new november 2017 · 2017. 11. 8. · • balanced portfolio of assets —premier position in the...
TRANSCRIPT
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November 2017
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Forward-looking Statements
This presentation contains projections and
other forward-looking statements within the
meaning of Section 27A of the U.S.
Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of
the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
These projections and statements reflect the
Company’s current views with respect to
future events and financial performance. No
assurances can be given, however, that
these events will occur or that these
projections will be achieved, and actual
results could differ materially from those
projected as a result of certain factors. A
discussion of these factors is included in the
Company’s periodic reports filed with the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Contact:
Karen AciernoDirector – Investor [email protected]
Cimarex Energy Co.1700 Lincoln Street, Suite 3700Denver, CO 80203303-295-3995
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Who is Cimarex?
1 As of November 6, 20172 As of and for the twelve months ended 9/30/17. See Appendix for non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations to nearest comparable GAAP measure.
Market Cap1 $ 12 billion
Debt/Adj. EBITDA2 1.4x
Production (3Q 17) 1,143 MMcfe/d
Proved Reserves 2.9 Tcfe
— % Natural gas 51%
— % Proved Developed 79%
— R/P Ratio 8.2x
Quarterly Dividend $0.08/share
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• Returns drive decisions
• Balanced portfolio of assets
— Premier position in the Delaware Basin and Mid-Con region
— Flexibility through commodity cycles
• Idea generation and track record of strong execution
• Strong financial position
— Conservative debt levels and ample liquidity
— $423 million in cash at September 30, 2017
What’s Important
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5
• Enhanced completion design
— Improved well performance
— Allows tighter development well spacing
• Five successful spacing pilots announced in 2017
— Now prosecuting even tighter spacing tests
• 12-wells/section Upper Wolfcamp on production in Culberson
• 14-wells/section Lower Wolfcamp in Culberson drilling
• 18-wells/section Upper Wolfcamp in Reeves County drilling
• Result: infill development that preserves returns while adding locations (NPV)
Recent Achievements
5
6
Production Growth
6
Daily Production(MMcfe)
50%51%
53% 52%
55%
693
869
985 963
+18-19%1,134-1,147
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
Oil & NGL Natural Gas
• Strong returns lead to production growth
• Oil to lead 2017 volume growth
• 4Q 17 oil volume up 32 – 37% vs 4Q 16
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D&C Capital vs. Production Growth(millions)
$1,251
$1,531
$730
$552
$900-925
11%
25%
13%
-2%
17%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
D&C Capital Production Growth
2017 Capital Plans
• Estimated 2017 E&D capital ~$1.2 billion
— Up 63% from 2016 level
• Includes D&C capital of $900-925 million
— D&C is 76% of E&D capital
— Generates 18-19% production growth
• Flexibility to right size capital
— Cash on the balance sheet provides flexibility
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Drilling & Completion Capital
2017 Drilling & Completion Capital
• $900‐925 million
• Multiple projects and zones
• Delaware Basin
— Wolfcamp delineation and infill
— Bone Spring & Avalon development
— Test of new concepts
• Mid-Continent region
— Meramec delineation and acreage retention
— Woodford spacing tests and infill
• Currently operating 14 rigs
— Nine in Permian
— Five in Mid-Continent
Woodford
Meramec
Bone Spring
Wolfcamp
Avalon
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180 day Average Daily Production per Well (BOE/d)
638
890
1,142
1,317
1,612
-
500
1,000
1,500
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Productivity Improvement in the Wolfcamp
4,671 5,869 7,094 8,910 9,789Average Lateral
Length (ft)
Delaware Basin Wolfcamp wells
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BTAX IRR*
Improvement in Well Level Returns
67%
44%
130%
147%
0%
50%
100%
150%
Lower Wolfcamp Upper Wolfcamp
*Assumes flat realized oil price of $50/bbl, gas price of $2.50/mcfand NGL price of $16.67/bbl
3Q17 3Q173Q143Q14
• Focused on ways to improve returns
— Radically changed completion design
— Improved water management
— Decreased drilling days
— Significantly better well productivity
• Result: Solid returns at flat prices
• Higher well level returns equal higher fully burdened returns
Culberson Long-Lateral Wolfcamp
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Biggest Opportunity - Delaware Basin Wolfcamp
• ~216,000 net acres in the fairway
• Multiple Wolfcamp Targets
— Culberson/White City Area
• ~100,000+ net acres
• Upper & Lower Wolfcamp
• JDA with Chevron
— Reeves County
• ~61,000 net acres
• Upper Wolfcamp
— Lea County
• ~32,000 net acres
— Ward County
• ~16,000 net acres
• Two wells drilled
– One well completing
2017 wells
Lower Wolfcamp
Upper Wolfcamp
Bone Spring
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Culberson/White City Area Wolfcamp Details
• 100,000+ net acres; JDA with Chevron in Culberson County
• 59 long lateral Wolfcamp
