new mexico covid-19 mortality update · 2021. 1. 25. · 4 . number of deaths by age group each...
TRANSCRIPT
1
NEW MEXICO COVID-19 MORTALITY UPDATE January 25, 2021
All data reported here exclude cases who live out-of-state.
Total Deaths Deaths in the Last 14 Days 3,157 165
SECTION 1: DEATH COUNTS
Daily Number of Deaths and 7-day Moving Average
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
3/23
3/30 4/
64/
134/
204/
27 5/4
5/11
5/18
5/25 6/
16/
86/
156/
226/
29 7/6
7/13
7/20
7/27 8/
38/
108/
178/
248/
31 9/7
9/14
9/21
9/28
10/5
10/1
210
/19
10/2
611
/211
/911
/16
11/2
311
/30
12/7
12/1
412
/21
12/2
81/
41/
111/
18
Daily
Num
ber o
f Dea
ths
Date of Death
Daily Deaths 7 per. Mov. Avg. (Daily Deaths)
2
Number of Deaths Each Week
3 9 1934
5371 65 61
44 5130 37 33
21 24 29 37 46 5435 35 25 23 16 8 15 16 17 20 23
58
88
151
191178
194
245
285
197
162152137
113
52
0
50
100
150
200
250
3003/
23-3
/29
3/30
-4/5
4/6-
4/12
4/13
-4/1
94/
20-4
/26
4/27
-5/3
5/4-
5/10
5/11
-5/1
75/
18-5
/24
5/25
-5/3
16/
1-6/
76/
8-6/
146/
15-6
/21
6/22
-6/2
86/
29-7
/57/
6-7/
127/
13-7
/19
7/20
-7/2
67/
27-8
/28/
3-8/
98/
10-8
/16
8/17
-8/2
38/
24-8
/30
8/31
-9/6
9/7-
9/13
9/14
-9/2
09/
21-9
/27
9/28
-10/
410
/5-1
0/11
10/1
2-10
/18
10/1
9-10
/25
10/2
6-11
/111
/2-1
1/8
11/9
-11/
1511
/16-
11/2
211
/23-
11/2
911
/30-
12/6
12/7
-12/
1312
/14-
12/2
012
/21-
12/2
712
/28-
1/3
1/4-
1/10
1/11
-1/1
71/
18-1
/24
Wee
kly
Num
ber o
f Dea
ths
Date of Death
3
Number of Deaths Each Week by Long- and Short-term Care Facility Residence
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
3/23
-3/2
93/
30-4
/54/
6-4/
124/
13-4
/19
4/20
-4/2
64/
27-5
/35/
4-5/
105/
11-5
/17
5/18
-5/2
45/
25-5
/31
6/1-
6/7
6/8-
6/14
6/15
-6/2
16/
22-6
/28
6/29
-7/5
7/6-
7/12
7/13
-7/1
97/
20-7
/26
7/27
-8/2
8/3-
8/9
8/10
-8/1
68/
17-8
/23
8/24
-8/3
08/
31-9
/69/
7-9/
139/
14-9
/20
9/21
-9/2
79/
28-1
0/4
10/5
-10/
1110
/12-
10/1
810
/19-
10/2
510
/26-
11/1
11/2
-11/
811
/9-1
1/15
11/1
6-11
/22
11/2
3-11
/29
11/3
0-12
/612
/7-1
2/13
12/1
4-12
/20
12/2
1-12
/27
12/2
8-1/
31/
4-1/
101/
11-1
/17
1/18
-1/2
4
Wee
kly
Num
ber o
f Dea
ths
Date of Death
Not Long-term or Short-term Care Long-term or Short-term Care Facility (28% of deaths)
4
Number of Deaths by Age Group Each Month
Age Group (years) Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21 Total
0-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5-17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
18-34 0 4 9 4 4 7 6 6 10 14 11 75 35-64 1 33 70 47 54 38 18 48 186 240 99 834 65+ 5 109 179 76 117 82 42 126 570 690 251 2247
Total 6 146 258 127 175 127 66 180 767 944 361 3157
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
M A R ' 2 0 A P R ' 2 0 M A Y ' 2 0 J U N ' 2 0 J U L ' 2 0 A U G ' 2 0 S E P ' 2 0 O C T ' 2 0 N O V ' 2 0 D E C ' 2 0 J A N ' 2 1
NU
MBE
R O
F DE
ATHS
0-4 5-17 18-34 35-64 65+
5
Number of Deaths by Gender Each Month
Gender Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21 Total
Male 3 79 137 73 100 67 40 96 441 537 203 1776 Female 3 67 121 54 75 60 26 84 326 407 158 1381 Total 6 146 258 127 175 127 66 180 767 944 361 3157
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
M A R ' 2 0 A P R ' 2 0 M A Y ' 2 0 J U N ' 2 0 J U L ' 2 0 A U G ' 2 0 S E P ' 2 0 O C T ' 2 0 N O V ' 2 0 D E C ' 2 0 J A N ' 2 1
