nbc_wsj january poll

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 1January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Interviews: 800 Registered Voters, including 280 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: January 9-13, 201622 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.

    Study #16027NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Please note: all result s are shown as percentages un less otherwise stated.

    The margin of error fo r 800 interviews among Registered Voters is 3.46%

    The margin of error for 400 interviews among Republican Primary Voters i s 4.90%

    The margin of error for 400 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is 4.90%

    Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

    Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +

    18-24 ...................................................... 925-29 ...................................................... 930-34 ...................................................... 1235-39 ...................................................... 640-44 ...................................................... 945-49 ...................................................... 650-54 ...................................................... 955-59 ...................................................... 1160-64 ...................................................... 1165-69 ...................................................... 7

    70-74 ...................................................... 575 and over ............................................ 6Not sure/refused ................................... -

    + Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanicor Spanish-speaking background? +

    Yes, Hispanic ........................................... 10No, not Hispanic ....................................... 89Not sure/refused ..................................... 1

    + Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +

    White ......................................................... 75Black ......................................................... 12

    Asian ......................................................... 2Other ......................................................... 3Hispanic (VOL) ........................................ 6Not sure/refused ...................................... 2

    + Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    48 Male52 Female

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 3January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q5 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

    High Low

    1/16+ 12/1510/25-29/15

    10/15-18/15 9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15 4/09 9/14+

    Approve .......... 47 43 45 46 47 45 48 48 46 61 40Disapprove ..... 49 51 49 49 47 50 48 47 50 30 54

    Not sure ........ 4 6 6 5 6 5 4 5 4 9 6

    1/15 12/14 11/1410/30-

    11/1/14+10/8-

    12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 3/1446 45 44 42 42 40 40 41 44 4148 50 50 52 52 54 54 53 50 546 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5

    1/14 12/1310/25-28/13

    10/7-9/13 9/13 8/13 7/13 6/13 4/13 2/13

    43 43 42 47 45 44 45 48 47 5051 54 51 48 50 48 50 47 48 456 3 7 5 5 8 5 5 5 5

    1/13 12/12 10/12+

    9/26-

    30/12+

    9/12-

    16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/1252 53 49 49 50 48 49 47 48 4944 43 48 48 48 49 48 48 46 464 4 3 3 2 3 3 5 6 5

    3/12 1/12 12/11 11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 2/1150 48 46 44 44 44 47 49 52 49 4845 46 48 51 51 51 48 46 41 45 465 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 7 6 6

    1/11 12/10 11/1010/28-30/10+

    10/14-18/10+ 9/10

    8/26-30/10

    8/5-9/10 6/10

    5/20-23/10

    5/6-11/10

    53 45 47 45 47 46 45 47 45 48 5041 48 47 50 49 49 49 48 48 l044 446 7 6 5 4 5 6 5 7 7 6

    3/101/23-25/10

    1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 8/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/09

    48 50 48 47 51 51 51 53 56 61 6047 44 43 46 42 41 40 40 34 30 265 6 9 7 7 8 9 7 10 9 14

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 4January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you torate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or verynegative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPTBARACK OBAMA)

    Very

    Positive

    Somewhat

    Positive Neutral

    Somewhat

    Negative

    Very

    Negative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureBarack Obama January 2016+ ............................. 27 20 11 12 30 -December 2015 ........................... 23 21 9 14 32 1October 25-29, 2015 .................... 27 17 12 12 31 1October 15-18, 2015 .................... 27 17 12 13 31 -September 2015........................... 28 18 14 11 29 -July 2015 ...................................... 24 20 13 14 29 -June 2015 .................................... 25 20 13 14 27 1

    April 2015 ..................................... 26 21 13 13 27 -March 2015 .................................. 24 20 12 14 29 1January 2015 ............................... 24 21 13 12 29 1December 2014 ........................... 24 21 10 13 31 1November 2014 ........................... 24 21 11 11 32 1Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... 23 20 12 13 32 -

    October 8-12, 2014+ .................... 21 22 11 12 34 -September 2014+ ........................ 22 20 11 13 33 1

    August 2014 ................................. 22 18 13 14 33 -June 2014 .................................... 20 21 13 14 31 1

    April 2014 ..................................... 24 20 15 13 28 -March 2014 .................................. 21 20 15 14 30 -January 2014 ............................... 23 19 13 14 30 1December 2013 ........................... 22 20 11 13 33 1October 7-9, 2013 ........................ 26 21 11 11 30 1May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... 28 19 13 12 28 -

    April 2013 ..................................... 30 17 10 15 27 1January 2013 ............................... 31 21 11 11 26 -December 2012 ........................... 37 16 9 14 24 -October 2012+ ............................. 34 15 8 12 31 -September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 37 15 6 11 31 -

    August 2012+ ............................... 31 17 8 13 30 1July 2012+.................................... 33 16 8 11 32 -June 2012 .................................... 29 19 14 11 27 -January 2012 ............................... 28 22 10 14 25 1

    August 2011 ................................. 24 20 12 14 30 -April 2011 ..................................... 28 22 14 13 23 -January 2011 ............................... 29 23 15 14 18 1December 2010 ........................... 25 23 14 14 24 -November 2010 ........................... 28 21 12 13 26 -October 28-30, 2010+ .................. 29 18 12 15 27 -June 2010 .................................... 27 20 13 15 25 -May 20-23, 2010 .......................... 28 19 15 14 24 -March 2010 .................................. 31 19 11 14 24 1January 23-25, 2010 .................... 29 23 14 14 20 -December 2009 ........................... 29 21 13 15 22 -October 2009 ............................... 36 20 11 12 21 -February 2009 .............................. 47 21 12 9 10 1January 2009 ............................... 43 23 17 8 6 3

