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Page 1: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison
Page 2: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

1

Monthly Review of the Texas Economy—November 2013

By Ali Anari and Mark G. Dotzour

The Texas economy gained 267,900 nonagricultural jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 2.4 percent compared with 1.7 percent for the United States (Table 1 and Figure 1). The state’s nongovernment sector added 265,300 jobs, an annual growth rate of 2.9 percent compared with 2.1 percent for the nation’s private sector (Table 1).

Texas’ seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell to 6.2 percent in October 2013 from 6.4 percent in October 2012. The nation’s rate decreased from 7.9 to 7.3 percent (Table 1). Table 2 shows Texas industries ranked by employment growth rate from October 2012 to October 2013. Table 3 shows the relative importance of the state’s industries based on number of employees.

All Texas industries except the transportation, warehousing and utilities industry had more jobs in October 2013 than in October 2012. The state’s mining and logging industry ranked first in job creation, followed by the professional and business services industry, information industry, trade industry, and leisure and hospitality industry.

The state’s mining and logging industry gained 14,900 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 5.4 percent, ranking first in job creation (Table 2 and Figure 2).

The state’s professional and business services industry gained 73,900 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 5.2 percent (Table 2 and Figure 3). Job gains consisted of 48,000 jobs in the state’s administrative and support services industry, 22,700 jobs in professional, scientific and technical services, and 3,200 jobs in the state’s management of companies and enterprises industry.

Texas’ information industry (internet service providers, web search portals, publishing industries, broadcasting and telecommunications) gained 8,000 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 4.1 percent (Table 2 and Figure 4).

The state’s trade industry gained 67,000 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, a 3.9 percent increase (Table 2 and Figure 5). Job gains consisted of 14,200 in wholesale trade and 52,800 jobs in the retail trade industry.

Texas’ leisure and hospitality industry (arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodations and food services) gained 40,900 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 3.7 percent (Table 2 and Figure 6).

Texas’ construction industry added 15,200 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, a 2.5 percent growth rate (Table 2 and Figure 7). Job gains consisted of 6,400 jobs in the state’s construction of buildings industry and 21,800 in specialty trade contractors while the state’s heavy and civil engineering construction lost 13,000 jobs.

Texas’ education and health services industry added 30,300 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 2 percent (Table 2 and Figure 8). Job gains consisted of 29,600 jobs in the state’s health services industry and 700 in educational services.

Texas’ financial activities (finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing services) added 9,200 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 1.4 percent (Table 2 and Figure 9). Job gains consisted of 4,800 jobs in the state’s real estate, rental and leasing industry and 4,400 in the state’s finance and insurance industry.

Page 3: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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The other services industry (repair and maintenance, personal and laundry services, religious, civic and professional organizations) gained 4,300 jobs over the year, a 1.1 percent increase (Table 2 and Figure 10).

The state’s manufacturing industry gained 2,200 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 0.3 percent (Table 2 and Figure 11). The durable manufacturing industry gained 14,000 jobs while the state’s nondurable manufacturing lost 11,800 jobs. Major job gains in durable goods manufacturing were in fabricated metal product manufacturing (5,800 jobs), transportation equipment manufacturing (3,300), computer and electronic product manufacturing (2000), wood product manufacturing (1,700), nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing (1,000), electric equipment, appliance and component manufacturing (700), primary metal manufacturing (400), and machinery manufacturing (300). Major job gains in the state’s nondurable manufacturing industry were in chemical manufacturing (2,300) and petroleum and coal products manufacturing (400). Major job losses in this industry were in food manufacturing (3,100), printing and related support manufacturing (1,300), plastic and rubber manufacturing (800), and beverage and tobacco product manufacturing (100).

The state’s government sector gained 2,600 jobs from October 2012 to October 2013, an annual growth rate of 0.1 percent (Table 2 and Figure 12). Government job gains consisted of 14,200 local government jobs. Government job losses occurred in the state’s federal government (9,900) and state government (1,700).

The state’s transportation, warehousing and utilities industry lost 600 jobs over the year, a 0.1 percent decline rate (Table 2 and Figure 13).

Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas All Texas metro areas except Texarkana had more jobs in October 2013 than in October 2012 (Table 4). Midland ranked first in job creation, followed by Odessa, Longview, Corpus Christi, Fort Worth-Arlington, Dallas-Plano-Irving, and Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown (Table 4). Figures 14 to 39 show annual employment growth rates for the state’s metropolitan areas from January 2010 to October 2013.

The state’s actual unemployment rate in October 2013 was 6 percent. Midland had the lowest unemployment rate followed by Odessa, Amarillo, Abilene, Lubbock and San Angelo (Table 5).

Page 4: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Table 1 Texas and U.S. Labor Markets Change Nonfarm Employment October 2013 October 2012 Absolute Percent Texas 11,287,400 11,019,500 267,900 2.4 United States 137,540,000 135,241,000 2,299,000 1.7 Private Employment October 2013 October 2012 Absolute Percent Texas 9,465,500 9,200,200 265,300 2.9 United States 115,308,000 112,987,000 2,321,000 2.1 Actual Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Rate October 2013 October 2012 October 2013 October 2012 Texas 6.0 6.2 6.2 6.4 United States 7.0 7,5 7.3 7.9 Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Page 5: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Table 2

Texas Industries and Government Sector Ranked by Employment Growth Rate from October 2012 to October 2013

