monthlyindicatorsreport july 2012pdf

7/31/2019 Monthlyindicatorsreport July 2012pdf

1/4July 2012 Monthly Indicators Page 1 of 4

TABLE 1Prison Population Forecast

Actual (*Avg

Daily Count)

OPM 2011

Forecast Diff. %

FEB '12 17,224* 17,224

MAR 17,117* 17,171 -0.3%

APR 16,973* 17,172 -1.2%

MAY 16,829* 17,100 -1.6%

JUN 16,698* 17,143 -2.6%

JUL 16,586* 17,213 -3.6%

AUG - 17,238

SEP - 17,263OCT - 17,238

NOV - 17,121

DEC - 17,013

JAN '13 - 16,587

FEB - 16,756

* Average Daily Count, first week of month

Highlights

On July 1, 16,591 people wereincarcerated in state prisonfacilities. The last time this figurewas lower on July 1 was in 1998.

In June, 978 offenders completedtheir prison sentences. Of these,821 received at least one day ofRisk Reduction Earned Credit(RREC). Among offenders who

discharged with credit, 359 werealready in community programs;462 were discharged directly fromprison.

Chart 2A shows the number ofoffenders who discharged theirprison sentences between January2010 and June 2012. RREC wasexpanded to prisoners duringNovember 2011; the chart showsthat following an initial spike indischarges due to the retroactive

application of RREC credits, thevolume of monthly discharges hasnot risen dramatically.

The number of offenders on homeconfinment for DUI and minor drugoffenses rose to 119 by July 1

st

(see table 2). It has been reportedthat up to 60% of these offenderscontinue to hold jobs while onhome confinement.

Prison Population Forecast

The prison population continuesto drop at a rate and in a mannerthat defies historical modelling.Between October 1, 2011 andJuly 1, 2012, the prison systemshrank by 1,171 inmates (Note:table 1 and chart 1 report figuresby the Average Daily Count, notthe first-of-the-month count).This rate of decline in the prisonpopulation is without precedentin Connecticut.

Last month, the prison count fellbelow the level that OPMprojected for January 2013.

OPMs prison populationprojection is based on a model that relies on 25 years of historical data onthe Connecticut prison system. The model produces a set of scenariosthat project different rates of growth or decline in the prison population. Inconsultation with experts who are knowledgeable about current conditionsand operations of the prison system, OPM selects a specific scenario touse as its projection over the following year. In January 2012, OPM

assumed that the prison population would continue to decline as it has inrecent years. What OPM did not anticipate was the steep and prolongeddecline that we have witnessed since October 2011.

CHART 1 Actual ADC of the prison population against the OPM forecastJanuary 1, 2011 through February 1, 2013

Page 2 has been revised. In

future issues, the charts andtables at the bottom of page 2will change each month. Theywill feature more trend data andinformation on developments inthe states criminal justicesystem. In this issue, page 2contains 1) a chart of monthlyprison discharges from Jan.2010 through June 2012,and 2)a chart of the July 1

stprison

population from 1992 to 2012,

Available online at: www.ct.gov/OPM/CriminalJustice/Research July 2012

Published by the Connecticut Statistical Analysis Center at the Connecticut Office of Policy & Management

OPM - Criminal Justice Policy & Planning Division

Monthly Indicators Report

17,774

16,586

17,213

16,400

16,600

16,800

17,000

17,200

17,400

17,600

17,800

18,000

JAN'11

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN'12

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN'13

FEB

ADC - Actual

OPM Projection



CHART 2Connecticut Criminal Justice System Monthly Overview

This chart contains monthly totals for June 2012 and figures reported for July 1, 2012.Asterisks (*) indicate the count for July 1, 2012. Figures enclosed by parenthesis are for the previous month.Data sources include: Arrests-OBTS, Court and probation data: CSSD, all other data CT DOC

CHART 2AMonthly discharges, EOS

878

884

1037

934

886

931

948

885

930

899

887

936

894

910

957

915

889

870

839

864

1117

940

1351 1

096

919

996

1011

853

952

978

0

500

1000

1500

JAN'10

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN'11

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN'12

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

Offenders completing their sentences (EOS)

