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NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee NASA Headquarters April 16, 2009

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Page 1: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009

NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee

NASA Headquarters April 16, 2009

Page 2: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009

• Col. Eileen Collins, Chair • Dr. Pat Condon • Dr. Owen Garriott • Mr. Jay Greene • Dr. Tom Jones • Adm. Benjamin Montoya

• Jacob Keaton, Executive Secretary, NASA

Space Operations Committee

Page 3: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009

Summary of Activities

• ISS Status • Space Shuttle Manifest Update • Orbital Debris Update • Orbital Sciences Corporation Facility Visit • ISS Research Program Plan Update

Page 4: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009

Page 5: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009

Page 6: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 1April 16, 2009

ISS Program Update• Complete ISS Assembly

• All U.S.-built elements are on-orbit• Final power system element (S6 solar array) delivered and activated • Two major elements remain: Node 3, Japanese External Research Facilities

• On track to achieve 6 crew capability – May 2009 Soyuz Launch• Environmental and Life Support Systems activated• Water Recovery System (including the Urine Processor Assembly) is on-orbit and functional

• Continuing crew/cargo flight planning• 2 Soyuz crew exchanges per year• 3-4 Progress cargo re-supply flights per year• Japanese HII Transfer Vehicle (HTV) scheduled for September 2009

• Continuing to pre-position critical system spares and outfit laboratories with remaining Shuttle flights

Page 7: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 2April 16, 2009

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NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 3April 16, 2009

Orbital Debris Update

Briefing by Gene Stansbery, Orbital Debris Program Office, JSC

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

PROJECT ION YEAR [yr]

EF

FE

CT

IVE

NU

MB

ER

OF

OB

JEC

TS

> 1

0CM

Standard EVOLVE Run (No Mitigation)

Explos. Suppression after year 10

50 yr De-orbit, ES

25 yr De-orbit, ES

10 yr De-orbit, ES

Page 9: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 4April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1960

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

Page 10: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 5April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1965

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

Page 11: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 6April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1970

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

Page 12: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 7April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1975

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

Page 13: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 8April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1980

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

Page 14: NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee · 2013-05-01 · NASA Advisory Council Space Operations Committee April 16, 2009 1 ISS Program Update • Complete ISS Assembly •All

NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 9April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1985

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

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NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 1

0

April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1990

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

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NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 1

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April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

1995

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

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NASA Advisory CouncilSpace Operations Committee 1

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April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

2000

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

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April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

2005

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

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April 16, 2009

Cataloged objects >10 cm diameter

January 2009

Growth of the Earth Satellite Population

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April 16, 2009

Principal Orbital Debris Data Sources

0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

5.5

6.5

0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

Haystack Radar

Haystack Auxiliary Radar

Space Surveillance NetworkGoldstone Radars

Spacecraft Surface Inspections

Window Replacement

EVA Suit Penetration

Radiator Penetration

Debris Diameter in Centimeters

RCC Penetration

TPS Tile Penetration

Cabin Penetration

Cargo Bay Damage

Potential Shuttle Damage

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April 16, 2009

LEGEND(A LEO-to-GEO Environment Debris Model)

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April 16, 2009

Shielding the International Space StationThe International Space Station is the most heavily protected space vehicle with more than 200 different types of shields to mitigate the effects of small particle hypervelocity impacts.

One of 200+ design configurations

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April 16, 2009

Effect of Recent Collisions on the Cataloged Population

• Number of cataloged objects has increased by more than 30% since 1 January 2007

• Catalog currently has more than 14,000 objects in orbit

0

5000

10000

1500019

56

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

Num

ber o

f Obj

ects

Year

Total Objects

Fragmentation Debris

Spacecraft

Mission-related Debris

Rocket Bodies

Iridium-Cosmos Collision

USA 193

Fengyun ASAT

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April 16, 2009

Collision of Iridium 33 and Cosmos 2251

• The first accidental collision between two large intact satellites occurred on 10 February at an altitude of ~790 km.