    HighFebruary 2009 .............................. 47 21 12 9 10 1

    Presidential Term LowAugust 2014 ................................. 22 18 13 14 33 -

    All-time Obama LowOctober 28-30, 2006+ .................. 14 17 18 5 6 40

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 5January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)Very

    PositiveSomewhat

    Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureHillary Clinton

    January 2016+ .............................. 16 24 11 12 37 -December 2015 ............................. 16 21 15 13 35 -October 25-29, 2015 ..................... 17 23 12 12 35 1

    October 15-18, 2015 ..................... 19 20 12 13 35 1September 2015 ............................ 14 25 13 13 34 1July 2015 ....................................... 15 22 14 15 33 1June 2015 ..................................... 21 23 15 11 29 1

    April 2015 ...................................... 19 23 14 10 32 2March 2015 ................................... 21 23 19 13 23 1January 2015 ................................ 20 25 17 14 23 1November 2014 ............................. 24 19 16 15 25 1September 2014+.......................... 21 22 16 15 26 -June 2014 ..................................... 23 21 18 14 23 1

    April 2014 ...................................... 23 25 19 11 21 1March 2014 ................................... 23 21 20 12 22 2September 2013 ............................ 26 25 17 12 19 1May 30-June 2, 2013..................... 29 20 18 13 18 2

    April 2013 ...................................... 32 24 14 14 15 1January 2013 ................................ 34 22 19 12 13 -December 2012 ............................. 34 24 14 16 12 -November 2011 ............................. 33 22 22 12 10 1May 2011 ...................................... 26 29 23 12 9 1

    April 2011 ...................................... 29 27 21 11 11 1December 2010 ............................. 26 28 18 11 16 1January 10-14, 2010 .................... 25 27 22 13 12 1July 2009 ....................................... 26 27 15 15 16 1February 2009 ............................... 32 27 18 11 11 1January 2009 ................................ 27 29 14 15 14 1December 2008 ............................. 27 26 20 14 12 1September 2008+.......................... 23 24 15 17 20 1

    August 2008+ ................................ 17 25 16 18 23 1June 2008+ ................................... 18 28 14 17 22 1

    April 2008+ .................................... 20 22 14 19 25 -March 24-25, 2008+ ...................... 17 20 15 21 27 -March 7-10, 2008+ ........................ 22 23 11 14 29 1January 2008 ................................ 24 23 11 11 30 1June 2007 ..................................... 18 24 15 16 26 1March 2007 ................................... 16 23 17 15 28 1December 2006 ............................. 21 22 17 12 26 2

    April 2006 ...................................... 19 19 19 13 28 2December 2004 ............................. 24 21 14 11 29 1July 2003 ....................................... 16 21 20 13 27 3March 2001 ................................... 16 19 15 18 31 1January 2001 ................................ 27 22 13 12 24 2

    HighFebruary 2009 ............................... 32 27 18 11 11 1

    LowMarch 2001 ................................... 16 19 15 18 31 1

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 6January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)Very

    PositiveSomewhat

    Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureBernie Sanders

    January 2016+ .............................. 18 20 20 12 19 11December 2015 ............................. 18 18 19 13 18 14October 25-29, 2015 ..................... 15 19 22 9 19 16

    October 15-18, 2015 ..................... 16 22 19 11 16 16September 2015 ............................ 15 17 23 9 13 23July 2015 ....................................... 10 14 20 10 9 37June 2015 ..................................... 8 8 22 6 7 49

    Jeb Bush

    January 2016+ .............................. 3 16 31 28 18 4December 2015 ............................. 3 18 31 24 19 5October 25-29, 2015 ..................... 3 16 33 24 19 5October 15-18, 2015 ..................... 5 19 31 21 19 5September 2015 ............................ 4 20 31 19 20 6July 2015 ....................................... 3 23 26 22 18 8June 2015 ..................................... 6 21 29 16 20 8

    April 2015 ...................................... 5 18 32 19 17 9

    March 2015 ................................... 4 19 34 20 14 9January 2015 ................................ 5 14 36 16 16 13November 2014 ............................. 6 20 27 18 15 14September 2014+.......................... 5 17 32 18 12 16

    April 2014 ...................................... 4 17 32 18 14 15May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... 9 17 33 11 12 18

    Donald Trump

    January 2016+ .............................. 14 15 12 11 47 1December 2015 ............................. 12 15 13 12 47 1October 25-29, 2015 ..................... 10 17 17 14 42 -October 15-18, 2015 ..................... 13 17 17 14 39 -September 2015 ............................ 8 17 16 14 44 1July 2015 ....................................... 10 16 16 13 43 2February 2011 ............................... 9 17 40 18 11 5May 2004+ .................................... 9 17 38 14 15 7December 1999 ............................. 4 12 28 24 25 7October 1999 ................................ 3 11 25 23 32 6July 1990 ....................................... 3 11 28 25 24 9

    Ben Carson

    January 2016+ .............................. 10 20 23 17 18 12December 2015 ............................. 10 23 22 12 20 13October 25-29, 2015 ..................... 17 20 20 10 14 19October 15-18, 2015 ..................... 16 22 18 11 13 20September 2015 ............................ 13 16 23 11 10 27November 2014 ............................. 10 7 18 4 3 58

    Marco Rubio

    January 2016+ .............................. 7 24 25 17 12 15December 2015 ............................. 8 22 24 16 11 19October 25-29, 2015 ..................... 7 19 25 14 11 24October 15-18, 2015 ..................... 9 22 23 14 11 21July 2015 ....................................... 5 19 24 14 9 29June 2015 ..................................... 7 16 24 12 12 29

    April 2015 ...................................... 8 14 24 12 11 31November 2014 ............................. 7 14 21 10 9 39September 2014+.......................... 6 15 21 11 10 37July 2013 ....................................... 7 16 20 11 9 37

