The Minnesota State Colleges and Universities System is an Equal Opportunity employer and educator.

High-Skill, High-Wage, or High-Demand Career Pathways in Minnesota:

A Step-by-Step Procedure that Links Student Credential Attainment to

Employment Occupational Demand

National Association of Career and Technical Education Information

Boise IdahoMay 22, 2008

Pradeep KotamrajuSystem Director,

Perkins Federal Grant

pradeep.kotamraju@so.mnscu.edu

Bruce Steuernagel

Labor Market Analyst

Program Approval Unit

bruce.steuernagel@so.mnscu.edu

Academic and Student AffairsOffice of the Chancellor

Minnesota State Colleges and Universitieswww.mnscu.edu

Slide 2

• Using the Career Pathway Framework:– Using current Labor Market

Information for ranking career pathway as In-Demand Career Pathways (IDCP)

– Labor Market Information further analyzed at the pathway level to determine high-wage or high-demand or high-skill

Study Purpose and Presentation Outline

Slide 3

• Using the Career Pathway Framework:– Develop a Career Pathway Sustained

Student Interest (CPSSI) Ranking Using Longitudinal (2003-2007) Post-Secondary CTE Data on Concentrators

– Match In-Demand Career Pathways (IDCP) Ranking to Career Pathway Sustained Student Interest (CPSSI) Ranking

Study Purpose and Presentation Outline

Slide 4

• Using the Career Pathway Framework:– Develop a Typology that Relates In-

Demand Career Pathways (IDCP) to Career Pathway Sustained Student Interest (CPSSI)

– Identify High-Wage or High Demand or High Skill Career Pathways in the Matched List of Career Pathways

Study Purpose and Presentation Outline

Slide 5

Education and Employment

Transitions

High School Reform

American Competitiveness

Perkins IV

The 21st Century Career and Technical Education Framework: The National Framework

The Intent of Perkins IV jointly addresses the three prominent national education and workforce development policy issues

facing the United States in the 21st century

Slide 6

Minnesota State Colleges and Universities:General Information

The Minnesota State Colleges and Universities System comprises of: 7 state universities, 5 community colleges, 7 technical colleges, and 13 combined community and technical colleges

In 2007, the Minnesota State Colleges and Universities System

Serves 382,000 students annually in credit and non-credit courses

Educates 64% of the state’s undergraduates Serves more students of color than any other

higher education provider in Minnesota – almost 33,000

Slide 7

34,000 graduates leave the system, annually, with some type of academic credential

Of the total graduates produced by Minnesota higher education each year, the system educates:- 52% of the teaching graduates- 82% of the state’s new nursing graduates- 89% of state’s law enforcement officers- 89% of the new graduates in construction

trades- 41% of the state’s new business graduates- About 9,000 firefighters and emergency first

responders

Minnesota State Colleges and Universities:Graduate Information

Slide 8

More than 82% of the graduates stay in Minnesota to work or continue their education

Place more than 88% of the graduates in jobs related to their field of study

Provide career education to 6,000 employers and about 151,000 employees each year

Return $10.87 to the state’s economy for every $1 of net state appropriation

Minnesota State Colleges and Universities:Workforce Development Information

Slide 9

Minnesota Career Fields, Clusters & Pathways

Slide 10

Career Fields, Clusters, Specialties, and Program Majors:An Overlay of a Program of Study Framework

Business, Management & Administration

Health ScienceTechnology

Agriculture, Food & Natural Resources

Career Field

Awareness

Career Field

Awareness

Career SpecialtyConcentration

Career SpecialtyConcentration

Career SpecialtyConcentration

Career Pathway

Focus

Career Pathway

Focus

Career Pathway

Focus

High School: Level 11-12 Career Cluster & Pathway

Two-Year College: Level 13-14 Career Pathway & Specialty

University: Level 15-16Career Specialty & Program Major

High School: Level 9 – 10 Foundation & Career Field

Slide 11

• Developing an IDCP Ranking:– Rank each element –

•projected employment growth rate 2006-2016

•projected total hires 2006-2016 percent share of

•the 2006 base employment

•25th percentile hourly wage

•current demand indicator rank

• Sum Individual Ranks and re-rank sum

• Lowest Sum indicates highest IDCP

Study Methodology

Slide 12

• Develop an CPSSI Ranking Using Longitudinal (2003-2007) Post-Secondary CTE Data on Concentrator Success:

– Concentrator definition based on Perkins IV•Three Entry-Cohorts (2003, 2004, 2005)•Success definition is sum of Graduation

and Retention + Transfer•Success Rate definition is equal to:

(Graduation + Retention+ Transfer)/Concentrator

– Sum Individual Ranks of the three cohorts and re-rank sum

– Lowest Sum indicates highest CPSSI

Study Methodology

Slide 13

• Match IDCP Ranking with CPSSI Ranking– Produce a graphical representation of the

relationships between the two rankings– Classify into four groups:

•High IDCP Rank / High CPSSI Rank

•High IDCP Rank / Low CPSSI Rank

•Low IDCP Rank / High CPSSI Rank

•Low IDCP Rank / Low CPSSI RankProduce a Pathway List Based on Above Four

Groups

Study Methodology

Slide 14

Relating In-Demand Career Pathways (IDCP) to Career Pathways Sustaining Student Interest (CPSSI)

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Career Pathways Sustaining Student Interest (CPSSI)

In-D

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Low IDCP and High CPSSI

High IDCP snd High CPSSI

Low IDCP and Low CPSSI

High IDCP and Low CPSSI

Slide 15

The Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) definitions for what is High Wage, High Demand or High Skill:

– High Wage: An occupation was determined to be High Wage if the median wage for the occupation was greater than $17.21

– High Demand: An occupation was determined to be a High Demand occupation if the 2006 employment for the specific occupation:

» Represented at least 0.1% of 2006 total employment in all occupations (2,961) and

» the projected total openings for the specific occupation as a share of 2006 employment in the specific occupation was greater than the share of projected total openings to 2006 total employment for all occupations (31.76%).

The above criteria was applied at the Pathway level to define High Growth Pathways

Definition of High Wage or High-Skill or High-Demand Pathways

Slide 16

The Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) definitions for what is High Wage, High Demand or High Skill:

– High Skill: Using the DEED-LMI MN-adjusted education/training levels, the occupations selected for high skill have the following education/training levels:

» Long-term on-the-job training» Work experience in a related field» Postsecondary vocational award» Associate's degree» Bachelor's degree» Degree plus work experience» Master's degree» Doctoral degree» First Professional degree

Definition of High Wage or High-Skill or High-Demand Pathways

The above criteria was applied at the Pathway level to define High Growth Pathways

Slide 17

• Each of the Listed Groups Above Lead to Actionable Steps

• Mixture of Industry and Occupation Focus Among and Within Pathways

• Customization of Pathways

• No Electronic Tool for Matching, Use Federal and State Labor Market Information (LMI)

• Read Behind the Ranking to Understand What Might be Happening Within the Pathway

• Ranking Sensitive to Choice of Ranking Components

• Using Local Advisory Committees to Validate Regional and National LMI

• Understand what it means to Look Forward by Looking Back

Observations, Considerations and Issues in Demand Supply Matching

Slide 18

Contact Information

Pradeep Kotamraju Ph.D.System Director, Perkins Federal Grants

Office of the ChancellorMinnesota State Colleges and Universities

Wells Fargo Place 30 E. 7th Street, Suite 350

St. Paul MN 55101Tel No: 651-282-5569; Cell: 612-701-7561

Fax: 651-296-3214www.cte.mnscu.edu