How old were you the first time you smoked marijuana?” no significant trends were seen in any age category assessed from 2006 to 2014. These percentages are shown with their 95 percent confidence intervals (CI)..
Source: Washington State Health Youth Survey, 2006-2012
7
5% 6% 5% 5% 6%8% 7% 7% 8% 8%8% 8% 10% 11% 10%9% 10% 10% 10% 10%0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014Age 13 Age 14 Age 15 Age 16
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
1.4 Age at First Use – Adults From 2011 to 2013, adult respondents were asked, “How old were you the first time you smoked marijuana?” In 2014, the question was revised to, “How old were you when you first used marijuana in any form?” In the age groups shown here, the majority of those who had smoked marijuana first did so between the ages of 14 and 17, regardless of the survey year. No trends were identified; 95% CI’s are shown with percentages.
Source: Washington State Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance System, 2011-2013
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6% 6% 8% 7%21% 21% 21% 22%11% 11% 12% 11%8% 8% 7% 8%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Ages 13 or younger Ages 14-17 Ages 18-20 Ages 21 or older
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
1.5 Access – Students In response to the question, “If you wanted to get some marijuana, how easy would it be to get some?” this measure includes, by convention, those answering “sort of hard,” “sort of easy” and “very easy.” While access differs by grade level, no significant trends are seen over time.
Source: Washington State Health Youth Survey, 2006-2012
9
79%81%
83% 82% 83%
66%69%
72%69%
71%
33%
38% 39% 40%
34%
15% 14%16%
14% 14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10th grade*
12th grade*
8th grade*
6th grade*
* No significant trend
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
1.6 PoisoningsMarijuana-related calls to the Washington Poison Center were relatively constant from 2011 to 2013, but those calls increased from 158 in 2013 to 246 in 2014. The percentages of calls by age group were, however, similar in 2013 and 2014, especially when taking into consideration the relatively small numbers involved in 2013, with those ages 30 or older constituting the largest percentage and those ages 12 or younger the smallest.
Source: Washington Poison and Drug Information Center
10
146
162158
246
0
50
100
150
200
250
2011 2012 2013 2014
2013
2014
Age distribution
Time Trend
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,00020
0620
0720
0820
0920
1020
1120
1220
1320
14
Perc
enta
ge m
ariju
ana
Tota
l Cas
es
Nonmarijuana
Marijuana SUD
Percentage marijuana
1.7 Substance Use Disorder TreatmentSubstance use disorder (SUD) treatment for youth receiving publicly funded services has been decreasing since 2009. Treatment for marijuana increased from 61 percent of all SUD cases in 2007 to 78 percent in 2013. However, in 2014, it leveled off at 77 percent. Age-specific rates for youth marijuana SUD treatment had been increasing by 5 percent per year, but since 2012, there has been no trend. Rates for SUD treatment for drugs other than marijuana have been decreasing by 11 percent per year since 2009. SUD youth may be court ordered or referred to treatment in other ways.
Source: Department of Social and Health Services (Behavioral Health and Service Integration Administration/Chemical Dependency)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Yout
h CD
trea
tmen
t per
100
,000
pop
age
s 15-
19
Marijuana SUD Nonmarijuana SUD
5% per year increase, (2006-12)
11% per year decrease (2009-14)
11
Cases - Youths Rates - Youths
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
1.8 Traffic FatalitiesWith the addition of 2014 data, the downward trend in overall traffic fatalities appears to have abated, and no statistically significant trends are found for either traffic fatalities with marijuana plus any other drugs or alcohol, or for traffic fatalities involving marijuana only. While the percentage of traffic fatalities with marijuana-only appears high in 2014, at 8 percent, it is not statistically significantly different from the previous year, at 2 percent. This is due to the small number of cases involved.
Source: Washington Traffic Safety Commission
12
20%
27%
22%
20%
23%
18%
21% 21%
16%
17%
15%
18%
5%7%
4%
6% 6% 5%
4%
5% 5%6%
2%
8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Marijuana plus any other drug or alcohol Marijuana only
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
1,723
10,557
1,307
8,802
1,299
8,911
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Drug Equipment Violations Drug/Narcotics Violations
Num
ber o
f Arr
ests
2012 2013 2014
2.1 Drug or Narcotic Arrests*Between 2012 and 2013, there was a 24 percent decrease in arrests for drug equipment violations and a 17 percent decrease in arrests for drug or narcotic violations. However, little change is seen between 2013 and 2014. Drug equipment refers to equipment or devices used in preparing and/or using drugs or narcotics.
