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National Polls on Voting Intention Follow up until 01 March 2016 Publication 03/03/2016 Internal document, not aimed for publication DG COMM Public Opinion Monitoring Unit

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Page 1: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

National Polls on Voting IntentionFollow up until 01 March 2016 Publication03/03/2016

Internal document, not aimed for publication

DG COMMPublic Opinion Monitoring Unit

Page 2: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

METHODOLOGY

This collection of polls edited on a monthly basis, providesnational voting intention survey results for the EUMember States. The polls are jointly collected by the SOP unitand the Information Offices

The selection of the voting intention surveys can not beexhaustive

The voting intention surveys have not been conducted bythe European Parliament. They come from various sourceswhich are indicated in the graphs with the dates of thefieldwork of each survey (or date of publication when thefieldwork is not known)

Trend-lines are not displayed when voting intention surveyshave not been found

2

Page 3: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

Presentation Overview• BELGIUM Bruxelles 4• BELGIUM Wallonia 5• BELGIUM Flanders 6• BULGARIA 7• CZECH REPUBLIC 8• DENMARK 9• GERMANY 10• ESTONIA 11• IRELAND 12• GREECE 13• SPAIN 14• FRANCE 15• CROATIA 16• ITALY 17• CYPRUS 18• LATVIA 19• LITHUANIA 20• LUXEMBOURG 21• HUNGARY 22• MALTA 23• The NETHERLANDS 24• AUSTRIA 25• POLAND 26• PORTUGAL 27• ROMANIA 28• SLOVAKIA 29• SLOVENIA 30• FINLAND 31• SWEDEN 32• UNITED KINGDOM 33

3

Page 4: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

BELGIUMBruxelles

4

18,20%

20,70%

8,10%9,80%

2,10%

7,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%27

/11-

01/1

2/20

14

05-1

1/01

/201

5

23-2

8/01

/201

5

05/0

3-09

/03/

2015

20-2

4/04

/201

5

12-1

8/05

/201

5

09-1

4/09

/201

5

03-0

7/12

/201

5

15-2

0/01

/201

6

DedicatedResearch

Ipsos Ipsos DedicatedResearch

Ipsos DedicatedResearch

DedicatedResearch

DedicatedResearch

Ipsos

PS (S&D) MR (ALDE) ECOLO (Greens/EFA) cdH (EPP) DéFIPP Ptb-Pvda go! Open VLD (ALDE) CD&V (EPP) sp.a (S&D)GROEN! (Greens/EFA) N-VA (ECR) VI. Belang (ENF) ISLAM

Page 5: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

BELGIUMWallonia

5

26,70%

23,10%

9,20%11,10%

8,80%

5,20%3,40%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

27/1

1-01

/12/

2014

05-1

1/01

/201

5

23-2

8/01

/201

5

05/0

3-09

/03/

2015

20-2

4/04

/201

5

12-1

8/05

/201

5

09-1

4/09

/201

5

03-0

7/12

/201

5

15-2

0/01

/201

6

DedicatedResearch

Ipsos Ipsos DedicatedResearch

Ipsos DedicatedResearch

DedicatedResearch

DedicatedResearch

Ipsos

PS (S&D) MR (ALDE) ECOLO (Greens/EFA) cdH (EPP) PTB GO! PP DéFI

Page 6: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

BELGIUMFlanders

6

28,50%

12,50%

16,00%

15,20%

10,30%11,60%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

27/1

1-01

/12/

2014

05-1

1/01

/201

5

23-2

8/01

/201

5

05/0

3-09

/03/

2015

20-2

4/04

/201

5

12-1

8/05

/201

5

09-1

4/09

/201

5

03-0

7/12

/201

5

15-2

0/01

/201

6

DedicatedResearch

Ipsos Ipsos DedicatedResearch

Ipsos DedicatedResearch

DedicatedResearch

DedicatedResearch

Ipsos

N-VA (ECR) Open VLD (ALDE) CD&V (EPP) sp.a (S&D) GROEN! (Greens/EFA) VI. Belang (ENF) PVDA+

