2013-2017

National Development Plan

Summary

Republic of Iraq

Ministry of Planning

National Development Plan

2013-2017

Executive Summary

Baghdad

January 2013

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Executive Summary

1. Introduction

1-1 Iraq from a geostrategic perspective

Defining the geostrategic role of a country depends on many factors including the country’s available potential, its comparative advantages as well as its position in the surrounding region, and its demographic and ethnic characteristics, etc. More importantly, some countries have economic and societal roles that extend beyond the confines of their surrounding circle. A basic review of Iraqi competitive resource advantages and capabilities reveals that according to geological studies, Iraq has approximately 530 geologic features that strongly indicate the presence of massive oil quantities. Only 115 of these features have been explored, among which 71 were proven to contain massive oil reserves distributed across numerous fields. There are 71 discovered Iraqi oilfields, among which only 27 have been exploited, including ten of a very large size. Moreover, spatial geo-economic maps of Iraq indicate that there are regions with significant mineral deposits, and governorates rich in minerals both in terms of the size of available reserve quantities and in the variety of the types of minerals present.

These huge resource advantages make Iraq a country that enjoys enormous riches as it possesses the world’s third biggest oil reserves and occupies the tenth spot in terms of proven natural gas reserves. This makes Iraq an influential actor in the advancement of civilizations, a main actor in the global economy and a strong competitor on the regional level. Furthermore, Iraq has a significant opportunity to produce oil derivatives at competitive prices due to the decrease in the cost of oil production and extraction in Iraq in comparison with other countries. Iraq also has opportunities and competitive expertise in sulfur-related industries and the large-scale production of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers, in addition to massive silicate reserves, which are considered one of the world’s purest silicate types.

God has bestowed on Mesopotamia, along with its unique human capital, various natural resources and a strategic location. Iraq is located in a geographic site that is open to both the East and the West which has allowed it to become a crossroads between the two, bridging the distance between them and gaining economic and geopolitical advantages that reinforce the position of Iraq and its future importance.

1-2 What is the purpose of the 2013-2017 Plan?

The National Development Plan 2013-2017 rests on a number of justifications, which can be summed up as follows:

• Reflecting the official recognition declared in the National Development Plan 2010-2014 document which states that the follow up on the Plan’s objectives should happen in mid-2012 based on Cabinet Decision No. 189 of 2010 in order to track the Plan’s achievements and diagnose any setbacks, to adjust the Plan’s pathways and consolidates its orientations in harmony and accordance with the state’s interim economic policy.

• Keeping pace with global economic developments and the impact of the financial crisis and its repercussions on the overall economic situation, in particular oil prices and exports which are considered to be among the dominant factors that determine the scale of financial resources available in Iraq.

• Developments in the production and export of oil, and an expected increase in oil production in the medium term through the oil licensing rounds, which are expected to lead to an increase in Federal resources, and which will require planning to invest effectively.

• The nature of the challenges emerging from the switch to a market economy, which has influenced all aspects of Iraq›s economy, in addition to the delay in implementing the transformation phases and methodologies and the indefinite delay of the supporting legislation such as the privatization law. Not to mention setbacks in the restructuring of the private sector and its institutions and the absence of a supportive institutional environment in the private sector. These facts have created a situation that requires a renewed planning vision to address these challenges.

• The relative improvement in terms of security stability despite persisting political problems.

1-3 The Plan’s Approach

Our approach was based on analysis and deduction. The Iraqi economy was analyzed comprehensively in its aggregate, sectoral and spatial dimensions for the years 2010-2011, and wherever data was available, for the year 2012. The analysis also covered general utilities, infrastructure, environmental conditions and human and social developmental indicators while focusing on vulnerable categories (women, children, persons with disabilities, etc…).

In our approach, we were keen to analyze the developmental outcomes achieved as a result of the implementation

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of the 2010-2014 Development Plan annual programs. The Plan also reviewed the achievements realized and the deviations from the goals that were set in the Plan for guidance during the establishment of the visions, goals and the means that would help accomplish the goals of every activity or service in the Plan. In summary, the Plan, through its diagnosis of the reality, problems, determinants, opportunities and development opportunities of each activity, fully or partially, we were able to derive the long-term vision for the sector or activity. This vision was then translated into quantitative and qualitative medium-term goals in order to suggest the means by which these goals would be achieved.

1-4 The Plan’s Mechanisms

Just as with the previous Plan, the preparation of this National Development Plan adopts an inclusive approach in all its phases, starting with setting its general framework, to diagnosing the reality and potentials, to identifying problems and determinants and formulating the visions and translating them into goals and means to achieve the goals. The preparation of this Plan involved members of parliament, individuals from ministries, non-ministerial stakeholders, people from governorates, the private sector, trade unions, academics affiliated with civil society organizations, international organizations and donors. The partnership formulas took on different aspects, as follows:

• Formation of the High Committee for leading and supervising the preparation of the Plan document chaired by His Excellency the Minister of Planning. Members of this committee include the governors of Basra and Nineveh, the Ministry of Planning in Kurdistan Region, one member of parliament, representatives of Ministries, advanced cadres, one member of the advisory board, representatives of the office of the Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs and of the Cabinet’s General Secretariat, and representatives of trade unions. These members were in charge of adopting the general framework, the Plan’s development model, its orientations and priorities, its overall budget including the revenues and expenditures , as well as determining the development of the percentage of investment expenses to operational expenses and approving the Plan›s macroeconomic accounts and the population growth rate.

• Formation of the technical committee headed by the Deputy Minister for Technical Affairs. Members of the technical committee include representatives of the Ministries of Finance, Oil and the Iraqi Central Bank in addition to the chairs of the Plan’s sectoral committees and the Plan’s experts, including academics. Members of the technical committee were in charge of setting the working methodology, mechanisms, determining the Plan’s framework, setting the Plan’s background papers structure, distributing responsibilities and roles on sectoral committees, monitoring the progress achieved and submitting results of the proceedings to the High Committee for adoption.

• Formation of 12 qualitative sectoral committees headed by Deputy Minister or Director General of the Ministry of Planning, representatives of concerned sectoral ministries, local and international academics, representatives of concerned trade unions, all governors› assistants and representatives of the Kurdistan Region. These sectoral committees were responsible for drafting background papers and studies for the Plan, according to the competence of each. The sectoral committees are as follows:

� Macroeconomic Committee� Plan Revenue Accounting Committee� Demographic Studies and Workforce Committee� Agriculture and Water Resources Committee� Energy and Industry Committee� Transportation and Communications Committee� Construction and Housing Committee� Human and Social Development Committee� Spatial Development Committee� Environmental Sustainability Committee� Private Sector Committee� Good Governance Committee

• Holding of the first conference in May 2012 in collaboration with the United Nations Development Program and Terabit Project at the Al Rashid hotel in May 2012 with the attendance of the representative of the His Excellency the Prime Minister and a number of ministers and high-ranked officials, in addition to the Cabinet’s secretary general, a number of governors and presidents of governorate boards and their assistants, deputy ministers, representatives of all ministries and governorates, representatives of international organizations operating in Iraq, representatives of donor countries, trade unions, the private sector and an number of academics. The number of participants at this conference reached around 400 people. During the conference, a presentation revealed the developmental yield accomplished during the years 2010 and 2011 under the previous plan and this yield display was evaluated in its accomplishments and failures. There was also a discussion of the Plan›s philosophical framework and the developmental model and the values adopted by the 2013-2017Plan. The visions and strategic goals of the Plan’s sectors and different activities were also presented. The outcomes of this conference were used to draft the chapters of the Plan.

• Holding the second conference on the Plan in Erbil from 11 to 13 November 2012 under the patronage of his

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Excellency, the Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister and Chairman of the Economic Committee Dr. Rose Nuri Shawees and in collaboration with the UNDP and Tarabot project. Participants at the conference included representatives of all international stakeholders and organizations. The number of participants exceeded 500 attendees including 50 specialists from the different international organizations operating in Iraq. Over the course of three days, 25 specialized papers were discussed in addition to the Plan’s general framework. The outcomes of the conference and the remarks submitted to the ministry by international organizations, trade unions, ministries, non-ministerial actors and governorates representatives were reflected in the final version of the Plan which was prepared by the drafting committee under the leadership of the Plan’s technical deputy and experts.

This participatory process guaranteed that the orientations, facts and quantitative and qualitative indicators of all ministries and governorates were taken into account as well as taking advantage of the international tendencies that could be described in a state plan without overlooking the enormous effort undertaken by the Ministry of Planning in preparing this strategic national strategy.

1-5 Information and Data Sources

The Plan was based on the ministries’ qualitative strategies and plans like the energy and industry strategy, the environment, education and youth strategy and other strategies in addition to the plans and studies issued by the Ministry of Planning and concerned ministries and the governorates development plans that constituted the basis for setting the Plan’s visions and main sectoral orientations. The huge progress achieved by the Central Organization for Statistics through its periodic surveys and statistical reports has actively contributed to the analysis of the current reality of the different developmental indicators in the Plan, namely indicators related to social and human development as well as deprivation, poverty and unemployment indicators and Millennium Development Goals indicators.

The increase in the capacities of the different ministries to draft detailed plans to their activities and the advancement in terms of quality and the comprehensive statistical data constituted the main factor in clarifying the goals and indicators of this Plan, in comparison with the previous plan. This makes it easy to follow the implementation of the Plan and verify the achievement of the predetermined goals.

1-6 Obstacles to the Plan’s Preparation

Preparing realistic developmental plans requires a high level of security, political and economic stability, which is a condition we lacked when preparing this Plan. Thus, the successful implementation of this Plan is plagued by uncertainty, especially when dealing with the involvement of the local and foreign private sector, which constituted a challenge for the authors of this Plan. Furthermore, the persistent dependence of Iraq’s development on oil means that the certainty that the goals set will be achieved fluctuates with any change in oil prices or when oil production or exports are down.

