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Matteo Palermo 5/09/2017 1 Monthly Proton Flux Monthly Proton Flux Solar modulation, Solar modulation, Forbush decreases and Forbush decreases and Solar Energetic Particles Solar Energetic Particles measured by AMS on the ISS measured by AMS on the ISS Physics and Astronomy Department University of Hawaii at Manoa Honolulu, Hawaii, US Matteo Palermo (University of Hawaii) on behalf of the AMS Collaboration 22 nd WRMISS 5-7 September 2017 Torino, Italy

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Page 1: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 1

Monthly Proton FluxMonthly Proton Flux

Solar modulation, Solar modulation, Forbush decreases and Forbush decreases and

Solar Energetic Particles Solar Energetic Particles measured by AMS on the ISSmeasured by AMS on the ISS

Physics and Astronomy Department University of Hawaii at Manoa

Honolulu, Hawaii, US

Matteo Palermo (University of Hawaii)on behalf of the AMS Collaboration

22nd WRMISS5-7 September 2017

Torino, Italy

Page 2: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 2

AMS is an International Collaboration15 Countries, 46 Institutes

AMS is sponsored by US DOE and NASA, and many agencies in the world.

The focus of this talk is the work performed at the University of Hawaii sponsored by NASA and NSF.

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May 16, 2011: AMS Flight, Space Shuttle Endeavor

AM S o n th e i s s

Page 4: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

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ISSAltitude: ~400 kmOrbit: 90 minutesSize: 70m x 110m x 20m

AMS-02Size: 5m x 4m x 3m Weight: 7 ton Power: 2.4 kW

In 6 years of operation, AMS has measured over 100 billion events.It will continuously take data for the entire duration of the ISS

Page 5: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 5

Particle Identification with AMS Particle Identification with AMS AMS is a general purpose detector which measures particles

in the GV-TV rigidity range

Page 6: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 6

Scientific Goals: GCR Nuclei Scientific Goals: GCR Nuclei

AMS measures all CR species with error at % level up to Fe and above

It will improve our knowledge of:CR sources,

acceleration mechanisms and propagation

Page 7: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 7

M. Aguilar (AMS collaboration)

PRL110,141102 (2013)

Interesting features have been measured at high energies and more will come in the near future.

New Goal: Study of the time variation of the low energy part of the spectrum.

Scientific Goals:Scientific Goals:Dark Matter searchDark Matter search

Page 8: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 8

AMS:AMS:GCR and SEP studies GCR and SEP studies

Collaboration between NASA AES (Advanced Exploration Systems) group at JSC

and AMS research group at the University of Hawaii

● AMS measures CR fluxes with unprecedented accuracy

● University of Hawaii research group is focused on the AMS energy range that supports NASA human space exploration missions (unavailable by other satellites)

Improvement in the accuracy provides new insights in areas such as the study of CR and solar activity, and has application to NASA space radiation health assessments and shielding design

Main research studies:

GCR fluxes and their changes with solar activity

Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles

Page 9: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 9

Solar Modulation:Solar Modulation:GCR in heliosphereGCR in heliosphere

• to understand the propagation of GCRs in the heliosphere.

• to test theories of particles diffusion (charge and mass) and drift (charge-sign).

• to study the effect on cosmic rays due to the reversal in the solar polarity.

• Space radiation monitoring

Precise measurements of the time-dependent GCRs spectra are important:

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Matteo Palermo 10

Solar activity measured by AMSSolar activity measured by AMSThe Sun goes through an 11-year activity cycle shown by sunspots number. At each solar maximum the Sun flips its magnetic field polarity (A>0, A<0) showing a periodicity of 22 years.

Daily sunspot number: http://www.sidc.be/silso/datafiles

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Matteo Palermo 11

AMS Monthly Proton FluxAMS Monthly Proton Fluxfive years of data five years of data

Flux

Inte

nsity

Time

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Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 12

Proton & He Monthly Fluxes Proton & He Monthly Fluxes

At low rigidities, not only long-term solar modulation but also short-term solar activity

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Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 13

Proton & He Monthly Fluxes Proton & He Monthly Fluxes

AMS will study how solar modulation affects all different cosmic ray species.

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Matteo Palermo 14

Electrons PositronsEach color represents a 27 days integration flux.

Electron & Positron Electron & Positron Monthly Fluxes Monthly Fluxes

Page 15: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 15

Electron & Positron Fluxes Electron & Positron Fluxes Time ProfileTime Profile

A < 0 A > 0

Polarity inversion period from: X. Sun et al., Astroph. J., 798, 114 (2015)

Polarity Inversion:Nov. 2012 – Mar. 2014

eV

Page 16: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 16

AMS will measure the drift of positive vs negative particles during a solar minimum with positive polarity A>0.