Page 7: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

BULGARIA

7

24,10%

11,90%

6,80%

3,60%5,30%

2,30%3,30%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

28 N

ov -

4 D

ec 2

014

09-1

5/01

/201

5

30/0

1-05

/02/

2015

27/0

2-05

/03/

2015

08 -

14/0

5/20

15

07-1

3/06

/201

5

26/0

6-02

/07/

2015

10/1

1-18

/11/

2015

29/0

1-04

/02/

2016

GallupInternational

GallupInternational

GallupInternational

GallupInternational

GallupInternational

Alpha Research GallupInternational

Alpha Research GallupInternational

GERB (EPP) BSP (S&D) DPS (ALDE) VMRO (ECR)-NFSB Coalition RB ABV ATAKA

Page 8: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

CZECH REPUBLIC

8

27,00%

24,50%

14,00%

7,00%

8,50%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

3-10

/11/

2014

30/1

0-10

/11/

2015

3-11

/11/

2015

30/1

1-13

/12/

2015

03-0

8/12

/201

5

1-5/

01/2

016

11-1

8/01

/201

6

11-1

9/01

/201

6

23-2

9/01

/201

6

13/0

1-9/

02/2

016

4-10

/02/

2016

1-12

/02/

2016

8-15

/02/

2016

CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix Sanep Sanep CVVM STEM TNS Aisa Median Sanep Phoenix CVVM

ANO 2011 (ALDE) TOP 09 (EPP) CSSD (S&D) KSCM (GUE/NGL)

KDU-CSL (EPP) ODS (ECR) SVOBODNI (EFDD)

Page 9: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

DENMARK

9

20,30%

24,50%

17,20%

4,10%3,30%

5,70%

8,70%9,20%

5,90%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%27

- 29

/10/

2014

02-0

7/01

/201

6

8-10

/01/

2016

11-1

7/01

/201

6

13-1

9/01

/201

6

18-2

4/01

/201

6

25-2

8/01

/201

6

25-3

1/01

/201

6

01-0

7/02

/201

6

08-1

1/02

/201

6

12-2

1/02

/201

6

19-2

3/02

/201

6

22-2

8/02

/201

6

24-2

5/02

/201

6

25-2

6/02

/201

6

29/0

2/20

16

Megafon Gallup YouGov Norstat Epinion Voxmeter Megafon Voxmeter Voxmeter Megafon Wilke Epinion Voxmeter Megafon Gallup Voxmeter

Dansk Folkeparti (DF) (O) (ECR) Socialdemokratiet (S) (A) (S&D) Venstre, Danmarks Liberale Parti (V) (ALDE)

Socialistisk Folkeparti (SF) (F) (Greens/EFA) Det Konservative Folkeparti (KF) ( C) (EPP) Det Radikale Venstre (RV) (B) (ALDE)

Liberal Alliance (LA) (I) Enhedslisten de Rød-Grønne (EL) (Ø) The Alternative (Å)

Page 10: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

GERMANY

10

32,50%

23,00%

11,00%11,50%

6,50%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

45,00%17

-19/

11/2

014

21-2

7/1/

2016

26-2

8/1/

2016

1-5/

2/20

16

04-1

0/2/

2016

12-1

5/2/

2016

08-1

2/2/

2016

12-1

7/02

/201

6

16-1

8/2/

2016

19-2

2/2/

2016

23-2

4/2/

2016

18-2

4/2/

2016

26-2

7/02

/201

6

26-2

9/02

/201

6

InfratestDIMAP

Emnid Forschungs Forsa Emnid INSA Forsa GMS Forschungs INSA Infratestdimap

Emnid Infratest Insa

CDU + CSU (EPP) SPD (S&D) Grüne (Greens/EFA) Die Linke (GUE/NGL) AfD (ECR) FDP (ALDE)

