national security survey - colorado senate race implications

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NATIONAL SURVEY RESULTS JANUARY 15TH, 2016 COLORADO STATEWIDE RESULTS – IMPACT OF NATIONAL SECURITY ON RACE FOR U.S. SENATE

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Page 1: National Security Survey - Colorado Senate Race Implications

N A T I O N A L S U R V E Y R E S U L T S

J A N U A R Y 1 5 T H , 2 0 1 6

COLORADO STATEWIDE RESULTS– IMPACT OF NATIONAL SECURIT Y ON RACE FOR U.S. SENATE

Page 2: National Security Survey - Colorado Senate Race Implications

S U R V E Y R E S U L T S

This survey of 600 l ike ly genera l e lect ion voters in Colorado was conducted on January 13th & 14th, 2016. Al l interv iews were conducted v ia te lephone by profess iona l interv iewers . Interv iew se lect ion was random with in predetermined e lect ion un its and structured to corre late with actua l voter turnout in a s tatewide genera l e lect ion. Th is po l l of 600 l ike ly genera l e lect ion voters has an accuracy of +/- 4.0% at a 95% confidence interva l .

M E T H O D O L O G Y

Senator Bennet i s weak and vu lnerab le . Secur i ty i s sues are a s ign ificant vu lnerab i l i ty.

Senator Bennet has on ly a 38% favorab le rat ing. Strong incumbents rece ive over 50%. 29% of the voters are unfavorab le .

Senator Bennet ’ s job approva l rat ing i s on ly 48% - under 50% aga in . 32% d isapprove.

Senator Bennet ’ s hard re-e lect rat ing i s r ight at 30% - the benchmark for vu lnerab i l i ty.

On the ba l lot aga inst a new cha l lenger Bennet i s under 50% and leads 48% to 37% - th is i s a s ign of vu lnerab i l i ty for the incumbent .

Page 3: National Security Survey - Colorado Senate Race Implications

S i x i n t e n v o t e r s , 5 8 % , d o n ’ t k n o w w h a t t h e y l i k e a b o u t B e n n e t w h i l e 4 2 % c i t e s o m e t h i n g t h e y l i k e l e a s t a b o u t B e n n e t .

5 8 % p r e f e r a c a n d i d a t e w h o i s n e w t o p o l i t i c s r a t h e r t h a n a n e x p e r i e n c e d e l e c t e d o � c i a l .

5 8 % p r e f e r a c a n d i d a t e w h o i s n e w t o p o l i t i c s r a t h e r t h a n a n e x p e r i e n c e d e l e c t e d o � c i a l .

6 7 % a r e l e s s l i k e l y t o v o t e f o r h i m o n t h e I r a n d e a l ’ s l a c k o f i n s p e c t i o n s .

6 5 % a r e l e s s l i k e l y k n o w i n g h i s v o t e o n t h e I r a n d e a l d o e s n ’ t a l l o w i n d e p e n d e n t U . S . i n s p e c t i o n s o n t h e g r o u n d i n I r a n .

6 2 % a r e l e s s l i k e l y t o v o t e f o r h i m k n o w i n g h i s v o t e l i f t e d t h e s a n c t i o n s a n d g i v e s I r a n $ 1 0 0 b i l l i o n t h a t t h e y c a n u s e t o fi n a n c e t e r r o r i s m .

5 9 % a r e l e s s l i k e l y t o v o t e f o r I r a n k n o w i n g t h a t h e s u p p o r t s p r o p o s a l s t o b r i n g u n l i m i t e d n u m b e r s o f S y r i a n r e f u g e e s i n t o t h e U . S .

M I C H A E L B E N N E T ’ S V O T I N G R E C O R D :

Page 4: National Security Survey - Colorado Senate Race Implications

Secur i ty i s sues wi l l dominate the e lect ion for U.S. Senate

Only 46% of Colorado voters say that the U.S. i s headed in the r ight d i rect ion. 41% say wrong track .

Economic (31%) and secur i ty i s sues (29%) equa l ly dominate the agenda for the U.S. Senate e lect ion.

Almost a l l voters , 95%, say that nat iona l secur i ty and fore ign po l icy wi l l be important in dec id ing the i r vote . Three in four voters , 77%, say that i t ’ s e i ther extremely or very important .

$

The major i ty of voters , 52%, d i sapprove of the job Pres ident Obama i s do ing on fore ign a�a i rs and nat iona l secur i ty. 44% strongly d i sapprove. Only 46% approve.

The major i ty of voters , 54%, want the i r U.S. Senator to vote to change d i rect ion and move away f rom Pres ident Obama’s po l ic ies on nat iona l secur i ty, fore ign po l icy and terror i sm. Only 41% would cont inue Obama’s po l ic ies .

The p lura l i ty of voters , 46% to 40% prefer a Republ ican pres ident ia l candidate to a Democrat ic candidate on secur i ty i s sues .

Republican Democratic

Page 5: National Security Survey - Colorado Senate Race Implications

Secur i ty i s sues wi l l dominate the e lect ion for U.S. Senate

The Pres ident ia l race in Colorado wi l l be very Compet i t ive

The major i ty of voters , 51%, say that Benghaz i makes Hi l lary Cl inton less qua l ified to serve a Commander- in-Chief ; on ly 35% say more qua l ified.

Two in three voters , 64%, say Congress should increase sanct ions on Iran to stop i t s terror i s t act iv i t ies .

The p lura l i ty of voters , 49% to 42% th ink there should be a morator ium on immigrat ion f rom the Middle East .

Almost ha l f (48%) the voter households are Mi l i tary/Veteran Households .

Current ly Hi l lary Cl inton i s los ing to 3 potent ia l Republ ican nominees .

Rubio 48%Hil lar y 43%

Cruz 49%Hil lar y 43%

Trump 46%Hil lar y 43%

Page 6: National Security Survey - Colorado Senate Race Implications

Pres ident Obama i s very po lar i z ing in Colorado.

Obama job approva l

Hi l lary Cl inton i s very unpopular

FAVORABLE 49% UNFAVORABLE 48%

50% DISAPPROVE48% APPROVE

55% UNFAVORABLE41% FAVORABLE

D E M O G R A P H I C B R E A K D O W N

P A R T Y

G E N D E R

I d e o l o g y

37%

R E P U B L I C A N

36%

D E M O C R A T I N D E P E N D E N T

37%

39%

C O N S E R V A T I V E

32%

M O D E R A T E L I B E R A L

26%

4 7 %M A L E

5 3 %F E M A L E

* Inc lud ing 46% very unfavorab le .

Page 7: National Security Survey - Colorado Senate Race Implications

E T H N I C I T Y

W H I T E H i s p . A s i a n . U n k n o w n

8 0 % 1 3 % 3 % 4 %

A G E

U n d e r 4 0

4 1 - 5 5

5 6 - 6 5

O V E R 6 5

2 9 %

2 1 %

2 4 %

2 5 %