CHART 2B

Connecticuts P

rison Population on July 1

st

, 1992 - 2012

1022

1769 41

25

14889

14967

15588

15909

16776

17459

17700

18873

19121

18582

181

50

18568

18892

1941

3

18891

18431

17631

16591

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

201

0

2011

2012



TABLE 2DOC Population Counts, First of the Month

2011 2011 2012 2011

May 1st June 1 July 1 July 1 Monthly Annual

DOC FacilityFederal/Other 158 138 136 139 -1.4% -2.2%

Sentenced 12,749 12,666 12,483 13,590 -1.4% -8.1%

Special Parole 327 342 344 322 0.6% 6.8%

Pre-trial 3,624 3,572 3,628 3,580 1.6% 1.3%

Total 16,858 16,718 16,591 17,631 -0.8% -5.9%

Transfer Parole 7 6 6 30 0.0% -80.0%

Parole/ Parcom Total 1,287 1,308 1,336 1,789 2.1% -25.3%

Parole 1,114 1,133 1,166 1,613 2.9% -27.7%

Parcom @ CT 173 175 170 176 -2.9% -3.4%

Furlough 24 25 29 2 16.0% 1350.0%

Trans Placement 11 17 22 13 29.4% 69.2%

Home confinement/DUI 81 103 119 0 15.5% -

Halfway House Total 1,082 1,080 1,017 1,105 -5.8% -8.0%

Comm Release 875 879 828 878 -5.8% -5.7%

TS 16 15 10 14 -33.3% -28.6%

Parole 79 81 70 103 -13.6% -32.0%

Transfer Parole 0 0 0 0 - -Special Parole 112 105 109 109 3.8% 0.0%

TS Total 724 776 785 996 1.2% -21.2%

Special Parole 1,129 1,126 1,130 914 0.4% 23.6%

Total 4,345 4,441 4,444 4,849 0.1% -8.4%

% Change

DOC Community

TABLE 3DOC Admissions and Releases, Monthly Totals*

2011 2011 2012 2011

Apr. May June June Monthly Annual

AdmissionsFederal/Other 93 102 79 106 -22.5% -25.5%

Returns 168 234 187 212 -20.1% -11.8%Transfer Parole 0 5 5 2 - -

Parole 43 54 35 58 -35.2% -39.7%

Trans Plac/Furlough 1 3 2 5 - -

HWH 41 49 39 32 -20.4% 21.9%

TS 45 60 59 37 -1.7% 59.5%

Special Parole 38 63 47 43 -25.4% 9.3%

New Sentence 323 403 320 367 -20.6% -12.8%

VOP 91 100 69 100 -31.0% -31.0%

Pre-trial 1,555 1,665 1,676 1748 0.7% -4.1%

Total 2,139 2,404 2,262 2,433 -5.9% -7.0%

Releases

Transfer Parole 2 1 2 18 100.0% -88.9%

Parole 158 202 174 187 -13.9% -7.0%

Trans Plac/Furlough 32 37 38 7 2.7% 442.9%Home Confinement DUI 55 52 61 0 17.3% -

HWH 183 244 164 182 -32.8% -9.9%

TS 231 272 286 294 5.1% -2.7%

Special Parole 70 74 84 75 13.5% 12.0%

End of Sentence 853 952 978 870 2.7% 12.4%

Total 1,584 1,834 1,787 1,633 -2.6% 9.4%

Pre-trial Releases*Did not return from Court 575 584 581 560 -0.5% 3.8%

Release to Bond 401 472 483 523 2.3% -7.6%

% Change

*Monthly totals count occurrences, not individuals.

Board of Pardons and Parole

TABLE 4 - Prisoners with sentences greaterthan 24 months

TABLE 4A Paroles Granted, New cases

Hearings Granted Rate

APR 213 162 76%

MAY 200 150 75%

JUNE 150 114 76% TABLE 4B Other Parole Hearings

Reparoled Denied Reparoled Denied

APR 34 24 15 13

MAY 63 32 14 16

JUN 37 20 14 11

Revocations Rescissions

Public Defender Services

TABLE 5 Public Defender Cases

GA JD GA JD

MAR 5,671 225 4,245 161

APR 5,292 208 4,130 178

MAY 6,112 322 4,556 183

Cases disposedCases appointed

CSSD Adult Probation

TABLE 6 Monthly CSSD Direct Sentenced &Probationer Community Placements

Community

Based

Out-

patient

Inpatient/

Res ident Total

FEB 787 1,223 22* 2,032

MAR 1,263 809 31 2,103

APR 1,118 823 22 1,963 *Inpatient residential figure for February reflects acounting change by CSSD. May data was notavailable at the time of publication.

Pre-trial Diversion and Supervision

TABLE 7Pre-trial and split sentence startsPre-trial Bail

Case Starts

Client Supv.

Starts

Split Sentence

Starts

APR 2,389 2,402 455

MAY 2,588 2,567 478

JUN 2,464 2,269 484 TABLE 8 The Jail Re-interview Program

Offenders

interviewed

Offenders

released

Releases

last year

MAR 1,258 702 819

APR 1,048 660 673

MAY 1,358 733 719

JUNE 1,240 751 725 Data Notes: Figures are based on operational dataavailable at the time of this report. Data in subsequentissues may not agree.

Parole elligible Not elligible

MAY 8,529 831

JUNE 8,456 835

JULY 8,384 838



CHART 3 Total Prison PopulationJuly 1, 2012 to July 7, 2012

16,591 16,592

16,624

16,586 16,594

16,574

16,538

16,450

16,500

16,550

16,600

16,650

16,700

16,750

Sunday

July 1

Monday

July 2

Tuesday

July 3

Wed.

July 4

Thurs,

July 5

Friday

July 6

Saturday

July 7

Average Daily Count: 16,586ADC Last month: 16,698

CHART 4 Prison Population, first-of-monthJanuary 1 through December 1

18,431

17,631

16,59116,500

17,000

17,500

18,000

18,500

19,000

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

2010 2011 2012

CHART 5Monthly Statewide Criminal Arrests

2011 versus 2012

8,543

8,249

8,660

8,406

9067

8343

10,847

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

Criminal arrests, 2012

Criminal arrests, 2011

CHART 6 Monthly DOC Admissions by TypeMay 2011 through June 2012

CHART 7Readmissions from Community ReleaseJune 2012

13

3220

3421

22

3

101

5

16

3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Parole TS Halfway

House

Special

Parole

Abscond or Escape

Criminal Offense

Technical Violation

CHART 8Parole, TS and Special Parole, supervised caseJune 1, 2011 through July 1, 2012

1,870

1,892

1,883

1,861 1

,727

1,653

1,425

1,391

1,351

1,329

1,356

1,366

1,360

1,406

1,023

1,2391,010

795

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

JUNE JULY AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC JAN

'12

FEB MAR APR MAY JUNEJULY

Parole

Special Parole

TS

Note: Data for all charts, with the exception of Chart 5, was supplied by CT DOC. Data for Chart 5 is based on new case starts

in the state Offender-Based Tracking System (OBTS).

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN

2012

FEB MAR APR MAY JUN

Accused Federal/ Other

Community Returns New Sentence

monthlyindicatorsreport july 2012pdf

Documents