muskie school of public service analysis of sentences and probation conditions of mdoc clients...

Muskie School of Public Service

Analysis of Sentences and Probation Conditions of MDOC clients 2004-2007

October 30, 2007

Mark Rubin, Research Associate

Muskie School of Public Service Institute for Public Sector Innovation

Data

• Data of Prison inmates on 10/15/2004, 2005, 2006, and 2007 (snapshots)

• All sentences (including suspended/unsuspended portion) issued to MDOC clients from Jan. 1, 2004 to October, 2007.

• All probation conditions of clients Jan. 1, 2004 to October 2007


Adult Facilities/Prison Demographics Analysis


Prison Population on 10/15/2004, 2005, 2006, 2007

2023

2161

1994

2022

1900

1950

2000

2050

2100

2150

2200

2004 2005 2006 2007

Prison Population 10/15


Prison Population by Type of Court Action

29.3% 28.1% 27.0% 24.8%

70.7% 71.9% 73.0% 75.2%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

2004 2005 2006 2007

Partial/Full RevocationSentenced for a New Crime


Class of Crime in Adult Facilities (10/15/2007)

26%

30%

34%

2%

0% 8%

A BC DE M


Top Ten Controlling Sentences in Adult Facilities 10/15/2007

Crimes Inmates

GROSS SEXUAL ASSAULT A 197

BURGLARY B 183

MURDER M 182

UNLAWFUL TRAFFICKING IN SCHEDULED DRUGS B 149

ROBBERY A 129

AGGRAVATED ASSAULT B 106

THEFT BY UNAUTHORIZED TAKING OR TRANSFER C 83

BURGLARY C 60

ASSAULT C 59

THEFT BY UNAUTHORIZED TAKING OR TRANSFER B 56


Sentence Length

• Almost two thirds of the prison population (10/15/2007) have a sentence of 3 years or less.

Crime Class Frequency Percent Average sentence length A 568 26.3 9.3 years B 652 30.2 3.0 years

C 711 32.9 2.1 years

D 38 1.8 1.3 year

E 4 .2 NA

Murder 182 8.4

45 years (141 inmates) Life (42 inmates)

Other 6 .2 NA

Total 2161 100.0 7.2 years


Analysis of sentences resulting in DOC supervision (Adult Facilities or Probation)


DOC supervision sentences

1. Straight prison

2. Prison/probation

3. Jail/probation

4. Straight Probation


Mean length of underlying sentence for 1 count disposition

6.6

8.2

6.9

8.4

3.43.0

3.43.1

2.1 2.02.2 2.2

0.6 0.6 0.6 0.70.4 0.3 0.3 0.2

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

A B C D E

Ye

ars


Mean length of unsuspended (custody) time for 1 count sentences

2.4

2.93.0

3.6

0.70.6

0.70.5

0.40.3 0.3 0.3

0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.02

004

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

A B C D E

Yea

rs


Mean suspended percent for 1 count sentences

64.1

56.2 56.9

80.1 81.179.4

82.9 81.6

86.2 85.1 84.8

92.0 92.4 91.1 92.4 91.087.1

79.1

72.3

64.7

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

A B C D E

Per

ce

nt


Mean length of probation4.1

3.7 3.7

4.0

2.4

2.1 2.22.0

1.9

1.6 1.5 1.5

1.11.2 1.2 1.2

0.80.6

0.40.2

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.52

00

4

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

A B C D EIn 2004, Probation lengths were reduced 4 yrs. to 3 yrs. for B crimes and 4 yrs.to 2 yrs. for C class crimes

Ye

ars


Controlling Sentence of DOC clients

Most common offense leading to DOC supervision between 2004-2007

Offense Number Percent

ASSAULT/THREATENING 4169 25.2

THEFT 2185 13.2

DRUGS 2062 12.5

BURGLARY 1936 11.7

OUI 1163 7.0

TRAFFIC CRIMINAL 874 5.3

SEX OFFENSES 658 4.0


Sentencing Analysis of Four crimes

1. OUI

2. Theft

3. Burglary

4. Drugs


Mean Underlying Sentence (OUI)