NU
MBE
R O
F DE
ATHS
Male Female
6
Number of Deaths by Race/Ethnicity Each Month
Race/Ethnicity Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21 Total American Indian/ Alaska Native
0 74 162 82 69 41 17 29 139 214 89 916
Asian/Pacific Islander
1 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 5 7 6 25
Black/African American
0 2 1 0 4 2 1 5 9 14 7 45
Hispanic or Latino 2 22 40 22 62 48 31 91 367 387 139 1211 White 3 48 55 22 40 36 15 51 240 312 105 927 Unknown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 10 15 33 Total 6 146 258 127 175 127 66 180 767 944 361 3157
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
M A R ' 2 0 A P R ' 2 0 M A Y ' 2 0 J U N ' 2 0 J U L ' 2 0 A U G ' 2 0 S E P ' 2 0 O C T ' 2 0 N O V ' 2 0 D E C ' 2 0 J A N ' 2 1
NU
MBE
R O
F DE
ATHS
American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black/African American
Hispanic or Latino White
7
Percentage of Deaths by Race/Ethnicity and Age Group
13%
0%4% 6% 2%
32%
16%
27% 24%
11%
25%
36%
31%25%
18%
31%
48%38%
45%
69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
AIAN(n=916)
Asian/PI(n=25)
Black/AfAm(n=45)
Hispanic(n=1211)
White(n=927)
Perc
enta
ge o
f Dea
ths
Race/Ethnicity
75+
65-74
45-64
18-44
8
Number of deaths by New Mexico County of residence each month
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
M A R ' 2 0 A P R ' 2 0 M A Y ' 2 0 J U N ' 2 0 J U L ' 2 0 A U G ' 2 0 S E P ' 2 0 O C T ' 2 0 N O V ' 2 0 D E C ' 2 0 J A N ' 2 1
NU
MBE
R O
F DE
ATHS
Bernalillo San Juan McKinley Dona Ana Santa Fe Sandoval Cibola Chaves Eddy
Valencia Lea Curry Grant Rio Arriba Roosevelt Colfax Luna Sierra
Otero Lincoln Guadalupe Socorro San Miguel Mora Taos Hidalgo Torrance
Los Alamos Quay Union Catron De Baca Harding
9
Number of deaths by New Mexico County of residence each month – continued
County of Residence Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21 Total Bernalillo 4 35 43 12 40 36 15 46 184 243 89 747 San Juan 0 57 75 38 16 8 3 4 42 69 45 357 McKinley 0 27 106 48 51 21 9 4 33 71 34 404 Dona Ana 0 1 3 7 21 20 8 36 131 85 30 342 Santa Fe 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 11 28 41 23 110 Sandoval 1 14 12 3 10 3 0 8 40 58 21 170 Cibola 0 3 4 9 3 3 0 2 26 26 20 96 Chaves 0 1 2 0 3 0 6 7 33 55 13 120 Eddy 1 0 0 0 4 1 8 14 30 26 13 97 Valencia 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 3 28 38 8 81 Lea 0 0 0 0 7 11 8 8 34 39 7 114 Curry 0 0 0 0 3 3 1 7 14 23 7 58 Grant 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 11 7 25 Rio Arriba 0 0 1 0 4 9 1 0 12 20 6 53 Roosevelt 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 7 11 14 6 42 Colfax 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 18 5 31 Luna 0 1 0 2 0 2 2 5 25 14 4 55 Sierra 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 9 28 4 44 Otero 0 0 4 3 4 2 0 2 15 15 3 48 Lincoln 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 4 1 3 14 Guadalupe 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 8 Socorro 0 2 3 0 1 0 0 8 15 15 2 46 San Miguel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 2 7 Mora 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 6 Taos 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 