monitoring of risk informed situations mr kasiviswanadham paphrdi/drr/2019/risk... · transforming...
TRANSCRIPT
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives
Monitoring of RISK Informed SituationsMr Kasiviswanadham P
Subject Matter Expert – Geospatial TechnologyIIC Academy, Hyderabad
AGENDA
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives
1• Can we define RISK?
2• Can we list types of RISK?
3• What are the technologies available to monitor RISK?
4• How well can we rely on our monitoring systems?
5• Duties and responsibilities to have RISK free environments to
safeguard our future generations.
Thinking RISK in Mind
DesignEvaluateDecide
Prepare
PlanManage
Act
Measure
AnalyzePredict
IIC Academy: Demo presentation on Geospatial Technology
Monitor
• Risk could be a natural or man-made that has adverse effects andcan cause significant damages to local environment and people.
• Natural risks usually occurs abruptly, affecting large areas – ex.Earthquakes, Tsunamis, and Tornados etc.
• Flood and Landslide can be predicted and mapped.
• Also potentially affected people within the known vulnerable areascan be alerted in advance to prevent more damages.
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 4
Introduction
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 5
What is Risk ?
Calculational Framework for Risk/Uncertainty analysis TheSource: National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP)
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 6
What is Risk ?
Calculational Framework for NRAP Risk/Uncertainty analysis
The most conventional representation of the risk:Risk = Probability X Consequence(loss)/Time
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 7
Monitoring Risk System
Atmospheric Monitoring
Near Surface Monitoring
Subsurface Monitoring
Remote sensingSensors(satellites, Flights and Drones)
Direct observation,Sensors, and pressure gauges, Mobile vehicles
Geophysical, Surface signatures of subsurface phenomenon, Topography
• Satellite sensors
• Direct co2 detectors
• LiDAR
• Tracers
• Eddy covariance
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 8
Atmospheric Monitoring
• Aerial methods ( Flight, Satellite, Drone)
• Tracers
• Ground water monitoring
• Soil gas monitoring
• Electrical, including resistivity, Sp, induced polarization
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 9
Near Surface Monitoring
• Surface and seismic time lapse
• Magneto telluric sounding
• Deep electromagnetic induction
• Time lapse gravity
• Well logging
• Fluid chemistry
• SAR
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 10
Subsurface Monitoring
• Sensors/GIS can not cure/ solve any risk ( the disease)
• Monitor, predict and handle the risk(disease) with better
preparedness and preventive measures where the GIS
data model can also include the individuals diagnostic
test report data( blood test, urine test, stool).
• Disease spread monitoring
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 11
Subsurface Monitoring
• Initial sensor configuration( define the risk)
• Number of iterations ( for predictions)
• Cost constraints (Risk for sensors itself)
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 12
Sensors for Monitoring
3D City Modelling -approach to Monitor RISK
13
Use of Bentley software in creating 3D cities
IIC Academy: Demo presentation on Geospatial Technology
3D Laser scanning- Risk at Oil Rigs
Graphic Model Point cloud Model
IIC Academy: Demo presentation on Geospatial Technology
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 15
Sample of RISK at temples/structures
• There are numerous alternatives and complementary risk
informed decision criteria.
• Time to anomaly detection
• Characterization and exploration
• Optimization analysis
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 16
Risk informed Optimization Principles
• Sensor definitions
• Data sampling
• Design-Phased deployment of sensors
• Costing
• Inference and mitigation models (Successful models can
be repeated for refined analysis
• Sensor reliabilities
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 17
Future forward
• Survey (including emergency field survey services using flight
..say)->Digitization->webGIS, mobileGIS Portal rendering-
>Spatial visualization->Spatial BI visualization using AI, ML .