2.6

0.6 0.6

2.4

0.6

2.6

0.6

2.8

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

C D

OUI

Yea

rs

2004 Mean Sentence200520062007


Mean Underlying Sentence (Theft)

3.5

2.2

0.70.4

3.7

2.0

0.70.4

3.9

2.3

0.70.5

3.9

2.0

0.7 0.6

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

B C D E

THEFT

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Sentence

2005

2006

2007


Mean Underlying Sentence (Burglary)

2.8

2.3

2.8

2.5

3.0

2.42.4 2.4

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

B C

BURGLARY

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Sentence

2005

2006

2007


Mean Underlying Sentence (Drugs)

3.5

2.3

2.9

2.0

3.4

2.1

3.1

2.2

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

B C

DRUGS

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Sentence

2005

2006

2007


Mean Unsuspended Time (OUI)

1.0

0.1

0.8

0.1

0.5

0.1

0.7

0.1

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

C D

OUI

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Custody 200520062007


Mean Unsuspended Time (Theft)

1.00.9

0.1 0.1

1.1

0.6

0.10.2

1.4

0.7

0.10.2

1.3

0.5

0.2

0.4

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

B C D E

THEFT

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Custody

2005

2006

2007


Mean Unsuspended Time (Burglary)

0.4

0.2

0.3

0.2

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.4

B C

BURGLARY

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Custody

2005

2006

2007


Mean Unsuspended Time (Drugs)

0.9

0.3

0.6

0.2

0.8

0.3

0.6

0.3

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

B C

DRUGS

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Custody

2005

2006

2007


Mean Probation Time (OUI)

1.9

1.0

1.9

1.0

1.6

1.0

1.7

0.9

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

C D

OUI

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Probation

2005

2006

2007


Mean Probation Time (Theft)

2.8

1.6

1.00.8

2.5

1.5

0.9

0.4

2.2

1.5

0.8

0.5

2.2

1.4

0.7

0.3

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

B C D E

THEFT

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Probation

2005

2006

2007


Mean Probation Time (Burglary)

2.5

2.22.2

1.92.1

1.91.91.8

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

B C

BURGLARY

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Probation

20052006

2007


Mean Probation Time (Drugs)2.2 2.2

2.01.9

2.2

1.6

1.91.7

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

B C

DRUGS

Ye

ars

2004 Mean Probation200520062007


Analysis of Probation Conditions and Revocations


Active Probation Population on 10/15/2004, 2005, 2006, 2007

64796472

9902

6768

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2004 2005 2006 2007

Active Probation Population10/15


Revocations to Prison

• In 2007, revocation serve days have increased by 56 days from previous year.

523

536

520

577

490

500

510

520

530

540

550

560

570

580

590

2004 2005 2006 2007

Da

ys


Standard probation conditions1) No new criminal acts,

2) Report as directed,

3) No excessive alcohol,

4) No unlawful drug use,

5) Seek and maintain employment,

6) Devote to an employment /education program,

7) Answer all Questions,

8) Permit visit,

9) Agree to waive extradition,

10) Provide DNA sample as directed,

11) Identify as a probationer,

12) Obtain permission before change of address,

13) Obtain permission before change of employment,

14) Not to leave State without permission,

15) Notify of Police Contact


Most common special probation conditions

No alcohol 78.7%

Pay supervision fee 73.5%

Search and test for alcohol and drugs 59.6%

No contact of any kind (specify) 50.9%

Counseling - Substance Abuse 42.0%

Pay Restitution 36.9%

No drugs (illegal or misuse of prescription drugs) 32.4%

Not to own/possess any firearms or dangerous weapons 29.2%

Counseling – substance abuse (out patient) 24.4%

Evaluation – substance abuse 26.4%

muskie school of public service analysis of sentences and probation conditions of mdoc clients...

Documents

length of probation

straight probation slide

probation time theft

probation time burglary

probation time drugs

probation time oui slide

unsuspended time theft

unsuspended time drugs