MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , J a n u a r y 2 0 2 0

March 20, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Retail Trade

J a n u a r y 2 0 2 0

Highlights

Manitoba’s retail sales across all industries totalled $1,765.9 million for January 2020. The retail sales figure for Jan-uary was 0.9% higher than the previous month. Manitoba’s increase from December to January was sixth highest among all provinces. [Based on seasonally adjusted data, thus removing its seasonal patterns]

When compared to January of 2019, Manitoba sales were up 2.3%.

In comparison of 12 month periods ending in January, Manitoba sales rose 1.6%.

Retail sales growth in Manitoba is led by gasoline stations and offset by declines in electronics stores.

Monthly Retail Trade Survey

The Monthly Retail Trade Survey collects sales, e-commerce sales, and the number of retail loca-tions by province, territory, and selected Census Metropolitan Areas (CMA) from a sample of retailers.

Retail sales estimates are a key monthly indicator of consumer purchasing patterns in Canada. Furthermore, retail sales are an important component of the Gross Domestic Product, which measures Canada's production, and are part of many economic models used by public and pri-vate agencies. The Bank of Can-ada relies partly on monthly retail sales estimates when mak-ing decisions that influence in-terest rates. Businesses use re-tail sales estimates to track their own performance against indus-try averages and to prepare investment strategies.

http://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?Function=getSurvey&lang= en&db=imdb&adm=8&dis=2&SDDS=2406

Percent change, Dec 19 – Jan 20 (Seasonally Adjusted)

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

Manitoba saw a 0.9% in-

crease in retail sales from

December to January, the

sixth highest change among

all provinces (New Brunswick

led the country with 3.3%

growth). Canada’s total per-

cent change was 0.4%, while

Newfoundland and Labrador

sales saw the biggest con-

traction among provinces,

down 1.3% over the one-

month period.

Retail Trade Statistics: The monthly retail trade statistics are collected and disseminated by Statistics Canada. For the

purpose of this bulletin, the retail trade statistics are unadjusted for inflation.

From January 2019 to Janu-

ary 2020, Manitoba’s 2.3%

increase in retail sales was

third lowest among provinc-

es, and below Canada’s in-

crease of 3.6% over the

same period. Prince Ed-

ward Island saw the highest

increase at 9.0% over Janu-

ary last year, while British

Columbia placed last among

all provinces with a 0.1%

decrease in January sales.

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

Percent change, Jan 19 – Jan 20 (Unadjusted)

*See appendix tables for a compre-

hensive list of retail trade statistics

3.6

2.3

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

PE NB ON QC CA NS AB SK MB NL BC

year-over-year change (%)

0.90.4

-1.5

-0.5

0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

NB NS PE QC AB MB SK CA BC ON NL

month-over-month change (%)

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , J a n u a r y 2 0 2 0

March 20, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Positive contributors:

Gasoline stations sales in Manitoba contin-

ue to lead the country, up 7.2% between

periods. Canada’s gasoline sales fell 2.2%

over the same period. Gasoline stations

contributed 0.9% towards Manitoba’s over-

all increase.

Health and personal care stores in Manito-

ba led the country with a 15.0% rise in sales

between periods. The increase for the in-

dustry across the nation was 1.4%. Health

and personal cares stores contributed 0.8%

towards Manitoba’s overall increase.

Negative contributors:

Motor vehicle and parts dealers was one of

four industries to experience a decline in

sales, down 2.1% between periods. The total increase for the industry across Canada was 2.4%. Motor vehicles had a

negative impact of 0.6% toward Manitoba’s overall increase.

Electronics and appliance stores sales fell 27.3% between periods. At the national level, industry sales fell 9.4%. Elec-

tronics and appliance stores had a negative impact of 0.6% on Manitoba’s overall increase.

Industry impact on Manitoba’s 12 month rolling sum increase

A 12 month rolling sum is calculated by summing up the sales figures for a 12 month period, up to and including the cur-

rent month. The 12 month sales figure is then compared with the same 12 month period from the previous year to de-

termine percent change. When using a 12 month rolling sum, sales data is seasonally unadjusted. For example, the sales

from December 2015 – December 2016 were $100,000. The sales from December 2016 – December 2017 were $125,000,

resulting in a 25% increase in 12 month rolling sum sales.

Manitoba placed sixth among all provinces with a 1.6%

increase in sales based on a 12 month rolling sum. This

was up 0.5% percentage points from the 12 month rolling

sum increase of 1.1% recorded in December. Manitoba

was slightly below Canada’s nationwide increase of 1.7%.