    April 2013 ...................................... 12 16 18 8 8 38February 2013 ............................... 10 14 20 9 8 39

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 7January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)Very

    PositiveSomewhat

    Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not Sure

    Ted Cruz

    January 2016+ .............................. 11 20 22 14 21 12December 2015 ............................. 9 16 24 12 23 16

    October 25-29, 2015 ..................... 8 15 22 13 20 22October 15-18, 2015 ..................... 7 14 23 12 22 22July 2015 ....................................... 7 12 24 12 19 26

    April 2015 ...................................... 5 12 24 13 19 27November 2014 ............................. 5 11 18 8 18 40October 25-28, 2013 ..................... 9 10 16 8 22 35October 7-9, 2013 ......................... 7 7 13 8 20 44May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... 4 6 13 4 8 65

    Chris Christie

    January 2016+ .............................. 4 20 28 21 15 12July 2015 ....................................... 4 20 23 22 15 16November 2014 ............................. 7 22 24 18 11 18January 2014 ................................ 7 15 28 18 11 21

    October 25-28, 2013 ..................... 9 24 24 10 7 26May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... 12 29 22 8 4 25February 2013 ............................... 12 24 20 10 2 32

    August 2012+ ................................ 11 17 21 10 9 32June 2011 ..................................... 10 13 19 7 7 44

    Bill Clinton

    January 2016+ .............................. 23 22 19 15 21 -March 2015 ................................... 27 29 18 15 11 -September 2014+* ........................ 29 27 22 12 9 1March 2014 ................................... 27 28 20 14 10 1September 2013 ............................ 31 23 17 14 12 3December 2012 ............................. 39 21 16 16 8 -September 2012+.......................... 39 18 15 15 12 1

    August 2012+ ................................ 34 23 18 13 10 2August 2011 .................................. 32 25 21 11 11 -September 2010 ............................ 29 26 21 13 10 1January 2009 ................................ 25 27 16 14 17 1December 2008 ............................ 23 26 21 12 17 1

    August 2008+ ................................ 20 25 16 19 20 -June 2008+ ................................... 16 24 17 17 25 1

    April 2008+ .................................... 18 21 18 18 24 1March 24-25, 2008+ ...................... 20 22 15 18 25 -March 7-10, 2008+ ........................ 20 22 11 13 32 2January 2008 ................................ 24 23 14 11 27 1November 2007 ............................. 25 23 13 14 25 -March 2007 ................................... 27 21 16 14 21 1

    April 2006 ...................................... 27 23 16 12 21 1June 2004+ ................................... 20 22 16 14 27 1

    January 2002 ................................ 17 19 13 13 36 2June 2001 ..................................... 18 21 15 15 31 -January 2001 ................................ 32 24 11 12 21 -

    HighJanuary 1993 ................................ 33 31 15 9 7 5

    LowMarch 2001 ................................... 17 17 13 14 38 1

    1The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 8January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)Very

    PositiveSomewhat

    Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureGeorge W. Bush

    January 2016+ .............................. 14 23 19 20 23 1March 2015 ................................... 12 23 25 16 23 1September 2014+.......................... 14 23 24 16 22 1

    July 2013 ....................................... 13 25 22 14 25 1April 2013 ...................................... 14 21 21 16 28 -June 2012 ..................................... 13 23 18 19 26 1

    August 2011 .................................. 15 20 20 20 24 -May 2011 ...................................... 13 24 22 16 24 1October 28-30, 2010+ ................... 12 20 16 17 34 1

    August 26-30, 2010+ ..................... 8 22 22 15 32 1June 2010 ..................................... 7 22 21 19 31 -January 2010 ................................ 10 20 18 17 34 1

    April 2009 ...................................... 9 17 15 16 41 2January 2009 ................................ 13 18 11 17 41 -December 2008 ............................. 11 20 10 16 43 -October 17-20, 2008+ ................... 11 18 11 15 45 -October 4-5, 2008+ ....................... 12 18 12 13 45 -

    September 19-22, 2008+ .............. 13 17 11 13 46 -September 6-8, 2008+ .................. 15 18 12 14 41 -August 2008+ ................................ 15 19 11 15 40 -July 2008+ ..................................... 14 18 10 16 42 -March 24-25, 2008+ ...................... 16 17 12 13 41 1March 7-10, 2008+ ........................ 16 18 10 12 43 1January 2008 ................................ 14 18 10 17 40 1June 2007 ..................................... 12 20 11 15 42 -January 2007 ................................ 17 18 12 17 35 1June 2006 ..................................... 18 21 9 15 37 -January 2006 ................................ 24 17 12 13 33 1July 2005 ....................................... 27 20 10 15 28 -January 2005 ................................ 32 19 9 15 25 -June 2004+ ................................... 33 15 8 14 30 -January 2004 ................................ 38 17 8 13 24 -July 2003 ....................................... 38 21 9 14 17 -January 2003 ................................ 36 20 12 16 16 -June 2002 ..................................... 43 27 11 10 9 -January 2002 ................................ 53 26 10 7 4 -June 2001 ..................................... 30 23 16 15 15 1January 2001 ................................ 25 25 18 13 17 2

    HighDecember 2001 ............................. 54 26 9 6 5 -

    LowApril 2009 ...................................... 9 17 15 16 41 2

    1The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)TOTALPOSITIVE

    TOTALNEGATIVE

    D/S

    Bill Clinton .............................................. 45 36 9Bernie Sanders ...................................... 38 31 7Barack Obama ....................................... 47 42 5Marco Rubio ........................................... 31 29 2Ted Cruz ................................................ 31 35 -4Ben Carson ............................................ 30 35 -5George W. Bush ..................................... 37 43 -6Hillary Clinton ......................................... 40 49 -9Chris Christie .......................................... 24 36 -12Jeb Bush ................................................ 19 46 -27Donald Trump ........................................ 29 58 -29

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 9January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q7 Thinking about the direction of the country five years from now, do you think things in the United States willget better, get worse, or be about the same as they are now?