The Plans preparation faced contrasting responses from some stakeholders and their weak representation. This lead to the emergence of some gaps in covering some aspects of the Plan, especially the lack of qualitative data, which made it possible that some qualitative indicators were being muffled.

2. The National Development Plan 2013-2017 General FrameworkThe project to prepare the 2013-2017National Development Plan faces conditions that are not very different from the challenges and economic, social and environmental realities that the 2010-2014National Development Plan faced. Despite the important accomplishments achieved during the first years of the previous plan, these accomplishments are still far off from the rates set by the Plan in many areas.

The 2013-2017 Plan represents a new phase of the developmental planning journey and constitutes the first step of a strategic path aiming at economic and social advancement. The constitution, the 2011-2014 government operating program, the national strategies and the Millennium Developmental Goals constitute a reference framework to support this path that includes a long-term vision for the future that aims to build a diversified and prosperous economy, led by the industrial, energy, agriculture and tourism sectors as development poles. The public and private sectors as well as civil society will be developmental partners that play integrated centralized and decentralized roles in managing development. The orientations of the federal budget go hand in hand with the Plan’s objectives as part of the balanced macro policy to achieve financial and monetary stability; develop the primary and secondary spatial poles thereby reducing the gap between urban and rural areas and between governorates; guarantee equal opportunity from a gender perspective that increases economic participation rates; increase knowledge and skills in a manner consistent with the requirements of a knowledge economy and the labor market; guarantee comprehensive healthcare in order to achieve a healthy society and population; promote quality social care that meets the needs of vulnerable groups and increases the chances of social development while achieving environmental sustainability that helps lay the foundations of a green economy. All the above-mentioned elements constitute options for future orientations that meet the aspirations of the Iraqi people in a way that qualifies them to build a bridge between a state of crisis and a desired developmental choice.

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The 2013-2017 Development Plan will follow the developmental approach adopted by the previous plan, with the aim of modernizing this path while taking into account emerging local and international changes. The relative improvement in the security situation, the change in oil prices in global markets and the positive change in the Iraqi oil production rates under the influence of the oil licensing rounds constitute factors that impact development effectiveness and orientations in a way that would push human development indicators forward. This requires the adoption of policies and programs including future objectives that take in consideration the present course of developments and prepare the adequate climate to advance into the future so that Iraq becomes an advanced country with sustainable development and country that is keen to meet the needs of the current generation and upgrade the quality of their lives. A country that does not bargain away the needs of future generations but does justice to them by enshrining a justice-based approach as an alternative to the approach based on satisfying needs in order to create a society that enjoys stability, integration and fulfillment.

2-1 Basic Principles and Assumptions of the Plan

The 2013-2017 Plan is based on nine fundamental assumptions that are considered the methodological foundation for preparing the Plan.

• A balanced approach to development, supported by the gravitational force of select sectoral and spatial poles is an essential aspect of our vision of the future, and critical to changing the identity of the Iraqi economy, from a rentier economy to an economy that in the long-run is based on production.

• Creating an environment of empowerment that promotes social and economic structural preparation factors through good governance and transparency. This would lay the foundations for the preparation phase during the years 2014-2017 where the year 2017 would mark the start of our journey towards sustainable development.

• Development of the economy›s competitiveness is a necessary condition to expedite Iraq’s integration into the regional and global economy and to building the foundation of a market economy at the lowest cost.

• That the public and private sectors and civil society are active and strategic partners in achieving sustainable development throughout the plan’s implementation.

• The compass method will indicate the priorities of sustainable human development in terms of economic, social and environmental rights in order to improve the quality of life for the average Iraqi.

• Job-creating economic growth is the guiding principle of investment in order to respond to unemployment and poverty according to the principle of sustainable justice.

• A continued emphasis on empowerment as the basis of developing human capital. Effective empowerment guarantees consolidation of the principles of a knowledge economy that strengthens the role of women and youth in development.

• Taking into account the effect of demographic growth, especially among the working-age population, and that it is an opportunity to accumulate savings, invest and guarantee sustainable development.

• There is a direct relationship between achievements in the field of development and in ongoing improvements in the security and political situation.

2-2 The Plan’s Philosophical Framework

First: Proposed Development Model: The proposed model of development is based on the following assumption: “balanced growth requires elements of imbalance in the vertical structures of production. Imbalanced growth requires elements of balance imposed by the nature of the interconnected links between economic sectors”.

Based on the above assumption, balanced growth led by sectoral poles selected for growth (the industry, energy, agriculture and tourism sectors) is reflected in the establishment of primary or secondary spatial developmental poles according to the opportunities and comparative advantages of each governorate. Thus, the energy sector, namely the oil sector, will constitute a developmental pole for which funding would increase in line with the growth of other poles during the years of the plan’s implementation.. This is due to the fact that the energy sector attracts and triggers investments and is able to expand. It also generates impact advantages such as links that cause structural changes that promote growth in the economic, service and human sectors. This helps correct the trajectory of spatial development and boosts the environmental sustainability of development, thus laying the foundations of the take-off readiness phase.

In order to achieve the developmental model, it is important to redefine the roles played by the public and private sectors in the field of development, where public investment would generate market incentives and then encourage private sector investments and influence the orientations of the effective aggregate demand. After the restrictions imposed by limited supply are broken, the private sector would increase its own flexibility by making effective and productive investment decisions, which would allow the private establishments that are already in tune with the desired economic growth to expand.

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Two: Economic Management Philosophy: The roles assigned to the public and private sectors are still based on the preeminence of the state and its control over these sectors’ economic surpluses, mainly oil resources. This fact has contributed to the emergence of certain links whose orientations changed with time. However, these were not evolutionary orientations but rather trends that consolidated the dominance of the public sector and the exclusion of the private sector or sidelining of the private sector from the accumulation of financial resources and their multiple capacities to achieve growth – which were monopolized by the state. Therefore, the Plan aims at creating an enabling inclusive environment that would attract capital and expertise and integrate them into the system of developmental interactions that supports private sector activities through various methods of investment management that promotes the opportunities to switch to a market economy based on the principle of competency and competiveness.

2-3 Supporting Principles of the Philosophy of the Model of Development

First: Diversity: In defining the identity of the Iraqi economy during the implementation of the Plan, diversification of the non-oil production structure shall be a governing principle when mobilizing economic resources for the Plan.

Second: Strength in Decentralization: Decentralization in Iraq draws its strength from the constitution and requires the presence of directly-elected governing institutions, accountable to the people, and that reflect the implementation of the principles of good governance. The principles of decentralization acknowledge that local administrative units have legal personality and recognize that each unit has specific interests. This justifies the adoption of a management system that allows the organization, management and local control of these interests in a way that does not contradict national goals and principles.

Third: Green Investment: As long as the green economy is dedicated to improving human welfare and social equality, mitigating environmental risks, and reducing the dangers posed by a scarcity of ecological resources and increasing biodiversity, the Plan will continue to integrate ecological data in the system of developmental interactions. Therefore, investing in the environment becomes a tool to lay the foundations of a green economy. This will be achieved by adopting environmental friendly projects and policies that reduce the emission of ozone-depleting gases, prevent desertification and air, water and soil pollution, restore marshes, preserve biodiversity and increase green spaces. The Plan also highlights the need for policy reform and the amendment of legislation, imposing environmental taxes and adopting the Product Ecological Footprint (PEF) method for imported commodities and services.

Fourth: Empowerment and Equal Opportunity: Empowerment aims at inclusive capacity building and is considered an effective method for guaranteeing sustainable human development and equal opportunity. From a gender perspective, empowerment is the main means to reduce multidimensional poverty and achieve sustainable justice.

Fifth: Decent Work: developing the labor force, improving labor market management and forging an adequate legislative and investment environment, aimed at generating decent work opportunities, especially for youth and women, for a safe and protected workplace and a better quality of life.

2-4 Challenges

Despite the achievements that have been accomplished during the last few years, the plan faces serious and ongoing political and security challenges, not to mention economic, social and environmental challenges. This explains the reason for certain setbacks in the implementation of the previous plan and outlines the possibility of achieving the goals of the current Plan. The most important challenges are defined as follows:

First- Economic Challenges

• The Rentier Nature of the Iraqi Economy (only based on Oil) :In 2011, crude oil was still the lead source of revenue in the Iraqi economy, generating 43% of GDP, 97% of federal budget revenues and 92% of Iraqi exports. Such a heavy reliance on crude oil distorts the link between oil revenue growth and the fluctuation of aggregate variables in the economy, weakens long-term economic cohesion and threatens the future of development.

• Economic exposure: Iraq remains exposed to fluctuations in the global economy, as shown by the low contribution made to GDP by non-oil commodity activity at 16.5%, with distribution activity accounting for 10.6% and services accounting for 29.8%. The total contribution made by all non-oil activities thus comes to 57%. These figures explain why the production apparatus continues to be characterized by low efficiency, inflexibility and unresponsiveness to increasing demand for goods in the domestic market. This is indicated by the rise in the level of imports due to the demand for commodities in the market compared to domestic content.

• The private sector continues to play a nonstrategic role in overall economic development activity despite the adoption of an approach that requires strengthening and increasing the private sector’s role. In fact, the contribution of the private sector to the country’s fixed capital formation did not exceed 6.4% of total fixed capital for the year 2010 and the private sector failed to lay the foundations of a coherent market economy that would pave a safe way towards long-term growth.

• The banking sector continues to play a limited developmental role despite serious efforts to create structural reform to improve the sector’s efficiency and support its solvency. Cash Credit constituted only 5.9% of the GDP.

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This small percentage might be emerging from the imbalance between bank protection requirements (hedges) and the requirements of economic stimulation (encouraging banks to provide credit to fund development).

• Public expenditure that is dominated by operational costs which constitute 68.3% of the total public expenditure in 2012, at the expense of investment expenditures that reached 31.7% during the same year. Moreover, staff compensation and pensions constitute 50% of the total operational expenditures for the year 2012 and 34.3% of the total public expenditure during the same year, which is higher than the percentage of investment expenditures.

