national economic and fiscal commission papua … 2013...(this takes in to account a province [s...
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National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Raising the Bar
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
…when aspiration and discipline converge
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Raising the Bar…when aspiration and
discipline converge
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Raising the Bar
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THANK YOU TO OUR PARTNERS
Before we continue a word of thanks to our partner agencies, who include:
- Department of Treasury
- Department of Finance
- Department of Provincial and Local Government Affairs
- National Department of Health
- National Department of Education
- and DFAT (Government of Australia)
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Raising the BarIn July of this year, our athletes join with those from other countries to compete in this year’s South Pacific Games in Port Moresby. Champions will be crowned, records will be broken, and we will look for our next champions to celebrate, to join the likes of Dika Toua and Steven Kari who reached the summit at the Commonwealth Games in Edinburgh in 2014.
Like the athletes of old, Toua and Kari raised the bar. They prove to us to all, that Papua New Guineans can compete on the international stage and win gold, the athlete’s ultimate crown. In doing so, they pose the question to us as public servants, how high will we set the bar to improve the quality of services we deliver to our people?
The 2013 PER helps us assess our financial performance against the bar of supporting service delivery.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Intergovernmental Fiscal Principles
Principles are what we follow to help chart our path to ‘raise the bar’.
In the same way that an athlete, in striving for success, follows the principles of good nutrition, training, rest and competition, there are also principles to guide us in intergovernmental finance.
As our operating environment continues to evolve it is good to reflect on our direction and the principles that help us chart a course in achieving the aspirations of Government. An overarching objective of Government is the promotion of equity through the delivery of basic services to all Papua New Guineans.
I’d like us to reflect on four principles which will help us achieve this…
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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1. Affordability
The first principle is affordability.
An affordable system can be sustained, it offers all parties certainty, and will be less vulnerable to economic fluctuations.
Raising the bar in the area of ‘affordability’
Our country is about to enjoy the benefits of new revenue streams from natural resources. How can this be translated in to more funding being directed to support basic services at the subnational levels?
• Does the Net National Revenue (NNR) need to be increased?
• Is there another way to direct and distribute these new revenues through the intergovernmental system?
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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2. Functional responsibilities
The second principle is a clear understanding of functional responsibilities. Understanding ‘who does what’ is of absolute importance.
When we know where responsibility lies, we can then direct resources and develop accountability mechanisms.
Raising the bar in the area of ‘functional responsibilities’
The function assignment determination (FAD) was published in 2009. It needs to be a living document that is reviewed and updated periodically. There are a number of areas to consider, examples include:
• The roles of churches in providing health and education services.
• Responsibilities for key functions such as: rural water supply; maintaining buildings; and procuring essential vehicles and boats.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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3. Funding follows function
The third principle is that funding follows function. For the service delivery system to work, each level, needs to have access to an appropriate amount of revenue.
Raising the bar in the area of ‘funding follows function’
We need to consider how we can better align the location of funding (access) with the public servants who need to use it to pay for service delivery activities.
• How to make the right amount accessible to rural facilities such as schools and health clinics?
• To achieve this, where can we leverage new technology?
• Can district treasuries be a key ‘enabler’?
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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4. An effective system of reporting and monitoring
And the fourth principle is the need for an effective system of reporting and monitoring. Accountability is at the heart of any effective government bureaucracy.
Raising the bar in the area of ‘effective reporting and monitoring systems’
How can Provincial Administrations develop more effective reporting and monitoring systems across districts and LLGs in their province?
• What information needs to flow between levels? And how do you collect it?
• Is there opportunity for new technology to help us?
• How do provinces then report and interact with key national line agencies? And central agencies?
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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PER 2013Fiscal Monitoring in Year Five
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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PER 2013Getting the money on time
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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The late release-late spending relationship
Provinces need a timely and predictable warrant/cash release schedule.
Often late spending is related to late release of cash by Waigani.
‒ In 2010 the release of warrants/cash was very late
‒ In 2011 it improved
‒ In 2012 it got worse again
‒ In 2013 consistency across provinces improved but too much was released late in the year
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Late spending by provinces
In 2013;
‒ 52% of grant spending happened in the last quarter
‒ 37% of spending from internal revenue happened in the last quarter
How well does spending late in the year support
the delivery of basic services?