Page 11: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

ESTONIA

11

23,00%

29,00%

6,00%

11,00%

12,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%O

ct-1

4

18/0

4/20

15

16/0

5/20

15

13/0

6/20

15

10-1

7/06

/201

5

12-1

9/08

/201

5

01/0

9/20

15

18-2

1/09

/201

5

6-20

/10/

2015

11-1

8/11

/201

5

Nov

-15

19/0

1-02

/02/

2016

09-2

3/02

/201

6

TNS Emor Turu-uuringute

Turu-uuringute

Turu-uuringute

TNS Emor TNS Emor Turu-uuringute

TNS Emor Turu-uuringute

TNS Emor Turu-uuringute

Turu-uuringute

Turu-uuringute

ER ( ALDE) KE ( ALDE) IRL (EPP) SDE (S&D) EKRE EVA

Page 12: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

IRELAND

12

NB No National Voting Intention Polls

National Election February 2016http://www.rte.ie/news/election-2016/

Dáil Éireann:158 seats

Turnout: 65,1%

Party % Seats

FG (EPP) 25,50% 50

FF (ECR) 24,30% 44

SF (GUE/NGL) 13,80% 23

Independents 13,00% 17

LAB 6,60% 7

IA 4,20% 6

AAA3,90% 6

PBPSD 3,00% 3

GP 2,70% 2

Others 2,90% 0

TOTAL 100% 158

Page 13: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

GREECE

13

17,50%

24,00%

6,00%5,50%

2,50%

4,50%

2,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

04-11/02/2016 Feb. 2016 22-24/2/2016

MRB Metron Analysis Macedonia Univ.

SYRIZA (GUE/NGL) ND (EPP) XA (Chryssi Avghi) (NI)PASOK (S&D) To Potami (S&D) KKE (NI)ANEL (Independent ECR) EK LE (ALE) (GUE/NGL)

Page 14: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

SPAIN

14

25,60%

22,10%

5,40%

19,80%

17,60%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

2-14

/1/2

016

04-1

5/01

/201

6

4-21

/01/

2016

15-1

9/1/

2016

15-2

1/1/

2016

01/0

2/20

16

1-5/

02/2

016

3-4/

02/2

016

07-1

6/02

/201

6

8-11

/2/2

016

10-1

8/02

/201

6

16-1

8/02

/201

6

19-2

3/02

/201

6

Est. Socio.Consultores

Celeste Tel NC Report MyWord GAD3 Invymark Celeste Tel Metroscopia Univ.Valencia

GAD3 NC Report Sigma Dos DYM

PP (EPP) PSOE (S&D) Coalition UP: IU (GUE/NGL) & al.Podemos (GUE/NGL) & al. EAJ-PNV (ALDE) Coalition DiL: CDC (ALDE) & al.ERC (Greens/EFA) C's (ALDE) EH Bildu (GUE/NGL)

Page 15: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

FRANCENB No National Voting Intention Polls

Regional Elections December 2015

Official Results at:http://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/regionales-2015/FE.html

15

Page 16: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

CROATIA

16

32,70%32,30%

9,10%

1,40%1,20%

3,10%2,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

08/01/2016 01-02/02/2016

CRO DEMOSKOP CRO DEMOSKOP

Axis

Title

HDZ (EPP)+HSS (EPP)+HSP AS+HSLS+BUZ+HDS+ZDS SDP (S&D), HNS (ALDE), HSU, HL, A-HSS, ZSMOST et al. OrAHIDS (ALDE) -PGS HB (Zivi Zid)NL Milan Bandic

Page 17: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

ITALY

17

33,70%

24,50%

11,50%

14,50%

3,10%4,00%

4,70%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

22/12/2014 27/01/2016 29/01/2016 01/02/2016 08/02/2016 10/02/2016 15/02/2016 17/02/2016 21/02/2016 22/02/2016 22-24/02/2016 24/02/2016

Inst. Piepoli Inst. Ixe WINPOLL Inst. Piepoli Euromedia Inst. Ixe Euromedia Inst. Ixe EMG Euromedia SWG Inst. Ixe