• The traditional nature of the Iraqi labor market is only the reflection of the political, economic and social situation that Iraq is experiencing. This has made Iraq a market that is not keeping pace with international developments and does not respond to the increasing quantitative supply of the Iraqi labor force. In fact, unemployment rates among young graduates in the 15-29 age bracket reached 24.2% in the year 2011 in light of the absence of an effective employment policy and the weak role of the private sector.

• Despite previous efforts to develop an institutional framework for the anti-corruption plan, weak transparency in financial behavior, widespread social and administrative values that support, protect and tolerate corruption as well as the weak banking system and its failure to effectively implement anti-money laundering procedures, and the failure to punish corrupt individuals has limited the scope of development and hurt Iraq’s ability to attract foreign investment.

• The scope of the informal economy continues to expand, due to a set of internal and external factors that distort macro and sectoral policies and the fluctuation of their variables causing an increase in underemployment rates, imbalance in labor market structure and a decline in economic stability and sustainable development rates.

Second: Social Challenges

• The Global Human Resources Guide for the year 2011 ranks Iraq among the bottom ten countries in the medium human development category (ranked 132 overall). This rank reflects the poor situation of human development in Iraq, especially in terms of health, education, environment, gender gap and multidimensional poverty.

• The shift towards a market economy came at a very expensive social cost due to the lack of effective policies to protect individuals from the effects of the free market, such as social security networks. This has increased the levels of deprivation and widened the poverty gap.

• The cumulative effects of long-term crisis have left a significant impact on Iraqi society. Vulnerable social categories grew larger, which has burdened the transformational expenses in the federal budget, in a way inconsistent with the sustainable development principle.

• Illiteracy still constitutes the biggest obstacle in the educational system. One out of five Iraqi citizens is illiterate. This is in addition to the low net enrollment rate in intermediate and preparatory school at 40% and 21% respectively.

• The most urgent challenge is the large deficit in the number of school buildings. The deficit in schools was estimated to be more than 7000 schools. This has caused an increase in the number of double and triple shifts in school buildings and the rise of overcrowding rates in classes.

• Pressure on public health institutions has intensified. Public health institutions are currently working over their capacities due to the huge shortage in absorption capacity in these establishments compared to the increase in morbidity rates and the size of the populations they serve.

• The general rate of women›s participation in the economy is still low (13%). This is even more pronounced in the legislative, judicial and executive fields.

• The poor correspondence between higher education outputs and the needs of the labor market leads to the education of university graduates being squandered

• The growing deficit in housing units is inconsistent with the continuing increase in population growth and in income levels. The deficit in housing units was estimated at approximately 2 million units. This causes psychological pressures and negative impacts on the quality of life.

• The lack of access to clean water remains a problem, with only 82% of households using improved water sources (82%), and the unstable treatment of water and the contamination of water networks reflects the difficulty in attaining the Millennium Developmental Goals of reaching 91% of households in terms of improved water supplies. Furthermore, the gap between rural areas and urban areas in terms of access to the public water network still persists and the problem is even greater when it comes to sanitary services, both on the national level and the urban and rural levels. Although 86% of households in Baghdad have access to the sanitary networks the rate falls to 32% in governorates.

Third: Environmental Challenges

• The Iraqi environment continues to suffer from high levels of water, air and soil pollution despite the relative improvements achieved during the last few years. These high levels of pollution were clearly reflected in sustainable human development indicators in Iraq.

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• The lack of a national sustainable human development strategy affected the coherence and coordination between the different plans and programs that aim to protect and improve the environment both in terms of preparation and implementation. As a result, the Iraqi economy has failed to make significant progress towards achieving a green economy.

• Iraq is subject to the effects of climate change including global warming, a decrease in precipitation, a rise in annual temperature and humidity averages and the frequency of sand storms. The country has therefore become more vulnerable to the negative impact of climate change due to the absence of an early warning system for natural disasters and the lack of the necessary measurement procedures to monitor the environmental situation.

• The quantity and quality of water is falling and water pollution levels continue to rise due to untreated agricultural, sanitary, industrial and oil waste. Moreover, the quota of water that Iraq receives from rivers it shares with neighboring countries is also affected, which means that Iraq will face a lack of water resources and an inability to respond to future developmental requirements.

• Increasing desertification due to climate change and the intensive exploitation of land resources as well as inefficient climate management procedures and other negative environmental effects. In order to address these environmental challenges 7.9 million dunams of land should be reclaimed at a cost of 2 million dinars per dunam.

• Waste management practices have been inefficient in light of the absence of formally designated landfills. The existing landfills are in fact conventional dumpsites where no waste classification or recycling procedures are applied and where no attempt is made to convert waste to energy or fertilizers. Moreover, the private sector is playing almost no role in providing waste management services. It is worth mentioning in this context that 65% of the population benefited from waste collection services in 2010, whereas only 7.5% of those in rural areas had similar access.

• Iraq has not yet addressed the problem of landmines that affects human security, land exploitation and potential developmental projects.

• Spatial disparities are increasing among Iraqi governorates and especially between rural and urban areas. The deprivation level in urban areas reached 17% while it attained 58% in rural areas. This intensifies the duality in spatial development in Iraq and maintains the inherited underdevelopment in rural areas.

• The private sector is not participating in environmental activities despite the repeated affirmations of its role as a key player in laying the foundations of sustainable development in Iraq.

2-5 Vision

“Building a secure and stable state where citizens enjoy civil, economic, social and environmental rights, aspire to forge a diversified and competitive national economy and hold the keys of scientific, cultural and knowledge advancement; where they participate in a decentralized federal system that generate equal developmental opportunities, and where the private sector and civil society are active partners and where environmental sustainability is the path leading to a green economy.”

2-6 Plan Goals

Achieving harmony and coherence between the orientations, paths and visions of the national developmental plans is an important criterion in evaluating any plan’s achievements and setbacks, based on the developmental paths that are in line with the plan’s vision for the future. Undoubtedly, the plan should be based on a long term vision for development to be achieved by mobilizing, coordinating and guiding the efforts of the key stakeholders in order to fulfill the plan’s ambition to forge a better future, enshrined in the principles of justice and the rule of law. The most important goals of the plan are as follows:

First- Economic Goals

• Make the developmental management of oil sector revenues (compliant with the principles of sustainable development in a way that guarantees the rights of present and future generations.

• Achieve economic diversification by increasing the contributions to GDP among the selected growth poles: industrial, energy, agriculture and tourism sectors. The aim is to reach the annually targeted GDP growth rate of 13.31% with oil production and 7.5% without oil production.

• Lay the foundations of economic partnership between the public and private sectors and activate this partnership so that the public sector contributes to 79% of the plan’s total investments, valued at 329 trillion dinars and the private sector contributes to 21% of the investments in the amount of 88 trillion dinars. This economic partnership would guarantee the progressive shift to a market economy based on the principles of efficiency and competitiveness.

• Create a stable macroeconomic environment and achieve sustainable growth, guaranteeing an equal distribution of resources between governorates based on the population size and deprivation indicators. The plan also aims to assign greater developmental roles to governorates and local administrations.

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• The Plan seeks, through its macro and sectoral goals, to increase coherence and coordination in the development of financial and monetary policies, allowing the achievement of sustainable growth, the economic stability needed to curb inflation, and equitable distribution of the benefits of development between the various social categories.

• Raising the level of productivity among workers and in economic activities’ and workers’ productivity in order to increase competitiveness and diversification in the economy and to allow the private sector to play an active role in investment and protected jobs creation.

Second- Social Goals

• Increase coherence between the procedures of the Plan’s pathways and the procedural steps of the Poverty Reduction Strategy in order to bridge the poverty gap, and more specifically, to reduce the percentage of the population living below the poverty line to 13%..

• Create decent work opportunities by implementing the provisions of the National Employment Policy and adopting the new labor law in order to increase employment rates and reduce unemployment to 6% by the year 2017.

• Strengthen the knowledge and skills structure by allowing the creation of an equal educational environment that supports an increase in school construction to cover half of the present need, focus on preschool and girls education, promote literacy and adult learning as well as increasing the level of enrollment in primary, intermediate and preparatory education to 95%, 45% and 30% respectively.

• Upgrade the infrastructure of health services in terms of quality, capacity and coverage in order to design national programs that safeguard people’s health and allow health institutions to provide high quality services, the ultimate goal being to reduce the infant mortality to 18 per 1000 live births and under-five child mortality to 24 per 1000, in addition to increase life expectancy to more than 70 years.

• The plan also aims to build the capacities of women and youth in terms of knowledge, skills and health. This would guarantee an increase of their participation in the developmental system.

• Create an environment of empowerment that leads to a tangible change in the quality of life of vulnerable groups and that guarantees their inclusion in society and the workforce, expands the scope of their participation and secures their access to services and social benefits.

• Build new residential units that cover half of the present need (one million residential units) and rehabilitate aging housing stock.

Third- Environmental Goals

• Protect and improve the essential elements of the environment: water, air and soil.

• Sustainably exploit natural resources so as to guarantee the rights of present and future generations.

• Use environmentally clean technologies in production and service activities.

• Address the causes of environmental pollution resulting from human, production and service activities including sanitation, liquid and solid waste and factory and hospital waste.

• Reduce deforestation by expanding land reclamation, building desert oases, increasing green spaces and belts around cities as a means to achieve a green economy.

• Preserve biodiversity by developing natural rangelands, adopting advanced methods of developmental management and preserving endangered natural ecosystems in order to guarantee biosecurity.

• Promote the spirit of citizenship and environmental awareness.

• Strengthen environmental management, control and monitoring systems.

