mortgage math () - university of kentuckyambrose/notes/mortgage math.pdfmortgage math Î what is pv...

40
Mortgage Math What is PV of $1000 per month for 15 months plus $10,000 paid 15 months from now at 10% nominal annual interest? = (14.045)1000 + (0.8830)10000 = $14,045 + $8,830 = (PVIFA .00833,15 )*PMT + (PVIF .00833,15 )*FV ( ) ( ) 15 15 12 10 . 1 000 , 10 $ 12 10 . 1 000 , 1 $ 12 10 . 1 000 , 1 $ 875 , 22 $ + + + + + + = L

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Mor

tgag

e M

ath

Wha

t is

PV o

f $10

00 p

er m

onth

for 1

5 m

onth

s pl

us $

10,0

00 p

aid

15 m

onth

s fro

m

now

at 1

0% n

omin

al a

nnua

l int

eres

t?

= (1

4.04

5)10

00 +

(0.8

830)

1000

0 =

$14,

045

+ $8

,830

= (P

VIFA

.008

33,1

5)*P

MT

+ (

PVIF

.008

33,1

5)*F

V

()

()15

1512

10.1

000

,10$

1210.

100

0,1$

1210.

100

0,1$

875

,22$

++

++

++

=L

(With

cal

cula

tor s

et to

pm

ts a

t “EN

D”o

f per

iods

, an

d P/

YR=1

2…)

Mor

tgag

e M

ath

Key

s:D

CF

Key

s:15

---->

N

key

10---

-> I

/YR

key

10---

-> I

/YR

key

0 --

--> C

Fj k

ey10

00---

-> P

MT

key

1000

---->

CFj

key

1000

0----

> F

V k

ey14

---->

Nj

key

PV---

-> -

22,8

7511

000-

--->C

Fj k

eyN

PV---

-> 2

2,87

5

How

the

Cal

cula

tor "

Mor

tgag

e M

ath"

K

eys

Wor

k. .

.Th

e fiv

e "m

ortg

age

mat

h" k

eys

on y

our

calc

ulat

or (N

,I,PV

,PM

T,FV

) sol

ve:

()

()

()N

Nr

FVr

PMT

rPM

Tr

PMT

PV+

++

++

++

++

−=

11

11

02

L

or:0

= -P

V +

(PVI

FAr,N

)*PM

T +

(P

VIF r,N

)*FV

whe

re:

r = i

/ m,

whe

re:

i = N

omin

al a

nnua

l int

eres

t rat

e m

= N

umbe

r of p

aym

ent

perio

ds p

er y

ear (

mP/

YR).

Exam

ple:

10

%, 2

0-yr

fully

-am

ortiz

ing

mor

tgag

e w

ith p

aym

ents

of

$10

00/m

onth

.Th

e ca

lcul

ator

sol

ves

the

follo

win

g eq

uatio

n fo

r PV:

The

resu

lt is

: PV

= 10

3625

.

()

()

()24

024

02

0083

3.1

000

833

.110

0000

833

.110

0000

833

.11000

0+

++

++

−=

LPV

THE

BA

SIC

RU

LES

OF

CA

LCU

LATI

NG

LO

AN

PA

YMEN

TS &

BA

LAN

CES

Let: P

= In

itial

Con

tract

Prin

cipa

l (Lo

an B

alan

ce a

t tim

e ze

ro, w

hen

mon

ey is

bor

row

ed)

r t=

Con

tract

Inte

rest

rate

(per

pay

men

t per

iod,

e.g

., =i

/m) a

pplic

able

for p

aym

ent i

n Pe

riod

"t“IE

t=

Inte

rest

por

tion

of p

aym

ent i

n Pe

riod

"t“PP

t=

Prin

cipa

l pai

d do

wn

("am

ortiz

ed")

in th

e Pe

riod

"t" p

aym

ent

OLB

t=

Out

stan

ding

loan

bal

ance

afte

rthe

Per

iod

"t"

paym

ent h

as b

een

mad

ePM

T t=

Amou

nt o

f the

loan

pay

men

t in

Perio

d "t“

THE

FOU

R B

ASI

C R

ULE

S:1)

IEt

=r t(

OLB

t-1)

2)PP

t=

PMT t

–IE

t

3)O

LBt

=O

LBt-1

-PP

tEq

uiva

lent

to P

V of

rem

aini

ng lo

an p

aym

ents

4)O

LB0

= P

Know

how

to u

se th

ese

rule

s so

that

you

can

ca

lcul

ate

paym

ent s

ched

ule,

inte

rest

, prin

cipa

l, an

d ou

tsta

ndin

g ba

lanc

e af

ter e

ach

paym

ent,

for

any

type

of l

oan

that

can

be

drea

med

up!

