natural hazards partnership | carl wilson
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Carl Wilson
Ordnance Survey
OFFICAL
NATURAL HAZARDS PARTNERSHIP
The aims of the Natural Hazards Partnership (NHP)
• to deliver:
– a forum for the exchange of knowledge, ideas, expertise, intelligence and best practice in matters relating to natural hazards;
– a common and consistent source of advice to government and emergency responders for civil contingencies and disaster response;
– an environment for the development of coordinated multi-hazard products and services.
Hazard Impact Model
Adding the Impact – who and what is affected
Identification of receptors –people, property, infrastructure
Estimation of vulnerability
Modelling of Impact
Hazard Impact Model
Hazard Impact Model – 3 priority hazards
- Surface Water Flooding (CEH)
- High Winds (MO)
- Landslides (BGS)
Surface Water Flooding Hazard Impact Model
Updated Flood Map for Surface Water UFMfSW (EA)
Hazard FootprintBased on G2G surface runoff
Hazard Impact Outputs
Impact Library(HSL)
National Receptor Dataset (EA)
National Population Database (HSL)
Ensemble rainfall forecasts (MO)
Other impact datasets …
Delivery of: - Proof of concept SWF HIM for testing & initial verification work- Research report proposing methodology for operational SWF HIM
Wind Hazard Impact Model
Proof of concept - Vehicle Overturning (VOT) Model
Probabilistic model uses MOGREPS-UK ensembles: runs in
real-time – used for NSWWS
Prototype Models – Bridges and Camping
Ongoing work -
Wind Impacts on Buildings
Improve Wind Hazard Modelling
Verification of Hazard Impact Model
www.metoffice.gov.uk/nhp
OFFICAL
NATURAL HAZARDS PARTNERSHIP