Source: Washington Association of Sheriffs and Police Chiefs (does not include Washington State Patrol data)
13
*Each of the arrests may include multiple drug and/or narcotic offenses. Arrests for both equipment and possession violations are counted only once, and are included in whichever category is listed first by the local law enforcement agency. The order used bythose agencies is not hierarchical.
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
6,336
2,376
2,276
574
320
56
30
980
3,289
4,113
2,689
3,401
2,589
662
321
27
28
1,008
2,124
3,985
2,326
3,686
3,090
475
269
44
21
897
1,619
321
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
Marijuana
Amphetamines/Methamphetamines
Heroin
'Crack' Cocaine
Cocaine (except Crack)
Hashish
Morphine
Other Drugs
No Drug Type Provided
Unknown
Number of Incidents
2012 2013 2014
2.2 Drug or Narcotic Incidents*While the number of incidents involving marijuana decreased by more than half (58 percent) from 2012 to 2013, between 2013 and 2014, that downward trend slowed to a 13 percent decrease. However, overall there was a 63 percent decline between 2012 and 2014. In contrast, during that same time period, incidents involving amphetamines or methamphetamines increased by 55 percent while those involving heroin increased by 36 percent.
Source: Washington Association of Sheriffs and Police Chiefs (does not include Washington State Patrol data)
14
*As defined by the FBI, an “incident” occurs when any law enforcement officer investigates a scene or situation, whether that investigation results in an arrest or not. Incidents involving multiple illicit drugs or other criminal activities are only counted once, and are included in whichever category is listed first by the local law enforcement agency. The order used by those agencies is not hierarchical.
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
2.3 Marijuana Quantities SeizedIncidents where the quantity of marijuana seized was reported in grams (or in a unit that could be converted) are shown below.* For 2012−14, the most frequent number of seizures continues to be for quantities of 3.5 grams (an eighth of an ounce) or less, and yet, for the same time period, the number of such seizures dropped by 65 percent, from 3,146 in 2012 to 1,112 in 2014. Similar proportionate reductions were also seen for all other amounts seized with the exception of seizures of 28 grams or more. These fell by 49 percent from 2012 to 2014.
Source: Washington Association of Sheriffs and Police Chiefs (does not include Washington State Patrol data)
3,146
679
687
486
454
1,272
247
251
190
248
1,112
222
231
160
233
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
0.1-3.5 Grams
3.6-7.0 Grams
7.1-14.0 Grams
14.1-28.0 Grams
28.0+ Grams
Number of Incidents
2012 2013 2014
15
*Incidents involving multiple illicit drugs or other criminal activities are included only if marijuana is listed first by the local law enforcement agency. The order used by those agencies is not hierarchical.
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
2,462
970
547
258
446
455
174
160
120
126
618
768
363
428
345
146
120
102
105
36
30
246
625
312
379
361
119
113
63
75
14
31
234
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
Highway/Road/Alley
Residence/Home
School/College
School - Elementary/Secondary
Parking Lot/Garage
Other Unknown
Field/Woods
School - College/University
Government/Public Building
Department/Discount Store
Other
2012 2013 2014
2.4 Incident LocationsMarked decreases were seen in nearly all locations where there were incidents involving marijuana.* For highways, roads or alleys, the number of incidents decreased by 75 percent, from 2,462 in 2012 to 625 in 2014. Of these locations, an increase was seen only inelementary or secondary schools, where there was a 40 percent increase from 258 in 2012 to 361 in 2014.
Source: Washington Association of Sheriffs and Police Chiefs (does not include State Patrol data)
16
*Incidents involving multiple illicit drugs or other criminal activities are included only if marijuana is listed first by the local law enforcement agency. The order used by those agencies is not hierarchical.
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
5,133
653
327
127
58
32
5
1
2,091
282
194
84
17
17
4
1,918
185
126
62
14
17
1
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
Possessing/Concealing
Using/Consuming
Distributing/Selling
Cultivating/Manufacturing
Transporting
Buying/Receiving
Operating/Promoting/Assisting
Exploiting Children
Number of Incidents
2012 2013 2014
2.5 Criminal Activities Involving MarijuanaFrom 2012 to 2014, possession was the most common criminal activity involving marijuana. However, the number of such incidents decreased by nearly 63 percent during those three years.* Decreases were also seen across all other activities.