A <0 A >0

[1.01 -1.22] GeV

[2.0 -2.3] GeV

A <0 A >0

Polarity inversion period from: X. Sun et al., Astroph. J., 798, 114 (2015)

Electrons A<0 Electrons A>0

AMS e+/e- ratio clearly shows the charge-sign dependence of solar modulation.

Repeat the study with pbar/p.

Change of Solar Polarity Change of Solar Polarity & Particles Drift & Particles Drift

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Matteo Palermo 17

Short-Term Solar Activity Short-Term Solar Activity

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Matteo Palermo 18

Solar Energetic Particles

Forbush Decrease

AMS daily Normalized Flux

March 7, 2012Two Solar Flares of class X5.4 and X1.3 (XRT Flare catalog).Two Coronal Mass Ejections with linear speeds of 2684 km/s and 1825 km/s (SOHO LASCO CME catalog).

Solar events measured by AMSSolar events measured by AMS

Page 19: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

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Normalized Daily Proton FluxNormalized Daily Proton Flux

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Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 20

Start date: date when decrease is first observed Date of minimum: date when majority of rigidity reach a minimum value Recovery date: date when normalized flux is within 2 SD of day-to-day

variability Duration: number of days a decrease is observed Maximum rigidity: highest rigidity that shows a decrease Maximum decrease at 2 GV: percent decrease of the flux in the rigidity

bin around 2 GV on the date of minimum.

Forbush Decreases Forbush Decreases CharacteristicsCharacteristics

Preliminary DataPlease refer to the AMS

forthcoming publication in PRL

2.40-2.67 GV3.29-3.64 GV 5.37-5.90 GV 10.1-11.0 GV 19.5-21.1 GV

March 8 2012: FD with long duration (20 days) and maximum decrease at 2 GV of 40%

Page 21: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 21

FD Event List FD Event List List of FDs between May 2011 and May 2016 studied

by AMS with estimated start date and duration.

Page 22: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 22

FD Characteristics FD Characteristics for selected eventsfor selected events

Preliminary DataPlease refer to the AMS

forthcoming publication in PRL

Page 23: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

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SEP: excess above the SEP: excess above the GCR background GCR background

Preliminary DataPlease refer to the AMS

forthcoming publication in PRL

AMS daily proton flux

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Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 24

AMS Daily Proton FluxAMS Daily Proton Flux

May 17, 2012

May 16 , 2012(quiet day)

May 17, 2012 - Ground Level Enhancement (GLE)Solar Flare of class M5.1 (XRT Flare catalog).Coronal Mass Ejection with linear speeds of 1582 km/s (SOHO LASCO CME catalog).

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Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 25

Solar Energetic Particle FluxSolar Energetic Particle FluxS

EP

May 17, 2012

SEP flux obtained subtracting the galactic cosmic ray background

AMS

Page 26: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 26

IGRF Geomagnetic Cutoff IGRF Geomagnetic Cutoff in the AMS field of viewin the AMS field of view

SEPs can be observed in the part of the orbit close to geomagnetic poles (~27% for orbiting period)

GV

GV

Page 27: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 27

AMS Multi-orbit ObservationsAMS Multi-orbit ObservationsTime evolutionTime evolution

May 17, 2012

SE

P

Average integration time about 10 minutes

AMS data provide information at high rigidity with fine resolution.

Page 28: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 28

AMS data, combined with other instruments at lower energy, will provide a baseline for the modeling of SEP production.

SEP flux May 17, 2012:SEP flux May 17, 2012:Multi-instrument observationMulti-instrument observation

GOES

GOES

AMS

SOHO

Page 29: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 29

SEP events Observed by AMSSEP events Observed by AMS

AMS observed 27 high energy SEP events at ~ 1 GV from May 2011 to May 2016.

AMS SEP events are typically associated with M and X classflares and fast CMEs.

GLE

Ground Level Enhancement (GLE)

Page 30: Monthly Proton Fluxwrmiss.org/workshops/twentysecond/Palermo.pdf · Heliophysics: study of Solar Energetic Particles. Matteo Palermo 9 Solar Modulation: GCR in heliosphere • to

Matteo Palermo 30

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Matteo Palermo 31

Summary & ConclusionsSummary & Conclusions

A new era in galactic cosmic rays understanding has started, not only at high energy, but also at low energy in the region affected by the solar modulation thanks to the precise and continuous observations from space by PAMELA in solar cycle 23 and now AMS-02 in solar cycle 24 and 25.

New and precise measurements are increasing our knowledge of important effects such as diffusion and drift in the heliosphere, allowing the detailed study of propagation.

These measurements will serve as a high-precision baseline for continued studies of GCR solar modulation, SEPs, space radiation hazards, magnetospheric effects, trapped particles and in many other fields.

Near future forthcoming AMS publications on solar modulation: time evolution of proton and helium fluxes, electron and positron fluxes, and antiproton/proton ratio.

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Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 32

Workshop in DC, May 2018Workshop in DC, May 2018

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Matteo Palermo5/09/2017 33

Thanks For Your AttentionThanks For Your Attention