moscow hc globalia expert conference 141008
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«Скрытые чемпионы» (СЧ) — термин, возникший в середине 1980-х. Он обобщает явление, проявившееся на пересечении двух трендов — мощнейшей глобализации экономических процессов и высокой конкурентоспособности среднего бизнеса, прежде всего выращенного в европейских странах. Скрытые чемпионы — это средние крайне узкоспециализированные компании, которые занимают от 50 до 95% мирового рынка в своей нише. Они номер один, два или три на мировом рынке или номер один на своем континенте. Имеют оборот не выше 5 млрд долларов. Малоизвестны публично. Их исследованию посвящена книга немецкого профессора Германа Симона, который на прошлой неделе провел в Москве семинар, организованный медиахолдингом «Эксперт» в сотрудничестве с компанией Invetra. Логика возникновения этого явления такова. Рост экономик развитых стран определяется их способностью удовлетворять быстрорастущий спрос со стороны стран развивающихся. В результате экспорт становится главным фактором успеха страны и ее хозяйственных субъектов. При этом страны используют эту возможность крайне неравномерно. Если мы посмотрим на совокупный экспорт стран, то лидерами окажутся Китай, Германия и США. К этому мы привыкли. Китай представляется главным бенефициаром глобализации в последние пару десятилетий. Однако господин Симон предлагает пересчитать этот экспорт на душу населения, и картина резко меняется. Абсолютное лидерство, с пятнадцатикратным опережением Китая, принадлежит Германии. За ней с двукратным отставанием следуют Корея, Франция, Италия. США — во второй половине первой десятки. Китай вообще ее замыкает. Почему так происходит? Логика подсказывает, что деTRANSCRIPT
www.simon-kucher.com
Hidden Champions – The Vanguard of GlobaliaLessons from Mid-sized German World Market Leaders
Expert-Seminar Moscow, October 8, 2014Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. mult.Hermann Simon
Bonn officeWilly-Brandt-Allee 1353113 [email protected]
Who Is Right?
Financial Times, April 30, 2014
"China overtakes the US?"
People’s Daily Online, May 8, 2014
"China still has a long way to go
before it overtakes the
United States."
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GLOBALIAThe globalized world of the
futureIn order to understand
future opportunities and risks we have to
understandGlobalia! 3
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Globalia 2030: Gross Domestic Products
Billion US-$
USA EU China Japan Germany Brazil India Russia* France UK Italy
24 520
22 37020 900
5 8004 710 4 360 4 290 4 082 3 530 3 270 2 670
*Russia: +4% p.a.
4
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Globalia 2030: Growth until 2030
Growth of GDPs 2013-2030 in billion US-$
China USA EU India Brazil Russia Germany Japan France UK Italy
11 780
7 720
5 000
2 4202 120 1 986
1 050 900 790 730 600
5
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Globalia – Size and Growth of GDP
-1 000 1 000 3 000 5 000 7 000 9 000 11 000 13 000 15 000 0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
EU
China
Germany
Brazil
Japan
India
Gross Domestic Product 2030 in billion $
USA
France
UK
ItalyRussia
Growth of GDP 2013-2030 in billion $
First global league
Second global league
6
Globalia – Until 2050: "Demography is Economy"
*Pakistan, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan Source: UNO Forecast, 2010
75
125
175
Index 2010 = 100
2010 2050
203 Sub-Saharan-Africa1,753
193 Africa 1,998
151 Islamic countries* 1,210
133 India 1,613127 USA 403
111 Brazil 218104 China 1,417
94 Europe 69186 Germany 7183 Russia 11680 Japan 101
million
103 Switzerland 10
Index 2050
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Permanent Immigration into Industrialized Countries 2012
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Japan
Austria
Sweden
Netherlands
Switzerland
France
Australia
Italy
Canada
Spain
United Kingdom
Germany
Russia
USA
0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000
66 800
67 100
81 700
107 500
125 600
241 900
245 100
253 600
257 900
275 000
282 600
399 900
417 700
1030 000
Source: OECD, in: Die Welt, 28.5.2014
1 031 000
European Union total: 2 113 900
- 8 -
Urbanization
The strongest trend – even stronger than demography
The most important effect of urbanization is the decline in the number of children. Urbanization has a stronger impact than the pill or contraception campaigns.
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If the calculations of the World Bank are correct
China is about to experience a population shift
unparalleled in history. 350 million people are
expected to move from rural areas into the cities;
that is more than the entire population of the
United States. …So far 53 percent of the Chinese
live in cities.