3. Macroeconomic Analysis

Based on the Plan’s general framework and the above-mentioned data, assumptions and goals, resource estimates and macro and sectoral distribution has been calculated for the Plan’s time frame in order to determine the scale of macro investments and their sectoral distribution, and define the roles of the public and private sector in these investments, in addition to the estimates of sectoral outcomes and GDP prospects in light of the targeted economic growth.

3-1 Economic Growth

The developmental orientations set in the Plan are based on the idea of reconciling different economic, social and environmental considerations. The plan affirms that economic growth is a necessary but not a sufficient condition to achieve social justice, equal opportunity and environmental sustainability. Thus, there is a need to adopt other meas-ures that impact, accompany or complement growth, such as expanding labor market absorption capacity in order to guarantee high levels of employment. It is also important to raise standards of living and quality of life by focusing on the improvement of human, social and environmental development services, and protecting and improving the environ-ment, especially for low income individuals and poor households.

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Accordingly, the goal of this Plan is not limited to increasing economic development rates but takes into equal consideration social and economic conditions. This goal is not out of reach in light of the steady improvement in the economic sphere and due to the expected increase in crude oil production and exports and the commitment to implement economic reform programs and existing and targeted developmental projects. The role of developmental partners in achieving the goals set in the five-year plan is also likely to grow, as the Plan aims to:

• Increase total GDP by an average annual rate of growth of 13.31% at 2012 base year constant prices through the 2013-2017 plan period.

• Increase GDP of non-oil producing activities (commodity, distributive and services) by an average annual rate of growth of 7.5% at constant prices.

• Increase GDP of crude oil activity by an average annual rate of growth of 18.7% at constant prices

• Maintain single-digit inflation rates.

• Dedicate substantial investments to the selected sectoral growth poles (industry, energy, agriculture and tourism) in order to increase their level of participation in generating GDP by more than 60% of GDP in constant prices.

• Achieve growth that generates job opportunities so as to reach an adequate level of employment and reduce the unemployment rate to 6% by the end of the year 2017.

• Reduce poverty rates to 16% of the population by the year 2017.

3-2 The Plan›s Expected Revenues

Total state revenues are expected to reach 812.263 trillion Dinars during the years of the Plan. Oil revenues would account for 95% of total revenues while non-oil revenues would only represent 5% of total revenues as detailed in the following sections:

First- Oil Revenue Estimates

Financial revenues resulting from crude oil production and export were still at the top of the state’s general revenues in the years 2009-2012. Oil revenues represented 88.5% of total revenues in 2009 and reached 97.4% in 2012. Oil revenues are expected to remain in the forefront and influence the Iraqi economy during the years 2013-2017 of the Plan in light of the continuing improvement of the production capacity of the oil sector and the implementation of the contracts signed with foreign companies that aim to increase the scale of production and exports. The average annual increase in oil production is expected to reach 17.9% with an average annual increase in oil exports of 26.2% between 2013 and 2017 as shown in table (1).

Table (1)

Oil production and disposable oil exports estimates for the years 2013-2017

Thousand barrels/day

ExportsOil ProductionYear

290037052013

350044852014

375046352015

500064352016

600094852017

In light of these expectations and based on the assumption that the price of an oil barrel is valued at 85 USD, the total value of oil exports will reach approximately 659.281 billion dollars during the years of the Plan as cited in table (2), which accounts for 768.721 trillion Dinars as shown in table (3).

10

Table (2)

Outlook of oil exports size and exported oil value 2013-2017

Price

USD/barrel

Exported oil value

Million USD

Expected oil exports

Thousand barrels/dayYear

8589972.5029002013

85111690.036002014

85116343.7537502015

8515512550002016

8518615060002017

659281.25659281.25Total

* Estimations of the Ministry of Oil

Iraqi Dinar to US Dollar exchange rate = 1166 Dinar/US Dollar for the whole duration, according to the Central Bank estimates

Table (3)

Oil revenues estimates for the years 2013-2017

Value of exported oil according to the estimates of the Ministry of Oil / Billion Dinars

Year

104907.9352013

130230.52014

135656.8122015

180875.7502016

217050.9002017

768721.937Total

Second- Non- Oil Revenues Estimates

According to the Plan, an increase in revenues from non-oil sources is not expected to occur and the forecast is not optimistic as it is with oil revenues. Evidence of this is the contribution of non-oil revenues to total revenues. Non-oil revenues are expected to increase from 7.389 trillion Dinars in 2013 to 9.786 trillion Dinars in 2017 by a maximum rise of 32% during the period 2013-2017. However, its proportion of total revenues would decline from 6.5% in 2013 to 4.3% in 2017, reaching an average percentage of total revenues of 5.3% for the period 2013-2017 as cited in table (4).

This small increase in non-oil revenues is due to:

• An expected annual increase in tax revenues by 10% in comparison with their previous level.

• An expected increase in the budget share of non-oil companies profits by an average of 10% for the years 2013-2017.

Therefore, oil and non-oil revenues will rise from 112.306 trillion Dinars in 2013 to 226.837 trillion Dinars in 2017,as shown in table (4), based on the Plan’s expectations, for total revenues of 812.263 trillion Dinars during the years of the Plan..

11

Table (4)

Project financial revenues for the years 2013-2017

Billion Dinars

2:3

%

1:3

%

Total revenues

(3)

Oil revenues

(2)

Non-oil revenue

(1)

Year

93.56.5112306.235104907.9357398.32013

93.46.6139310.4130230,59079.12014

94.35.7143931.515135656.8128274.7032015

95.34.7189878.45180875.7509002.72016

95.74.3226837.4217050.9009786.52017

94.65.3812263.24768721.93743541.303Total

3-3 Scale of the Required Investment

In order to achieve the Plan’s macro and sectoral goals at the economic, social and environmental levels, 417 trillion Dinars must be provided, based on public and private estimates and contributions, detailed in the following sections, and according to a capital coefficient of 1:4, which means that the production of an additional production unit requires 4 capital units.

First- Scale of Governmental Investment

Governmental investment amounts to 329 trillion Dinars, which is the equivalent of 282 billion Dollars and represents 79% of the Plan’s total required investments. These investments would cover the state’s realized revenues in order to spend money on the projects to be implemented, which numbered 5861 at the end of 2012, and on new projects that shall be added within two years of the Plan.

Table (5)

Governmental investment estimates for the years 2013-2017

Billion Dinars

Governmental investment allocations

Investment rate %Total expected revenueYear

41553.337112306.22013

52938.038139310.42014

57572.040143931.52015

75951.440189878.52016

90735.040226837.42017

318750.339812263.0Total

Second- Non-Governmental Investment

The Plan requires the private sector to contribute 88 trillion Dinars, the equivalent of 75 billion Dollars and 21% of the Plan’s total investments, to contribute to the different areas marked for investment.

Third- The Sectoral Distribution of Investments

The Plan’s investment approach is based on the principles of placing a priority on investments that would strengthen the sectoral and spatial growth poles during the implementation of the Plan, the ultimate future goal being to achieve balanced sectoral growth. Based on this principle, investments have been distributed by sector to guarantee the achievement of the Plan’s goals and its philosophical development model while taking into account:

• Changes in the relative importance of sectoral investment that may occur over time.

• The prioritization of sustainable projects in terms of expenditure.

12

• The need to make additions to fixed capital.

A high priority was given to the industry and energy sectors at a percentage of 38.2%, since this sector is the main generator of financial resources and is the first to affect the rate of capital accumulation through manufacturing. Along with agriculture, the industry and energy sectors are the biggest contributors to mitigating Iraq’s exposure to the global economy. The second priority was given to the construction and services sectors due to their role in human and social development and in infrastructure and tourism by 28.6%, as human development plays a major role in creating an environment of empowerment in material development. The third priority was given to the agriculture sector as a developmental pole that contributes to food security and job creation and participates effectively in developing rural areas and reducing poverty. The share of investment in agriculture grew from 9.5% in the previous plan to 13.4% in the present Plan in order to secure the required financial resources needed to implement land reclamation projects, based on the indicators cited in the Plan.

However, the priorities described do not contradict the plan’s balanced approach to distributing investments by sector, as, none of the economic activities received less than 9.5% of the total expected investments, as detailed in table (6).

Table (6)

Investment percentage distribution per activity %

Percentage %Economic activity

13.4Agriculture sector

38.2Industry sector

9.5Transport and communications sector

28.6Construction and services sector

10.3Education sector

100Total

Fourth- The Spatial Distribution of Investments

A just and equitable distribution of the Plan’s outcomes among the different Iraqi regions, and the reduction of spatial development disparities between Iraqi governorates and between urban and rural areas is one of the priorities of the Plan.

The Plan insists on the continuous support of local governments to help them develop their governorates by dedicating 14% of its total investment to the regional development program that focuses on local activities and services and is put at the disposal of local governments. The program distributes investments according to the national and local population size in every administrative unit. The program’s allocations are projected to grow during the years of the Plan and expand to improve the executive capacities of governorates. The plan calls to allocate a share of non-sovereign investments that is consistent with the relative proportion of the population of the Kurdistan region out of Iraq's total population size. It also recommends distributing investments among the industry, agriculture and energy sectors and in infrastructure in general and in the different governorates, according to the potential and comparative advantage of each governorate in these sectors. This would guarantee balance between the principles of economic efficiency and social justice when distributing the developmental outcomes.

3-4 GDP Estimates and Sectoral Distribution

First- Expected GDP Growth Rate

Based on the Plan’s estimations, the GDP growth rate in constant prices reached 13.31% in 2012. Thus, GDP, including oil would increase 68% from 264.950 trillion Dinars in 2013 to 445.383 trillion Dinars in 2017.

The plan is also based on the expectation that non-oil GDP would climb from 131.953 trillion Dinars in 2013 to 181.361 trillion Dinars in 2017, for an increase of 37.4%. This increase emanates from the growing economic activity (other than oil) by an average annual growth of 7.5% in comparison with 18.7% in oil extraction activities, as revealed in Table (7).