Basically AI is used here to analyse the data gathered from
satellites and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) to assess the
impact of a disaster in (almost) real time, inform our response,
and deliver life-saving assistance
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 18
Drones
Future forward
• Surveying and mapping
• Transportation
• Forest and Agriculture
• Marine
• Aviation
• Time
• Public safety and disaster relief
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 19
Role of GPS in RISK Monitoring(Mobile Phones)
• Are associated with readiness and mitigation measuresusually involves landslide and flood disaster prevention
• Mitigation involves activity that minimizes the impactsof disaster within potentially vulnerable areas likeidentifying the mud slide prone area, flood inundationarea etc.
• Readiness involves the activities that facilitates thepreparation for response to disaster occurrence. Ifoccurs how to safe guard like identifying elevated areaduring flooding
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 20
Risk Management
• Time is a critical component of any successful rescue operation
• To know the precise position of any landmarks, streets, buildings, emergency service resources, and disaster relief sites we should have accurate GPS position to reach in time.
• GPS has played a vital role in relief efforts for global disasters likehud-hud, guno, Pethai etc. Search and rescue teams used GPS,geographic information system (GIS), and remote sensingtechnology to create maps of the disaster areas for rescue andaid operations, as well as to assess damage.
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 21
Public Safety and Risk Relief
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 22
Risk Management Process
Disaster Event
Pre-Disaster
During Disaster
Post-Disaster
Prediction and Monitoring of
Vulnerable area
Detection and Monitoring events
Damage Assessment
GPS
Dis
aste
r M
anag
emen
t p
roce
sses
Disaster Event
Pre-Disaster
During Disaster
• In earthquake prone areas, GPS is playing anprominent role in helping scientists to anticipateearthquakes.
• Using the precise position information provided byGPS, scientists can study how strain builds up slowlyover time in an attempt to characterize, and in thefuture perhaps anticipate, earthquakes.
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 23
Monitor Earthquake Prone Area
Monitor small scale phenomenon
• Crustal evolution
• Sea-level changes
• ionosphere studies
• Tropospheric studies
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 24
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 25
Monitor Landslides
Landslide Monitoring Process.
(Source: Abidin et al 2004)
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 26
Tsunami Monitoring Process
(source: Geogarage 2012)
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 27
Forest Management
• Utilization of Geomatics technologies i.e GPS, RS and GIS is being used increasingly for flood assessment.
• Integration of inventory mapping, location of surface structures and roughness providing information on flow emplacement parameters (i.e. rate, velocity and rheology), and factors such as lithology, location of faults, slope, vegetation and land use.
• To managing a flood disaster, can GPS and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imageries to estimate water depth from SAR images.
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 28
Flood
• APIIC
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 29
Flood prediction and management
Flood
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 30
Water Pollution
• Role of meteorologists: storm tracking and flood
prediction also rely on GPS.
• They can assess water vapor content by analyzing
transmissions of GPS data through the atmosphere.
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 31
Meteorologists
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 32
Urban Agglomeration
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 33
Transportation
• Wireless telephone and data networks use GPS timeto keep all of their base stations in perfectsynchronization. This allows mobile handsets toshare limited radio spectrum more efficiently.
• Similarly, digital broadcast radio services use GPStime
• Companies worldwide use GPS to time-stampbusiness transactions, providing a consistent andaccurate way to maintain records and ensure theirtraceability.
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 34
Communication
• AP real time governance with GIS for AP govt.
and UNICEF.
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 35
Real Time Monitoring
Real Time Governance System (RTGS)
Risk along the coasts
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 36
Guess RISK of this Situation
Any Questions ?
Mr. Kasiviswanadham PSME – Geospatial Technology
IIC Academy, Email: [email protected],
Tel:9885840209
IIC Academy: Demo presentation on Geospatial Technology
• http://blog.geogarage.com/2012/05/gps-on-commercial-ships-could-improve.html?m=1 12:00pm 23/08/2015
• https://www.ajouronline.com/index.php/AJAS/article/viewFile/3597/1881
• http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/blog/2017/2/10/U
sing-drones-to-address-climate-change-risks-in-the-Maldives.html
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JNiPQnMlXYk
• http://apiic.in/
Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 38
References
39
Thank You