Urbanization
Source: Das Volk will wohnen, Mark Siemons, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, June 24, 2014, p. 13.
10
Europe
Population will grow
Internal migration
- from east to west
- from south to north
The north will permanently subsidize the south
Europe will simultaneously become more homogenous and more heterogeneous
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1900 1950 1980 2000 2013
6 23
437
985
2 634
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Accelerating Globalization
Exports per capita in US-$
12
Lesson 1
Globalia is and will be an enormous driver of
growth.
In 2030 China, the US and the EU will be the three
poles of the global economy. All other countries
play in the second global league. Africa will play an
increasingly important role – with uncertain
outcome. Europe will be a growth region with
heterogeneous internal developments.
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Exports 2004-2013
Country
Spain
Russia
Korea
United Kingdom
Italy
France
Japan
USA
Germany
China
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000
2 638
3 814
4 155
4 424
4 566
5 238
6 986
12 234
12 592
13 909
Billion US-$
https://www.destatis.de
15
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Per Capita Exports 2004-2013
Country
China
Russia
USA
Japan
Spain
United Kingdom
Italy
France
Korea
Germany
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000120,000140,000160,000180,000
10 372
26 671
39 338
54 578
57 100
71 355
75 347
79 605
84 796
153 936
US-$
https://www.destatis.de
16
Source: Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, May 5, 2014, p. 18
Professor Marc Melitz, Harvard
"Only the strongest companies
export."
The state doesn’t export!
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Do Large Companies Explain Export Performance?
https://www.destatis.de
0 50 100 150 0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
USA (128)
Japan (57)Korea (17)
Italy (9)
Spain (8)
China (95)
Switzerland (13)
Germany (28)
France (31)
United Kingdom (27)
Fortune Global 500 Corporations (2013)
Exports 2013 in billion US-$
Russia (8)
Hidden Champions Export-
Turbo
19
What Is a Hidden Champion?
Top 3 in the world or no. 1 on its continent
Revenue less than €5 billion
Not well known in general public
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Hidden Champions by Country
Number of Hidden Champions
Australia
Brazil
Spain
Norway
Finland
Russia
Canada
Belgium
Denmark
South Korea
Poland
Netherlands
Sweden
United Kingdom
China
France
Italy
Switzerland
Austria
Japan
USA
Germany
10
11
11
13
14
14
16
19
19
23
27
29
49
67
68
75
76
110
116
220
366
5001 307
Total number worldwide:
2 734
Country
21
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Hidden Champions per Million Inhabitants
China
Russia
Spain
South Korea
United Kingdom
France
USA
Italy
Netherlands
Japan
Belgium
Finland
Norway
Denmark
Sweden
Austria
Switzerland
Germany
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.5
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.7
1.7
1.8
2.7
2.8
3.4
5.4
13.8
13.9
16.016.0
13.9
13.8
5.4
3.4
2.8
2.7
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.1
Number of Hidden Champions per million inhabitants
Country
22
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Key Facts of the Hidden Champions
More than 1.2 million new jobs in 15 years
Annual growth of 10%, revenue 4 times larger than 15 years ago
More than 200 new $-billionaires
Sharp increase of world market share
Massive wave of innovation
- 23 -
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Innovativeness
CountryNumber of
European patents2003-2012
European patentsper millioninhabitants
Germany 130 032 1 590
Japan 108 418 847
Austria 6 366 749
France 44 363 674
USA 134 306 427
Italy 21 636 357
United Kingdom 20 893 337
Korea 9 859 197
Spain 3 649 79
Portugal 249 23
Greece 244 23
Russia 462 3
25
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Strong Manufacturing Base
Source: Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, IWD, Ausgabe 2, 12.01.2012
5 10 15 20 25 30
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Germany
JapanAustria
Switzerland
Italy
Belgium
Spain
Portugal
Denmark
USA
France
UK
Greece
Share of manufacturing in GDP in %
Trade balance in % of GDP
ChinaKorea
26
Cost Competitiveness
Source: The Wall Street Journal, April 18, 2013, p. 32
Unit labor costs, quarterly change(%)
2000
2000
Q4
2001
Q3
2002
Q220
03
2003
Q4
2004
Q3
2005
Q220
06
2006
Q4
2007
Q3
2008
Q220
09
2009
Q4
2010
Q3
2011
Q220
12
2012
Q4
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Spain
France
Germany
Eurozone: +24%
Introduction of the Euro = fixed exchange rates
Italy
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Lesson 2
Business success in Globalia does not primarily
depend on large corporations but on mid-sized
world class companies, especially the Hidden
Champions. Innovative-ness, a strong
manufacturing base and cost competitive-ness
are the factors of their success.
