multifractal behavior of financial time series are there similarities between multifractals in...

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Multifractal behavior of financial time series • Are there similarities between multifractals in different markets? • Do price changes and volume changes in stock market indices have similar multifractal properties?

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Page 1: Multifractal behavior of financial time series Are there similarities between multifractals in different markets? Do price changes and volume changes in

Multifractal behavior of financial time series

• Are there similarities between multifractals in different markets?

• Do price changes and volume changes in stock market indices have similar multifractal properties?

Page 2: Multifractal behavior of financial time series Are there similarities between multifractals in different markets? Do price changes and volume changes in

• Price changes are more complex and lack long-term correlations

-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 100.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0 Price Original Shuffled

Volume Original Shuffled

S&P 500

h(q)

q

• Volume changes are less complex with anti-persistent long-term correlations

• Distinct multifractal regimes for price and volume changes?

Page 3: Multifractal behavior of financial time series Are there similarities between multifractals in different markets? Do price changes and volume changes in

Multifractal analysis of managed and independent float exchange rates

Questions:• Are there any distinct multifractal behaviors when transitioning from a managed to independent float regime?• If so, what do they represent?

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000-0.10

-0.05

0.00

0.05

0.10 returnsBrazil

R(t)

t0 2000 4000 6000

-0.10

-0.05

0.00

0.05

0.10 returnsSouth Korea

R(t)

t

Page 4: Multifractal behavior of financial time series Are there similarities between multifractals in different markets? Do price changes and volume changes in

-0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.20.0

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0.4

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1.0

1.2Independent

Original Shuffled

Managed Original Shuffled

Australia

f()

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.20.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2Independent

Original Shuffled

Managed Original Shuffled

New Zealand

f()

Answers:• transitions to independent float regimes indicate market efficiency• developed countries are more sensitive to changes in currency regimes

Multifractal analysis of managed and independent float exchange rates