APP

LIC

ATI

ON

OF

THE

FOU

R R

ULE

S TO

SP

ECIF

IC L

OA

N T

YPES

1)Fi

xed-

Rat

e lo

ans

(FR

Ms)

:Th

e co

ntra

ct in

tere

st ra

te is

con

stan

t th

roug

hout

the

life

of th

e lo

an:

r t=r,

all t

.

2) C

onst

ant-P

aym

ent l

oans

(CPM

s):

The

paym

ent i

s co

nsta

nt th

roug

hout

the

life

of th

e lo

an:

PMT t

=PM

T, a

ll t.

3) C

onst

ant-A

mor

tizat

ion

loan

s (C

AMs)

:Th

e pr

inci

pal a

mor

tizat

ion

is c

onst

ant t

hrou

ghou

t the

lif

e of

the

loan

: PP

t=PP

, all

t.

4) F

ully

-Am

ortiz

ing

loan

s:In

itial

con

tract

prin

cipa

l is

fully

pai

d of

f by

mat

urity

of

loan

:ΣP

P t=P

over

all

t=1,

…,N

.

5) P

artia

lly-A

mor

tizin

g lo

ans:

Loan

prin

cipa

l not

fully

pai

d do

wn

by d

ue d

ate

of

loan

:ΣP

P t<P,

so

OLB

Nm

ust b

e pa

id a

s “b

allo

on”a

t mat

urity

.

6) In

tere

st-O

nly

loan

s:Th

e pr

inci

pal i

s no

t pai

d do

wn

until

the

end:

PMT t=

IEt,

all t

(equ

ival

ently

:OLB

t=P,

all

t, an

d in

cal

cula

tor e

quat

ion:

FV

= -P

V).

7) G

radu

ated

Pay

men

t loa

ns (G

PMs)

:Th

e in

itial

pay

men

t is

low

, usu

ally

initi

al P

MT 1

< IE

1, so

OLB

at f

irst g

row

s ov

er ti

me

(“neg

ativ

e am

ortiz

atio

n”),

follo

wed

by

high

er p

aym

ents

sc

hedu

led

late

r in

the

life

of th

e lo

an.

8) A

djus

tabl

e-R

ate

loan

s (A

RM

s):

The

cont

ract

inte

rest

rate

var

ies

over

tim

e (r t

not c

onst

ant,

not k

now

n fo

r cer

tain

in

adva

nce,

loan

pay

men

t sch

edul

es &

ex

pect

ed y

ield

s m

ust b

e ba

sed

on

assu

mpt

ions

abo

ut fu

ture

inte

rest

rate

s).

Cla

ssic

al F

ixed

-Rat

e M

ortg

age

The

“cla

ssic

al”m

ortg

age

is b

oth

FRM

&

CPM

:PM

T =

P/(P

VIFA

r,N) =

P /

[(1 –

1/(1

+r)N

)/r]

$60,

000,

12%

, 30-

year

CPM

...

MO

NTH

BEG

. BA

L.IN

TER

EST

PMT

PRIN

END

BA

L.

1$6

0,00

0.00

$6

00.0

0 $6

17.1

7 $1

7.17

$5

9,98

2.83

2$5

9,98

2.83

$5

99.8

3 $6

17.1

7 $1

7.34

$5

9,96

5.49

3$5

9,96

5.49

$5

99.6

5 $6

17.1

7 $1

7.51

$5

9,94

7.98

Usi

ng Y

our C

alcu

lato

r

1)C

alcu

late

Loa

n Pa

ymen

ts:

Exam

ple:

$100

,000

30-

year

10%

mor

tgag

e w

ith m

onth

ly p

aym

ents

:36

0----

> N

10---

-> I

/YR

1000

00---

-> P

V0

---->

FV

PMT-

--->

-877

.57

2) C

alcu

late

Loa

n A

mou

nt

(Affo

rdab

ility

):Ex

ampl

e:Yo

u ca

n af

ford

$50

0/m

onth

pa

ymen

ts o

n 30

-yea

r, 10

% m

ortg

age:

360-

--->

N10

---->

I/Y

R50

0----

> P

MT

0----

> F

VPV

---->

-56

,975

.41

= Am

t you

can

bor

row

.