13

Table (7)

GDP with and without oil at 2012 constant prices for the

years 2013-2017

In billions of Dinars

20172016201520142013Average annual growth

2012 base year

Economic activities

10152.35.4710480.3210818.9311648.6412194.9213249.8Agriculture, forestry and fisheries

Mining and Quarrying

11204418.7132996157867187388222429264023Crude oil

1034.16.711075.0851117.6951223.031293.3871430.83Other types of Mining

1-2

4418.63.684514.6454612.7784850.1525003.1745293.704Manufacturing2-2

3320.37.973476.6073640.2724048.4894325.124871.838Electricity and water

13783.18.9214509.315273.7517193.2418508.821129.3Construction and building

15678.28.7816491.2817346.5319491.8720959.123880.39Transfer, transportation and

storage

19781.98.2220742.3721749.4724265.8225975.929363.35Wholesale, retail sale

hotels and similar activities

Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Services

37778.6539704172.8144681.1565028.3075718.678Insurance and banking

1-8

17879.56.9218610.3119370.9921254.2622515.2324983.32Home ownership2-8

Social and Personal Development Services

41917.446686.4239486.7335867.3234408.077.1833008.2Social Development Services

1-9

4340.1824752.9424127.5093806.51736766.013550Personal Services2-9

162061.52181360.572152270.896137777.11319547.5126383.2Total activities excluding oil

339658.896295644.126495013.31238427.2Total of all activities

After analyzing GDP growth based on current prices, the plan expects a 73.7% increase in GDP with oil from 269.461 trillion Dollars in 2013 to 468.104 trillion Dinars in 2017. On the other hand, GDP resulting from non-oil economic activities would rise 49% from 136.465 trillion Dinars in 2013 to 204.081 trillion Dinars in 2017. These increases result from a 10% rate of annual growth for non-oil economic activities at an annual rate of 10% and 18.7% annual growth rates in crude oil activities as seen in Table (8).

384490.52 445383.572

14

Table (8)

GDP in 2012 prices for the years 2013-2017

In billions of Dinars

20172016201520142013Average annual growth

2012 base year

Economic activity

101527.681077311432126761364914697Agriculture, forestry and

fisheries

Mining and Quarrying

11204418.7132996157867187388222429264023Crude oil1-2

1034.18.941107.71186.513371456.51586.7

Other types of Mining2-2

4418.65.854624.44839.75240.35546.95871.4Manufacturing

3320.38.43542.33779.24229.34584.54969.6Electricity and

water

13783.112.21512216590194682184324508

Construction and building

15678.210.951704518530214132375826359

Transfer, transportation

and storage

19781.910.942150523377270102996533244

Wholesale, retail sale hotels and similar activities

Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Services

6509.15837.85235.74500.24122.811.53777

Insurance and banking

1-8

291112640723954209131933710.2417879.5Home ownership2-8

Social and Personal Development Services

51821473514326638155354899.4433008.2

Social Development

Services1-9

5404.749694568.340633797.88.773550Personal Services2-9

20408118536816839714736613646510.05126383.2

Total activities excluding oil

468104407797355785305233269461238427.2

Total of all activities

Second- GDP Distribution by Sector

In accordance with the Plan’s goals and the philosophy of its development model, future action to generate GDP by sector seeks to grant a bigger role to commodity (other than oil) and service activities rather than distribution activities in a bid to strengthen the economy by diversifying the national production structure and increasing the supply of commodities. This would curb the increasing Iraqi exposure to the global economy that was considered by the plan as one of the most serious economic challenges facing the country, as is evident by the rise in the exported commodity supply in the Iraqi market.

In order to achieve this goal, the plan expects that non-oil commodities would contribute 34.055 trillion Dinars in constant prices to GDP in 2013 and their value would increase by 35% to reach 45.976 trillion Dinars in 2017. Despite the relative rise in outputs, commodities would maintain their absolute values.

It is clear that the crude oil extraction sector will generate a major proportion of GDP; however, non-oil commodities will maintain their level of contribution to GDP. This share accounts for 25.4% in comparison with 42% for services activities and 32.5% for distribution activities. This is caused by the increasing contribution of the oil sector that will be

15

reflected in distribution and service activities growth rates more so than on the growth rates for non-oil commodities. Moreover, implementing structural changes to promote commodities requires a time frame that exceeds that of the Plan.

Analysis of GDP composition that takes oil revenues into consideration reveals that oil activity would contribute 56.4% in comparison to a contribution of 43.6% by other activities in 2017. Thus, the GDP distribution structure would maintain its current level due to the expected high increase in oil and gas activities over the duration of the Plan.

Table (9)

The contribution of economic activities other than oil to GDP generation for the years 2013-2017 at constant prices

In billions of Dinars

Percentage from the Total 2017

%

Percentage from the Total 2013

%

Activities Contribution

2017

Activities Contribution

2013Activities

25.425.845975.534055.1Commodities Activities

32.531.258962.441203.7Distribution Activities

42.142.976422.756694.4Services Activities

100100181360.6131953.2Total Activities other than Oil

4. Sectoral Developmental Visions and Goals in the Plan

4-1 PopulationVision

“A population policy that is in harmony and compliance with the economy’s developmental orientations and that implements qualitative and quantitative changes in the lives of the population, in order to achieve sustainable development and achieve justice and equal opportunity on rights-based principles”

The GoalsFirst goal: Integrating demographic considerations into plans and programs for development.Second goal: Gradually influencing population growth rates.Third goal: Raising the life expectancy rate at birth to more than 70 years in 2017.

4-2 WorkforceThe Vision

“A productive and protected workforce”

The GoalsFirst goal: Reducing the unemployment rate to 6% by the year 2017.Second goal: Increasing the economic participation rate to 50% by 2017.Third goal: Developing the activities of labor market institutions.Fourth goal: Increasing work productivity.Fifth goal: Guaranteeing a decent work environment.

4-3 Financial PolicyThe Vision

“A financial policy that responds to the requirements of development”

The GoalsFirst goal: Eliminating the budget deficitSecond goal: Reducing disparities in public expenditure.Third goal: Increasing non-oil revenues and diversifying their sources.Fourth goal: Reforming financial management.

16

4-4 Monetary PolicyThe Vision

“A monetary policy that contributes to achieving sustainable economic stability and growth”.

The GoalsFirst goal: Promoting credit activity that stimulates growth.Second goal: Maintaining inflation rates in the single digits.Third goal: Maintaining the stability of the local currency exchange rate.Fourth goal: Increasing and strengthening foreign exchange reserves.Fifth goal: Reducing bank density.Sixth goal: Fighting money launderingSeventh goal: Adopting information technology in the Central Bank’s work mechanisms.

4-5 The Private SectorThe Vision

“An active, competitive and efficient partner”.

The GoalsFirst goal: Increasing the rate of private sector contribution to GDP.Second role: Creating an efficient and sustainable partnership between the public and private sectors.Third goal: A private sector that generates job opportunities.

4-6 Agriculture and Water resourcesThe Vision

“An agricultural sector that satisfies the citizen’s nutritional needs and contributes to the diversification of the Iraqi economic base and the guarantee of sustainable water resources”.

The Goals

First- Strategic Goals• Increasing the contribution of the agriculture sector to GDP• Expanding the coverage of both plant and animal productions to meet Iraqis’ nutritional needs (food security)• Satisfy Iraq’s water resource needs.

Second- Quantitative Goals

A. In the plant production field: the Plan prioritizes wheat production in winter and potatoes in summer. It also focuses on increasing the production of dates and fruits. Rice, tomatoes, onions, white and yellow corn, forage legumes, Alfalfa and Lucerne productions are considered a second priority as shown in table (10).

Table (10)

Vegetation Production quantity indicators

Wheat Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

Details Project year 2011 Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016 Target Year 2017

Wheat agriculture

using Sprinkle Irrigation System

Space 825 1575 1950 2325 2700 3075

Yield 750 917 1000 1000 1000 1000

Production 619 1443 1950 2325 2700 3075

Irrigated Wheat

Space 3553 3298 3214 3130 3046 2962

Yield 473 573 619 668 719 773

Production 1682 1890 1990 2090 2190 2290

Dry land Wheat

Space 2164 1914 1789 1664 1539 1414

Yield 235 235 235 235 235 235

Production 508 450 420 391 362 332

17

Total Wheat

Space 6543 6787 6953 7119 7303 7451

Yield 429 558 627 675 719 765

Production 2809 3784 4360 4806 5252 5697

Rice Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

Rice Details Project year 2011

Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016 Target Year 2017

Space 220 220 220 220 220 220

Yield 788 800 1000 1065 1130 1195

Production 173 176 220 234 249 263

Barley Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

Irrigated Barley

Details Project year 2011 Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016 Target Year 2017

Space 1433 1678 1784 1889 1995 2100

Yield 320 350 368 383 397 410

Production 459 587 656 724 793 263

Dry land Barley

Space 2218 2245 2259 2273 2286 2100

Yield 163 163 163 163 163 163

Production 361 366 368 370 373 375

Total Barley

Space 3651 3923 4043 4162 4281 4400

Yield 225 243 253 263 272 281

Production 820 953 1024 1094 1166 1236

Maize Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

Maize agriculture

using Sprinkle Irrigation System

Details Project year 2011

Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016 Target Year 2017

Space 100 485 600 715 831 946

Yield 610 1150 1250 1350 1450 1550

Production 61 558 750 965 1205 1466

Dry land Maize

Space 390 300 250 200 150 100

Yield 582 785 850 915 980 1045

Production 227 236 213 183 147 105

Total Maize

Space 490 785 850 915 981 1046

Yield 587 1011 1133 1255 1378 1502

Production 288 794 963 1148 1352 1571

18

Tomato Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

Tomato Yields grew by 16% per year due to

the cultivation of hybrid tomatoes and ideal

fertilization

DetailsProject year

2011Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016

Target Year 2017

Space 218.424 390 400 410 420 430

Yield 4182.2 4500 5000 5800 6728 7804

Production 913.493 1638 2000 2378 2826 3356

Potato Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

Potato Production Plan

DetailsProject

year 2009Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016

Target Year 2017

Space ______ 150 180 210 240 270

Yield ______ 4620 5500 6380 7400 8584

Production ______ 693 990 1340 1776 2318

Autumn Potato Production Plan

Space ______ 80 80 80 80 80

Yield ______ 4550 5000 5450 5940 6475

Production ______ 364 400 436 475 518

Total Potato

Details

Space ______ 230 260 290 320 350

Yield ______ 4596 5346 6124 7034 8103

Production ______ 1057 1390 1776 2251 2836

Onion Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

Onion Details Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016 سنة 2016

Space 77 80 83 86 86

Yield 2735 3000 3000 3000 3000

Production 211 240 249 258 258

Dates Production Plan from 2013 to 2017

Space in 1000 acres/ Production in 1000 Tons Yield in Kg/Acre

DatesDetails

Project year 2009

Year 2013

Year 2014

Year 2015

Year 2016

Target Year 2017

Space ______ 508 556 604 652 700

Yield 59.5 68 70 75 74 76

Production 507.002 679 770 857 952 1050

Number of palm trees (1000)