    1/16+ 1/12 1/118/26-30/10

    Get better ......................... 35 53 53 37Get worse ......................... 22 19 21 31

    Same as they are now ..... 32 20 22 28Not sure ......................... 11 8 4 4

    Moving onQ8 Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for

    the outcome of the 2016 presidential electionthat a Democrat be elected president or that a Republicanbe elected president? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) And do you strongly prefer a(Democrat/Republican), or is your preference not that strong?

    2008 Election Trend

    1/16+ 12/15+10/25-29/15+ 8/08+ 7/08+ 6/08+ 4/08+

    3/7-10/08+ 11/07+ 9/07+ 6/07 4/07

    Democrat 46 44 43 46 48 51 51 50 49 47 52 49 Strongly ....................... 33 34 33 36 43 44 45 44 41 40 42 39

    Not strongly ................. 13 10 10 10 5 7 6 6 8 7 10 10Republican 43 44 44 37 36 35 33 37 39 38 31 31 Not strongly ................. 10 12 9 13 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 6

    Strongly ....................... 33 32 35 24 28 27 25 29 31 29 23 25Other (VOL) .............. 5 5 6 6 4 4 4 4 2 4 5 6Not sure .................... 6 7 7 11 12 10 12 9 11 11 12 14

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q9 Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, which of the following statements comes closer to your pointof view?

    Statement A:This is a time when it is important to look for a more experienced and tested person even if heor she brings fewer changes to the current policies.

    Statement B :This is a time when it is important to look for a person who will bring greater changes to thecurrent policies even if he or she is less experienced and tested.

    1/16+ 3/15+ 7/08+ 6/08Statement A:Time for a more experienced and tested person ...... 36 38 40 42Statement B :Time for a person who will bring greater changes .... 61 59 55 54Depends (VOL) .............................................................................. 1 1 3 1Not sure .......................................................................................... 2 2 2 3

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 10January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q10 Compared with the past several presidents, do you feel that Barack Obama will turn out to have been one ofthe very best, better than most, not as good as most, or definitely worse than most of them?+

    One of the very best.......................................... 14Better than most ............................................... 34Not as good as most ......................................... 20Definitely worse than most ................................ 31

    Not sure .......................................................... 1+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    GeorgeW. Bush

    BillClinton

    1/08 1/99One of the very best............................ 5 12Better than most ................................. 23 38Not as good as most ........................... 29 26Definitely worse than most .................. 41 19Not sure ............................................ 2 5

    Moving on(Q11 & Q12 ROTATED)Q11 How closely are you following the Democratic presidential primary racevery closely, somewhat closely,

    not too closely, or not closely at all?

    1/16+ 1/08Very closely ...................................... 27 43Somewhat closely ............................. 40 41Not too closely .................................. 19 9Not closely at all ................................ 14 7

    Not sure .......................................... - -+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q12 How closely are you following the Republican presidential primary racevery closely, somewhat closely,not too closely, or not closely at all?

    1/16+ 1/08

    Very closely ...................................... 36 33Somewhat closely ............................. 39 46Not too closely .................................. 15 13Not closely at all ................................ 10 8

    Not sure .......................................... - -+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q13 Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary,the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?

    1/16+ 12/15+10/25-29/15+

    10/15-18/15+ 9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 3/15+

    Vote in Democratic Primary ......................... 28 33 28 31 31 30 30 32 30Vote in Republican Primary ......................... 33 33 32 31 28 30 28 29 25Wait until the general election ..................... 37 33 40 34 38 39 38 35 40

    Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ................. - - - 1 - - 1 1 2Not sure ...................................................... 2 1 - 3 3 1 3 3 3+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 11January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q14 Next, Im going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Democratic nomination for president in2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person forthe Democratic nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZELIST)

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES

    Yes, Could SeeSelf Supporting No, Could Not SeeSelf Supporting Dont KnowName NotSureHillary Clinton January 2016^^ .................. 79 18 - 3December 2015^^ .............. 82 17 - 1October 25-29, 2015^^....... 85 13 - 2October 15-18, 2015^^....... 81 17 - 2September 2015^^ ............. 76 21 - 3June 2015^^ ....................... 92 8 - -March 2015^^ .................... 86 13 - 1

    Bernie SandersJanuary 2016^^ .................. 66 25 6 3December 2015^^ .............. 65 28 6 1October 25-29, 2015^^....... 61 28 7 4

    October 15-18, 2015^^....... 64 25 8 3September 2015^^ ............. 62 24 10 4June 2015^^ ....................... 40 32 23 5March 2015^^ .................... 21 21 54 4

    Martin OMalleyJanuary 2016^^ .................. 22 51 24 3December 2015^^ .............. 19 47 31 3October 25-29, 2015^^....... 18 49 31 2October 15-18, 2015^^....... 13 49 33 5September 2015^^ ............. 10 39 49 2June 2015^^ ....................... 12 28 58 2March 2015^^ .................... 11 20 67 2

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

    Q15 And, if the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the followingcandidates would you favor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do youlean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    1/16^^ 12/15^^10/25-

    29/15^^10/15-

    18/15^^ 9/15^^ 7/15^^ 6/15^^Hillary Clinton ........................................... 59 56 62 58 53 59 75Bernie Sanders ......................................... 34 37 31 33 38 25 15Martin OMalley ........................................ 2 4 3 1 1 3 2Jim Webb ................................................. NA NA NA 2 1 3 4Lincoln Chafee ......................................... NA NA NA - - 1 -Other (VOL) ........................................... - - 1 - 1 1 1

