MP-SOFI-SD MP-SOFI-SD ProjectProject

Collaborating on a Full Scale Collaborating on a Full Scale Implementation of SOFIImplementation of SOFI

13-Feb-2003 -- Washington, D.C., USA

Peter P. Yim <peter.yim@cim3.com>

(v 1.26)

Presentation to the AC/UNU Millennium Project Planning Committee

OutlineOutline

• BackgroundBackground• MissionMission• The Phase 1 ProjectThe Phase 1 Project• A Look at the A Look at the

SoftwareSoftware• What Can it Do For What Can it Do For

UsUs• What’s Next?What’s Next?• What Now?What Now?

Background Background (1)(1)

• Two Concepts guiding this work:Two Concepts guiding this work:o Futures Research leading to normative futuresFutures Research leading to normative futureso AugmentedAugmented Collaboration towards Collective Collaboration towards Collective

IntelligenceIntelligence

• The Internet moves on: The Internet moves on: o from the research and academic networkfrom the research and academic networko to being a publishing mediato being a publishing mediao to Transactions and Web Servicesto Transactions and Web Serviceso on to being a knowledge media - the Semantic on to being a knowledge media - the Semantic

WebWeb

• This is where we begin – where, hopefully, This is where we begin – where, hopefully, human systems and tools systems may co-human systems and tools systems may co-evolveevolve

MissionMission

• To build on the previous research of the To build on the previous research of the Millennium Project, including the Millennium Project, including the spreadsheet model, algorithm and spreadsheet model, algorithm and collection of data, and progressively collection of data, and progressively develop it into an Internet based futures develop it into an Internet based futures study and analysis tool supported over study and analysis tool supported over an open knowledge system.an open knowledge system.

MP-SOFI-SD Project – MP-SOFI-SD Project – Phase 1Phase 1

• The Project PlanThe Project Plan• The TeamThe Team• The DeliverablesThe Deliverables

The Phase-1 Deliverables The Phase-1 Deliverables (1)(1)

1.1. System Architecture.System Architecture.2.2. System Design.System Design.3.3. Software Coding & Testing.Software Coding & Testing.4.4. Development and deployment of an open Development and deployment of an open

community infrastructure implementation.community infrastructure implementation.5.5. Continued research & development of Continued research & development of

SOFI data and algorithm. This is run as a SOFI data and algorithm. This is run as a parallel track to the software development parallel track to the software development effort, and is eventually integrated with effort, and is eventually integrated with the software tools to produce the product the software tools to produce the product package that will be deployed. package that will be deployed.

The Phase-1 Deliverables The Phase-1 Deliverables (2)(2)

6.6. Training and Deployment. Training and Deployment. 7.7. Release of software product in both Internet Release of software product in both Internet

downloadable and CD-ROM media.downloadable and CD-ROM media.8.8. Launching of online community for Launching of online community for

continuing open, distributed, collaborative continuing open, distributed, collaborative development. development.

9.9. Project postmortem; mining of learning/ Project postmortem; mining of learning/ knowledge from this phase of the Projectknowledge from this phase of the Project

10.10. Initial planning for the next phase of the Initial planning for the next phase of the ProjectProject..

The System The System (1)(1)

• ArchitectureArchitecture• The Knowledge Base/EngineThe Knowledge Base/Engine• The SOFI ComputerThe SOFI Computer• The Community of Practice The Community of Practice

(CoP) Collaborative Work (CoP) Collaborative Work EnvironmentEnvironment

• The User & the User InteractionThe User & the User Interaction

ArchitectuArchitecturere

The System The System (2)(2)

• InteroperabilityInteroperability• OpennessOpenness• Standards Standards

ComplianceCompliance• ScalabilityScalability• ReliabilityReliability• SecuritySecurity

The Millennium Project The Millennium Project to SOFIto SOFI

• Global Delphi Focused on Global NeedsGlobal Delphi Focused on Global Needs• Global Delphi for the 15 Millennium ChallengesGlobal Delphi for the 15 Millennium Challenges• How are we going to know if we are How are we going to know if we are

progressing?progressing?• Nineteen Indicators of Improvement or Nineteen Indicators of Improvement or

RegressionRegression• Clarity of Data and Weighting by Global PanelClarity of Data and Weighting by Global Panel• Analyses and Graphs for Nineteen FactorsAnalyses and Graphs for Nineteen Factors• Analysis and Graph for the SOFIAnalysis and Graph for the SOFI

(Jack)

A Look at the A Look at the (work-in-progress) (work-in-progress)

SoftwareSoftware

• The Screen Layout and User The Screen Layout and User InterfaceInterface

• The WorkflowThe Workflow• The Community ToolsThe Community Tools• Capturing Data and KnowledgeCapturing Data and Knowledge

(To be done via real-time interaction with the prototype software -ppy)

The User InterfaceThe User Interface

What can it do for us?What can it do for us?