27 11 1 44 Hidalgo 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 1 9 Torrance 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 1 8 Los Alamos 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 Quay 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 0 8 Union 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 3 0 8 Catron 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 3 De Baca 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Harding 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 6 146 258 127 175 127 66 180 767 944 361 3157
10
Number of Deaths by Underlying Conditions Each Month
Underlying Conditions Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21 Total
Hypertension 0 16 31 37 99 58 32 92 377 400 163 1305 Diabetes 2 36 80 54 82 48 26 66 306 336 131 1167 Cardiovascular Disease 1 55 98 45 72 39 23 69 265 263 100 1030
Chronic Lung Disease 2 33 58 18 45 24 16 31 152 165 45 589
Chronic Kidney Disease 1 14 32 17 33 20 13 39 170 207 57 603
Obesity 0 8 19 16 29 21 7 18 124 116 49 407 Chronic Liver Disease 0 5 8 15 13 13 11 20 44 53 18 200
Immuno-compromised 0 6 17 6 8 5 3 8 22 39 7 121
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
M A R ' 2 0 A P R ' 2 0 M A Y ' 2 0 J U N ' 2 0 J U L ' 2 0 A U G ' 2 0 S E P ' 2 0 O C T ' 2 0 N O V ' 2 0 D E C ' 2 0 J A N ' 2 1
NU
MBE
R O
F DE
ATHS
Cardiovascular Disease Diabetes Hypertension Chronic Lung Disease
Chronic Kidney Disease Obesity Chronic Liver Disease Immuno-compromised
11
Percentage of Deaths Each Month by Number of Underlying Conditions
50%
39%
28% 24%16%
22%14% 15%
21%29% 30%
33%
23%
31%
25%
21%
23%
26%29%
23%
22%22%
0%
23% 27%
23%
20%
28%
29%24% 23%
21%23%
17% 15% 15%
28%
43%
28%32% 32% 33%
29%25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
M A R ' 2 0 A P R ' 2 0 M A Y ' 2 0 J U N ' 2 0 J U L ' 2 0 A U G ' 2 0 S E P ' 2 0 O C T ' 2 0 N O V ' 2 0 D E C ' 2 0 J A N ' 2 1
NU
MBE
R O
F DE
ATHS
None One Two Three or more
12
Percentage of Deaths by Underlying Condition and Age Group
1% 1% 1% 1% 1%9% 8%
2%
23%30%
17%22%
28%
51% 51%
33%
76%69%
82%77%
71%
40% 41%
65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Hypertension(n=1305)
Diabetes(n=1167)
CardiovascularDisease
(n=1030)
Chronic Lung Disease(n=589)
Chronic KidneyDisease(n=603)
Obesity(n=407)
Chronic LiverDisease(n=200)
Immunocompromised
(n=121)
Perc
enta
ge
65+
35-64
18-34
13
Number and percent of deaths by Test Result and Cause of Death on the Death Certificate
Positive COVID-19 Test Result* COVID-19 Cause/Contributor of Death on Death Certificate Number of Deaths Percent
Yes Yes 2745 86.9% Yes No 73 2.3% Yes Pending 298 9.4% No Yes 41 1.3% Total 3157 100.0%
* Positive RT-PCR or Rapid Test
14
Number and percent of deaths by underlying cause of death on the death certificate
Underlying Cause Number of Deaths* Percent
COVID-19 1993 91.5% Cardiovascular Disease 47 2.2% Other 50 2.3% Alzheimer's or Dementia 30 1.4%
Cancer 17 0.8% Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis 15 0.7%
Chronic lower respiratory disease 8 0.4%
Chronic Kidney Disease 3 0.1% Diabetes 7 0.3% Influenza & pneumonia 9 0.4% Total 2179 100.0% *Excludes 978 (31%) deaths which have not yet been coded by the National Center for Health Statistics.