•If

you

can

bor

row

er 8

0% o

f hou

se v

alue

, ho

w m

uch

can

you

affo

rd to

pur

chas

e?–

Purc

hase

Pric

e =

$56,

975

/ 0.8

0–

Purc

hase

Pric

e =

$71,

218

3) C

alcu

late

Out

stan

ding

Loa

n B

alan

ce:

Exam

ple:

Wha

t is

the

rem

aini

ng b

alan

ce o

n $1

00,0

00, 1

0%, 3

0-ye

ar, m

onth

ly-p

aym

ent l

oan

afte

r 5 y

ears

(afte

r 60

paym

ents

hav

e be

en

mad

e)?

Firs

t get

loan

term

s in

the

regi

ster

s:36

0----

> N

10---

-> I

/YR

1000

00---

-> P

V0-

--->

FV

PMT-

--->

-877

.57

Then

cal

cula

te re

mai

ning

bal

ance

eith

er w

ay b

elow

:N

---->

60

N---

-> 3

00FV

---->

-96

,574

.32

PV---

-> 9

6,57

4.32

4) C

alcu

late

pay

men

ts &

bal

loon

on

part

ially

am

ortiz

ing

loan

:Sa

me

as (3

) abo

ve.

5) C

alcu

late

the

paym

ents

on

an in

tere

st-

only

loan

:Ex

ampl

e:A

$100

,000

inte

rest

-onl

y 10

% lo

an w

ith

mon

thly

pay

men

ts:

N

can

be a

nyth

ing,

10---

> I/Y

R,

1000

00---

> PV

, -1

0000

0--->

FV,

PMT

--->

-833

.33

6) M

eet a

fford

abili

ty c

onst

rain

t by

trad

ing

off

paym

ent a

mou

nt w

ith a

mor

tizat

ion

rate

:Ex

ampl

e:G

o ba

ck to

exa

mpl

e #2

on

the

prev

ious

pa

ge. T

he a

fford

abilit

y co

nstra

int w

as a

$50

0/m

o pa

ymen

t lim

it. S

uppo

se th

e $5

6,97

5 w

hich

can

be

borro

wed

at 1

0% w

ith a

30-

year

am

ortiz

atio

n sc

hedu

le fa

lls s

hort

of w

hat t

he b

orro

wer

nee

ds.

How

muc

h sl

ower

am

ortiz

atio

n ra

te w

ould

ena

ble

the

borro

wer

to o

btai

n $5

8,00

0?

Ente

r: I/YR

= 1

0, P

V =

-580

00, P

MT

= 50

0, F

V =

0,

Com

pute

: N =

410

. Th

us, t

he a

mor

tizat

ion

rate

wou

ld h

ave

to b

e 41

0 m

onth

s, o

r 34

year

s.

Not

e:Th

is d

oes

not m

ean

loan

wou

ld h

ave

to

have

a 3

4-ye

ar m

atur

ity, i

t cou

ld s

till b

e a

30-

year

par

tially

-am

ortiz

ing

loan

, with

bal

loon

of

$20

,325

due

afte

r 30

year

s.

7) D

eter

min

ing

prin

cipa

l & in

tere

st

com

pone

nts

of p

aym

ents

:Ex

ampl

e:Fo

r the

$10

0,00

0, 3

0-ye

ar, 1

0% m

ortg

age

in p

robl

em #

1 on

the

prev

ious

pag

e, b

reak

out

the

com

pone

nts

of th

e 12

pay

men

ts n

umbe

ring

50

thro

ugh

61.

In th

e H

P-10

B, a

fter e

nter

ing

the

loan

as

in p

robl

em #

1,

ente

r:50

, IN

PUT,

61,

AM

OR

T, =

$9,

696.

06in

t, =

$834

.80

prin

, =$

96,5

01 O

LB61

.To

get

the

corre

spon

ding

val

ues

for t

he s

ubse

quen

t ca

lend

ar y

ear,

pres

s AM

OR

T ag

ain,

to g

et: =

$9,

608.

65in

t, =

$922

.21

prin

, =$9

5,57

9 O

LB73

.(O

ther

bus

ines

s ca

lcul

ator

s ca

n do

this

too.