PD (S&D) M5S (EFDD) FI (EPP; ECR) LN (ENF) NCD (EPP) +UDC FDI-AN SEL

Page 18: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

CYPRUSNext Legislative Elections 22 May 2016

18

Prime Market Research

15-19/02/2016

DISY (EPP) 20,90%

AKEL (GUE/NGL) 15,20%

DIKO (S&D) 8,40%

EDEK (S&D) 3,70%

OIKOLOGOI 2,80%

ELAM 2,00%

EVROKO 1,30%

SYMMAXIA 3,80%

Others 3,40%

Blank/Invalid 2,90%

Would not Vote 25,00%

Undecided 10,60%

Total 100,00%

Page 19: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

LATVIA

19

Page 20: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

LITHUANIA

20

9,90%

20,90%

13,00%

8,60%7,40%

4,00%6,80%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%17

-27

10-

2014

14-2

2/03

/201

5

15-2

5/05

/201

5

23-3

1/05

/201

5

05-1

4/06

/201

5

18-2

6/06

/201

5

02-1

2/07

/201

5

17-2

7/06

/201

5

Aug

-15

Nov

-15

14-2

2/01

/201

6

20-2

7/01

/201

6

SpinterTyrimai

SpinterTyrimai

SpinterTyrimai

BaltijosTyrimai

Vilmorus SpinterTyrimai

Vilmorus BaltijosTyrimai

SpinterTyrimai

Lietuvosrytas poll

Lietuvosrytas poll

SpinterTyrimai

TS-LKD (EPP) LSDP (S&D) LRLS (ALDE) TT (EFDD) DP (ALDE) LLRA (ECR) LVZS (Greens/EFA)

Page 21: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

LUXEMBOURG

Ipsos

January 2016

Seats

CSV (EPP) 27

Dei Gréng (Greens/EFA) 6

DP (ALDE) 8

LSAP (S&D) 10

Dei Lénk 3

ADR (ECR) 5

KPL 1

Others

Total 60

NB The percentages are calculated at the level of each constituency.At national level, the repartition is calculated by seat.

21

Page 22: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

HUNGARY

22

46,00%

23,00%

14,00%

9,00%

1,00%

4,00%

0,00%

10,00%

20,00%

30,00%

40,00%

50,00%

60,00%

10-1

7/11

/201

4

21 -

27/0

3/20

15

10-1

4/06

/201

5

19-2

5 Ju

ne 2

015

7-15

/09/

2015

16-2

3/10

/201

5

14-1

9/11

/201

5

27/1

1-01

/12/

2015

03-0

7/12

/201

5

15-2

0/01

/201

6

22-2

6/01

/201

6

22-2

9/01

/201

6

12-1

7/02

/201

6

20-2

5/02

/201

6

Ipsos Nezopont Szàzadveg Nézőpont Ipsos Tárki Nezopont Median Nezopont Tárki Századvég Median Nézőpont Századvég

FIDESZ/KDNP (EPP) JOBBIK (NA) MSZP (S&D) DK (S&D) EGYÜTT 2014 (Greens/EFA) LMP (Greens/EFA)

Page 23: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

MALTA

23

30,90%

27,40%

0,80%0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

MaltaToday Survey &Trust Barometer

MaltaToday Survey &Trust Barometer

MaltaToday Survey &Trust Barometer

MaltaToday Survey &Trust Barometer

MaltaToday Survey &Trust Barometer

MaltaToday Survey &Trust Barometer

01/01/2015 18-24/03/2015 Jun-15 Oct-15 11-14/01/2016 15-18/02/2016

Axi

s Ti

tle

PL (S&D) PN (EPP) AD

Page 24: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

The NETHERLANDS

NB Polls are in percentages or seats.

24

peil.nl Ipsos peil.nl GfK peil.nl Ipsos peil.nl peil.nl Ipsos peil.nl GfK TNS peil.nl

11-17/01/2016

19-21/01/2016

18-24/01/2016

21-25/01/2016

25-31/01/2016 2-4/2/2016 1-7/2/2016 8-14/2/2016 16-18/2/2016 15-21/2/2016 19-22/2/2016 17-22/2/2016 22-28/2/2016

Party Seats % Seats Seats Seats % Seats Seats % Seats Seats Seats Seats

PVV (ENF) 41 seats 20,40% 42 seats 36 seats 42 seats 20,90% 42 seats 41 seats 19,20% 40 seats 34 seats 32 seats 39 seats

VVD (ALDE) 18 seats 16,80% 18 seats 19 seats 18 seats 16,50% 18 seats 20 seats 17,90% 21 seats 23 seats 25 seats 21 seats

CDA (EPP) 19 seats 12,50% 19 seats 18 seats 19 seats 13,00% 19 seats 18 seats 12,40% 18 seats 20 seats 16 seats 19 seats

SP(GUE/NGL) 15 seats 10,00% 15 seats 20 seats 15 seats 9,50% 15 seats 15 seats 10,80% 15 seats 18 seats 19 seats 16 seats

D66 (ALDE) 16 seats 13,60% 15 seats 17 seats 15 seats 12,40% 15 seats 15 seats 11,90% 15 seats 16 seats 17 seats 15 seats