28
The Hidden Champions
Why are they successful?
How do they differ from large corporations?
What can we learn from them?
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Growth
1995 2012 0
3 000
6 000
9 000
12 000
15 000
18 000
21 000
Fresenius
SAPZF Group
Media Saturn
Revenues in million €
From Hidden Champion to Big Champion
31
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Growth
1995 2012 0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
Brose
Enercon
Leoni
Claas
Mid-sized Companies
Revenues in million €
32
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Growth
1995 2012 0
100
200
300
400
500
Rational
BeckhoffIgus
Bartec
Small Hidden Champions
Revenues in million €
33
3B Scientific is the world market leader
in anatomical teaching aids.
"We want to become and stay
no. 1 in the world."
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3B Scientific
34
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Chemetall
Chemetall is the world market leaderin special metals like lithium and
cesium.
"The goal of Chemetall is the
worldwide technology and
marketing leadership."
35
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Deep Leadership: Sick
Sick is a world market leader in sensors.
"We lead by anticipating our customers’
expec-tations. Leadership means becoming
the bench-mark for others. We set the
standards on the world market."
36
Rosen-Group is the world market leader
in pipeline inspection systems.
"We want to create ultimate value for our
custom-ers as the world’s undisputed
leading supplier. It is our objective to be
the world’s most competitive provider. We
go far beyond present market require-
ments. We envision the market’s future
needs."
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Deep Leadership: Rosen-Group
37
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Lesson 3
Success always begins with highly ambitious goals.
The Hidden Champions go for growth and market
leadership. To them leadership means more than
market share. This is the fuel that drives them
forward.
38
Uhlmann is the world market leaderin packaging systems for the pharmaceutical industry.
"We always had one customer and will only
have one customer in the future: the
pharmaceutical industry. We only do one
thing, but we do it right."
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Uhlmann
40
Flexi is the world market leader in retractable dog leashes.
"We only focus on one thing,
but we do it better than anyone
else."
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Flexi
41
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Deep Value Chain
No outsourcing of core competencies
"We produce all parts ourselves, based on the quality standards we define." (Wanzl)
"We grow our own wood in our own plantations." (Faber-Castell)
“We do everything ourselves, especially in R&D” (Pepperl & Fuchs)
Own machine shops
43
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Lesson 4
Only focus leads to world class. The Hidden
Champions are highly focused on their technologies
and their markets. Through a deep value chain they
create unique products and protect their know-how.
44
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Globalization: Kärcher
World market leader in high pressure water cleaners
100 subsidiaries in 60 countries
Number of company foundations and acquisitions
47
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Globalization
A mental and organizational process
Large corporations are typically globalized
Hidden Champions are globalized
In most countries, SMEs are not yet globalized- This has to change, also in Russia- It takes time
- 48 -
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Lesson 5
The Hidden Champions combine focus in product
and know-how with global selling and marketing.
Globalization is the growth booster for them. They
serve the target markets through their own
subsidiaries.
49
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Innovation: R&D Intensity
*IDW study, ** Booz study on R&D
Normal firms* Global Top 1000** Hidden Champions
3.0%
3.6%
6.0%
3.0%
3.6%
6.0%
51
Largecorporations
HiddenChampions
6
31
Patents per 1,000 employees
Cost per patent
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Patents of Hidden Champions vs. Large Corporations
Largecorporations
HiddenChampions
€2.713m
€0.529m
52
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Drivers of Innovation
21%
14%65%
Hidden Champions
50%
31%
19%
Large corporations
Customer Needs
Technology
Customer Needs & Technology
- 56 -
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Value
Strategy value-oriented, not price-oriented
Price premium 10-15%
Service as good as product
Avoid price wars, value competition instead
58
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Closeness-to-customer is the biggest strength of the Hidden Champions
Market-related Strengths
8 %Large corporations
38 %Hidden Champions
Closeness-to-customer
Employees with regular customer
contact
88.7 %
- 60 -
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Closeness to top customers
Grohmann: Global top 30 customers as targets, most important customer is Intel
Top customers as partners and sources of innovation
Follow the top customers everywhere
You can only become and stay world class if you work for the global top customers
- 61 -
Igus is world market leader
in plastic ball bearings and energy chains.
