National Food Policy Capacity Strengthening Programme

National Food Policy Plan of Action and Country Investment Plan

Monitoring Report 2012

An overviewby Ciro Fiorillo, CTA NFPCSP

August 13th 2012

Bangladesh has been an early adopter of the comprehensive approach to food security through the formulation of the National Food Policy (2006) and its Plan of Action (2008)

The framework for food security interventions: the National Food Policy and its Plan of Action

The National Food Policy Plan of Action provides a comprehensive long-term (2008-2015) framework for:

- Coordinating government interventions on food security

- Aligning development support to national priorities in line with the Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness

- Regularly monitoring progress toward food security in line with MDG1

-Identifying needs for investments

To reduce undernourishment, stunting and underweight, food should be available, accessible and complemented by nutrition interventions

Access NutritionAvailability

Responding to L’Aquila Initiative and in line with the 5 Principles agreed in the Rome Food Summit, the CIP was approved in 2010 and revised in 2011 based on extensive consultations. It is a coherent set of 12 strategic priority investment programmes allowing to coordinate Government and Development partners interventions It is aligned with MDG1, NFP PoA and the Sixth Five Year PlanIt focuses on investments included in the Annual Development Budget

The framework for food security interventions: The Country Investment Plan

The CIP and PoA provide the framework for monitoring impacts, outputs and financial commitments

Monitoring the CIP and NFP PoA A complex exercise involving multiple:- agencies from government and development partners - Levels of monitoring and types of information

CIP Results Chain

NFP Global Objectiveto ensure sustained

food security for all people of the country

at all times

OUTPUTS IMPACTS/OUTCOMES

3 CIP components

INPUTS/ACTION LEVEL

NFP PoA results chain

12 CIP programmes

GoB / donor financial

commitments to ongoing (≈ 269) and pipeline (≈ 130) projects

40 priority investment

area

Sub-outputs Aggregate outputs

300 action/ strategic

actions lines

26 PoA Areas of Intervention

3 NFP Objectives

National Food Policy – progress toward the goalOverall goals of the NFP is “to ensure dependable sustained food

security for all people of the country at all times” In the CIP, 3 indicators focus on nutrition as food security outcome: Target at reach for underweight and stunting, acceleration needed

for undernourishment (for which limited data are available)

SFYP indicator and NFP goal

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Target 2015 Source

Undernourishment 26.8%(2005-7)

26.3%(2006-8)

25.8%(2007-9) na 19%

(MDG -1)FAOSOFI

Prevalence of underweight children (0 to 59 months - WHO standards)

41% na na 36% 33%(MDG -1) BDHS

Stunting (0 -59 months) 43% na na 41%

38%(revised

HPNSDP target for 2016)

BDHS

CIP indicators included in the Sixth Five Year Plan In addition to underweight, 4 indicators from the CIP and PoA

were included in the Development Result Framework of the SFYP to measure progress on poverty and food security

Progress against targets is satisfactorySFYP indicator and NFP

goal2007/08

(PoA baseline)

2008/09 2009/10(CIP/SFYP baseline)

2010/11 Target 2011

Target 2015

Source

Poverty headcount index (CBN upper poverty line)

40.1%(2005) na 31.5%

(2010) na 29.7% 29% (MDG1) BBS

Rate of growth of agricultural GDP in constant prices

3.00% 3.97% 5.24% 5.24% 5.0% 4.3% BBS

Government spending on social protection as % of GDP

Na 2.25% 2.52% 2.64% (revised) 2.0% 3.0% MoF

Growth of wages in kg of rice (3-year moving average)

-8.11% -1.38% 5.71% 7.73% 7.16%≥ GDP growth

+ 0.5

BBS and

DAM

CIP programme

CIP budget 2011 Revised (data up to June 2010) CIP budget 2012 (data up to June 2011)

Total CIP

Financed (ongoing or completed)

Pipeline projects

Total CIP

Financed (ongoing or completed)

