Motive, Means, and Messes:

National Defense, International Security, and Globalization

CDR Carl Forkner, USN

Air War College Faculty

Things to think about…

• National Security – What does it mean?

• Globalization – Jihad vs. McWorld?

• L.A. to Baghdad – Takin’ it to the Streets

• Modern Weapons – Not your Granddad's bomb…

• Resources & Extremism – Non-Traditional Challenges

• Where will the Future Wars be?

National Security –What does it mean?

• We the people of the United States, in order to form a more perfect union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

• Grand Strategy:– Unilateral v. multilateral– Promised land v. crusader state– America’s “Strategic Perimeters”– How the world views the US– The role of the military– Resources

National Security –What does it mean?• National Security Strategy:

– Champion aspirations for human dignity– Strengthen alliances to defeat global terrorism and work to

prevent attacks against us and our friends– Work with others to defuse regional conflicts– Prevent our enemies from threatening us, our allies, and our

friends, with weapons of mass destruction– Ignite a new era of global economic growth through free trade

markets and free trade– Expand the circle of development by opening societies and

building the infrastructure of democracy– Develop agendas for cooperative action with other main

centers of global power– Transform America’s national security institutions to meet the

challenges and opportunities of the twenty-first century– Engage the opportunities and confront the challenges of

globalization

National Defense –What does it mean?

• National Defense Strategy:

– Secure the US from direct attack

– Secure strategic access and retain global freedom of action

– Strengthen alliances and partnerships

– Establish favorable security conditions

World Influences

• Israel & Palestine

• Europe & the European Union

• Russia – a great power once again?

• China – ruler of Asia?

• India – Rising star

• The Americas – Gangs, drugs, & immigration

Israel & Palestine

Europe & the European Union

Russia

China

India

The Americas

Military

• 1990-1991 – “Gulf War I”

• 1993 – Somalia

• 1994 – The Balkans

• 2001 – Enduring Freedom

• 2003 – Iraqi Freedom

Desert Shield/Desert Storm: “Gulf War I”

Somalia

The Balkans

Enduring Freedom

Iraqi Freedom

Economics

• Globalization

• The US Economy

– NAFTA

• China – the “Wal Mart connection”

Culture – the Wild Card

• An African face on African solutions: The AU

• Afghanistan – Can tribes come together?

• Islam vs. the World? Not really…

Traditional Challenges to Security

• North Korea

• Iran

Non-Traditional Challenges to Security

• Economics

• Climate Change (well, resource issues)

• Pandemics

• Disenfranchised populations

• Terrorism

Non-Traditional Challenges

Non-Traditional Challenges

Non-Traditional Challenges

Non-Traditional Challenges

Where will the Future Wars be?

Questions & Answers