Manitoba’s ranking can be attributed to high sales from

gasoline stations (+7.2%) offset by low sales from elec-

tronics and appliance stores (-27.3%). Note: Excluding

gasoline sales, Manitoba retail sales would be up 0.9% and

ranked seventh among provinces.

Prince Edward Island led the county with a 4.2% increase

in sales, while Alberta trailed all provinces with a 0.7%

decrease in sales.

Contact: David Desrochers david.desrochers@gov.mb.ca

MBS intranet website: http://intranet.mbgov.ca/finance/mbs/Pages/default.aspx

MBS public website: http://www.gov.mb.ca/mbs/

*See appendix tables for a comprehensive list of retail trade statistics

Retail sales growth, 12 month rolling sum [Feb 2018—Jan 2019] - [Feb 2019—Jan 2020]

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

1.7 1.6

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

PE ON NS NB QC CA MB BC NL SK AB

change, 12 month roll ing sum (%)

Contributions by industry, Manitoba Retail sales (up 1.6%) [Feb 2018—Jan 2019] - [Feb 2019—Jan 2020]

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

-0.6-0.6

0.00.00.0

0.10.2

0.40.5

0.80.9

-1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0

Electronics & appliancesMotor vehicles

Sports, hobby & music storesFurniture

Clothing storesMisc. retail stores

Food & beverage storesBuilding Materials

General merchandise storesHealth & personal care stores

Gasoline stations

(%)

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , J a n u a r y 2 0 2 0

March 20, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Table 1A: Retail sales, Canada and provinces - Unadjusted January 2020

Jan Dec Jan Dec to Jan 2019 to

2019 2019r 2020p Jan 2020 Jan 2020

Canada 42,253 54,407 43,759 -19.6 3.6

Newfoundland and Labrador 587 820 588 -28.3 0.1

Prince Edward Is land 160 215 174 -18.8 9.0

Nova Scotia 1,137 1,443 1,175 -18.6 3.4

New Brunswick 890 1,162 968 -16.8 8.8

Quebec 8,867 11,094 9,224 -16.9 4.0

Ontario 15,686 21,127 16,475 -22.0 5.0

Manitoba 1,447 1,829 1,480 -19.1 2.3

Saskatchewan 1,346 1,670 1,378 -17.5 2.3

Alberta 5,726 7,106 5,894 -17.1 2.9

Bri ti sh Columbia 6,260 7,762 6,255 -19.4 -0.1

Manitoba Rank (out of 10 provinces) 7 8

Table 1B: Retail sales, Canada and provinces - Seasonally adjusted January 2020

Jan Dec Jan Dec to Jan 2019 to

2019 2019r 2020p Jan 2020 Jan 2020

Canada 50,249 51,746 51,974 0.4 3.4

Newfoundland and Labrador 741 754 744 -1.3 0.5

Prince Edward Is land 201 212 216 2.1 7.3

Nova Scotia 1,359 1,359 1,387 2.1 2.0

New Brunswick 1,075 1,122 1,159 3.3 7.7

Quebec 10,820 10,984 11,167 1.7 3.2

Ontario 18,550 19,748 19,594 -0.8 5.6

Manitoba 1,711 1,751 1,766 0.9 3.2

Saskatchewan 1,595 1,619 1,631 0.7 2.3

Alberta 6,745 6,778 6,889 1.6 2.1

Bri ti sh Columbia 7,279 7,247 7,247 0.0 -0.4

Manitoba Rank (out of 10 provinces) 6 5

r revised

Release date: March 20, 2020

p prelimilary

Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding, as well as excludes the three territories

Source: Prepared by the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics, adapted from Statistics Canada, table 20-10-0008-01 (formerly CANSIM 080-0020)

millions of dollars % change

millions of dollars % change

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , J a n u a r y 2 0 2 0

March 20, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Table 2: Retail sales by industry, Manitoba - Unadjusted January 2020

