multifractal behavior of financial time series are there similarities between multifractals in...
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Multifractal behavior of financial time series
• Are there similarities between multifractals in different markets?
• Do price changes and volume changes in stock market indices have similar multifractal properties?
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• Price changes are more complex and lack long-term correlations
-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 100.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0 Price Original Shuffled
Volume Original Shuffled
S&P 500
h(q)
q
• Volume changes are less complex with anti-persistent long-term correlations
• Distinct multifractal regimes for price and volume changes?
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Multifractal analysis of managed and independent float exchange rates
Questions:• Are there any distinct multifractal behaviors when transitioning from a managed to independent float regime?• If so, what do they represent?
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10 returnsBrazil
R(t)
t0 2000 4000 6000
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10 returnsSouth Korea
R(t)
t
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-0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.20.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2Independent
Original Shuffled
Managed Original Shuffled
Australia
f()
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.20.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2Independent
Original Shuffled
Managed Original Shuffled
New Zealand
f()
Answers:• transitions to independent float regimes indicate market efficiency• developed countries are more sensitive to changes in currency regimes
Multifractal analysis of managed and independent float exchange rates