"Never a ‘no’ to a customer
without approval of the boss."
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Exemplary Closeness to Customers
62
Competitive Advantages of the Hidden Champions
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Competitive performance
Importance
weaker stronger than the strongest competitor
Product quality
Price
Economy
Closeness-to-customer
Systems solution
Advice
Service
Punctuality
Flexibility
Advertising
Distribution
Cooperation
with suppliers
Made in Germany
Patents
Ease of use
64
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Competitive Parameters with Biggest Increase in Importance
Advice Systems integration Ease of use
10
8 8
Increase in importance in %
65
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Lesson 6
Innovativeness and closeness to customer are the
greatest strengths of the Hidden Champions. Their
strategies are value-oriented, not price-oriented.
The Hidden Champions hold strong competitive
positions. Advice, systems inte-gration and ease of
use are new advantages which create higher
barriers to entry. 66
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Employees
"More work than heads"
High performance cultures
High qualification
Low turnover
68
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Vocational Training
German industry Hidden Champions
6%
9%
Percentage of apprentices (Azubis)
69
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Higher Qualification
10 years ago today
9%
19%
Share of university and college graduates
70
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Employee Turnover Rates
Source: Hernstein-Institut/US Department of Labor/INSEE (Frankreich), Wall Street Journal Europe, 4. Juni 2013, S. 15
2.7%
5.3%
7.3%
8.8%
9.0%
11.0%
19.0%
Austria
Switzerland
Daimler
Hidden Champions
Germany
USA
France
19.0%
11.0%
9.0%
8.8%
7.3%
5.3%
2.7%
71
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Leaders
Identity of person and mission
Leadership
- authoritarian in the principles
- participative, flexible in the details
Leaders come young into power
More women in top positions
Very high continuity of the leaders
- Hidden Champions: 20 years
- Large corporations: 6.1 years
72
Personality Traits of Hidden Champion Leaders
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Identity of person and
mission
Unity of person and
purpose
Stamina and perseverance
Single-mindedness
Fearlessness
Inspiring to others
73
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Lesson 7
The Hidden Champions have "more work than
heads" and high performance cultures. Turnover
and sickness rates are extremely low. They have
strong leaders whose leadership is authoritarian in
the principles but flexible in the details. Continuity
is very high.
74
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The Lessons in Three Circles
Focus
Strong leadership with ambiti-
ous goals
Closeness to customer
Com
petitiv
e
advanta
ges
Glo
bal
ori
enta
tion
Dep
th
Innovation
High performance employees
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Lessons for Russia and Russian Firms
The whole society must understand the challenges and opportunities of Globalia.
A big country like Russia needs both large corporations and strong mid-sized companies to excel in global competition.
Strong efforts are necessary to educate a generation of globally oriented citizens and entrepreneurs.
Innovation is indispensable for success in Globalia. This applies to companies of all sizes.
Russia must build and retain a strong manufacturing base; relying on raw materials is not enough.
In order to fully exploit their know-how, Russian companies should build their own global networks.
Ultimately, people, especially entrepreneurs, count. Russia has the human resources to excel in Globalia, but it must deploy them more effectively.
76
Simon-Kucher & Partners
Goal: Market leadership and growth
Focus: Marketing, sales, pricing
Global presence
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Best consultancy in marketing, sales, pricing
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1 Simon-Kucher & Partners
2 Boston Consulting Group
3 McKinsey & Company
manager magazin
Source: manager magazin survey of top managers in Germany, August 2007 and 2011/IMB
Source: brand eins Thema/Statista survey of 1,426 partners and project leaders from consulting firms and 1,300 C-level managers from German companies, May 2014
Marketing and sales
Simon-Kucher & Partners
Boston Consulting Group
McKinsey & Company«««
Marketing and pricing
««««
Simon-Kucher & Partners
Boston Consulting Group
McKinsey & Company«««
Sales and CRM
««««
brand eins Thema
.
.
.
.
.
.
«««««
«««««
THE ONLY5-STARCONSULTANCY
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World Leader in Price Consulting
Simon-Kucher is world leader in giving advice to companies on how to price their products.
BusinessWeek
No firm has spearheaded the professionalization of pricing more than Simon-Kucher & Partners.
William Poundstone in Priceless
In pricing you offer something nobody else does.
