national reform program anette björnsson european commission, dg empl
TRANSCRIPT
General
• NRP is done according to the needs of the Member State
• Therefore there is no predefined format
• But it should be in line with the commonly agreed
• Employment guidelines• Annual Growth Survey
But there is some mandatory content
• It should contain
• The national targets• An answer to the country specific
recommendations y(t-1)• An answer to the Euro Plus Pact• Cross references to the Stability/Convergence
Programmes
General content of an NRP• Macro economic scenario and surveillance
The convergence program.
• National objectives• How the country is going to achieve the five
objectives in the Europe 2020 Either as a general description or as sections
devoted to each of the 3 growth areas
• The response to the CSR Either described in the text or only as the
mandatory annex
• The country's response to the Euro Plus Pact
Euro Plus Pact – a reminder
Assuring the link between the following
• fostering competitiveness• fostering employment• contributing to the sustainability of public
finances• reinforcing financial stability
Thereby using the integrated guidelines
More information on NRP 2012
All MS NRPs are available here:
• http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/reaching-the-goals/monitoring-progress/national-programmes-2012/index_en.htm
• Contains the NRP, the annexes 1 (response to CSR) and 2 (progress on Europe 2020 targets) and the convergence program and in some cases also a description of the governance
Country Specific Recommendations
1. In year (t-1) the Member State receives recommendations on the basis of that year's NRP
2. These recommendations should be taken into consideration in year (t) and answer the following questions• Did the policies in year (t) take the CSR for year
(t-1) into consideration• Is there a visible impact/development
Description of the
measure
Legal/administrativ
e instruments
Formal objectives
State of Progress
(including the
implementation
stage,the sequence
and timing of
the measure)
Risk of implemantio
n (if relevant)
Overall and yearly
change in government revenue and expendiute (reported in
mln. national currency)
Yearly and
cumulated effect on GDP
and other main
macreocnomic
variables (4)
Description of
the model used
Assumptions of the model, including
variables and parameters
Public finance
CSR 1Measure 1
Measure 2
Measure 3
CSR 2Measure 1
Measure 2 Measure 3
Labour Market
CSR 3Measure 1
Measure 2 Measure 3
Product and service market
CSR 4
Measure 1
Measure 2
Measure 3
Financial market
CSR 5Measure 1 Measure 2
Measure 3
Measures with an impact on macroeconomic scenario (3)
Measure 1 Measure 2
Measure 3
(1) This classification is in line with that already used within the framework of CSRs monitoring under the first European Semester.(2) The number of CSRs differs across Member States(3) Regardless the main area of intervention, it includes any sort of structural measures planned or enacted by Member States that are not under a previous CSRs, but have an impact on macroeconomic scenario(4) Other macroeconomic variables mainly refer to the main components of domestic demand (private consumption and investment) and employment.
Annex 2: Reporting table on national Europe 2020 targets and other key commitments
Progress on implementation List of measures and their state of play that were implemented in response to the commitment
The estimated impacts of the measures (qualitative and/or quantitative)
National 2020 headline targets National 2020 employment target [..] National 2020 R&D target [..] GHG emission reduction target [..] Renewable energy target [..] National energy efficiency target [..] National early school leaving target [..] National target for tertiary education [..] National poverty target [..]
Euro-plus pact commitments (if relevant) Euro Plus Pact commitment on …
Other (if relevant) Other key bottlenecks identified in the NRP Main (new or updated) commitments in the NRP for the next 12 months
Foreseen main measures The estimated impacts of the measures (qualitative and/or quantitative)
Main commitments in relation to each of the AGS priorities, as relevant
New/updated Euro Plus Pact commitments New/updated commitments in relation to the 2020 targets (per target)
Other commitments (e.g. in relation to key bottlenecks identified in the NRP, as relevant)
Analysis carried out to establish the CSRs – JAF and EPM
JAF• Indicator based assessment system• General and specific policy areas• Supporting Member States in establishing their priorities• Contribute to an overall assessment of progress at EU level.• It is a joint Commission, EMCO and SPC tool • Aim:
• Clarify key employment challenges and potential risk areas by monitoring structural reforms under the employment guidelines both quantitatively and qualitatively
• Monitoring of progress towards the EU headline targets, quantitatively
What is a JAF? Example
• Policy area 1: increase labour market participation
• Overall indicator: employment rate• Sub-indicators:
• Employment gender gap• Employment rate in old-age group in relation to
the total population in that age group• NEET• Employment rate for low-skilled• Employment rate for non-EU nationals
Country A (unweighted scores)
-14.0 -12.0 -10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0
Non-nationals 20-64
Low -skilled 20-64
Youth 20-29
OW w omen 55-64
OW men 55-64
OWs 55-64
Women 20-64
Men 20-64
Total 20-64
Country A (Sub-population weighted scores)
-4.0 -3.5 -3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0
Non-nationals 20-64
Low -skilled 20-64
Youth 20-29
OW w omen 55-64
OW men 55-64
Ow s 55-64
Women 20-64
Men 20-64
Total 20-64
Analysis carried out to establish the CSRs – JAF and EPM (cont)
EPM• The results produced by the JAF will feed into the
Employment Policy Monitor• It assures a clear, transparent, concise and easy way to
analyse the development• can be used to identify at a glance the main employment
challenges for the European Union and for each Member State
Employment policy area
Key employment challenges
Particularly good labour market outcomes
1. Increase labour market participation
2. Enhancing labour market functioning; combating segmentation
3. Active labour market policies
4. Adequate and employment oriented social security systems
5. Work-life balance
6. Job creation
7. Gender equality
8. Improving skill supply and productivity; Lifelong learning
9. Improving education and training systems
10. Wage setting mechanisms and labour cost developments
2012 general challenges
A. Low participation or high unemployment For women due to insufficient access to childcare, insufficient fiscal treatment of second earners and gender pay gaps For older workers due to weak participation in lifelong learning and remaining early retirement schemes For young people, migrants and low skilled workers due to low funding and weak targeting of ALMPs B. Existence of unemployment traps Due to weak incentives to take up paid work C. Weak competitiveness positions Due to unfavourable wage developments Due to delays in positive productivity developments D. Challenges gaining importance in 2012 Labour market segmentation, driven by employment protection legislation Increasing long-term unemployment, caused by mismatches in terms of skills and geography
An effective NRP• The content of a NRP should be conscise and clear• It should be clear that challenges identified in year
(t-1) are targeted• There should be a clear link between the LM and the
rest of the economy through the convergence program and the Euro Plus Pact.
• Looking at the employment package • Governance is even more emphasised• More monitoring is suggested also at the level of
employment policies• For 2013 the emphasis will be put also on the areas
suggested for moving closer to achieving the targets for 2020 and return to a positive growth path.