COVID-1991.5%
Cardiovascular Disease2.2%
Other2.3%
Alzheimer's or Dementia1.4%
Cancer0.8%
Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis
0.7%
Chronic lower respiratory disease
0.4%
Chronic Kidney Disease0.1%
Diabetes0.3%
Influenza & pneumonia0.4%
15
SECTION 2: MORTALITY RATES
Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by Age Group
0.0 0.3 15.6
109.0
593.4
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0-4 5-17 18-34 35-64 65+
Deat
hs p
er 1
00,0
00 p
opul
atio
n
16
Age-adjusted Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by Gender
149.7
95.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Male Female
Deat
hs p
er 1
00,0
00 p
opul
atio
n
17
Age-adjusted Mortality rate per 100,000 Population by Race/Ethnicity
Age-adjusted Mortality rate among AI/AN by Month of 1st Positive Test
531.1
67.1107.5 125.7
62.1
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
AI/AN Asian/PI Black/AfAm Hispanic White
Deat
hs p
er 1
00,0
00 p
opul
atio
n
3.2
84.2 85.6
38.530.1
12.9 9.0
36.1
113.7
95.9
18.9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21
Deat
hs p
er 1
00,0
00 p
opul
atio
n
18
Age-adjusted Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by New Mexico County
19
Age-adjusted Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by County (last 14 days)
20
SECTION 3: CASE FATALITY RATES
Case Fatality Rate by Age Group
0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
1.2%
10.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0-4 5-17 18-34 35-64 65+
Perc
enta
geof
cas
es re
sulti
ng in
dea
th
21
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Case Fatality Rate by Month of 1st Positive Test
4.0%
6.1%
4.7%
3.6%3.1%
2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4%2.7%
1.3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21
Perc
enta
ge o
f Cas
es R
esul
ting
in D
eath
*Age-adjusted case fatality rates are adjusted to the current distribution of U.S. COVID-19 cases.
22
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Gender
3.4%
2.1%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Male Female
Perc
enta
geof
cas
es re
sulti
ng in
dea
th
*Age-adjusted case fatality rates are adjusted to the current distribution of U.S. COVID-19 cases. https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index. html#demographics
23
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Race/Ethnicity
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate Among AI/AN, by Month of 1st Positive Test
4.5%
2.3%
3.5%
3.0%2.7%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
5%
AI/AN Asian/PI Black/AfAm Hispanic White
Perc
enta
geof
cas
es re
sulti
ng in
dea
th
5.3%
6.9%6.2%
5.2% 5.3%
6.4%
5.1%
4.2% 3.9% 3.6%
1.7%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21Perc
enta
ge o
f cas
es re
sulti
ng in
dea
th
24
Case Fatality Rate by Race/Ethnicity and Age Group
0-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90+AI/AN 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 1.3% 1.9% 3.6% 7.9% 17.1% 25.4% 39.1%Hispanic 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 1.5% 4.4% 11.9% 24.8% 34.8%White 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 1.3% 3.1% 9.5% 24.0% 32.4%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
Perc
enta
ge o
f cas
es re
sulti
ng in
dea
th
Age Group (Years)
AI/AN
Hispanic
White
25
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Race/Ethnicity and Gender
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate Among AI/AN, by Month of 1st Positive Test and Gender
6.1%
3.4%2.6%
2.0%
3.7%3.3%
3.8%
2.4%
3.4%
2.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
AI/AN Asian/PI Black/AfAm Hispanic White
Perc
enta
ge o
f cas
es re
sulti
ng in
dea
th
11.3%
2.1%
10.2%
4.7%
8.1%
4.7% 5.1%5.7%
7.0%
4.0%
10.4%
4.2%
6.5%
4.2%
6.2%
2.6%
5.1%
3.2%
5.3%
2.6% 2.8%
1.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mal
e
Fem
ale
Mar'20 Apr'20 May'20 Jun'20 Jul'20 Aug'20 Sep'20 Oct'20 Nov'20 Dec'20 Jan'21
Perc
enta
ge o
f Cas
es R
esul
ting
in D
eath
26
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Gender, Underlying Conditions, and Hospitalization Status
*Age-adjusted case fatality rates are adjusted to the current distribution of U.S. COVID-19 cases. https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index.html#demographics
4.1%2.3%
0.2% 0.2%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Male Female Male Female
Pre-existing Conditions No Pre-existing Conditions
Perc
enta
ge o
f cas
es re
sulti
ng in
dea
th
Not Hospitalized
27.3%
20.8%
4.6%2.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Male Female Male Female
Pre-existing Conditions No Pre-existing Conditions
Hospitalized
27
Data Sources
• COVID-19 data: New Mexico Electronic Disease Surveillance System (NM-EDSS), Infectious Disease Epidemiology Bureau, Epidemiology and Response Division, New Mexico Department of Health.