• The SSN continues to catalog debris from the collision. Close to 900 objects have been cataloged to date.

• There is an approximate 2-to-1 ratio in the number of Cosmos debris to Iridium debris.

• Preliminary results indicate other differences between the two debris clouds.

Iridium 33

Cosmos 2251

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April 16, 2009

Anticipated Evolution of Collision Debris Clouds

7 Days 30 Days

6 Months 1 Year

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April 16, 2009

Recent Growth of Satellite Population in Low Earth Orbit

The growth of the cataloged satellite population during the past 15 years has been primarily influenced by China’s ASAT test in January 2007.

0.E+ 00

1.E-08

2.E-08

3.E-08

4.E-08

5.E-08

200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 18 00 20 00

A ltitu de (km )

19 94

19 99

20 04

20 09

Spa

tial D

ensi

ty

(obj

ects

per

km

3)

Site of 10 February Collision

Altitude of Chinese

ASAT test

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April 16, 2009

Summary• The population of debris in orbit continues to grow.• Since January 2007, the number of cataloged orbital

debris objects has increased by more than 30%.• Example: ISS conjunction in March 2009• Long-term solutions to the orbital debris environment are

still needed.• Several high profile events have raised the awareness of

orbital debris issues providing an opportunity to examine a more aggressive program.

• Recommendation

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April 16, 2009

Orbital Sciences Corp. Overview• Space Operations Committee visited on April 14, 2009

• Leading Developer and Manufacturer of Smaller Satellites and Launch Vehicles

– Focus on Growing Market Niches Not Well Served By Larger Companies– Provide Highly-Reliable Systems on Fast Schedules and at Affordable Prices

• About 890 Satellites and Launch Vehicles Built or On Contract for Customers

– 690 Systems Developed, Built and Delivered From 1982 to 2008 – 200 Systems Under Contract for Deliveries From 2009 to 2015

• 3,700 Employees and 1.25 Million Square Feet of State-of-the-Art Facilities

• Over $5.8 Billion Total Contract Backlog With Premier Customers

• Revenues of $1.17 Billion in 2008, Aiming for ∼10% Annual Long-Term Growth

• Conservative Balance Sheet, Strong Cash Flow and Liquidity

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April 16, 2009

High-Caliber Engineering-Centric Workforce

51% 27%

16%

2%4%

ProgramManagers

Engineers/Scientists Manufacturing/Test/

QA Specialists

BusinessSupportSpecialists

General Managers/Marketing Managers

3,700 Employees*

26%

25%

4%

12%

13%

20%

SystemsEngineers

Designers Other Engineers(GN&C, RF/Optical, Aero, Mission Ops)

ElectricalEngineers

MechanicalEngineers

1,875 Engineers/Scientists*

*As of April 1, 2009

TechnicalStaff Software

Engineers

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April 16, 2009

Commercial Orbital TransportationService (COTS)

AndCommercial Resupply Service (CRS)

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April 16, 2009

Orbital COTS Systems Architecture

Taurus II

The Orbital COTS System is comprised of 4 Major Elements

Cargo OperationsIntegrated Launch

Site OperationsMission Operations

Orbital COTS System

Cygnus Visiting Vehicle

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April 16, 2009

Cygnus Visiting Vehicle (Free Flight)

+Z+X

+Y

JEM

PMA-2

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April 16, 2009

Cygnus Berthed at ISS Node 2

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April 16, 2009

Demonstration and Operational Phase• Orbital On Contract For Eight Operational Missions Between

2011 And 2015

• CRS Missions Carry Pressurized Cargo To ISS And Disposal Cargo From ISS

• CRS Missions Three Through Eight Provide Enhanced Capability– Cygnus Will Utilize A Larger PCM To Provide 2700 Kg

Cargo Capacity– Taurus II Will Utilize Enhanced Second Stage– Cygnus Service Module Design Is Common

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April 16, 2009

Taurus II Launch Sites

VandenbergAir Force Base (VAFB)

• VAFB in California is a Another Prime Location for High Inclination, Sun-Synchronous Launches

