natural gas infrastructure in the u.s. big potential, big uncertainty c. gregory harper president...

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Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association Mid-Year Meeting December 3, 2009

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Page 1: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S.

Big Potential, Big Uncertainty

C. Gregory HarperPresidentCenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group

Energy Bar AssociationMid-Year MeetingDecember 3, 2009

Page 2: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

2CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

This presentation contains statements concerning our expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance and underlying assumptions and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements. You can generally identify our forward-looking statements by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “goal,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “projection,” “should,” “will,” or other similar words.

We have based our forward-looking statements on our management's beliefs and assumptions based on information currently available to our management at the time the statements are made. We caution you that assumptions, beliefs, expectations, intentions, and projections about future events may and often do vary materially from actual results. Therefore, we cannot assure you that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements.

Some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements include the timing and amount of our recovery of the true-up components, including, in particular, the results of appeals to the courts of determination on rulings obtained to date, the timing and amount of our recovery of restoration costs arising from Hurricane Ike, the timing and impact of future regulatory, legislative and IRS decisions, financial market conditions and other factors described in CenterPoint Energy, Inc.’s Form 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2008, under “Risk Factors” and under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Certain Factors Affecting Future Earnings”, in CenterPoint Energy, Inc.’s Forms 10-Q for the quarterly periods ended March 31, 2009, June 30, 2009, and September 30, 2009, under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of CenterPoint Energy, Inc. and Subsidiaries – Certain Factors Affecting Future Earnings”, and in other filings with the SEC by CenterPoint Energy.

You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information

Page 3: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

3CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

CenterPoint Energy Pipelines

Pipelines CEGT MRT SESHMiles of pipelines: 6,231 1,663 288.5Storage Capacity (Bcf working gas): 40 31.6 0Maximum Capacity (daily Bcf) 6.5 1.7 1.0Total capital deployed (2005 – 3Q 2009): $1.7B*

* Includes CNP’s 50% share of SESH equity investment

Haynesville

Fayetteville

Woodford

Page 4: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Woodford

Fayetteville

Haynesville

CenterPoint Energy Field Services

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Field Services

Miles of gathering pipelines: 3,6002009 average daily throughput (Bcf/day): 1.3Well connects 2005 - 2009 (3Q): 1,958

Page 5: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Natural Gas IndustryAlways the Red-headed Stepchild

The 1970s Price Controls – 1954 Supreme Court ruling regulating natural gas prices (Phillips)

Created environment that lead to natural gas shortages during the mid-1970’s

Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978 created new environment for natural gas regulation

Contributed to lack of infrastructure investment

The 1980s FERC restructuring

Order 436 – 636

Take or pay

– LDCs were released from contractual terms

– Pipelines left carrying producer’s bag

The 1990s Consolidations, investment activity – good times!

Trading and marketing shops opened up

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Field services businesses carved out of pipelines and LDCs

Page 6: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Natural Gas IndustryAlways the Red-headed Stepchild (cont’d)

The 2000s Merchant power generation – boom to bust

Trading shops closed down and drained capital from investment in infrastructure

LNG, Rockies and Canadian gas supply predicted to increase

Alaska natural gas pipeline coming by 2010!

2009 LNG volumes haven’t materialized

Rockies drilling declined along with conventional production areas

Extensive shale development in spite of recession and low gas price environment

Only significant event from Alaska in the decade – Sarah Palin!

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Page 7: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

CenterPoint Energy Pipeline GroupEvolved Continuously to Meet a Changing Market

Formation of separate gathering company (CEFS) (1995) To meet competition Increased contracting flexibility

Acquisition of Illinois Gas Transmission Company (1998) New supply sources for existing markets around St. Louis

Formed Service Star (2001) Industry leading remote monitoring and data acquisition as technology enabled better

communications Line CP (in-service May 2007)

Meet competition from “bullet” pipelines High operating pressure, low fuel, point A to point B pipelines Largely anchored by producers (XTO, BP, EOG, Samson, Penn-Virginia, Chesapeake,

Petrohawk) SESH (in-service September 2008)

Meeting Florida market’s demand for more reliable onshore supplies following hurricanes Katrina and Rita

Perryville Hub® Services (March 2009) Gas market center with four times the volume of Henry Hub

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Page 8: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Market Pull Shifts to Supply Push

Major projects backed by producers Barnett Shale (2004)

Producers acquiring capacity on Energy Transfer, Duke and Enbridge gathering and intrastate pipelines to evacuate production to Carthage Hub market

Line CP moves producer gas beyond Carthage constraints

Woodford Shale (2005-2006) Mark West (gathering and pipe) and Enogex intrastate transport to Bennington

Kinder Morgan Mid-Continent Express, Boardwalk’s Gulf Crossing see producers paying to move beyond Bennington to Perryville

Fayetteville Shale (2006 – 2007) Producers pay to gain access to Texas Gas, NGPL, ANR, Trunkline

Rockies Express (2009) Built to take Rockies supply to Midwest and East Coast markets

Ultimately need growth to support infrastructure investment

Oversupply and overcapacity leads to flat basis Indecision on new investments delayed until bubbles burst

Will still see intra-supply zone projects Especially in Fayetteville, Woodford and Haynesville shale areas

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Page 9: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Major U.S. Shale Gas BasinsAppalachian and Ouachita Thrust Trend

Haynesville Shale presents concentrated opportunities with existing infrastructure within CEFS’ footprint

Haynesville Shale Characteristics

• Avg Estimated Ultimate Recoveries of 6.5 Bcf per well over 30 years

• Low finding and development cost; Avg well cost (2009) of $7MM

• Indicative Initial Production of 10 MMcf/d

• Profitable (10% return on investment) at $4.28/Mcf

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Page 10: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

10CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Location, Location, Location

CNP Pipelines and Field Services have deployed over $1.4 billion of capital in shale areas since 2005

Haynesville

Fayetteville

Woodford

Page 11: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Just When our Star is Rising… More Uncertainty

Natural gas fits in a “greener” energy environment Clean Abundant Domestic

Sounds like the natural choice, but…

Climate change legislation and EPA mandates abound House bill and EPA treat natural gas as a problem

Uncertainty creates market volatility, and in capital intensive businesses…..indecision

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Page 12: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline Group Energy Bar Association

CenterPoint Energy Proprietary and Confidential Information

Conclusion

Natural gas is not just a bridge fuel but a solution

The industry must be a better advocate of its successes and its potential to solve problems

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