)

Loan

Yie

lds

and

Mor

tgag

e Va

luat

ion

Loan

Yie

ld =

Effe

ctiv

e In

tere

st R

ate

Yiel

d =

IRR

of l

oan

Rec

all:

IRR

bas

ed o

n ca

sh fl

ows.

Usi

ng c

alcu

lato

r equ

atio

n:

()

()

()N

Nr

FVr

PMT

rPM

Tr

PMT

PV+

++

++

++

++

−=

11

11

02

L

Let: PV

= C

F 0PM

T= C

F t,

t=1,

2,...

,N-1

PMT

+ FV

= C

F NN

= H

oldi

ng P

erio

dw

here

:CF j

repr

esen

ts a

ctua

l cas

h flo

w a

t en

d of

per

iod

"j".

Then

, by

the

defin

ition

of "

r" in

the

equa

tion

abov

e, w

e ha

ve:

()

()N

N rC

Fr

CF

rC

FC

FN

PV+

++

++

++

−=

=1

11

02

21

0L

(bea

ring

in m

ind

that

:

Expr

esse

d in

nom

inal

per

ann

um te

rms

(i=m

r, w

here

m=P

/YR

), w

e ca

n th

us fi

nd th

e yi

eld

by

com

putin

g th

e I/Y

R, p

rovi

ded

the

valu

es in

the

N, P

V, P

MT,

and

FV

regi

ster

s eq

ual t

he

appr

opria

te a

ctua

l cas

h flo

w a

nd h

oldi

ng p

erio

d va

lues

.

()

()

()

()N

NN

NN

rC

Fr

FVPM

Tr

FVr

PMT

+=

++

=+

++

11

11

In 2

ndar

ym

kt, l

oans

are

pric

ed s

o th

eir y

ield

s eq

ual t

he “m

kt’s

requ

ired

yiel

d”(li

ke e

xpec

ted

tota

l ret

urn,

E(r)

=rf+

RP,

from

bef

ore)

.

At th

e tim

e w

hen

a lo

an is

orig

inat

ed (p

rimar

y m

arke

t), th

e lo

an y

ield

is u

sual

ly

appr

oxim

atel

yeq

ual t

o its

con

tract

inte

rest

ra

te. (

But n

ot e

xact

ly…

)

The

tric

ky p

arti

n lo

an y

ield

cal

cula

tion:

(a

)The

hol

ding

per

iod

over

whi

ch w

e w

ish

to

calc

ulat

e th

e yi

eld

may

not

equ

al th

e m

atur

ity o

f th

e lo

an (e

.g.,

if th

e lo

an w

ill be

pai

d of

f ear

ly, s

o N

may

not

be

the

orig

inal

mat

urity

of t

he lo

an):

N

≠m

atur

ity ;

(b)T

he a

ctua

l tim

e-ze

ro p

rese

nt c

ash

flow

of t

he

loan

may

not

equ

al th

e in

itial

con

tract

prin

cipa

l on

the

loan

(e.g

., if

ther

e ar

e "p

oint

s" o

r oth

er

clos

ing

cost

s th

at c

ause

the

cash

flow

dis

burs

ed

by th

e le

nder

and

/or t

he c

ash

flow

rece

ived

by

the

borro

wer

to n

ot e

qual

the

cont

ract

prin

cipa

l on

the

loan

, P):

CF 0

≠P

;

(c)T

he a

ctua

l liq

uida

ting

paym

ent t

hat p

ays

off t

he

loan

at t

he e

nd o

f the

pre

sum

ed h

oldi

ng p

erio

d m

ay n

ot e

xact

ly e

qual

the

outs

tand

ing

loan

ba

lanc

e at

that

tim

e (e

.g.,

if th

ere

is a

"pre

paym

ent

pena

lty" f

or p

ayin

g of

f the

loan

ear

ly, t

hen

the

borro

wer

mus

t pay

mor

e th

an th

e lo

an b

alan

ce, s

o FV

is th

en d

iffer

ent f

rom

OLB

): C

F N≠

PMT+

OLB

N

So w

e m

ust m

ake

sure

that

the

amou

nts

in th

e N

, PV,

and

FV

regi

ster

s re

flect

the

actu

al

cash

flow

s…

Exam

ple

•$2

00,0

00 m

ortg

age,

30-

year

mat

urity

, m

onth

ly p

aym

ents

•10

% a

nnua

l int

eres

t•

The

loan

has

“2

poin

ts”

–(‘

disc

ount

poi

nts’

or p

repa

id in

tere

st)

•A

lso

a 3

poin

t pre

paym

ent p

enal

ty th

roug

h en

d of

5th

year

.

