national early warning and monitoring centre of natural ... · cemaden aims to develop, test and...

21
TARGET G: Data and Methodology for Estimating the Availability of and Access to Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems and Disaster Risk Information and Assessments The Centre implements, on national level, the continuous monitoring of adverse hydro meteorological and climate conditions, which may trigger processes that produce imminent risk of natural disasters occurrence. Based on data and information of pluviometers, fluviometers and meteorological radars, CEMADEN analyses and issues early warning of risks of geodynamic processes of landslides and hydrological alerts associated to floods and impacts of severe droughts. National Early Warning and Monitoring Centre of Natural Disasters: CEMADEN

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TARGET G Data and Methodology for Estimating the Availability of and Access to Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems and Disaster Risk Information and Assessments

The Centre implements on national level thecontinuous monitoring of adverse hydrometeorological and climate conditions whichmay trigger processes that produce imminentrisk of natural disasters occurrence Based ondata and information of pluviometersfluviometers and meteorological radarsCEMADEN analyses and issues early warning ofrisks of geodynamic processes of landslides andhydrological alerts associated to floods andimpacts of severe droughts

National Early Warning and Monitoring Centre of Natural

Disasters CEMADEN

Source Brazilian Atlas of Natural Disasters 1991-2012

Distribution of natural disasters in Brazil

bull Floods Flash floods and landslides = 90 of occurrences in SE Braziland 70 national

bull Highest number of fatalities = landslides

bull Higher mortality SE Brazil (the most densely populated)

Natural Disasters in Brazil

Landslides and flash floods cause over 90 of fatalitiesSource Brazilian Atlas of Natural Disasters 1991-2012

Hystorical Natural Disaster on RJ (2011)

905 deaths300 missing300 thousand affectedR$ 478 billion in losses (WorldBank 2012b)

Decreto Presidencial nordm 7513 de 1ordm de julho de 2011

As part of the National Strategy for Natural Disaster ManagementCEMADEN aims to develop test and implement a system to forecast theoccurrence of natural disasters in vulnerable areas of Brazil

CEMADEN Towards an interdisciplinary perspective

bull Understanding what different type of data need to be collected How to engage citizens

bull Forecasting How to include emerging data in forecasting models and systems

bull Alerting how to issue warnings in face of uncertainties How to communicate risks

SAV

2007

SAPA

2007

ALERTABLU

2008

SABHSAPETSATERSANF

2011

SAMOP

2012

SACU

2015

CEMADEC

2016

CGE-SP

1999

ALERTA RIO

19961989

SAISP

1977

CEOPS

1984

PPDC

1988

SACE CPRM CEMADEN

SALA DE SITUACcedilAtildeO ANA

CIADEN

2010

CEMADEN-RJ

Federal

Estadual

Regional

MunicipalFonte Marchezini et al (2017)

TIME EVOLUTION OF MONITORING SYSTEMS IN BRAZIL

Of the 71 arrangements that perform monitoring19 are exclusively from the federal level26 are the result of partnerships between federal and state institutions12 are state 2 regional 12 municipal

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Source Brazilian Atlas of Natural Disasters 1991-2012

Distribution of natural disasters in Brazil

bull Floods Flash floods and landslides = 90 of occurrences in SE Braziland 70 national

bull Highest number of fatalities = landslides

bull Higher mortality SE Brazil (the most densely populated)

Natural Disasters in Brazil

Landslides and flash floods cause over 90 of fatalitiesSource Brazilian Atlas of Natural Disasters 1991-2012

Hystorical Natural Disaster on RJ (2011)

905 deaths300 missing300 thousand affectedR$ 478 billion in losses (WorldBank 2012b)

Decreto Presidencial nordm 7513 de 1ordm de julho de 2011

As part of the National Strategy for Natural Disaster ManagementCEMADEN aims to develop test and implement a system to forecast theoccurrence of natural disasters in vulnerable areas of Brazil

CEMADEN Towards an interdisciplinary perspective

bull Understanding what different type of data need to be collected How to engage citizens

bull Forecasting How to include emerging data in forecasting models and systems

bull Alerting how to issue warnings in face of uncertainties How to communicate risks

SAV

2007

SAPA

2007

ALERTABLU

2008

SABHSAPETSATERSANF

2011

SAMOP

2012

SACU

2015

CEMADEC

2016

CGE-SP

1999

ALERTA RIO

19961989

SAISP

1977

CEOPS

1984

PPDC

1988

SACE CPRM CEMADEN

SALA DE SITUACcedilAtildeO ANA

CIADEN

2010

CEMADEN-RJ

Federal

Estadual

Regional

MunicipalFonte Marchezini et al (2017)