    None (VOL) ........................................... 3 2 1 3 2 4 2Not sure ................................................. 2 1 2 3 4 4 1

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 12January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    (Q16 AND Q17 ROTATED)Q16 Would you describe Hillary Clintonas (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR

    "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Hillary Clinton is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^^

    1/16^^10/15-

    18/15^^ 6/15^^

    Very liberal .................................................... 11 14 9Somewhat liberal ........................................... 26 27 22Moderate ....................................................... 48 47 58Somewhat conservative ................................ 6 6 5Very conservative.......................................... 5 3 3

    Not sure ...................................................... 4 3 3

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would votein the Democratic Primary

    Q17 Would you describe Bernie Sandersas (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Bernie Sanders is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^^

    1/16^^ 10/15-18/15^^Very liberal ................................................. 41 44Somewhat liberal ....................................... 22 16Moderate .................................................... 14 15Somewhat conservative ............................. 5 5Very conservative ...................................... 3 2Not sure ................................................... 5 6Dont know name (Q6) ............................. 10 12

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Democratic Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 13January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    And, thinking about some other people(Q18 AND Q19 ROTATED)Q18 Would you describe Barack Obamaas (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR

    "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Barack Obama is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^^

    Very liberal .................................................... 19

    Somewhat liberal .......................................... 25Moderate ....................................................... 44Somewhat conservative ................................ 5Very conservative ......................................... 4

    Not sure ...................................................... 2

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

    Q19 Would you describe Bill Clinton as (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Bill Clinton is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^^

    Very liberal .................................................... 13

    Somewhat liberal .......................................... 24Moderate ....................................................... 48Somewhat conservative ................................ 6Very conservative ......................................... 4

    Not sure ...................................................... 5

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

    (Q20 AND Q21 ROTATED)Q20 Thinking about the goals and policies of the next President, would you prefer a president that is (ROTATE)

    more liberal or less liberal, or about the same as Barack Obama? (IF "MORE" OR "LESS," ASK:) And,would you prefer a president that is much or somewhat (more/less) liberal than Barack Obama? ^^

    Much more liberal ............................................... 14Somewhat more liberal ....................................... 19Somewhat less liberal ........................................ 6Much less liberal................................................. 4

    About the same .................................................. 56Not sure ............................................................ 1

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters whosay they would vote in the Democratic Primary

    Q21 Thinking about the goals and policies of the next President, would you prefer a president that is (ROTATE)more liberal or less liberal, or about the same as Bill Clinton? (IF "MORE" OR "LESS," ASK:) And, would youprefer a president that is much or somewhat (more/less) liberal than Bill Clinton? ^^

    Much more liberal ............................................... 17Somewhat more liberal ....................................... 19Somewhat less liberal ........................................ 4Much less liberal................................................. 3

    About the same .................................................. 55Not sure ............................................................ 2

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters whosay they would vote in the Democratic Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 14January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q22 Next, Im going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Republican nomination for president in2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person forthe Republican nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THEFIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST)

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YESYes, Could See

    Self Supporting

    No, Could Not See

    Self Supporting

    Dont Know

    Name

    Not

    SureTed CruzJanuary 2016^ ...................... 71 25 2 2December 2015^ .................. 67 27 4 2October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 57 34 4 5October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 48 41 5 6September 2015^ ................. 45 44 8 3July 2015^ ............................ 52 38 7 3June 2015^ ........................... 51 31 14 4

    April 2015^ ............................ 57 28 12 3March 2015^ ......................... 40 38 18 4

    Marco RubioJanuary 2016^ ...................... 67 28 4 1December 2015^ .................. 64 29 4 3October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 59 32 5 4

    October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 65 26 5 4September 2015^ ................. 63 27 9 1July 2015^ ............................ 62 29 7 2June 2015^ ........................... 74 15 8 3

    April 2015^ ............................ 74 15 9 2March 2015^ ......................... 56 26 14 4

    Donald TrumpJanuary 2016^ ...................... 65 34 - 1December 2015^ .................. 58 40 - 2October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 60 37 - 3October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 59 36 1 4September 2015^ ................. 47 52 - 1July 2015^ ............................ 47 49 - 4June 2015^ ........................... 32 66 - 2March 2015^ ......................... 23 74 1 2

    Ben CarsonJanuary 2016^ ...................... 60 39 1 -December 2015^ .................. 63 32 3 3October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 77 18 1 4October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 74 20 3 3September 2015^ ................. 69 23 6 2July 2015^ ............................ 49 27 21 3June 2015^ ........................... 50 21 27 2

    April 2015^ ............................ 39 22 36 3March 2015^ ......................... 41 18 38 3

    Chris ChristieJanuary 2016^ ...................... 48 45 5 2December 2015^ .................. 43 50 4 4October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 36 54 6 4October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 34 60 4 2September 2015^ ................. 42 51 6 1July 2015^ ............................ 37 55 5 3June 2015^ ........................... 36 55 6 3

    April 2015^ ............................ 38 50 9 3March 2015^ ......................... 32 57 7 4

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 15January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YESYes, Could SeeSelf Supporting

    No, Could Not SeeSelf Supporting

    Dont KnowName

    NotSure

    Carly FiorinaJanuary 2016^ ...................... 45 44 7 4December 2015^ .................. 45 42 10 3October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 49 37 10 4

    October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 56 30 9 5September 2015^ ................. 61 28 10 1July 2015^ ............................ 33 31 34 2June 2015^ ........................... 31 29 38 2

    April 2015^ ............................ 17 25 52 6March 2015^ ......................... 18 25 54 3