Professor Peter Drucker
No one knows more about pricing than Simon-Kucher.
Professor Philip Kotler
80
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Growth1
98
5
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
20
07
20
09
20
11
20
13
3 4 5 7 13 18 19 22 27 35 46 56 7190
112130
147165
187220
248283
354
436446466
550
625
694
740Employees
Revenue 2014: €173 million
81
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Globale Presence: 29 Offices
Germany,Bonn
Switzerland, Zurich
Italy,Milan
France,Paris
USA,San Francisco
GermanyMunich
China,Beijing
Turkey,Istanbul
Germany,Frankfurt
USA,New York
Germany,Cologne
USA,Boston
England,London
AustriaVienna
USA,Miami
Denmark,Copenhagen
Netherlands, Amsterdam
Spain,Madrid
Japan,Tokyo
Singa-pore
Australia,Sydney
Poland,Warsaw
UAE,Dubai
Chile,Santiago de Chile
Brazil, Sao Paulo
Belgium, Brussels
Luxem-bourg
Canada,Toronto
Spain,Barcelona
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Hidden Champions Worldwide
Spain1997/2010
Hungary2010
Italy2001/2007/201
1
Brazil2003
India2009
Egypt2008
Germany1997/2007/201
2
China1997/2000/2005/200
9
USA1996/2009
Lithuania2009
Netherlands1997/2009
Slovenia2010
Japan1998/2012
Sweden2013
Vietnam2013
Korea1997/2008/2014
Poland1999/2009
Serbia2007
Czech Rep.2010
Russia2005/2014
Turkey1999/2014
France1998/2012
Taiwan1996/2004/201
3
83
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Management Thinkers 2014
The most influential management thinkers in the German-speaking countries 2014.
www.managementdenker.de, Internet Survey, n=482
Fredmund Malik
Günter Faltin
Jack Welch
Michael E. Porter
Hermann Simon
Peter F. Drucker
6%
7%
9%
13%
19%
25%
85
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Hermann Simon
Professor Simon has published over 30 books in 25 languages, including the worldwide bestsellers Hidden Champions (Boston 1996, cover story of BusinessWeek in 2004) and Power Pricing (New York 1997), as well as Manage for Profit, Not for Market Share (Boston 2006). His book Hidden Champions of the 21st Century, Success Strategies of Unknown World Market Leaders (New York 2009) investigates the strategies of little known market leaders. Beat the Crisis (New York 2010) provides companies with practical advice against the crisis and for a quick recovery.
Simon was and is a member of the editorial boards of numerous business journals, including the International Journal of Research in Marketing, Management Science, Recherche et Applications en Marketing, Décisions Marketing, European Management Journal as well as several German journals. Since 1988, he regularly writes columns for the business monthly Manager Magazin. As a board member of numerous foundations and corporations, Professor Simon has gained substantial experience in corporate governance. From 1984 to 1986 he was the president of the European Marketing Academy (EMAC). Simon is co-founder of the first Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) listed on the German Stock Exchange in Frankfurt, which acquired Exceet Group S.E. in July 2011.
A native of Germany, he studied economics and business administration at the universities of Bonn and Cologne. He received his diploma (1973) and his doctorate (1976) from the University of Bonn. Simon has received numerous international awards and holds honorary doctorates from IEDC Business School of Bled (Slovenia), from the University of Siegen (Germany) and from Kozminski University Warsaw (Poland). He is a honorary professor at the University of International Business and Economics in Beijing.
Hermann Simon is chairman of Simon-Kucher & Partners Strategy & Marketing Consultants with offices in Amsterdam, Beijing, Bonn, Boston, Brussels, Cologne, Copenhagen, Dubai, Frankfurt, Istanbul, London, Luxembourg, Madrid, Miami, Milan, Munich, New York, Paris, San Francisco, Santiago de Chile, Sao Paulo, Singapore, Sydney, Tokyo, Toronto, Vienna, Warsaw and Zurich. Simon is an expert in strategy, marketing and pricing. He has an extensive global range of clients. In the German language area he was voted the most influential management thinker after the late Peter Drucker.
Before committing himself entirely to management consulting, Simon was a professor of business administration and marketing at the Universities of Mainz (1989-1995) and Bielefeld (1979-1989). He was also a visiting professor at Harvard Business School, Stanford, London Business School, INSEAD, Keio University in Tokyo and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. From 1995 to 2009 he was CEO of Simon-Kucher & Partners.
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