Change Rank Industry October 2013 October 2012 Absolute Percent 1 Mining and Logging 290,700 275,800 14,900 5.4 2 Professional & Business Services 1,503,100 1,429,200 73,900 5.2 3 Information 205,600 197,600 8,000 4.1 4 Trade 1,800,200 1,733,200 67,000 3.9 5 Leisure & Hospitality 1,139,900 1,099,000 40,900 3.7 6 Construction 622,400 607,200 15,200 2.5 7 Education & Health Services 1,515,600 1,485,300 30,300 2.0 8 Financial Activities 675,500 666,300 9,200 1.4 9 Other Services 388,700 384,400 4,300 1.1 10 Manufacturing 873,600 871,400 2,200 0.3 11 Government 1,821,900 1,819,300 2,600 0.1 12 Transportation, Warehousing, Utilities 450,200 450,800 –600 –0.1 Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University Table 3 Texas Industries’ and Government’s Shares of Employment October October Industry 2013 1990 Mining and Logging 2.6 2.3 Construction 5.5 4.9 Manufacturing 7.7 13.3 Trade 16.0 17.8 Transportation, Warehousing, Utilities 4.0 4.2 Information 1.8 2.5 Financial Activities 6.0 6.4 Professional and Business Services 13.3 9.2 Education and Health Services 13.4 9.6 Leisure and Hospitality 10.1 8.3 Other Services 3.4 3.7 Government Sector 16.1 17.8 Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University Note: Components may not add to 100 due to rounding.

Page 6: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Table 4 Texas Metropolitan Areas Ranked by Employment Growth Rate,

October 2012 to October 2013 Rank Metro Area Percent Growth Rate 1 Midland 5.2 2 Odessa 4.6 3 Longview 3.8 3 Corpus Christi 3.8 5 Fort Worth-Arlington 3.5 6 Dallas-Plano-Irving 3.0 7 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 2.9 8 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos 2.8 9 College Station-Bryan 2.6 10 Abilene 2.5 10 Victoria 2.5 Texas 2.4 12 Sherman-Denison 2.4 13 Laredo 2.3 14 Tyler 2.2 15 Lubbock 2.1 16 San Angelo 1.9 17 Amarillo 1.8 18 Brownsville-Harlingen 1.5 19 Waco 1.2 19 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 1.2 21 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 1.0 21 San Antonio-New Braunfels 1.0 23 Beaumont-Port Arthur 0.9 24 Wichita Falls 0.7 25 El Paso 0.1 26 Texarkana –1.1 Source: Texas Workforce Commission

Page 7: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Table 5 Texas Metropolitan Areas Ranked by Unemployment Rate, October 2013 Rank Metro Area Unemployment Rate, Percent 1 Midland 3.1 2 Odessa 3.6 3 Amarillo 4.4 4 Abilene 4.7 4 Lubbock 4.7 6 San Angelo 4.8 7 Victoria 5.0 7 College Station-Bryan 5.0 9 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos 5.1 10 Longview 5.3 11 Wichita Falls 5.5 12 Corpus Christi 5.7 12 Fort Worth-Arlington 5.7 14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison 6.2 18 Laredo 6.2 20 Tyler 6.4 21 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 6.9 22 Texarkana 7.0 23 El Paso 8.5 24 Beaumont-Port Arthur 9.3 25 Brownsville-Harlingen 9.8 26 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 10.1 Source: Texas Workforce Commission

Page 8: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 1

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0

2

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2010 2011 2012 2013

TexasU.S.

Nonfarm Employment Growth Rates for United States and Texas2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 2

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-10

0

10

20

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Mining and Logging Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 3

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0

2

4

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Professional and Business Services Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 9: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 4

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0

4

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Information Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 5

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0

2

4

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Trade Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 6

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0

2

4

6

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Leisure and Hospitality Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 10: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 7

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5

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Construction Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 8

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0

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Education and Health Services Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 9

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0

2

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Financial Activities Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 11: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 10

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0

2

4

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Other Services Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 11

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0

5

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Manufacturing Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 12

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0

2

4

6

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Government Sector2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 12: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 13

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texas Transport., Warehousing, and Utilities Industry2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 14

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0

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8

12

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Midland Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 15

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0

5

10

15

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Odessa Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 13: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 16

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0

4

8

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Longview Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 17

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0

2

4

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Corpus Christi Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 18

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0

2

4

6

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Fort Worth-Arlington Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 14: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 19

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Dallas-Plano-Irving Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 20

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 21

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0

2

4

6

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 15: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

14

Figure 22

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0

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in College Station-Bryan Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 23

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0

1

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Abilene Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 24

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0

2

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Victoria Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 16: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 25

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1

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Sherman-Denison Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 26

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0

2

4

6

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Laredo Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 27

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0

1

2

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Tyler Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 17: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 28

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Lubbock Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 29

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0

1

2

3

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in San Angelo Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 30

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0

2

4

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Amarillo Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 18: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 31

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0

1

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Brownsville-Harlingen Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 32

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0

1

2

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Waco Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 33

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0

1

2

3

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 19: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 34

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0

1

2

3

4

5

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 35

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0

1

2

3

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in San Antonio-New Braunfels Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 36

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0

2

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Beaumont-Port-Arthur Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Page 20: Monthly Review of the Texas Economy Nov 2013...14 San Antonio-New Braunfels 5.8 14 Waco 5.8 16 Dallas-Plano-Irving 5.9 16 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 5.9 Texas 6.0 18 Sherman-Denison

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Figure 37

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0

2

4

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Wichita Falls Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 38

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0

1

2

3

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in El Paso Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Figure 39

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0

1

2

3

2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment Growth Rates in Texarkana Metro Area2010–2013

Perc

ent

Year:Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University