    Jeb BushJanuary 2016^ ...................... 42 55 1 2December 2015^ .................. 45 53 - 2October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 45 52 1 2October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 51 44 1 4September 2015^ ................. 55 43 1 1July 2015^ ............................ 57 40 1 2June 2015^ ........................... 75 22 2 1

    April 2015^ ............................ 70 27 1 2

    March 2015^ ......................... 49 42 4 5Mike HuckabeeJanuary 2016^ ...................... 36 59 3 2December 2015^ .................. 41 53 4 2October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 45 48 3 4October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 45 50 2 3September 2015^ ................. 47 46 5 2July 2015^ ............................ 52 43 3 2June 2015^ ........................... 65 32 1 2

    April 2015^ ............................ 52 39 5 4March 2015^ ......................... 52 40 3 5

    Rand PaulJanuary 2016^ ...................... 32 64 4 -December 2015^ .................. 30 62 7 1October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 32 59 5 4

    October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 33 59 4 4September 2015^ ................. 35 58 5 2July 2015^ ............................ 44 48 5 3June 2015^ ........................... 49 45 5 1

    April 2015^ ............................ 59 32 6 3March 2015^ ......................... 49 40 8 3

    John KasichJanuary 2016^ ...................... 28 52 18 2December 2015^ .................. 22 53 22 3October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 28 46 22 4October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 26 45 23 6September 2015^ ................. 34 44 20 2July 2015^ ............................ 30 31 36 3June 2015^ ........................... 25 30 42 3

    Rick SantorumJanuary 2016^ ...................... 26 63 9 2October 25-29, 2015^ ........... 27 59 9 5October 15-18, 2015^ ........... 28 60 7 5September 2015^ ................. 33 56 10 1July 2015^ ............................ 37 46 11 6June 2015^ ........................... 49 40 10 1March 2015^ ......................... 40 40 16 4

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 16January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q23 And, if the Republican primary for president were being held today, which oneof the following candidateswould you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-10)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPTONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be yoursecond choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-10)?

    FIRST CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    1/16^ 12/15^10/25-29/15^

    10/15-18/15^ 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^

    Donald Trump ................ 33 27 23 25 21 19 1 NATed Cruz ........................ 20 22 10 9 5 9 4 11Marco Rubio ................... 13 15 11 13 11 5 14 18Ben Carson .................... 12 11 29 22 20 10 11 7Chris Christie .................. 5 3 3 1 3 3 4 5Jeb Bush ........................ 5 7 8 8 7 14 22 23Carly Fiorina ................... 3 5 3 7 11 - 2 1John Kasich .................... 3 2 3 3 6 3 1 NARand Paul ...................... 3 2 2 2 3 6 7 11Mike Huckabee .............. 1 3 3 3 2 6 9 5Rick Santorum ................ NA NA - - 1 1 - NAJim Gilmore .................... NA NA - - - - NA NABobby Jindal ................... NA NA - - 1 1 - NA

    Lindsey Graham ............. NA NA - - - - 1 NAGeorge Pataki ................ NA NA - - - - - NAScott Walker ................... NA NA NA NA NA 15 17 14Rick Perry....................... NA NA NA NA NA 3 5 2Other (VOL) ................. - - 1 1 1 - - -None (VOL) ................. 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 -Not sure ....................... 1 3 3 5 6 4 1 3

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the RepublicanPrimary

    COMBINED CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    1/16^ 12/15^10/25-29/15^

    10/15-18/15^ 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^

    Donald Trump ............... 47 39 35 39 31 30 4 NATed Cruz ....................... 47 40 23 17 11 17 11 18Marco Rubio.................. 30 33 24 26 26 16 34 41Ben Carson ................... 19 28 50 44 35 21 19 11Jeb Bush ....................... 12 12 15 17 19 30 40 37Chris Christie ................ 12 9 6 3 5 9 10 14John Kasich .................. 8 5 6 7 8 4 1 NACarly Fiorina.................. 7 11 14 18 28 2 3 3Rand Paul ..................... 6 5 6 6 6 11 16 20Mike Huckabee ............. 5 7 8 7 8 11 18 15Jim Gilmore ................... NA NA - - - - NA NARick Santorum .............. NA NA 1 1 3 2 - NABobby Jindal ................. NA NA 1 1 1 4 - NALindsey Graham ............ NA NA - - - - 1 NAGeorge Pataki ............... NA NA - - - - - NA

    Scott Walker.................. NA NA NA NA NA 24 24 27Rick Perry ..................... NA NA NA NA NA 7 10 7Other (VOL) ............... - - 1 1 - - - -None (VOL) ................ 2 3 2 2 3 2 1 -Not sure ..................... 2 4 5 7 7 5 4 4

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the RepublicanPrimary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 17January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q24a Now if you had to choose between ONLY the following candidates running for the Republican primary forpresident, which onewould you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-5)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do youlean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE1/16^ 12/15^

    Donald Trump ................................................ 36 30

    Ted Cruz ........................................................ 25 24Marco Rubio .................................................. 19 21Ben Carson .................................................... 12 13Jeb Bush ........................................................ 7 9None (VOL) ................................................. 1 1Not sure ...................................................... - 2

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Republican Primary

    (ASK IF "JEB BUSH" OR "BEN CARSON" ON Q24a)Q24b And, if that candidate were not on the ballot which of the following candidates would be your second choice

    (RANDOMIZE :1-3)? ^

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGEAMONG ALL GOP PRIMARY VOTERS

    Marco Rubio ..................................................................................... 8Ted Cruz ........................................................................................... 6Donald Trump ................................................................................... 5None (VOL) ................................................................................... -Not sure ......................................................................................... -

    Another Candidate Chosen (Q24a) ................................................. 81

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would votein the Republican Primary