•W

hat i

s yi

eld

(“effe

ctiv

e in

tere

st ra

te”)

assu

min

g ho

ldin

g pe

riod

of 4

yea

rs (i

.e.,

borro

wer

will

pay

loan

off

afte

r 48

mon

ths)

?•

Brea

k th

is p

robl

em in

to 3

ste

ps:

(1)C

ompu

te th

e lo

an c

ash

flow

s us

ing

the

cont

ract

va

lues

of t

he p

aram

eter

s(N

=360

, I=1

0%, P

V=20

0000

, FV=

0, C

ompu

te

PMT=

$175

5.14

); (2

)Alte

r the

am

ount

s in

the

regi

ster

s to

refle

ct th

e ac

tual

cas

h flo

ws;

(3

)Com

pute

yie

ld.

•(Y

ou m

ust d

o th

ese

step

s in

this

ord

er.)

Step

1) 36

0----

> N

10---

-> I

/YR

2000

00---

-> P

V0

---->

FV

PMT-

--->

-17

55.1

4

Step

2) 48

---->

NFV

---->

-19

4804

X

1.0

3 =

-20

0,64

9 --

--> F

V19

6000

---->

PV

Step

3) I/Y

R---

-> 1

1.22

%

Expe

cted

yie

ld (l

ike

E(r)

or “g

oing

-in IR

R”)

is 1

1.22

%, e

ven

thou

gh “c

ontra

ctua

l in

tere

st ra

te”o

n th

e lo

an is

onl

y 10

%.

(Whe

n cl

osin

g co

sts

and

prep

aym

ent

pena

lties

are

quo

ted

in "p

oint

s", y

ou d

o no

t ne

ed to

kno

w th

e am

ount

of t

he lo

an to

find

its

yie

ld.)

Gen

eral

rule

to c

alcu

late

yie

ld:

Cha

nge

the

amou

nt in

the

PV R

egis

ter

last

, (ju

st p

rior t

o co

mpu

ting

the

yiel

d).

Equi

vale

nt s

olut

ion

to p

revi

ous

prob

lem

:U

se C

F ke

ys in

stea

d of

mor

tgag

e m

ath

keys

…19

6000

---->

CFj

key

-175

5.14

---->

CFj

key

47

---->

Nj

key

-202

404

---->

CFj

key

IRR

---->

11.

22%

Usi

ng M

arke

t Yie

lds t

o Va

lue

Mor

tgag

es(N

ote:

Thi

s is

per

form

ing

a D

CF

NPV

an

alys

is o

f the

loan

as

an in

vest

men

t, fin

ding

wha

t pric

e ca

n be

pai

d fo

r the

lo

an s

o th

e de

al is

NPV

=0. M

arke

t’s

requ

ired

yiel

d is

“r”,

the

oppo

rtuni

ty c

ost

of c

apita

l for

the

loan

.)

Exam

ple

•$1

00,0

00 m

ortg

age,

30-

year

, 10%

, 3

poin

ts p

repa

ymen

t pen

alty

bef

ore

5 ye

ars.

•Ex

pect

ed ti

me

until

bor

row

er p

repa

ys

loan

= 4

yea

rs.

•H

ow m

uch

is th

e lo

an w

orth

toda

y if

the

mar

ket y

ield

is 1

1.00

%?

Step

1)

360-

-->N

, 10

--->I

/YR

, 10

0000

--->P

V,

0--->

FV,

Com

pute

PM

T--->

-877

.57.

Step

2)

48---

>N,

FV---

> -9

7,40

2 * 1

.03

= -1

00,3

24 --

->FV

.St

ep 3

) I/Y

R---

->11

.00%

.St

ep 4

) PV

---->

98,

697.

The

loan

is w

orth

$98

,697

. (W

atch

out

for o

rder

of s

teps

. Cas

h flo

ws

first

, the

n in

put

the

mar

ket y

ield

, the

n co

mpu

te th

e lo

an v

alue

as

the

PV.)

Det

erm

inin

g re

quire

d “d

isco

unt

poin

ts”

(or “

orig

inat

ion

fee”

):To

avo

id le

nder

doi

ng N

PV <

0 d

eal i

n m

akin

g lo

an, w

e ne

ed:

(100

,000

-98

,697

) / 1

00,0

00

=

1.3

0%

=

1.30

poi

nts