• Mortality data: Bureau of Vital Records and Health Statistics, Epidemiology and Response Division, New Mexico Department of Health. • Population Estimates: University of New Mexico, Geospatial and Population Studies (GPS) Program. • Age-adjustment: US 2000 Standard Population Weights for mortality rates. US COVID-19 cases for case fatality rates.
Data Notes
• The data reported in this weekly update may not match the daily numbers that are reported in the New Mexico Department of Health (NMDOH) press releases and/or the NMDOH COVID-19 data dashboard. This may be due to variation in the date and time of data extraction from NM-EDSS, corrections after quality assurance review, and differences in the exclusion criteria.
• New Mexico Electronic Disease Surveillance System (NM-EDSS). Disease incidence data are derived from reports of notifiable infectious diseases. NMDOH relies on health care providers, laboratories, hospitals, clinics, institutions and individuals to report suspected and confirmed notifiable infectious diseases in accordance with New Mexico Administrative Code 7.4.3.13. Under-reporting can occur due to of lack of awareness about reporting requirements or lack of compliance with those requirements. Not all cases of infectious diseases can be detected for various reasons including lack of access to health care services, lack of laboratory testing or concerns about confidentiality. Specific and standardized national case definitions are used to classify disease reports by case status.
• New Mexico COVID-19 Related Deaths. Following the standardized surveillance case definition published by the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists, COVID-19 related deaths in NM include 1) deaths of confirmed cases, which have a documented positive RT-PCR test or rapid test for SARS-CoV-2; and 2) deaths based on vital records criteria in the absence of confirmatory laboratory evidence, which is a death certificate that lists COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 as a cause of death or a significant condition contributing to death. Death certificates may list multiple causes of death, with one single cause identified as the underlying cause of death defined as the condition that began the chain of events that ultimately led to the person’s death. Death certificates may also list significant conditions contributing to death, defined as a condition or circumstance that contributed to the cause of death but did not result in the underlying cause nor participated in the causal pathway to the final or immediate cause of death. NM only includes natural deaths, and excludes intentional and unintentional injury deaths among confirmed cases.
28
• New Mexico Population Estimates. All population estimates apply to July 1 of 2019. Estimates include decimal fractions. The sum of population subgroup estimates may not exactly equal the overall state population estimate due to rounding error. Population estimates for previous years are occasionally revised as new information becomes available. When publishing trend data, always be sure that your rates for earlier years match current rates on NM-IBIS that have been calculated with the most up-to-date population estimates.
• Race/ethnicity. Race and ethnicity are reported as a single variable, race/ethnicity, according to the selection of the case. Any case who is Hispanic is in the Hispanic category and all other races are non-Hispanic.
• Mortality rate per 100,000 population. A basic measure of disease-specific hospitalization frequency is a rate, which takes into account the number of deaths and the population size. It is helpful in making public health decisions for a given population, relative to another population regardless of size.
• Age-adjusted mortality or case fatality rate per 100,000 population. The age-distribution of a population (the number of people in particular age categories) can change over time and can be different in different geographic areas. The use of age-adjusted rates permits a valid comparison among populations. It ensures that the differences in deaths from one population to another are not due to differences in the age distribution of the populations being compared.