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE AMONG GOP PRIMARY VOTERSWITH BUSH AND CARSON VOTERS REASSIGNED ACCORDING TO THEIR SECOND CHOICE

    Donald Trump ................................................................................... 40Ted Cruz ........................................................................................... 31

    Marco Rubio ..................................................................................... 26None (VOL) ................................................................................... 2Not sure ......................................................................................... 1

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would votein the Republican Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 18January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    (Q25 AND Q26 ROTATED)Q25 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in the Republican

    primary for president, which onewould you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean?(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^

    Donald Trump ................................................ 43Ted Cruz ........................................................ 51

    Neither (VOL) .............................................. 5Not sure ...................................................... 1

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Q26 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Marco Rubio in the Republicanprimary for president, which onewould you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean?(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^

    Donald Trump ................................................ 52Marco Rubio .................................................. 45

    Neither (VOL) .............................................. 2Not sure ...................................................... 1

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Moving onQ27 When it comes to the current field of Republican primary candidates for president would you say it is a

    strong field, meaning it is better than in other elections with many good candidates to choose from, anaverage field meaning it is equal to other elections with at least two to three good candidates to choosefrom, or a weak field meaning it is less good than in other elections with hardly any good candidates tochoose from?

    1/16^ 1/12^ 12/11^Strong/many good candidates ............ 47 22 21

    Average/some good candidates........... 36 52 51Weak/hardly any good candidates ...... 16 25 27Not sure ............................................ 1 1 1

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Republican Primary

    (Q28, Q29, & Q30 RANDOMIZED)

    Q28 Would you describe Donald Trumpas (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Donald Trump is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^

    Very liberal ..................................................... 8Somewhat liberal ............................................ 7Moderate ........................................................ 35

    Somewhat conservative ................................. 23Very conservative ........................................... 21Not sure ........................................................ 6

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 19January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q29 Would you describe Jeb Bush as (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Jeb Bush is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^

    Very liberal ..................................................... 2Somewhat liberal ............................................ 9Moderate ........................................................ 44

    Somewhat conservative ................................. 29Very conservative ........................................... 12Not sure ........................................................ 4

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Q30 Would you describe Ted Cruz as (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Ted Cruz is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^

    Very liberal ..................................................... 1Somewhat liberal ............................................ 2Moderate ........................................................ 20

    Somewhat conservative ................................. 20Very conservative ........................................... 47Not sure ........................................................ 5Dont know name (Q6) ................................. 5

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    And, thinking about another personQ31 Would you describe George W. Bushas (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR

    "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say George W. Bush is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)? ^

    Very liberal ..................................................... 1Somewhat liberal ............................................ 2Moderate ........................................................ 41Somewhat conservative ................................. 33Very conservative ........................................... 21Not sure ........................................................ 2

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Q32 Thinking about the goals and policies of the next President, would you prefer a president that is (ROTATE)more conservative or less conservative, or about the same as George W. Bush? (IF "MORE" OR "LESS,"

    ASK:) And, would you prefer a president that is much or somewhat (more/less) conservative than GeorgeW. Bush? ^

    Much more conservative ................................... 24Somewhat more conservative ........................... 19Somewhat less conservative ............................. 10Much less conservative ..................................... 3

    About the same ................................................. 43Not sure .......................................................... 1

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 20January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Thinking again about the 2016 presidential election(Q33-Q36 RANDOMIZED)Q33 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican

    candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

    1/16+ 12/15+10/25-29/15+ 9/15+

    Donald Trump .................................................. 41 40 42 39Hillary Clinton ................................................... 51 50 50 49Depends (VOL) ............................................. - - - -Neither/other (VOL) ....................................... 6 8 6 10Not sure ........................................................ 2 2 2 2

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q34 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Marco Rubiowere the Republicancandidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

    1/16+ 12/15+10/25-29/15+

    10/15-18/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+

    Marco Rubio ........................................ 46 48 44 45 40 43Hillary Clinton ...................................... 47 45 47 46 50 49

    Depends (VOL) ................................. 1 - - - - -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 4 5 5 5 8 5Not sure ............................................ 2 2 4 4 4 3

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q35 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Ted Cruz were the Republican candidateand Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

    1/16+ 12/15+10/15-18/15+

    Ted Cruz ....................................................... 45 45 41Hillary Clinton ................................................ 49 48 49

    Depends (VOL) .......................................... 1 - -Neither/other (VOL) .................................... 4 6 6

    Not sure ..................................................... 1 1 4+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q36 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republicancandidate and Bernie Sanderswere the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

    1/16+10/25-29/15+ 9/15+

    Donald Trump ................................................. 39 41 36Bernie Sanders ............................................... 54 50 52Depends (VOL) ............................................ 1 - -Neither/other (VOL) ...................................... 5 6 8Not sure ....................................................... 1 3 4

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 21January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Moving on(Q37 AND Q38 ROTATED)Q37 Now, has what you have seen, read, or heard so far during the Republican presidential nominating process

    made you feel more favorable or less favorable toward the Republican Party or has it had no impact oneway or the other on your feelings toward the Republican Party?

    REGISTERED VOTERS+

    1/16 1/12More favorable ...................... 19 16Less favorable ....................... 42 35No impact .............................. 38 49

    Not Sure .............................. 1 -+ Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    GOPPRIMARYVOTERS^

    1/16 1/12More favorable ...................... 33 29

    Less favorable ....................... 23 17No impact .............................. 43 53

    Not Sure .............................. 1 1

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Q38 Now, has what you have seen, read, or heard so far during the Democratic presidential nominating processmade you feel more favorable or less favorable toward the Democratic Party or has it had no impact oneway or the other on your feelings toward the Democratic Party?