Pipeline projects

GOB DPs Total Total Priority GOB DPs Total Total Priority

A = D+E B C D E F A = D+E B C D E F

Availability

4,175

706

580

1,286

2,889

1,889

5,115

1,829

664

2,493

2,622

1,924

Access

3,241

860

878

1,738

1,502

993

3,555

1,392

1,012

2,405

1,151

695

Utilization

778

8

33

41

737

584

471

66

272

338

133

100

Total

8,194

1,574

1,491

3,065

5,128

3,465 9,141

3,287

1,948

5,235

3,906

2,719

CIP financial commitments (CIP table 4.1)Variations in CIP Budget between June 2010 and June 2011Total value of the CIP has increased by US$ 947 million (+11.6%) Financed CIP project increased by US$ M 2,170 (+71%)

of which US$ 1,713 by GoB (+109%) and US$ 457 by DPs (+31%)Pipeline decreased by US$ M 1,222 (-24%) due to:

- Projects whose implementation started (e.g. NNS: US$M 115)- Possible under-reporting of projects in pipelines

CIP delivery and financing progress in 2010/11- Delivery stands at US$ M 836 (this is CIP execution in FY 2011)- Additional financing US$ M 2,170 (US$M 1,861 for new projects)- Additional financing larger than delivery, especially for availability

- Develop capacity to deliver - Scale up identification & financing in areas lagging

behind

Availability Access Utilization -

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200 Delivery

DPsGoB

mill

ion

USD

Availability Access Utilization -

300

600

900

1,200 Financing for new projects

DPsGoB

mill

ion

USD

• Agricultural GDP growth (5.24%) is above the target for 2011 • Variability of rice production remained low• Rice import dependency slightly increased due to public imports for stabilizing

domestic supply and price• Increased share of rice on total food VA: no progress in diversification

Indicator 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 TargetRate of growth of agricultural GDP (in constant prices) 3.00% 3.97% 5.24% 5.24% 5%

Instability of rice production(de-trended 10 y coeff. of variation) 4.09% 3.69% 4.07% 3.38% na

Rice import dependency (3-year moving average) 2.40% 4.30% 1.40% 2.50% 0%

Share of rice value added in total food value added in current price 41.5% 43.1% 42.2% 42.9%p na

NFP Objective 1: Availability of food

Scale up fisheries, livestock and horticulture investments to promote diversification Foster research and extension for climate change adaptation Valorize unused land in costal areas Promote use efficiency and quality of agrochemicals Promote water use efficiency and preserve water table

• Poverty rate declined steeply – and the average poor person is less poor• Real wages increased significantly (in rice terms)• Food prices have risen faster than other prices, trend reverted in2012

NFP Objective 2: Access to food

Indicator 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Target Source

Moderate poverty (CBN upper line)

40% (2005) na na 31.50%

(2010)29%

(MDG1) BBS

Extreme poverty (CBN lower line)

25.1%(2005) na na 17.6%

(2010) na BBS

Poverty gap (CBN upper line)

9.0% (2005) na. na 6.5%

(2010)8%

(MDG1) BBS

Change in wages in kg of rice (3-y moving av.) -8.11% -1.38% 5.71% 7.73% 7.16% BBS and

DAM

Inflation differential between food and

general CPI5.1%

(av. 2005-08)6.3%

(av. 2006-09)7.6%

(av. 2007-10)9.1%

(av. 2008-11) 0% BBS

Expand storage capacity; integrate procurement, distribution and trade policies Sustain attention to climate change, access to natural resources, price volatility Continue regular monitoring of food security Finalize the national social protection strategy based on broad based consultations

• Diversification: low in production, improved in consumption (but still > 60% )• Good improvement in CED of women (health intervention impacts) • Children receiving acceptable diet reduced (new WHO definition in 2010/11)• Consuming of iodized salt reduced (higher standards, informal imports)

NFP Objective 3: Food utilisation for nutrition

Indicator 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Target

Nat. Dietary Energy Supply from cereals 78.1% (2005-07) na na na 60%

National Dietary Energy Intake from cereals 73% na 70% 60%

Chronic Energy Deficiency among women (BMI <18.5)

38%(2004)

32% (2005)

33%(2007)

25% (2010)

20%by 2015

% of children receiving minimum acceptable diet (6-23 months) 42% 34% 38% 21% 52% by

2016

Households consuming iodized salt na 91.8%% 92% 84% 100%

Increase dietary diversification & Promote food fortification Strengthen community based nutrition Improve institutional setup for multi-sectoral coordination Develop food safety and quality control and enforce existing legislation Assure water and sanitation, especially in urban areas and during disasters

Thank You

For comments and suggestions please e-mail: ciro.fiorillo@fao.org dgfpmu@fd.gov.bd