• In the context of the Millennium Project (Jerry/Jack)

• How would SOFI data and knowledge help? (Ted/Jack)

• What would global collaboration provide? (Jack)

• How would an open internet technology help? (Peter)

• Who can effectively use SOFI? (Jack/Jerry/Ted) • Use Case examples (Ted/Jerry)

The SOFI GoalsThe SOFI Goals

• Help Institutional Leaders Judge Help Institutional Leaders Judge Scenarios or, Judge What has Greater Scenarios or, Judge What has Greater Impact on their SOFIImpact on their SOFI

• Governments, NGO’s, BusinessesGovernments, NGO’s, Businesses• Is the Preferred Scenario and the Is the Preferred Scenario and the

Intervention Making a Difference?Intervention Making a Difference?• Information to Help Managers Make Information to Help Managers Make

Informed Decisions FasterInformed Decisions Faster• Stack RankingStack Ranking

(Jack)

Who Can Effectively Use Who Can Effectively Use SOFI?SOFI?

• If You Can’t Measure It, You Can’t Manage ItIf You Can’t Measure It, You Can’t Manage It• Governments– Bush’s Millennium Challenge Governments– Bush’s Millennium Challenge

Account for Foreign AssistanceAccount for Foreign Assistance• International Aid – World Bank’s Country International Aid – World Bank’s Country

ComparisonsComparisons• Military – What Threats, Want Force Capabilities Military – What Threats, Want Force Capabilities • Research – Fusion of Nano, Bio, Semi, Info Tech Research – Fusion of Nano, Bio, Semi, Info Tech • Global Business – GM’s What Car, What Country. Global Business – GM’s What Car, What Country.

A Global GM SOFIA Global GM SOFI

(Jack)

What’s Next?What’s Next?

• We want to start a SOFI community We want to start a SOFI community of potential users so that we can of potential users so that we can collaboratively talk about how we collaboratively talk about how we can help to move this forwardcan help to move this forward

• We want a few beta users who can We want a few beta users who can participate in testing, using and participate in testing, using and making suggestions on the initial making suggestions on the initial softwaresoftware

• This project will need global This project will need global collaboration to succeed – therefore, collaboration to succeed – therefore, please get involvedplease get involved

What Now?What Now?

• Get involved, as:Get involved, as:o Sponsor/funderSponsor/fundero potential SOFI developerpotential SOFI developero potential SOFI user (for Policy Makers, potential SOFI user (for Policy Makers,

researchers, …)researchers, …)

• Starting a mailing list [SOFI-Forum] so Starting a mailing list [SOFI-Forum] so that we can virtually discuss and that we can virtually discuss and collaborate on devising how we could collaborate on devising how we could proceedproceed

• [please sign up (pass around sign-up sheet [please sign up (pass around sign-up sheet – ask for name, org, phone, email; – ask for name, org, phone, email; recommended colleagues.)]recommended colleagues.)]

The Take Home The Take Home MessagesMessages

• it's not just software, but rather, it is about the it's not just software, but rather, it is about the co-evolution of tool systems and human systems co-evolution of tool systems and human systems

• this is not another software project, but this is not another software project, but something that is of strategic importance to our something that is of strategic importance to our MP type workMP type work

• this is not even about technology, but about how this is not even about technology, but about how people can handle change and ever increasing people can handle change and ever increasing complexities in the world we live in – improving complexities in the world we live in – improving our ability to systematically measure, analyze, our ability to systematically measure, analyze, manage, be ready, be responsiveness, and manage, be ready, be responsiveness, and

• be able to make informed decisions and cope be able to make informed decisions and cope with the ever more urgent and complex with the ever more urgent and complex “challenges”“challenges”

ReferencesReferences• A copy of this presentation is available at: A copy of this presentation is available at:

http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp- sofi-sd/presentation/mp-sofi-sd-P1.htm

• The 3 page concept letter that you will need The 3 page concept letter that you will need to introduce this project to a potential to introduce this project to a potential sponsor/ collaborator/user/contributor is sponsor/ collaborator/user/contributor is available at: available at: http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi-sd/proposal/SOFI-Concept_letter_template.doc

• The unreleased (work-in-progress) software The unreleased (work-in-progress) software implementation can be viewed at: implementation can be viewed at: http://mp.cim3.net:2180/sofi/ [log in: username=“guest”; password=“guest”]

• [MP-SOFI-SD] Project Documents are [MP-SOFI-SD] Project Documents are accessible from: accessible from: http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi

-sd/home.html

Q & A Q & A and and

DiscussionDiscussion