TIME EVOLUTION OF MONITORING SYSTEMS IN BRAZIL

Of the 71 arrangements that perform monitoring19 are exclusively from the federal level26 are the result of partnerships between federal and state institutions12 are state 2 regional 12 municipal

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Natural Disasters in Brazil

Landslides and flash floods cause over 90 of fatalitiesSource Brazilian Atlas of Natural Disasters 1991-2012

Hystorical Natural Disaster on RJ (2011)

905 deaths300 missing300 thousand affectedR$ 478 billion in losses (WorldBank 2012b)

Decreto Presidencial nordm 7513 de 1ordm de julho de 2011

As part of the National Strategy for Natural Disaster ManagementCEMADEN aims to develop test and implement a system to forecast theoccurrence of natural disasters in vulnerable areas of Brazil

CEMADEN Towards an interdisciplinary perspective

bull Understanding what different type of data need to be collected How to engage citizens

bull Forecasting How to include emerging data in forecasting models and systems

bull Alerting how to issue warnings in face of uncertainties How to communicate risks

SAV

2007

SAPA

2007

ALERTABLU

2008

SABHSAPETSATERSANF

2011

SAMOP

2012

SACU

2015

CEMADEC

2016

CGE-SP

1999

ALERTA RIO

19961989

SAISP

1977

CEOPS

1984

PPDC

1988

SACE CPRM CEMADEN

SALA DE SITUACcedilAtildeO ANA

CIADEN

2010

CEMADEN-RJ

Federal

Estadual

Regional

MunicipalFonte Marchezini et al (2017)

TIME EVOLUTION OF MONITORING SYSTEMS IN BRAZIL

Of the 71 arrangements that perform monitoring19 are exclusively from the federal level26 are the result of partnerships between federal and state institutions12 are state 2 regional 12 municipal

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Hystorical Natural Disaster on RJ (2011)

905 deaths300 missing300 thousand affectedR$ 478 billion in losses (WorldBank 2012b)

Decreto Presidencial nordm 7513 de 1ordm de julho de 2011

As part of the National Strategy for Natural Disaster ManagementCEMADEN aims to develop test and implement a system to forecast theoccurrence of natural disasters in vulnerable areas of Brazil

CEMADEN Towards an interdisciplinary perspective

bull Understanding what different type of data need to be collected How to engage citizens

bull Forecasting How to include emerging data in forecasting models and systems

bull Alerting how to issue warnings in face of uncertainties How to communicate risks

SAV

2007

SAPA

2007

ALERTABLU

2008

SABHSAPETSATERSANF

2011

SAMOP

2012

SACU

2015

CEMADEC

2016

CGE-SP

1999

ALERTA RIO

19961989

SAISP

1977

CEOPS

1984

PPDC

1988

SACE CPRM CEMADEN

SALA DE SITUACcedilAtildeO ANA

CIADEN

2010

CEMADEN-RJ

Federal

Estadual

Regional

MunicipalFonte Marchezini et al (2017)

TIME EVOLUTION OF MONITORING SYSTEMS IN BRAZIL

Of the 71 arrangements that perform monitoring19 are exclusively from the federal level26 are the result of partnerships between federal and state institutions12 are state 2 regional 12 municipal

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

CEMADEN Towards an interdisciplinary perspective

bull Understanding what different type of data need to be collected How to engage citizens

bull Forecasting How to include emerging data in forecasting models and systems

bull Alerting how to issue warnings in face of uncertainties How to communicate risks

SAV

2007

SAPA

2007

ALERTABLU

2008

SABHSAPETSATERSANF

2011

SAMOP

2012

SACU

2015

CEMADEC

2016

CGE-SP

1999

ALERTA RIO

19961989

SAISP

1977

CEOPS

1984

PPDC

1988

SACE CPRM CEMADEN

SALA DE SITUACcedilAtildeO ANA

CIADEN

2010

CEMADEN-RJ

Federal

Estadual

Regional

MunicipalFonte Marchezini et al (2017)

TIME EVOLUTION OF MONITORING SYSTEMS IN BRAZIL

Of the 71 arrangements that perform monitoring19 are exclusively from the federal level26 are the result of partnerships between federal and state institutions12 are state 2 regional 12 municipal

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

SAV

2007

SAPA

2007

ALERTABLU

2008

SABHSAPETSATERSANF

2011

SAMOP

2012

SACU

2015

CEMADEC

2016

CGE-SP

1999

ALERTA RIO

19961989

SAISP

1977

CEOPS

1984

PPDC

1988

SACE CPRM CEMADEN

SALA DE SITUACcedilAtildeO ANA

CIADEN

2010

CEMADEN-RJ

Federal

Estadual

Regional

MunicipalFonte Marchezini et al (2017)