______ 13690 15000 16310 17620 18930

B. In the animal production field: the Plan’s priority is to increase the numbers of sheep, goats, cows and buffalo and raise the number of poultry and fish farms. The second priority is to increase the number of camels and substantially increase the production and productivity of animal products (red and white meat, milk and table eggs).

19

Table (11)

Farm animal number growth during the Plan: 2013-2017

Animal Type

and Growth Rate

Starting line 2008

Numbers of Animals by 1000 heads

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1 Sheep and Goats 7% 9197 13084 14000 14980 16029 17151

2 Cows 7% 2552 2959 3048 3139 3233 3330

3 Buffalo 5% 286 365 383 402 422 443

4 Deer 4% 58 70 73 76 79 82

5 Meat chicken 15% 340000 68384 78641 90437 104002 119602

6 Meat chicken for breeding 50% 44 333 500 750 1125 1687

7 Egg chicken 15% 2000 4023 4626 5320 6118 7107

8 Egg chicken for breeding 40% 2.5 9.3 13 18 25 35

Table (12)

Animal Products

Excepted Production for the year 2017

Excepted Production for the year 2013

Total Red Meat 1000 Tons

137104Sheep and Goats

113101Cows

3026Buffalo and Deer

280 231Total

% 32% 22Percentage of Coverage

Excepted Production for the year 2017

Excepted Production for the year 2013

Total White Meat 1000 Tons

13090Poultry

4339Fish

173129Total

% 41% 30Percentage of Coverage

Excepted Production for the year 2017

Excepted Production for the year 2013

Total Milk 1000 Tons

349302Sheep and Goats

1047931Cows

8173Buffalo and Camel

15221306Total

% 59% 51Percentage of Coverage

Third- Combating Desertification and Shifting Sand Dunes

A. Stabilizing sand dunes.

B. Increasing the vegetation cover in desert areas and cultivating drought-tolerant plants.

C. Establishing farms for breeder seed production and replanting the seeds in other regions to create a vegetation cover.

D. Establishing 78 rangelands and nature reserves with a surface of 1000 acres by the year 2015.

E. Increasing the vegetation cover, pastoral resources and rainwater exploitation by building small dams in the framework of the Al-Hammad basin development project.

20

Fourth- Best Water Resources Exploitation

A. Increasing the size of water stocks.B. Developing water resources by expanding water harvesting.C. Using advanced irrigation systems.D. Promoting non-conventional water use.E. Restoring and developing water marshes.F. Exploiting renewable groundwater.

Fifth- Supporting Local and Foreign Private Sector Investment in the Agriculture Sector:

• Encouraging and supporting the local and foreign private sector to invest in plant and animal integrated production projects and creating agro-industrial groupings based on safe economic and technical grounds in addition to expanding the establishment of warehouse refrigeration and freezing systems.

• Encouraging the establishment of joint-stock agricultural companies by developing and promoting the money market and also by encouraging the state to buy a proportion of these companies’ shares during the establishment phase and then sell the stocks once the company reaches the required stability.

• Developing money markets and adopting credit policies that encourage the private sector to resume its suspended projects and launch new ones.

• Sustaining the support of agricultural inputs and outputs and protecting them from imported products, especially during the years of this plan in order to allow the private sector to strengthen its position, in addition to creating the conditions that allow it to compete with imported products.

• Supporting and encouraging investment in promising areas in the Western desert in order to produce forages, raise livestock and encourage investment to achieve other agricultural purposes.

4-7 Oil and GasThe Vision

“Iraq will be in an advanced position in the production and export of oil and the oil and gas reserve will help Iraq sustain its vital role on the global scene, in a way that guarantees the rights of future generations”.

The Goals

First goal: Increasing crude oil production from 3.2 million barrels/ day in 2012 to 9.5 million barrels/ day in 2017.Second goal: Raising the level of crude oil exports from 2.6 million barrel/day in 2012 to 6 million barrels/ day in 2017. The following table shows the expected quantities that should be exported from 2012 to 2017.

1000 barrels/day

Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Rate of Crude Oil Exports 2600 2900 3500 3750 5000 6000

Third goal: Gradually increasing the capacity of crude oil storage in bonded warehouses from 10.987 million barrels to 30.057 million barrels by the year 2017.

Forth goal: Increasing associated gas production from 1574 MMSCF/ day to 5500 MMSCF/ day in 2017.

Fifth goal: Increasing liquid gas production from 880 tons/ day in 2012 to 2600 tons/ day in 2017.

Sixth goal: Increasing the current liquidation capacity valued at 600 thousands barrel/day in 2012 to 950 thousands barrel/ day in 2017.

Seventh goal: Increasing oil product storage capacity in order to cover 40 days consumption of gasoline, gas oil and liquid gas and 100 days of white mineral oil consumption.

Eighth goal: Reducing gas flaring to 100 MMSCF/ day in 2017 instead of 800 MMSCF/ day in 2011.

Ninth goal: Preserving the environment by combating pollution and addressing environmental problems caused by oil and gas activities in existing facilities in addition to clear landmines and unexploded ordnance in oil regions and the roads leading to them.

4-8 ElectricityThe Vision

“To be able to meet the country’s actual electricity need with sustainable and economically efficient methods.”

The Goals

First goal: Increasing the electricity system's production in order to meet the growing demand on electric power. The goal is to produce 25 thousand Megawatts and exceed the expected demand in the year 2017 by approximately 5

21

thousand Megawatts as shown in table (13).

Table (13)

Expected Electricity Demand For the years 2012-2017

Expected Demand

Megawatts

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

14020 15183 16298 17494 18628 19823

Second goal: Increasing the per capita share of electricity power from the current 1800 kWh per capita to 3700 kWh per capita in 2017.

Third goal: Improving the efficiency of the electricity system's performance and stop its degradation.

Fourth goal: Upgrading the quality of the services provided to each of the different consumers (households- commercial- industrial- agricultural and governmental).

Fifth goal: Rationalization of power consumption for all purposes.

Sixth goal: Improving the environmental performance of power activities.

4-9 ManufacturingVision

“An Iraqi industry that effectively contributes to the economy’s diversification in light of a competitive business environment and to the establishment of global companies.”

Goals

First goal: Increasing the contribution of non-oil manufacturing and extractive industries to the total GDP.

Second goal: Increasing the coverage of the different industries, especially those that respond to the local market’s need such as liquidation, food, fertilizers, construction material industries, etc.

Third goal: Promoting local manufacturing among industries that have relevant potential.

Fourth goal: Increasing the contribution of the Iraqi private sector to the industrial production, new job creation as well as its collaboration with the public sector in building new companies.

Fifth role: Improving the environmental condition of non-oil manufacturing and extractive industry activities.

Sixth role: Creating an environment that attracts foreign investment to non-oil manufacturing and extractive industries.

4-10 Roads and BridgesVision

“Having a balanced hierarchy of roads that complements other transportation systems, where transport becomes less time and money consuming, guarantees more safety and reduces negative environmental impact”.

Goals

First goal: Improving the current condition of the road network.

Second goal: Increasing the capacity of the current network, raising the safety and security levels for passengers and protecting them from harm.

Third goal: Promoting and supporting the role of the private sector.

Table (14) details the quantitative targets of this activity.

22

Table (14)

Length of needed roads and number of required bridges for the years 2012-2017

Year

Details2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total

Highways/Km - 116 40 282 248 600 1286

Arterial Roads /km 75 93 146 291 161 175 941

Main Roads /km 485 807 775 541 788 1108 4504

Secondary Roads /km 115 246 104 273 225 185 1148

Concrete Bridges /number

8 25 20 16 11 13 93

Bridges/ number - 8 6 7 4 4 29

Steel Bridges / number - - - - - 2 2

4-11 Passengers and Cargo Transportation in Trucks

Vision

“A competitive transportation system run by the private sector”.

Goals

To privatize cargo transport.

Table (15)

The activity’s quantitative targets

Statement 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Planned Load (thousand Tons) 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

Manifest 1469000 1500000 1440000 1400000 1000000

4-13 Rail transportation

Vision

“A competitive rail transportation system that complements the road transportation system.”

Goals

First goal: Modernizing, developing and increasing the operational capacity of the railroad system”.

Second goal: Decreasing the time of travel and guaranteeing security.

Third goal: Strengthening Iraq’s geographical position as a link between the East and West.