GL(Greens/EFA) 15 seats 4,70% 16 seats 7 seats 16 seats 6,30% 16 seats 16 seats 5,90% 16 seats 9 seats 11 seats 15 seats

PvdA (S&D) 9 seats 8,90% 9 seats 12 seats 9 seats 7,70% 9 seats 9 seats 8,50% 9 seats 11 seats 11 seats 9 seats

CU (ECR) 5 seats 4,40% 5 seats 8 seats 5 seats 5,00% 5 seats 5 seats 4% 5 seats 7 seats 7 seats 5 seats

PvdD(GUE/NGL) 4 seats 2,70% 4 seats 4 seats 4 seats 2,60% 4 seats 4 seats 2,60% 4 seats 4 seats 4 seats 4 seats

50Plus 4 seats 2,20% 4 seats 5 seats 4 seats 2,60% 4 seats 4 seats 3% 4 seats 5 seats 4 seats 4 seats

SGP (ECR) 3 seats 3,00% 3 seats 4 seats 3 seats 2,70% 3 seats 3 seats 2,70% 3 seats 3 seats 4 seats 3 seats

Others 1 seat (VNL) 0,80% 0,80% 1,10%

TOTAL 150 seats 100,00% 150 seats 150 seats 150 seats 100,00% 150 seats 150 seats 100,00% 150 seats 150 seats 150 seats 150 seats

Page 25: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

AUSTRIA

25

24,00%23,00%

32,00%

12,00%

8,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

09/1

2-18

/12

2014

19/0

9/20

15

29/0

9-01

/10/

2015

Oct

-15

13-1

6/10

/201

5

3-5/

11/2

015

17-1

9/11

/201

5

10-1

5/11

/201

5

15-1

7/12

/201

5

14-1

8/12

/201

5

12-1

4/01

/201

6

18-2

2/1/

2016

26-2

8/1/

2016

Feb-

16

Gallup Profile Gallup Gallup Market Gallup Gallup UniqueResearch

Gallup UniqueResearch

Gallup UniqueResearch

Gallup UniqueResearch

ÖVP (EPP) SPÖ (S&D) FPÖ (ENF) Grüne (Greens/EFA) Neos (ALDE)

Page 26: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

POLAND

26

17,00%

32,00%

4,00%

2,00%

22,00%

8,00%

3,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

45,00%

5-6/

11/2

015

21-2

8/01

/201

6

22-2

7/02

/201

6

26/0

1/20

16

05/0

2/20

16

07/0

2/20

16

5-8/

02/2

016

3-10

/02/

2016

5-10

/02/

2016

12-1

3/02

/201

6

10-1

6/02

/201

6

22-2

3/02

/201

6

25-2

6/02

/201

6

IBRiS CBOS TNS PolskaTNS Polska IBRIS IBRiS Pollster CBOS TNS Polska IBRIS PL PressGroup

Pollster MillwardBrown

PO (EPP) PiS (ECR) + SP+ PR (ECR) SLD (S&D) +UP (S&D)+Greens+TRKORWiN (NA) PSL (EPP) NowoczesnaPLKukuiz'15 Partia Razem

Page 27: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

PORTUGAL

27

33,60%

40,00%

8,40%10,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

45,00%

31/1

0-04

/11/

2015

28/1

1-02

/12/

2015

5-6/

12/2

015

3-9/

12/2

015

1-6/

1/20

16

2-5/

1/20

16

16-2

0/01

/201

6

30-3

1/01

/201

6

04-1

0/02

/201

6

Aximage Aximage CESOP Euroson. Euroson. Aximage Aximage Aximage Euroson.

PS (S&D) PSD/PPD + CDS-PP (EPP) PCP (GUE/NGL) + PEV BE (GUE/NGL)

Page 28: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

ROMANIA

28

Page 29: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

SLOVAKIANext Legislative Elections 06 March 2016

29

32,50%

1,00%

5,00%4,00%

7,00%

14,50%

10,50%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

45,00%

50,00%

15/0

9 - 1

2/10

/201

4

3-11

/11/

2015

8-11

/11/

2015

9/11

-03/

12/2

015

14-2

1/11

/201

5

24/1

1/05

-1/1

2/20

15

28/1

2/20

15-8

/01/

2016

13-2

0/01

/201

6

22-3

1/02

/201

6

22-2

8/01

/201

6

31/0

1-7/

02/2

016

6-14

/02/

2016

10-1

4/02

/201

6

MEDIAN Focus Polis Median MVK AKO MVK Focus Focus MVK Focus Polis MVK

SMER-SD (S&D) KDH (EPP) SDKÚ-DS (EPP) OL'aNO / NOVA (ECR) SMK - MPK (EPP)