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Predictable timely funding
In 2015, let’s remove the uncertainty, let’s implement a cash release schedule that gives provinces the funding they are entitled to in a timely and predictable manner.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Month Warrant /
Cash
Process at
sub-national
Spend /
cheque
Jan
Feb 40% Processing
Mar Processing
Apr 30% Processing 40%
May Processing
Jun 30%
Jul 20% Processing
Aug Processing
Sep 10% Processing 20%
Oct Processing
Nov 10%
Dec
Total 100% 100%
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PER 2013Fiscal capacity and the importance of internal revenue to service delivery
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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The service delivery funding equation
For service delivery activities to happen provinces need to allocate their own internal revenue to sectors to support frontline operational activities. Function grants alone are not enough.
Some provinces have high levels of internal revenue. If they do not allocate appropriate amounts of this in their budgets to support basic services – then basic services will not happen effectively in their provinces.
Funding basic services in PNG has an equation:
Function Grants + Internal Revenue = Service Delivery
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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36%
10%
7%
54%
12%
55%
57%
46%
82%
84%
79%
55%
74%
80%
79%
55%
57%
62%
54%
31%
138%
125%
125%
72%
111%
60%
47%
55%
15%
13%
18%
38%
16%
11%
10%
31%
21%
12%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200%
SHP
NIP
West'n
WHP
Morobe
WNB
ENB
Enga
Manus
Oro
Gulf
EHP
Simbu
MBP
Sand'n
Central
Madang
ESP
Jiwaka
Hela
Grant funded Own-sourced revenue funded
Cost of ServicesEstimate
Function grants alone are not enough
The blue line is where basic services are being funded 100%.
We can see internal revenue (the orange part of the bar) is critical if we truly want to adequately fund basic services.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Is internal revenue supporting service delivery?
Not to the necessary level. For many of the provinces with higher amounts of internal revenue the analysis shows they do not allocate very much to basic service delivery activities.
In 2013 it was spent as follows:
‒ 48% of internal revenue spending was on administration
‒ 28% was on other sectors or unspecified/non-descript areas
‒ 12% was on personnel emoluments and capital in priority sectors
‒ 8% was on operational funding in priority sectors
‒ 4% was transferred to LLGs
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Which operational costs get internal revenue?
When it comes to operational funding, administration gets it first.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
-
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
Administration Health Education InfrastructureMaintenance
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
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PER 2013An overview of spending results
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Overall sector spending – the big picturesector spending v estimated cost
We know that every year it becomes more expensive to deliver the same service due to inflation and increases in demand (population/scope etc.)
This graph answers the question “are we keeping pace and making progress”.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Education hovering at around 60%
Health spending increasing to just
over 50%
Agriculture spending is 34%
Infrastructure maintenance
spending moved upward to just
above 50%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Infrastructure spending v CoS
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Health spending v CoS
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Agriculture spending v CoS
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Are we spending up to our capacity?
This assessment looks at what we are spending on a sector relative to what we could spend (from both grants and internal revenue funding).
In 2013, overall:
In most sectors, provinces spent in the ‘medium range’ relative to what they could spend. This means there is room for improvement – they can spend more.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Health Education Infrastructure
Maintenance
Agriculture Fisheries Village Court
Function Grant
Village Court
Allowances
2013 Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium High High
2012 Medium Medium Medium Low Medium High High
2011 Medium Medium Medium Medium High High
Average Spending
Performance Level
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Are the grants being spent in the areas intended?