Jan Dec Jan Dec to Jan 2019 to

2019 2019r 2020p Jan 2020 Jan 2020

Retail trade 1,447 1,829 1,480 -19.1 2.3

Motor vehicle and parts dealers 349 369 370 0.2 5.9

Automobi le dealers 304 319 321 0.6 5.6

New car dealers 290 294 303 3.0 4.3

Used car dealers 14 25 18 -28.0 32.6

Other motor vehicle dealers 14 16 16 -5.2 13.3

Automotive parts , accessories and ti re s tores 31 33 33 -0.3 6.1

Furniture and home furnishings s tores 41 56 43 -23.8 2.6

Furni ture s tores 29 41 30 -28.0 2.8

Home furnishings s tores 13 14 13 -11.7 2.2

Electronics and appl iance s tores 25 47 23 -51.9 -9.9

Bui lding materia l & garden equipment & suppl ies 80 89 85 -4.2 6.0

Food and beverage s tores 346 408 346 -15.3 -0.1

Grocery s tores 282 299 288 -3.6 2.1

Supermarkets and other grocery (excl . convenience) s tores 258 279 265 -5.2 2.5

Convenience s tores 24 20 0 . . -100.0

Specia l ty food s tores 9 20 7 -62.8 -16.4

Beer, wine and l iquor s tores 55 89 50 -43.9 -9.0

Health and personal care s tores 111 127 113 -11.2 2.1

Gasol ine s tations 198 210 205 -2.1 3.7

Clothing and clothing accessories s tores 51 110 52 -52.8 1.8

Clothing s tores 40 81 40 -50.8 1.1

Shoe s tores 7 14 6 -55.8 -6.8

Jewel lery, luggage and leather goods s tores 4 14 5 -61.4 21.3

Sporting goods , hobby, book and mus ic s tores 27 61 23 -62.0 -15.5

Genera l merchandise s tores 179 302 184 -39.2 2.7

Miscel laneous s tore reta i lers 38 51 38 -26.6 0.3

Released date: March 20, 2020

p prelimilary

x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act

r revised

Source: Prepared by the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics, adapted from Statistics Canada, table 20-10-0008-01 (formerly CANSIM 080-0020)

Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding

. . not available for a specific reference period

millions of dollars % change

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , J a n u a r y 2 0 2 0

March 20, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Table 3: Retail sales by industry, Manitoba - Unadjusted

Accumulative totals: Year-to-date and 12 month rolling sum

Jan 19 Jan 20 Feb 18 Feb 19

to to to to Contributing

Jan 19 Jan 20 Jan 19 Jan 20 Growth (3)

% change % change %

Retail trade 1,447 1,480 2.3 20,893 21,236 1.6 1.6

Motor vehicle and parts dealers 349 370 5.9 5,579 5,459 -2.1 -0.6

Automobi le dealers 304 321 5.6 4,805 4,616 -3.9 -0.9

New car dealers 290 303 4.3 4,507 4,306 -4.4 -1.0

Used car dealers 14 18 32.6 298 309 3.9 0.1

Other motor vehicle dealers 14 16 13.3 314 310 -1.2 0.0

Automotive parts , accessories and ti re s tores 31 33 6.1 460 534 15.9 0.4

Furniture and home furnishings s tores 41 43 2.6 587 581 -1.1 0.0

Furni ture s tores 29 30 2.8 402 419 4.3 0.1

Home furnishings s tores 13 13 2.2 186 162 -12.6 -0.1

Electronics and appl iance s tores 25 23 -9.9 460 334 -27.3 -0.6

Bui lding materia l & garden equipment & suppl ies 80 85 6.0 1,495 1,574 5.3 0.4

Food and beverage s tores 346 346 -0.1 4,439 4,479 0.9 0.2

Grocery s tores 282 288 2.1 3,424 3,501 2.3 0.4

Specia l ty food s tores 9 7 -16.4 174 150 -13.9 -0.1

Beer, wine and l iquor s tores 55 50 -9.0 841 828 -1.5 -0.1

Health and personal care s tores 111 113 2.1 1,167 1,342 15.0 0.8

Gasol ine s tations 198 205 3.7 2,609 2,796 7.2 0.9

Clothing and clothing accessories s tores 51 52 1.8 874 872 -0.2 0.0

Clothing s tores 40 40 1.1 670 661 -1.3 0.0

Shoe s tores 7 6 -6.8 127 124 -2.3 0.0

Jewel lery, luggage and leather goods s tores 4 5 21.3 76 86 12.7 0.0

Sporting goods , hobby, book and mus ic s tores 27 23 -15.5 418 409 -2.2 0.0

Genera l merchandise s tores 180 184 1.8 2,763 2,859 3.5 0.5

Miscel laneous s tore reta i lers 38 38 -1.4 502 529 5.4 0.1

millions of dollars

p prelimilary

millions of dollars

Released date: March 20, 2020

January 2020

. . not available for a specific reference period

(2) Compares the sum of the 12 months ending this month with the sum of the 12 months ending one year earlier.

(1) Compares the sum of the months beginning in January to the latest month available with the same period one year earlier.

Source: Prepared by the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics, adapted from Statistics Canada, table 20-10-0008-01 (formerly CANSIM 080-0020)

Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding

(3) Contributing growth rates indicate how much a components’growth contributed to the overall growth for an indicator. In the context of retail

12 month rolling sum (2)

contributing growth rates equals the retail trade growth rate.

trade, contributing growth rates indicate how much the components of retail trade contributed to the overall growth of retail. The sum of the

x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act

r revised

Year-to-date (1)