Source: Washington Association of Sheriffs and Police Chiefs (does not include Washington State Patrol data)
17
*Incidents involving multiple illicit drugs or other criminal activities are included only if marijuana is listed first by the local law enforcement agency. The order used by those agencies is not hierarchical.
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
1,710
1,614
1,348
1,229
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2011 2012 2013 2014
Num
ber o
f Arr
ests
2.6 Drug-only DUI Arrests Drug-only DUI arrests do not differentiate marijuana from other drugs. These arrests moved from a high of 1,710 in 2011 to a low of 1,229 in 2014, for an overall decrease of 28 percent during those four years.
Source: Washington State Patrol
18
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
73 48 43
13
502
341
186
98
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
2011 2012 2013 2014
Num
ber o
f Con
vict
ions
In prison Nonprison
2.7 Marijuana-related ConvictionsFrom 2011 to 2013, the only convictions for the manufacturing, delivery or possession with intent to deliver marijuana1 were first-time convictions; in 2014, five of the 98 nonprison convictions were repeat convictions2. Overall, marked decreases are seen in both nonprison convictions, dropping by 80 percent from 2011 to 2014, and in-prison convictions, dropping by 82 percent during that same time period.
Source: Washington State Caseload Forecast Council, Statistical Summary of Adult Felony Sentencing
19
*Conviction data are based on a hierarchy where the offense that has the longest confinement term is considered the “most serious.” These data represent convictions where the most serious offense was for manufacturing, delivery or possession with intent to deliver marijuana.
1 RCW 69.50.401(2)2 RCW 69.50.408
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
2.8 Suspensions or Expulsions from Schools – StudentsCurrently, data are available only for public schools for the 2013−14 school year. As shown below, 4 percent of all students were suspended or expelled during that school year, and of those suspended or expelled, 11 percent (or 0.4 percent of all students) were suspended or expelled due to marijuana possession, with 7 percent of those suspended or expelled receiving a short-term suspension (10 or fewer consecutive days), 3 percent receiving a long-term suspension (more than 10 consecutive days) and 0.6 percent being expelled.
Source: Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction
20
Not suspended or expelled
96%
Nonmarijuana related suspension or expulsion
89%
Short-term suspension for marijuana
7%
Long-term suspension for marijuana
3%
Expulsion for marijuana0.6%
Total suspensions or expulsions
4%
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
3.1 Recreational Marijuana Revenues with 25 Percent Excise TaxPer reports from the Liquor and Cannabis Board, sales and excise taxes dramatically rose during the first few months of legalization. However, while sales from September to October increased by 49 percent, those from October to November grew by 24 percent and those from November to December by 6 percent. For each month, excise taxes equaled 25 percent of the total sales.
Source: Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board
21
$6,2
60
$3,3
68,3
68
$7,2
61,7
12
$8,7
22,8
72
$13,
003,
684 $1
6,09
0,87
5
$17,
009,
167
$1,5
65
$842
,092
$1,8
15,4
28
$2,1
80,7
18
$3,2
50,9
21
$4,0
22,7
19
$4,2
52,2
92
$0
$2,000,000
$4,000,000
$6,000,000
$8,000,000
$10,000,000
$12,000,000
$14,000,000
$16,000,000
$18,000,000
Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14
Sales Excise Tax Due
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
$127 $32 $43$60
$172$359 $454 $564 $632
$807 $904 $1,060$1,386
$1,594$1,968
$2,163
$262 $54 $40 $31$31
$49$67
$86 $99$106
$112$127
$166
$194
$228
$256
$56
$12 $15 $14
$57$125
$162$207 $232
$296$329
$385
$503
$585
$722
$792
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15
Tota
l Tax
Col
lect
ion
(tho
usan
ds)
State Retail State B&O Local Retail
3.2 Recreational Marijuana Reported Revenues with Retail and Business and Occupation TaxesDepartment of Revenue-reported sales of recreational marijuana differ from those reported by the Liquor and Cannabis Board (likely due to reporting lags). However, the patterns of sales over time are similar. The taxes shown below include state and other retail taxes as well as business and occupation (B&O) taxes, but do not show total sales. In June 2015, tax revenues equaled $792,000 in local retail sales taxes, $256,000 in state B&O taxes and $2,163,000 in state retail taxes, for a total of $3.2 million in taxes that month. These taxes are in addition to the excise taxes collected.
