neo solar power corp. (3576 tt) · p. 5 ndr. quincy lin, chairman and ceo nmore than 30 years of...
TRANSCRIPT
Http://www.neosolarpower.com
2009-12
Neo Solar Power Corp. (3576 TT)
Professional maker of QUALITYQUALITY solar cells
Corporate Presentation
600MW – Ready for Take-off
P. 2
Safe Harbor StatementSafe Harbor Statement
This presentation may contain various forward-looking statements and include assumptions concerning Neo Solar Power Corp. (NSP) operations, future results and prospects. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and are subject to risk and uncertainties. NSP provides the following cautionary statement identifying important factors which, among others, could cause the actual results or events to differ materially from those set forth or implied by the forward-looking statements and related assumptions.
Such factors and other risks are discussed in greater detail in the NSP’s filings with the Securities and Futures Bureau of the Financial Supervisory Commission, Executive Yuan, R.O.C. and the Taiwan Stock Exchange Corp.
P. 3
1. Impact of Economic Downturn
2. Solar Industry Outlook
3. NSP’s Competitive Advantage
4. NSP’s Growth Plan
5. NSP’s Track Record, Financial Performance & Outlook
Opening RemarksOpening Remarks
P. 4
Founded: 2005Capital: NT$2,108.5M (Nov.09)Capacity: 240MWEmployees: 630Location: HsinChu, Taiwan
Fab 1: Installed capacity 100 MW Fab 2: Installed capacity 140MW(Max. 680MW)
NSP Background InformationNSP Background Information
P. 5
n Dr. Quincy Lin, Chairman and CEOn More than 30 years of high-tech management experiencen Chairman, Fortune Venture Group IC Fundn Senior Vice President, TSMCn Board directors of two Taiwan public companiesn Elected Most Influential 50 Alumni of National Chiao-Tung University n Ph.D. in Business Administration, MBA, BS in Electronic Engineering
n Dr. Sam Hong, President and COO n More than 30 years of experience in photovoltaic solar energy
(PV device professional)n Vice President & Plant Director, Sinonar Amorphous Silicon Solar Cell Co.n Director, PV Solar Energy Division, ITRI n Ph.D. Electrical Engineering
Management Team (1/2)Management Team (1/2)
P. 6
Management Team (2/2)Management Team (2/2)n Gary Yang, Senior Vice President and CFOn Vice President, Sino-Century Venture Capital and PowerWorld Capital Managementn MS Finance, MS Nuclear Science
n Andy Shen, Senior VP, Worldwide Sales & Marketingn Senior Director, TSMC; President, TSMC-Europen MBA, Santa Clara University; MS Electrical Engineering, Case Western Reserve Univ.
n Dr. Alex Wen, Senior VP, Operationn Specialize in silicon refinery (Si-material professional)n Ph.D, Power Mechanical Engineering, National Tsing-Hua University
n Marco Hu, Senior VP, Strategy Developmentn Specialize in business and operation development & management (PV module professional)n Bachelor, Communication Engineering, National Chiao Tung University
P. 7
2005.12 Company founded2006.12 1st line at FAB 1 reached 100% utilization and break-even
for 20062007.10 Broke ground for FAB 2 and Headquarters’ building
12 Best 2007 ROE (33.74%) & ROA (22.08%) among Taiwanlisted peers
2008.03 Solar cell revenues ranked the 3rd largest in Taiwan06 1st to set up Audit Committee in the Board before IPO08 FAB 2 launched mass production; capacity reached 210MW12 Revenues topped NT$10.176 billion
2009.01 1st to be listed on TSE Main Board in 2009 (2009/1/12)03 Ranked as the world top-20 cell manufacturers by influential
Photon magazine06 Strongest sales rebound among peers (up 51.8% mom)07 1st to return to 100% utilization among peers09 Best 3Q09 utilization among peers
MilestonesMilestones
P. 8
AwardsAwards
2008.05Recognized by
Business Today MagazineTop 5 in Revenue GrowthTop 6 in Profit Growthone of top 10 candidates to be the highest priced stock in Taiwan
2009.05Recognized by
CommonWealth MagazineTop 3 best Growth ManufacturerTop 8 in Operation Efficiency(measured by revenue & profit growth, and ROE )
2009.09Recognized by
Deloitte & ToucheOne of Top 10 Deloitte Technology Fast 500 Asia Pacific Ranking and CEO Survey
P. 9
Polysilicon Wafer Solar Cell Module System
NSP
Mono-crystalline silicon solar cells( 156 x 156156 x 156 mm) or 6”2-busbar & 3-busbar
Multi-crystalline silicon solar cells( 156 x 156156 x 156 mm) or 6”2-busbar & 3-busbar
PV Industry Value ChainPV Industry Value Chain
P. 10
Worldwide PV Demand OutlookWorldwide PV Demand Outlook
2.4
5.5 5.2
12.3
8.3
19.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
GW
Source: NSP Estimates
P. 11
Continued Growth MomentumContinued Growth Momentum
60%83005200Total
70%1450850ROW
250%700200China
100%800400Japan
150%1000400U.S.A.