23

Table (16)

Quantitative Targets of Railway Activity in the 2013-2017 Development Plan

Year

The increase in railway axis length

(km)

The Increase in the main and subsidiary railway network and line station length

The increase in passenger transport

capacity (million passenger)

The increase in cargo transport capacity (million passenger)

AnnuallyCumulative

totalAnnually

Cumulative total

AnnuallyCumulative

totalAnnually

Cumulative total

2012 __ 1931 __ 2915 __ 1 __ 4

2013 __ 1931 369 3284 0.5 1.5 1 5

2014 __ 1931 200 3484 1 2.5 1 6

2015 400 2331 1400 4884 4,2 6.7 38 44

2016 1000 3331 2400 7284 23 29.7 58 102

2017 1500 4831 3375 10659 35 64.7 233 335

4-14 Port Activity

Vision

“Primary and secondary ports that satisfy Iraq’s import and export needs, are capable of competing with ports in neighboring countries and constitute a starting point in the Iraqi land network that links Asia, Europe, Turkey and Syria.”

Goals

First goal: Increasing the capacity of current ports and shipping lanes.

Table (17)

Design capacity of targeted Iraqi docks for the year 2017

Port Name

2012 Expected number of additional

docks during the years 2013-2017

2017

Number of docks

Capacity

Million tons/year

Number of docks

Capacity

Million tons/year

Umm Qasr 22 7.5 19 41 14

Khor Al Zubair

12 6.4 13 25 10.650

Abu Fulus 3 0.5 - 3 0.750

Maaqal 9 2.250 5 14 3.6

Total 46 16.650 37 83 29

Second goal: Exploiting the unused available capacity of existing ports.

Third goal: Building key ports that would compete with those in neighboring countries.

Building Al-Faw Grand Port according to the quantitative targets mentioned in table (18).

Table (18)

Design capacity of targeted Iraqi docks for the year 2017

Statement The year 2018 The year 2038

Container berthsNumber of berths 10 - 11 22

Ton/ year 3000000 7000000

General cargo berthsNumber of berths 6 - 7 22

Ton/ year 10000000 40000000

Fourth goal: Increasing the role of the private sector in implementing, operating and providing services relevant to

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ports’ activity.

Fifth goal: Increasing workers’ competency in ports.

4-15 Maritime TransportVision

“Promoting the role of national maritime transport in Iraqi trade”

Goals

First Goal: Increasing the contribution of national maritime transport to Iraqi import and export operations.

Table (19)

Qualitative targets of shipping for the Plan’s years 2013-2017

Requirements CapacityRequired

Number

Ships distribution by year

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Bulk carriers 50 thousand tons

8 3 1 2 2 -

Building multifunctional

ships

15_20 thousand tons

2 1 - 1 - -

Container ships 1000_2000 container

4 3 1 - - -

Purchasing passenger ships

15_20 thousand tons

2 - 1 - 1 -

Purchasing RORO ships

5_8 thousand tons

3 1 1 1 -

Total 19 7 4 4 4 -

Second goal: Supporting the private sector’s role in maritime activity.

4-16 Aviation

Vision

“A comfortable, safe and competitive national aviation system.”

Goals

First goal: Promoting national air transportation.

The following three tables show the Plan’s targets in terms of developing the Iraqi Air transport fleet, aircraft

movement, number of passengers and quantities of imported and exported cargo:

Table (20)

Qualitative targets for civil aviation during the Plan’s years 2013-2017

YearNumber of planes Number of passengers

Arrivals Departures Arrivals Departures

2012 13906 13906 992301 1008847

2013 16223 16223 1129170 1155431

2014 18540 18540 1266039 1302015

2015 20857 20857 1402908 1448599

2016 23174 23174 1539777 1595183

2017 25491 25491 1676646 1741767

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Table (21)

Number of planes expected to be added to the Iraqi air fleet during the Plan’s years

Aircraft types 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total

Long-range aircraft 3 2 2 5 3 15

Medium-range aircraft 5 4 3 5 2 19

Cargo-aircraft - - 2 2 2 6

Total 8 6 7 12 7 40

Table (22)

International and internal transport scheme for the Iraqi Airways during the next five years

Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1International

transport (passenger)500940 1083252 1516552 1971517 2464397 2710836

2Internal Transport

(passenger)48036 173643 225735 293455 366819 403500

3 Imported Cargo (ton) 47436 108423 151792 346085 795997 1034796

4 Exported cargo (ton) 924 692 969 1259 1574 1732

Second goal: promoting the private sector’s role.

4-17 CommunicationsVision

“High quality and world-class communications services.”

Goals

First goal: Providing e-governance services.

Second goal: Reducing disparities between rural and urban areas in providing mobile cellular services.

Third goal: Improving the quality of communications and internet services.

The plan seeks to achieve the indicators cited in table (23).

Table (23)

Indicators on ICT infrastructure and access

IndicatorThe

actual figures

The figures targeted for

the year 2017

Number of fixed telephone lines per 100 inhabitants 6.8 25

Number of mobile cellular subscriptions per 100 inhabitants 76.3 100

Number of computers per 100 inhabitants 1.5 5

Number of internet/ broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants 14 20

Percentage of households owning a computer 6.3 10

Percentage of households having access of internet at home 18.1 20

Percentage of the population having access to the mobile cellular service (coverage includes most areas) 4 10

Internet access fees (20 hours per month) in USD and as a percentage of the annual individual income 100

Mobile cellular fees (100 minutes per month) in USD and as a percentage of the annual individual income 8 4

Fifth goal: promoting the role of the private sector in the field of communications.

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4-18 Postal ActivityVision

“A quick and reliable postal system at the national and international levels.”

Goals

First goal: Upgrading the quality of postal services.

Second goal: Integrating postal service activities with other economic sectors.

Third goal: Promoting the private sector role in postal activities.

4-19 Storage Activity

Vision

“A strategic, secure and sustainable storage capacity.”

Goal

First goal: Securing a strategic stock of wheat and rice that is sufficient for at least six months.

Table (24)

Additional suggested storage capacity for the years 2012-2017 by governorate

Governorate Current storage capacity of granaries

(ton)

The governorate’s needs in grains for 6 months (wheat, barley) (ton)

Storage capacity of suggested granaries

Wasit 42000 95000 60000

Anbar 10000 120000 120000

Karbala 10000 83000 80000

Najaf 60000 104000 60000

Babylon 93000 143000 60000

Muthanna 10000 60000 60000

Dhi Qar 20000 152000 120000

Basrah 125000 207000 120000

Maysan 10000 83000 80000

Diwaniyah 15000 92000 80000

Kirkuk 20000 106000 100000

Saladin 10000 106000 100000

Total 425000 1351000 1040000

Table (25)

Proposed storage capacity for the years 2012-2017

Governorate 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Karbala - 30000 - - - 50000

DhiQar 30000 - - - - 90000

Wasit - - 60000 - - -

Diwaniyah - - 80000 - - -

Maysan - - 80000 - - -

Basra - - - 120000 - -

Najaf - - - 60000 - -

Kirkuk - - - 60000 - 40000

Anbar - 60000 - - 60000 -

Babylon - - - - 60000 -

Muthanna - - - - 60000 -

Saladin - 30000 - - - 70000

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Total 30000 120000 220000 240000 180000 250000

4-20 Cultural Activity

Vision

“A national Iraqi culture that preserves the country’s cultural heritage and that is open to the world’s civilizations.”

Goals

First goal: Promoting and strengthening national cultural activity.

Second goal: Protecting the national cultural heritage.

Third goal: Increasing the private sector’s role in cultural investment.

Fourth goal: Supporting the virtual electronic library.

4-21 Tourism and Antiquities

Vision

“A sustainable civilization heritage that attracts tourists.”

Goals

First goal: Transforming tourism to an income and job-generating developmental pole.

Second goal: Preserving cultural heritage and reviving the archeological and historical legacy.

Third goal: Promoting the private sector's role in touristic investment.

4-22 Housing

Vision

“Guaranteeing a decent housing and residential environment to the biggest number of households and individuals and expanding the choices of Iraqis in terms of housing type and location”.

Goals

First goal: Building a million residential units during the years of the Plan and reducing residential overcrowding and occupancy rates.

Second goal: Reducing the spatial disparities reflected in the residential deficit between governorates and increasing residential satisfaction in rural areas.

Third goal: Ending expansion of informal housing and implementing programs to solve this dilemma as part of a solution that aims to address poverty in Iraq and that focuses on certain regions and rural areas.

Fourth goal: Increasing housing production, reducing prices and giving the required attention to quality standards, including the production of environmentally friendly residential units by rationalizing household energy consumption.

Fifth goal: Building the capacities of current landlords to enable them to improve and expand their houses.

4-23 Access to Drinking Water

Vision

“Guaranteeing all people access to potable water.”

Goals

First goal: Increasing water coverage and reducing waste by:

• Increasing the number of beneficiaries from 82% in 2011 to 98% in 2017.

• Reducing produced water waste from 40% to 25% in 2017.

Second goal: Reducing disparities in access to water services among governorates and between rural and urban areas by decreasing the number of people who do not have access to safe drinking water to 2% and 15% in urban and rural areas respectively.

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Table (26)

Number of proposed projects in governorates for the years 2013-2017

Governorate Number of new projects

1 Nineveh 7

2 Saladin 4

3 Anbar 18

4 Wasit 7

5 Najaf 5

6 Babylon 1

7 Karbala 1

8 Qadisiyyah 4

9 DhiQar 1

10 Maysan 7

11 Basra 3

12 Baghdad 4

13 Kirkuk 9

14 Diyala 11

15 Muthanna 1

Total 83

Third goal: Providing high quality water at a rate of 350 liters per capita a day.

Fourth goal: Promoting the private sector contribution to water services.

Fifth goal: Rationalizing water use.

4-24 SanitationVision

“Sustainable sanitation that responds to the targets of the Millennium Developmental Goals.”

The Goals

First goal: Increasing the proportion of beneficiaries from sanitation networks to 53% of the governorates’ population in 2017 and 95% in Baghdad.

Second goal: Making sure that waste disposal into rivers is consistent with standard specifications.