SaS (ECR) MOST-HID (EPP) SIET SNS

Page 30: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

SLOVENIA

30

21,40%

3,20%

1,60%

3,80%

8,30%

8,50%

5,30%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

08 -

10/0

6/20

15

29/0

6-02

/07/

2015

13-1

5/07

/201

5

11-1

3/08

/201

5

09-1

0/09

/201

5

13-1

4/10

/201

5

16-1

9/11

/201

5

14-1

7/12

/201

5

12-1

4/01

/201

6

16-1

8/2/

2016

Ninamedia Delo Stik Ninamedia Ninamedia Ninamedia Ninamedia Ninamedia Ninamedia Ninamedia Ninamedia

SDS (EPP) N.Si (EPP) SLS (EPP) DeSUS (ALDE) SD (S&D) SMC ZL ZaAB SNS

Page 31: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

FINLAND

31

18,00%

21,40%

9,90%

21,20%

10,80%

8,50%

4,30%3,70%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

18/0

5-11

/06/

2015

3/06

-01/

07/2

015

15/0

6-9/

07/2

015

7 Ju

l.-4

Aug

. 201

5

10 A

ug-1

Sep

t 201

5

07/0

9-06

/10/

2015

14/0

9-16

/10/

2015

12/1

0-03

/11/

2015

19/1

0-12

/11/

2015

09/1

1-01

/12/

2015

16/1

1-10

/12/

2015

07-2

9/12

/201

5

14/1

2/20

15-1

4-01

/201

6

11/0

1-02

/02/

2016

18/0

1-14

/02/

2016

TNSGallup

Taloust. TNSGallup

Taloust. Taloust. Taloust. TNSGallup

Taloust. TNSGallup

Taloust. TNSGallup

Taloust. TNSGallup

Taloust. TNSGallup

KOK (EPP) KESK (ALDE) PS (ECR) SDP (S&D)VIHR (Greens/EFA) VAS (GUE/NGL) SFP (RKP) (ALDE) KD

Page 32: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

SWEDEN

32

24,10%

25,00%

5,80%

19,30%

6,60%7,20%

3,50%2,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

9 - 2

1/10

/201

4

09-1

6/12

/201

5

07-2

8/12

/201

5

04-2

4/01

/201

6

05-1

2/01

/201

6

07-1

3/01

/201

6

11-2

1/01

/201

6

14-2

5/01

/201

6

26/0

1-02

/02/

2016

1-11

/02/

2016

03-0

9/02

/201

6

12-1

5/02

/201

6

25/0

1-21

/02/

2016

Ipsos Inizio SKOP Novus Demos. Sentio SIFO Ipsos Demoskop SIFO Sentio YouGov Novus

S (S&D) MP (Greens/EFA) M (EPP) L (ALDE) SD (EFDD) C (ALDE) V (GUE/NGL) KD (EPP) FI (S&D)

Page 33: National Polls on Voting Intention - Politikis · national voting intention survey resultsfor the EU Member States. The polls are jointly collected by the ... CVVM Phoenix Stem Phoenix

UNITED KINGDOM

33

16,00%

30,00%

37,00%

3,00%

8,00%6,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

40,00%

45,00%

29-3

0/10

/201

4

13/0

9/20

15

26-2

8/09

/201

5

23-2

5/10

/201

5

18-2

0/11

/201

5

13-1

5/01

/201

6

22-2

4/01

/201

6

27-2

8/01

/201

6

10-1

2/01

/201

6

13-1

6/02

/201

6

17-2

3/02

/201

6

19-2

2/02

/201

6

21-2

3/02

/201

6

YouGov ICM Poll ComRes ComRes ComRes ComRes ComRes YouGov ComRes Ipsos MORI BMGResearch

ComRes YouGov

UKIP (EFDD) LAB (S&D) CON (ECR) GP (Greens/EFA) Ldem (ALDE) SNP (Greens/EFA)