TIME EVOLUTION OF MONITORING SYSTEMS IN BRAZIL

Of the 71 arrangements that perform monitoring19 are exclusively from the federal level26 are the result of partnerships between federal and state institutions12 are state 2 regional 12 municipal

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Of the 71 arrangements that perform monitoring19 are exclusively from the federal level26 are the result of partnerships between federal and state institutions12 are state 2 regional 12 municipal

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

ldquoIs a set of capabilities needed to generate and disseminatein a timely and comprehensible manner information thatenables individuals communities and organizations vulnerableto disasters to prepare and act appropriately and in a timelymanner to reduce their possibility of suffering damages and or losses (UNISDR 2012)

What is a Warning System

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

4 AXES OF THE ALERT SYSTEM

RISK KNOWLEDGEMONITORING AND

ALERT

EDUCATION AND

COMMUNICATIONRESPONSE CAPACITY

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Disaster Risk

Warning System

Combine Risk and Impact

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

ldquoMeteorological Warningrdquo issued on 271117 start at 1300 (27) end at 1030 (28)

NECESSARY BUT NOT SUFFICIENT

WHY

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

INMET warning regions amp CEMADEN monitored municipalities

INMETNumber ofmunicipalities in the warningregion

CEMADENNumber ofmonitoredmunicipalities

Total Population in the monitoredmunicipalities(IBGE 2016)

Number ofrisk areas in the monitoredmunicipalities

At-riskpopulation in situation ofvery high social vulnerability

573 89 8245599 9000 approximately

15

Very high social vulnerability very high exposure and low disaster response capacity

Why Cemaden do notmonitor all municipalities

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Risk areas in Belo Horizonte-MG

Legend Class of social vulnerability in the riskareas

High

Medium

Very high

0mm

0mm

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Social vulnerability in the risk areas of Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais state

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

ldquoFlood and Flashflood Warningrdquo issued on 281117 start at 1816 continuously updated

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Ndeg Alerta Estado Regiatildeo Municiacutepio Processo Data AberturaUacuteltima

AtualizaccedilatildeoVigecircncia

Niacutevel Abertura

1727 SP Sudeste Avareacute EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1728 SP Sudeste Joanoacutepolis MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1729 SP Sudeste Sorocaba IN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1730 SP Sudeste Diadema MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1731 SP Sudeste Diadema EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1732 SP Sudeste Satildeo Bernardo do Campo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1733 SP Sudeste Santo Andreacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Alt

1734 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1735 SP Sudeste Alumiacutenio MM 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1736 SP Sudeste Sorocaba MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1737 SP Sudeste Mairinque EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1738 SP Sudeste Mairinque MM 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1739 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1740 RJ Sudeste Petroacutepolis EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1741 MG Sudeste Ewbank da Cacircmara EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1742 MG Sudeste Santos Dumont MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1743 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1744 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora MM 271117 301117 CESSADO Mod

1745 MG Sudeste Juiz de Fora IN 271117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1746 SP Sudeste Campos do Jordatildeo EXIN 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1747 RJ Sudeste Angra dos Reis EX 271117 281117 CESSADO Mod

1748 ES Sudeste Guaccediluiacute EX 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1749 MG Sudeste Caetecirc EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1750 MG Sudeste Belo Horizonte EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1751 MG Sudeste Trecircs Coraccedilotildees EXIN 281117 291117 CESSADO Mod

1752 MG Sudeste Rio Casca IN 281117 301117 CESSADO Mod

EX = Enxurrada

IN = Inundaccedilatildeo

MM = Movimentos de Massa

WARNINGS ISSUED ON 2711 AND 2811 5 FOR MUNICIPALITIES INCLUDED IN THE INMET ADVISED REGION

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Monitored municipalities

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

56

274

531

856888

958

MORE THAN 7000 WARNINGS ISSUED SINCE DEZEMBER 2011

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

Warning levels

MUITO ALTOALTOMODERADO

Matriz de niacuteveis de alertaImpacto Potencial

Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Possibilidade de Ocorrecircncia

Muito Alta Moderado Alto Muito Alto

Alta Moderado Alto Alto

Baixa Observaccedilatildeo Moderado Moderado

OBSERVACcedilAtildeO

PORTARIA Nordm 314 DE 17 DE OUTUBRO DE 2012

CESSAR

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION

osvaldomoraescemadengovbr

wwwcemadengovbr