50%450300Spain
64%900550Italy
20%30002500Germany
Growth2010 (est.)2009
Source: NSP Estimates
Unit: MWUnit: MW
P. 12
NSP Market StrategyNSP Market Strategy
n Continue to strengthen NSP brand of high quality and high performance
n Create differentiation and maintain price premium
n Expand customer base in Europe and Asia
n Penetrate US and Japan markets
n Partner with strategic customers and grow together in 2010
P. 13
NSP Product StrategyNSP Product Strategy
-
Classic Cells
Multi-crystalline Mono-crystallineHigh Performance Market
Mainstream Market
P. 14
PolysiliconPolysilicon & Wafer Supply& Wafer Supplyn Global polysilicon supply will continue to grow in 2010 which will lead to
oversupply situation. $45~$50/kg of spot poly price can be expected by 2010/E. Such level of poly price will strongly stimulate the PV demand
n Over-capacity on wafering still exists in 2010. Consolidation will keep going and low utilaztion can be observed in non-competitive wafer companies. In contrast, cost-competitive & quality wafer companies can enjoy the growth of the market
Source: NSP Estimates
Global Solar Wafer Capacity
02000400060008000
1000012000140001600018000
2009 2010
ROWTaiwanChinaEurope
MW
Source: NSP Estimates
Global Polysilicon Capacity
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Tier IITier I
MT
P. 15
0
5 ,0 00
10 ,0 00
15 ,0 00
20 ,0 00
25 ,0 00
2 00 9 2 01 0
MWCel l
M odu le
Crystalline Cell & Module SupplyCrystalline Cell & Module Supplyn Global solar cell capacity will continue to grow about 40% in 2010 which will lead
to oversupply situation. High performance / low cost cell makers will outpace others. The ASP of solar cell in 2010 is expected to continue decline at moderate rate than that in 2009
n Over-capacity on PV module sector will still exist in 2010. Consolidation will happen in not-cost-competitive and weak branding module companies
Source: NSP Estimates
Global Crystalline Cell and Module Capacity
P. 16
High Quality & Reliability
nLowest Power LossnLowest Light Induced
DegradationnLow Breakage Rate
Technology Leadership
nLeverage PV device physics &semiconductor processtechnology
nHigh conversion efficiencynNew product development
Strong Customer & Supplier Partnership
nTier 1 customer basenGlobal presencenTechnical collaboration
with customers & suppliers
Competitive Manufacturing Costs
nOne of the lowest manufacturingcosts in the world
nRigorous semiconductormanufacturing discipline
NSPNSP’’ss Competitive AdvantagesCompetitive Advantages
P. 17
Phenomenal GrowthPhenomenal Growth
Shipment Volume
35.9
102.0
200.0
0.0
100.0
200.0
2007(A) 2008(A) 2009(E)
MW
X1.8 yoy
X2.0 yoy
+
P. 18
-100
100
300
500
700
900
2005 2006 2007 2008 1~3Q09
Revenue & ProfitsRevenue & Profits
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2006 2007 2008 1~3Q09
NTD$M
Revenues Profits
NTD$M
NT$3,662M
NT$548M
NT$380M NT$9M
NT$10,176M NT$831M
177.87%
51.61%NT$6,954M
(NT$699M)
P. 19
(4.50)
(823,073)
(21,779)
(801,294)
72,086
(873,380)
(129,808)
-19.48%
(743,572)
(4,561,220)
3,817,648
1H09