Kodiak Launch Complex (KLC)

• KLC in Alaska Provides Taurus II with a Prime Location for Launching High Inclination, Sun-Synchronous Missions

Wallops Flight Facility (WFF)

Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS)

• NASA’s WFF in Virginia is Home to the Taurus II COTS/CRS Launch Program and Supports Mid-Inclination and High Energy Missions

• CCAFS in Florida Along with NASA’s Kennedy Space Center Provides Taurus II with a Veteran Launch Location for Low-Inclination and Specialized Missions

LAUNCH SITESWallops Flight Facility is Baseline Launch Site for Initial Taurus II Launches, Supporting COTS/CRSHowever Taurus II Vehicle is Compatible with Multiple U.S. Launch Ranges Providing Customers

with a Variety of Capabilities

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April 16, 2009

Taurus II Schedule and Manifest

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April 16, 2009

Orion Launch Abort System

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April 16, 2009

Summary of Accomplishments 2008/09

Major AccomplishmentsCompleted Major Development TestingCompleted Structures FabricationCompleted Second Full Scale Jettison Motor Static Fire Test On ScheduleSuccessful Abort Motor Static Fire TestSuccessful LAS Modal TestSuccessfully Supported PDR ActivitiesMeeting Both PA-1 and Operational LAS Mass RequirementsGFY08 Expenditures Came In Under The Required LimitSuccessful ACM HT-6 TestSuccessful ACM HT-8A Test

Control Motor StructuralDevelopment Unit

Abort Motor Full Scale Test

Second Jettison Motor FullScale Test

LAS Modal Test

Attitude Control Motor HT-8A Test

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April 16, 2009

Orbital Sciences Corp. Facility VisitSummary

• The Space Ops Committee has now visited the facilities of both COTS companies, SpaceX and Orbital Sciences Corp., and is pleased to report positive progress in both cases.

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April 16, 2009

U.S. Research on ISS National Lab

ISS National Laboratory beginning in 2010 (NASA Authorization Acts of 2005 and 2008)

•Opportunities for other U.S. government agencies to use ISS to meet their agency objectives•Opportunities for commercial interests to use ISS in the interests of economic development in space•SAA in place with NIH

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April 16, 2009

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April 16, 2009

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April 16, 2009

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April 16, 2009

RecommendationRecommendation:

We recommend that NASA conduct an in-house study of the current and projected orbital debris situation in order to evaluate the costs and benefits of developing a form of debris removal technology. The study should compare the costs of operating in the ever-expanding debris population with those of developing a selective debris removal method, and how those compare with long-term savings from actively reducing the threat of future collisions. We also recommend that NASA examine enhancements to the nation’s debris detection, tracking, and prediction capabilities that will enhance spacecraft protection.

Rationale:

The growing debris population, expanded significantly by recent ASAT tests and random collisions, poses a continuing and increasing threat to operational spacecraft. Despite international protocols on preventing the creation of future debris, the debris population will continue to expand for decades, well past the middle of the century. Gaps exist in U.S. detection capabilities, especially at smaller debris sizes that can still cause catastrophic damage to spacecraft. The projected debris population will, over decades, result in additional damage to or loss of spacecraft, and poses a growing threat to spacecraft. NASA may be able to offer methods to actively reduce the debris population. The benefits of reducing the debris population will accrue to commercial, military, and NASA spacecraft.

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April 16, 2009

Activities for Next QuarterFact finding:• Human/Machine Interface of Orion for both ISS and Lunar missions• Orion Water vs Land Landing (with Exploration Committee)• Constellation Deep Space Operations beyond the Moon (e.g. NEOs)

(with Exploration Committee)• Ames work on handling qualities for Moon/Mars landers

Activities:• Attend Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel briefing at JSC (April 2009)

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April 16, 2009

Summary of Activities

• ISS Status• Space Shuttle Manifest Update• Orbital Debris Update• Orbital Sciences Corporation Facility Visit• ISS Research Program Plan Update