Source: Washington State Department of Revenue
22
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
4.1a Producers/Processors – LocationsThe 526 active licensed producers’ locations (as of October 2015) shown within a population density map suggest that production is spread throughout high- and low-population regions. Producers are active in all but four counties: Skamania, Columbia, Garfield and Asotin. In general, producers also act as processors.
Source: Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board
23
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
One dot = 1,000 persons
Producer/Processor location
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
4.1b Producers/Processors – VolumesVolumes of sales by producers (as of October 2015) suggest that large-volume producers are also somewhat equally distributed between high-and low-population regions.
Source: Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board
24
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
One dot = 1,000 persons
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
<203,753$203,754 - $628,753
$626,754 - $1,441,174
$1,441,175 - $2,818,928
>$2,818,928
January 2016
4.2a Retailers – LocationsThe 195 active licensed recreational marijuana retailers’ locations (as of October 2015) suggest that most are located in urban and city environs.Active retailers are in all but five counties: Wahkiakum, Columbia, Garfield, Adams and Lincoln.
Source: Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board
25
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
One dot = 1,000 persons
Retailer location
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
4.2b Retailers – VolumesRetail sale volumes for recreational marijuana also generally suggest that large sales occur in more urban areas, with seemingly notable exceptionsin Benton and Whitman counties.
Source: Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board
26
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
One dot = 1,000 persons
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
6
8
2
3
6
<$886,114$886,114 - $2,215,777
$2,215,778 - $3,764,550
$3,764,551 - $6,842,390
>$6,842,390
January 2016
4.3 Per Capita Sales by CountyRetail sales of recreational marijuana sold per 1,000 persons living within the county where the sales occurred (as of October 2015) are mapped below. Of the three counties with the highest per capita sales, two (Clark and Klickitat) are on the Oregon state border.
Source: Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board and OFM population data
27
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
<$11,236/1,000 population
$11,236 - $23,463/1,000 population
$23,464 - $45,259/1,000 population
>$45,259/1,000 population
No sales reported
January 2016
18 31 46 60 76 86 98 106 120 133 146 161 163 172 182 185
$22
$25$23
$21
$19
$17
$14$13 $13
$12 $12 $12
$9 $8 $8 $8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
Num
ber o
f ret
aile
rs
Pric
e pe
r gra
m
Retailers Retail price/gram
4.4 Retailers and Price per GramThe average price per gram dropped from a high of $25 in August 2014 to a low of $8 in July 2015, and has stayed at that price. Meanwhile, the number of retailers has increased more than tenfold, from 18 in July 2014 to 185 in October 2015.
Source: Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board
28
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016
5.1 Cities with Prohibitions or Moratoria on Retail SalesAs of November 2015, 66 cities have prohibitions on retail sales of recreational marijuana, and 10 have a moratoria on sales. However, of those10 with moratoria, all but three are scheduled to expire in three or fewer months.
Source: Municipal Research and Services Center
29
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
One dot = 1,000 personsProhibition ordinancesMoratoria ordinances (expiring)
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
Moratoria ordinances
January 2016
5.2 Counties with Prohibitions or Moratoria on Retail SalesAs of November 2015, four counties have moratoria on the sale of recreational marijuana in their unincorporated regions and five have prohibitions.
Source: Municipal Research and Services Center
30
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Prohibition ordinances
Moratoria ordinances
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
Pierce
Thurston
LewisYakima
KlickitatClark
Walla Walla
Columbia
Franklin
January 2016
30
Office of Financial Management Forecasting and Research Division
Joe Campo, Senior Forecasting and Research AnalystHealth Care Research Center
Keri-Anne Jetzer, Senior Forecasting and Research AnalystSentencing Guidelines Commission
Thea Mounts, Senior Forecasting and Research ManagerHuman Services, Social Services, Criminal Justice and Health
Toby Paterson, Senior Forecasting and Research Analyst Economic, Revenue and Labor Forecasts
Jim Schmidt, Senior Forecasting and Research ManagerEconomic, Revenue and Labor Forecasts, and Higher Education
Monitoring Impacts of Recreational Marijuana Legalization
Forecasting and Research Division, Washington State Office of Financial Management
January 2016