In 2013, the overall assessment is that;
‒ Function grant spending in most sectors was assessed as good (i.e. “generally on the purposes intended”)
‒ Education function grant spending was assessed as ‘average’ meaning there is room for improvement
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Health Education Infrastructure
Maintenance
Agriculture Fisheries Village Court
Function Grant
Village Court
Allowances
Spending Trend 2012 Up Up Up Steady Up Up Up
2012 Up Steady Up Up Up Up Up
2011 Up Up Up Up Up Up
2013
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MPAs – the frontline
In 2013;
‒ 87% of MPAs had an identifiable vote in provincial budgets
‒ 32% of MPAs had reasonable budget allocations
(this takes in to account a province’s fiscal capacity and the cost estimated necessary to perform that activity in that province)
Overall, these are areas where we need to improve performance:
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
These votes need to be better identified
in provincial budgets
These votes need more money
to be allocated to them in the budget
Provision of School Materials Provision of School Materials & District Supervision
District Education Office Operations Rural Health Facility Operations & Integrated Health Patrols
Rural Health Facility Operations Road & Bridge Maintenance
Agriculture Extension Agriculture and Fisheries Extension
Village court operational materials
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PER 2013Fiscal Performance by Sector
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Overview of the Education Sector
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Across all provinces:
‒ Provinces that are dependent on function grants continue to show large improvements in spending from earlier years
‒ Provinces with high levels of internal revenue need to allocate more to basic education
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%Fiscal Capacity 2009 Spending 2010 Spending
2011 Spending 2012 Spending 2013 Spending
Cost of Services Estimate
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Overview of the Health Sector
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Across all provinces:
‒ Again, provinces that are dependent on function grants continue to show large improvements in spending from earlier years
‒ Provinces with high levels of internal revenue typically need to allocate much more to support rural health
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%Fiscal Capacity 2009 Spending 2010 Spending
2011 Spending 2012 Spending 2013 Spending
Cost of Services Estimate
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Overview of the Transport Infrastructure Sector
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Across all provinces:
‒ Once again, many provinces that are dependent on function grants have demonstrated very large improvements in spending from earlier years
‒ Provinces with high levels of internal revenue typically need to allocate much more to maintain roads, bridges, wharves and jetties
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%Fiscal Capacity 2009 Spending 2010 Spending
2011 Spending 2012 Spending 2013 Spending
Cost of Services Estimate
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Overview of the Fisheries Subsector
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Across all provinces:
‒ Most provinces can spend much more to support fishery activities
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%Fiscal Capacity 2009 Spending 2010 Spending
2011 Spending 2012 Spending 2013 Spending
Cost of Services Estimate
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Overview of the Agriculture Subsector
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Across all provinces:
‒ Provinces that are dependent on function grants have generally demonstrated small improvements in spending
‒ Provinces with high levels of internal revenue typically do not prioritise agriculture activities
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%Fiscal Capacity 2009 Spending 2010 Spending
2011 Spending 2012 Spending 2013 Spending
Cost of Services Estimate
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THE SCORECARD
Fiscal Indicators: Measuring how well we are managing our resources with the objective of improving front-line service delivery
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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Fiscal IndicatorsSustained fiscal performance
that supports better service delivery
Ultimately, improving service delivery is a long-run game, it’s not a sprint it’s a challenge over the longer-distance.
The NEFC has developed a methodology for tracking spending on service delivery over many years.
Criteria: there are 32 measures which include:
1. The amount spent on priority sectors
2. Equity (or fairness) of spending across priority sectors
3. The use of internal revenue to support priority sectors & activities
4. The utilisation of function grants
5. The amount unspent
6. Ensuring the spending is on the right things
7. Late spending
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
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The 2013 PER ScorecardFiscal performance
that supports better service delivery
We have two tables, the first is the annual scorecard, and the second aggregates performance over the last three years. Both are important.
Firstly, our congratulations to East New Britain who came first in The 2013 PER Table.
National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
Province 2011 2012 2013 Average
1 Simbu 74 70 71 71.5
2 Madang 76 74 61 70.2
3 Milne Bay 76 71 63 70.1
4 Manus 81 68 53 67.3
5 East New Britain 63 59 73 65.4
Central 78 61 54 64
Sandaun 70 54 66 63
Western Highlands 78 67 41 62
Eastern Highlands 65 63 57 62
Jiwaka 60 60
Oro 67 56 54 59
Morobe 61 61 55 59
West New Britain 60 60 53 58
Hela 57 57
East Sepik 62 59 47 56
Southern Highlands 65 42 58 55
Gulf 63 54 46 54
Western 66 50 47 54
Enga 55 51 47 51
New Ireland 72 45 35 51
Secondly, we commend this years Top Five in the sustainability table: Simbu, Madang, Milne Bay, Manus and East New Britain.
These provincial administrations sustained a high level of financial discipline over the last three years and demonstrated a high level of commitment to making service delivery happen in their provinces.
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National Economic and Fiscal CommissionPapua New Guinea
IN CLOSING
We need aspirational people at every level: in provinces, in districts, at health centres, schools and in our national capital. For we are competing, and the contest is to create a world class rural service delivery system for the 87% of our people that are rurally based.
Let us, as public servants individually and collectively ‘Raise the Bar’ to better serve our people.