0.686.125.98 EPS (NT$/shares)
123,723
(4,115)
127,844
(86,306)
214,150
(82,827)
9.47%
296,977
(2,839,572)
3,136,549
3Q09
831,339548,354Net Profits
62,94415,007Tax (Expenses) Benefits
768,395533,347Pre-tax Income
265,91729,569Non-Ops Income (Loss)
502,478503,778Operating Income (Loss)
(314,792)(82,732)Operating Expenses
8.04%16.02%Gross Margin
817,270586,510Gross Income
(9,358,744)(3,075,578)COGS
10,176,0143,662,088Revenue, Net
20082007NTD$000’
Income StatementsIncome Statements
P. 20
Solid Financial PositionSolid Financial Position
20.43%
11.05%
49.77%
NT$38
NT$5.5 billion
NT$1.1 billion
End of 2008
N/AROA
N/AROE
NT$29Net Value per Share
NT$6.1 billionShareholders’ Equity
NT$3.1billionCash & Cash Equivalent
47.42%Debt to Asset Ratio
End of3Q09Items
n Strong CF performance:n 1~3Q09: CF from OPS totaled NT$699M, best among peersn Cash & cash Equivalent & CD totaled NT$3.5Bn + by 3Q09
P. 21
Revenues by RegionRevenues by Region
Asia48%
Other4% Europe
48%
Year 2008
1~3Q09
Asia49%
Europe49%
Other2%
1~3Q09 Total Shipment: 124.3MW
P. 22
NSP Technology RoadmapNSP Technology Roadmapn Leveraging PV devices & semiconductor processes to create technology
differentiation and competitiveness on cost & qualityn Current Patent status:Granted: 9 cases; Applied: 7 cases; Developing: 4 cases
2010 20112009
17.0%
18.0%
19.0%Efficiency
17.8%
17.74%
18.5%
18.0%
19.0%
18.5%
Mono-Si cell (156x156mm)
High performance cellsClassic Cells
Efficiency
2010 20112009
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
16.8%
16.42%
17.8%
17.0%
18.0%
17.5%
Multi-Si cell (156x156mm)
P. 23
30 60 90 100 100 100
120 140
500
680
2 2 0
0
500
1,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010(E) 2011(E)
FAB 1 FAB 2
FAB 3
Capacity Expansion PlanCapacity Expansion PlanYear-end Capacity Plan
210MW 240MW
2009-2011(E) CAGR: 104% p.a.
600MW
MW
1GW
P. 24
n Further QoQ shipment growth in 4Q09: Est. 25MW/mo vs22MW/mo in 3Q09
n Shipment & capacitynExpected shipment: n200+MW for 2009n400~500MW for 2010
n 360MW capacity expansion: (Total Capex: NT$2.7Bn)n1st 180MW: ramp-up in 1~2Q10nCapex: NT$1.3Bn (Equipment + Facility)
n2nd 180MW: ramp-up in 2~3Q10nCapex: NT$1.4Bn (Equipment + Facility)
Top Line GuidanceTop Line Guidance
P. 25
n ASP expected to decline at a slower raten 50%+ yoy global demand growthn Strong poly supply expected to further drive down wafer cost per
wattnWacker & Hemlock expansion
n Technology development to reduce non-wafer cost (manufacturing cost)n 4Q09 average conversion efficiency: nMulti-crystalline: 16.5%nMono-crystalline: 17.8%
n Target average conversion for 2010:nMulti-crystalline: 17.2%nMono-crystalline: 18.5%
Key Drivers for Key Drivers for Margin ImprovementMargin Improvement
P. 26
n Operating Expense:
nHistorically 2-3% to Revenues
nConscious cost control mechanism
n Non-Operating Income (Expenses)
nECB impactnNon-cash ECB interest amortizationnFinancial liabilities valuation risk
n Foreign Exchange Rate
Risk FactorsRisk Factors
P. 27
Q & AQ & AThank you for your attention!Thank you for your attention!