Table (27)

Number of new sanitary services projects for the years 2013-2017

Governorate Number of projects

Saladin 3

Wasit 3

Babylon 4

Karbala 1

Najaf 4

Qadisiyyah 3

Muthanna 2

29

Maysan 5

DhiQar 4

Basra 1

Total 42

4-25 Spatial DevelopmentThe Vision

“Achieving sustainable and comprehensive spatial development that guarantees the chance to access basic services and infrastructure in all Iraqi governorates, reduces the developmental gap between urban and rural areas and makes better investments in natural resources and in the relative potential of each region and governorate. This will achieve a spatial developmental balance commensurate with the needs, potential and comparative advantage of the different Iraqi regions and governorates and responds to the spatial development duality, overcrowding and prevailing economic activity”.

Goals

First goal: Reducing social disparities among governorates

Second goal: Reducing the developmental disparity between rural and urban areas.

Third goal: Improving urban system arrangements in Iraq.

Fourth goal: Comprehensive transportation systems.

Fifth goal: Modernizing urban cities and reconsidering urban land use.

Sixth goal: Increasing participation and decentralization in development management.

Seventh goal: Addressing the slums problem.

Eighth goal: Activating urban management and organization.

4-26 Education

Vision

“Providing education opportunities for all in a way that meets the requirements of the labor market and the knowledge economy and promotes the values of citizenship.”

Goals

First: Quantitative Goals

A. Enrollment

• Increasing the net enrollment rate in nurseries to 15% during the target year.

• Increasing the net enrollment rate in primary education to 95%.

• Increasing the net enrollment rate in middle schools to 45%.

• Increasing the net enrollment rate in preparatory schools to 30%.

• Increasing the net enrollment rate in vocational and technical education to 5%.

• Increasing the number of schools involved in special education to 7500 schools.

• Increasing the number of schools for the gifted to 28.

• Increasing the enrollment rate in higher education from 14% to 20%.

• Increasing the net enrollment rate in higher education in Iraq and abroad from 5% to 10%.

• Promoting the contribution of the private sector in creating 20% more general and higher education opportunities.

B. Buildings and Supplies

Building enough schools to absorb the targeted number of students in preschools and schools for the years 2013-2017, promoting the organizational environment and enhancing a safe and healthy educational climate in learning institutions as follows:

• Building 7220 new nurseries and primary schools to increase the net enrollment rate to 15% and 95% in nurseries and primary schools respectively.

30

• Building 2250 new secondary schools to increase the net enrollment rate to 45% and 30% in middle and preparatory schools respectively.

• Building 100 new vocational and technical schools to increase the net enrollment rate to 5%.

• Constructing 294 buildings to respond to the double and triple shift system in Baghdad and the governorates.

• Constructing 67 pavilions to respond to the double and triple shift system in Baghdad and the governorates.

• Rebuilding 497 schools to replace mud schools.

Second- Qualitative Goals

First goal: Upgrading the status of education.

Second goal: Reducing school dropout rates.

Third goal: Literacy.

Fourth goal: Bridging the gap between rural and urban areas.

Fifth goal: Adopting new curricula to promote creativity and innovation.

Sixth goal: Maintaining a strong ethical environment.

Seventh goal: Taking care of students with special needs.

Eighth goal: Upgrading the university education level to meet the requirements of the knowledge economy.

Ninth goal: Focusing on vocational and technical education.

4-27 Health

Vision

“A healthy society and population.”

Goals

First goal: Increasing the coverage and improving the quality of health services.

Second goal: Keeping pace with scientific developments in the medical and health field.

Third goal: Prevention first.

Fourth goal: Upgrading the quality of health human resources.

Fifth goal: Improving reproductive health services.

Sixth goal: Developing psychological services.

Seventh goal: Developing administrative and organization structures.

Eighth goal: Promoting the role of the private sector.

Table (28)

Targeted indicators in the health sector until the year 2017

Indicator 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1 Doctors/ 1000 inhabitants 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.78

2 Dentists/ 1000 inhabitants 0.18 0.19 0.2 0.23 0.25

3 Pharmacists/ 1000 inhabitants 0.2 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25

4 Health professionals/ 1000 inhabitants 1.8 1.85 1.9 0.95 2

5 Nurses/ doctor 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3

6 Hospital beds/ 1000 inhabitants 1.2 1.25 1.3 1.4 1.5

7 Bed occupancy rate $ 61 63 65 67 70

8 Number of children friendly hospitals 37 40 42 44 46

9 Infant mortality rate per 1000 live births 22 21 20 19 18

31

10 Children under five mortality rate per 1000 live births 28 27 26 25 24

11 Percentage of underweight children under five % 7 6 5 4 3

12 Percentage of food insecure population 3 3 3 3 3

13 Births attended by skilled health staff 93 93 94 95 95

14 Rate of condom use out of birth control methods prevalence rate

4.2 4.5 5 5.5 6

15Percentage of the population that is at risk of malaria infection and is adopting effective malaria prevention

measures and treatment

No cases

No cases

No cases

No cases

No cases

16 Rate of malaria infections per 100000 inhabitantsNo

cases No

cases No

cases No

cases No

cases

17 Incidence rate of Tuberculosis per 100000 inhabitants 45 40 35 30 25

18 Tuberculosis mortality rate per 100000 inhabitants 1.3 1 0.5 0.5 0.5

19Percentage of tuberculosis cases detected and cured under

directly observed treatment short course (%)89.4 90 91 92 93

20 Tuberculosis detection (%) 69 70 70 70 70

21Percent coverage of the fifth prenatal visit of pregnant

women to primary health centers (%)37 45 60 75 90

22 Percentage of immunization coverage for pregnant women 75 85 85 90 90

23Percentage of immunization coverage of women in

reproductive age 15-4935 50 60 65 70

24HIV rate among pregnant women aged between 15-25

years old per 1000000.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

25 Incidence rate of Hepatitis A per 100000 inhabitants 12 11 10 9 8

4-28 GenderVision

“Empowering Iraqi women and expanding their options.”

Goals

First goal: Integrating the gender approach in the development process.

Second goal: Women’s empowerment

4-29 Youth

Vision

“Conscious youth who believe in citizenship and are a key partner in sustainable development achievement.”

Goals

First goal: Youth empowerment

Second goal: Reducing youth unemployment rate

Third goal: Promoting the values of citizenship and belonging.

Fourth goal: Sports for all.

4-30 Social development

Vision

“A cohesive welfare society that guarantees protection and justice and promotes the values of achievement and

32

participation.”

Table (29)

Targeted indicators in the social development sector up to the year 2017

Target

Indicator 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Orphans

Number of government-run orphanages

22 22 24 26 26

Orphans/ Social worker 10.3 9.7 9.2 8.8 8.8

Orphans/ teacher 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.5

Elderly and severely handicapped

Number of retirement homes and homes for the

severely handicapped

12 12 14 15 15

Elderly person/ social worker

20.3 20.3 16.5 15.2 15.2

Elderly person and severely handicapped beneficiary/

service officer

4.06 3.72 3.5 3.48 3.48

Handicapped

Institutes for the handicapped

53 53 54 54 55

Handicapped/ social worker 22.6 22.6 22.10 21.59 21.43

Handicapped/ teacher 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 2.6

Protected workshops

Salaried beneficiaries/ protected workshops and

cooperatives

30.58 31.66 32.3 32.3 32.3

Kindergartens

Number of Kindergartens 42 42 45 46 46

Child/ kindergarten 60.12 60.83 60 59.24 59.24

Child/ nursemaid 12.75 12.59 12.56 12.50 12.50

Juvenile

Number of schools and observation centers for

juvenile delinquency

9 9 9 10 12

Social worker for juveniles 58 66 66 81 181

Juvenile procedural powers 453 453 453 525 5231

Beneficiaries of the dedication of 84 billion Dinars by the Poverty Reduction Plan/ in case of such

financial allocation is received/ Ministry of Planning

1000 1000 ___ 3000

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4-31 Environmental Sustainability of DevelopmentVision

“A green Iraqi economy that is based on integrating environmental policies in macroeconomic strategies in order to achieve sustainable growth.”

Goals

First goal: Protecting and improving air quality.

Second goal: Protecting and improving water quality.

Third goal: Reducing erosion and combating desertification.

Fourth goal: Preserving the maritime and littoral environments.

Fifth goal: Preserving biodiversity for sustainable use.

Sixth goal: Developing and improving waste management systems.

Seventh goal: Reducing oil pollution.

Eighth goal: Reducing radioactive pollution.

Ninth goal: Comprehensive management of dangerous chemical materials.

Tenth goal: Developing the institutional and legal frame of the environment sector.

Eleventh goal: Promoting the role of the private sector as a permanent and active partner in the environment field.

4-32 Decentralization and local government

The goal: Promoting administrative decentralization and local government in sectoral ministries and governorates.

4-33 Modernizing the Public Sector

Goals

First goal: Promoting the principles of inclusive planning.

Second goal: Strengthening the partnership between public and private sectors to provide services and infrastructure.

Third goal: Building the skills of the administrative and governmental apparatus.

Fourth goal: Developing a society grounded in knowledge and based on bridging the electronic gap.

Fifth goal: Increasing interaction and strengthening collaboration among developmental partners in the shift towards the digital economy.

4-34 Integrity, Transparency, Accountability and Fighting Corruption

Goals

First goal: Protecting society from corruption practices and promoting a culture of integrity.

Second goal: Building a state of laws, good governance and promoting the culture of human rights protection.

Third goal: Consolidating a culture of social integrity, transparency and accountability in public positions.

Fourth goal: Enhancing the competencies of the government’s administrative leaders.

Fifth goal: Strengthening monitoring and accountability procedures in public services.

4-35 The Rule of Law, Human Rights and Access to Justice

Goals

First goal: Consolidating the principle of separation of powers.

Second goal: Adopting mechanisms to make human rights a reality.

Third goal: Upgrading citizens' living standards.

Fourth goal: Promoting the independence of the judiciary.

Fifth goal: Spreading legal culture in society.

34