    REGISTEREDVOTERS+

    DEMOCRATICPRIMARY

    VOTERS^^

    More favorable ...................... 17 38Less favorable ....................... 28 7No impact ............................... 54 55Not Sure ............................... 1 -

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 22January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Thinking now about the economy...Q39a Now thinking about 2015, were there important and real indications the economy improved a lot, somewhat,

    only a little, not at all?

    1/16+* 1/15 1/13 1/12 1/11A lot ............................................... 15 13 7 6 4Somewhat ..................................... 31 37 35 26 31

    Only a little .................................... 26 30 32 36 37Not at all ........................................ 28 19 25 31 28Not sure ....................................... - 1 1 1 -

    * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q39b In looking at 2016, do you think that it will be a time of economic expansion for you and your family and anopportunity to move ahead, or do you think that it will be a time to hold back and save because harder timesare ahead?

    1/16+** 1/13 1/08 12/05 1/05 3/01 1/01 12/98Time of expansion/opportunity ................... 32 34 19 29 40 32 29 32Time to hold back/harder times ahead ....... 58 60 70 60 51 56 60 57

    Some of both (VOL) ................................. 4 2 7 8 6 7 7 5Not sure ................................................... 6 4 4 3 3 5 4 6

    ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    And, thinking about something elseQ40 In dealing with ISIS, which concerns you more: (ROTATE) a policy that is too aggressive and risks a major

    American military force on the ground in the Middle East, or a policy that is not aggressive enough and risksallowing ISIS to expand its power and the territory it controls in the Middle East or do you not know enough tohave an opinion on this at this time?+

    Too Aggressive/U.S. ground force ............. 26Not Aggressive Enough/ISIS expands ....... 48Do not know enough to have an opinion .... 23Not sure ................................................... 3

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 23January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Now, thinking some more about youAnd, on a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description that istotally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any number betweenone and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF) To what extent do you regard yourselfas...(RANDOMIZE)

    DATA SHOWN AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS^

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-108-10 4-7 1-3 Refused

    A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as beingbetween one man and one woman ......................................... 65 16 18 1

    A National Rifle Association supporter .................................... 62 24 13 1

    A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement ............................. 54 24 18 4

    Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio ....... 37 31 32 -

    A supporter of the Tea Party Movement ................................. 33 42 21 4

    A Libertarian ........................................................................... 11 38 44 7

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-108-10 4-7 1-3 Refused

    A supporter of taking immediate action to address climatechange .................................................................................... 67 25 5 2

    An environmentalist ................................................................ 62 34 3 1

    A supporter of the gay rights movement ................................. 61 24 13 2

    A union supporter ................................................................... 54 34 10 2

    A supporter of the Black Lives Matter movement ................... 50 35 10 5

    A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement ............................. 28 24 43 5

    A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as beingbetween one man and one woman ......................................... 26 14 58 2

    A National Rifle Association supporter .................................... 15 19 65 2

    Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio ....... 6 18 74 2

    A supporter of the Tea Party Movement ................................. 3 13 77 7

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 24January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November

    2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, orsomeone else? +

    Voted for Barack Obama ............................... 44Voted for Mitt Romney ................................... 33

    Voted for someone else ................................. 9Not sure ......................................................... 2No, Did Not Vote ............................................ 11

    Not sure ....................................................... 1+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    QF1d And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +

    Yes, voted ............................................................... 63No, did not vote ....................................................... 33Not sure .................................................................. 4+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-at-home mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +

    Currently Employed Professional, manager ............................ 29

    White-collar worker ................................. 17Blue-collar worker ................................... 17Farmer, rancher ...................................... -

    Not Currently Employed Student .................................................... 2

    Stay at home mom/dad ........................... 5Retired .................................................... 25Unemployed, looking for work ................. 3Other ....................................................... -

    Not sure ................................................ 2+ Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +

    Grade school ........................................................... -Some high school .................................................... 2High school graduate .............................................. 20Some college, no degree ........................................ 15Vocational training/School ...................................... 22-year college degree .............................................. 134-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ 26Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2

    2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ 14Doctoral/law degree ................................................ 5

    Not sure/refused .................................................... 1+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 25January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or somethingelse? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONGDEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to theRepublican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +

    Strong Democrat ............................. 21Not very strong Democrat ............... 11Independent/lean Democrat ............ 13Strictly Independent ......................... 11Independent/lean Republican .......... 13Not very strong Republican ............. 8Strong Republican ........................... 18Other (VOL) ................................... 3Not sure ......................................... 2

    + Results shown reflect responses amongregistered voters.

    QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, orconservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very

    (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +

    Very liberal ......................................................... 11Somewhat liberal ............................................... 15Moderate ............................................................ 37Somewhat conservative ..................................... 18Very conservative .............................................. 16Not sure ........................................................... 3

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +

    Labor union member ........................................ 12

    Union household .............................................. 7Non-union household ....................................... 79Not sure .......................................................... 2

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    QF7 How often do you attend services at a church, synagogue, mosque, or other place of worship? (READLIST.) +

    Never ....................................... 24Once a year ............................. 7

    A few times a year ................... 17Once a month .......................... 7

    About twice a month ................ 9Once a week or more often ...... 34

    Not sure ................................. 2+ Results shown reflect responses amongregistered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #16027 -- page 26January 2016 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    QF8 If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousanddollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars andforty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousanddollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousanddollars, or would the total be more than that? +

    Less than $10,000 ............................................... 3Between $10,000 and $20,000............................ 7Between $20,000 and $30,000............................ 8Between $30,000 and $40,000............................ 9Between $40,000 and $50,000............................ 9Between $50,000 and $75,000............................ 16Between $75,000 and $100,000.......................... 16More than $100,000 ............................................ 27Not sure/refused ................................................. 5

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.