wells producing
• Seattle Slew spacing pilot
producing
• Animal Kingdom infill drilling
• Eddy County lower Wolfcamp
latest completion design
— Marquardt 12-13 Fed Com
11H has average 30-day peak
IP of 2,766 BOE/d (19% oil;
47% gas; 34% NGL)
Lower Wolfcamp
Upper Wolfcamp
Operated SWD
Marquardt2,766 BOE/d
(19% oil)
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Improving Upper Wolfcamp Completion Design
• Ten wells with new frac design
have average 30-day peak IP of
2,330 BOE/d (53% oil; 28% gas;
19% NGL)
— Five wells brought on-line in 2017 have average 30-day peak IP of 2,584 BOE/d (51% oil; 28% gas; 21% NGL)
Cumulative Production (MBOE)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0 60 120 180 240 300 360
Days
Old Completion New Completion
27% Increase
Culberson Long Lateral Upper Wolfcamp
>1,650 lb/ft
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Resilient Long Lateral Returns
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Culberson County Wolfcamp – 10,000 ft lateral
BTAX IRR*
*Assumes full NGL recovery, NGL price is 30% of oil price
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
$30 $40 $50 $60 $70
Realized Oil Price
Upper Wolfcamp - $3/Mcf Lower Wolfcamp - $3/Mcf
Upper Wolfcamp - $2/Mcf Lower Wolfcamp - $2/Mcf
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Culberson County – Tim Tam Infill Development
• Five –10,000 ft wells testing six wells per section
• Infills have surpassed parent wells in both landing zones
• Animal Kingdom infill testing 14 wells per section
— Currently drilling
— 8 wells; 3 landings
Cumulative Production (MBOE)
Parent Well (lower landing) Parent Well (upper landing)
Infill well (lower landing) Infill well (upper landing)
1,756’
1,756’200’
Low
er
Wolfca
mp
Tim Tam spacing
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 60 120 180 240 300
Days
1,216’
1,216’225’
Low
er
Wolfca
mp
Animal Kingdom spacing
225’
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Culberson County – Upper Wolfcamp Pilots
• Similar per-well results with 6, 8 or 12 wells per section
• Seattle Slew testing 12 wells per section
— Six wells
— Stack/Stagger pattern
— Early results encouraging
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Extrapolated Average Cumulative Production per 7,500-ft well (MBOE)
45%45%45% 45%
904’ 125’
Upper
Wolfca
mp
Seattle Slew spacing
0
100
200
0 60 120 180
Days
Gato average well
Sunny's average well
Seattle Slew average well
40% 42%
0
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
3,600
Sunny's Halo(8 wells/section)
Gato del Sol(6 wells/section)
Oil NGL Gas
Extrapolated 365-day Cumulative Production per 960 Acre Section (MBOE)
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Reeves County Focus Area
• Targeting Upper Wolfcamp
• 24 – 10,000 ft laterals producing
— Average 30-day peak IP of 1,728 BOE/d (49% oil; 29% gas; 22% NGL)
• Two downspacing pilots producing
— Wood State (12 wells per section)
— Pagoda State (16 wells per section)
• Snowshoe development testing 18 wells per section
— 8 wells; 3 landings
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Wood State
Snowshoe
Pagoda State
Upper Wolfcamp
Operated SWD
Snowshoe spacing880’
880’
375’
Uppe
r W
olfca
mp
190’
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Reeves County – Infill Well Results
• Upper Wolfcamp
— 10,000 ft laterals
• Wood State: 6 wells testing 12 wells per section
— Best long lateral to date sits right next door (Big Timber)
• Pagoda State: 4 wells testing 16 wells per section
Cumulative Production (MBOE)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330
Days
Big Timber well
Wood State parent well
Average Wood State well
Average Pagoda State well
Pagoda spacing
680’
680’
340’
Upp
er
Wolfc
am
pWood State spacing
880’
880’
340’
Uppe
r W
olfc
am
p
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Mid-Continent Overview
• Meramec and Woodford Stacked Targets
• Meramec: 116,500 net prospective acres
— 90,000 derisked
— 100% HBP by YE17
• Woodford: 136,500 net undeveloped acres (88% HBP)
Cana core
Meramec play outline
Woodford play outline
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Meramec: The Big Picture
• 45 wells producing with average lateral length of ~6,800 ft— Average 30-day IP of 1,591
BOE/d (40% oil; 40% gas; 20% NGL)
• Seven – 10,000 ft lateral wells brought on-line in 2017 YTD — Average 30-day IP of 1,996
BOE/d (46% oil, 36% gas, 18% NGL)
• Oil yield range: 11-523 bbl per MMcf
• Delineation continues
• 24 downspacing pilots on-line or underway in the play— XEC has interest or data on all
but four
5,000 ft Meramec
10,000 ft Meramec
Meramec play outline
Leon Gundy
3Q 17 Wells
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Leon Gundy Pilot Results
• Stacked/Staggered Pilot
— Four Meramec wells
• Stacked/staggered spacing
• Testing ten wells per section
— Four Woodford wells
• Testing nine wells per section
• Next step: confirm zone completion sequence
— Two tests planned
Cumulative Production MMcfe
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0 90 180 270 360
Days
Average Middle Meramec well
Average Lower Meramec well
Average Parent Well
1,065’
1,065’200’
Woodford
Meramec
Osage
300’578’
Leon Gundy spacing
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Woodford Shale Activity
• Long history of activity
— Participated in 882 gross wells since 2007
• Eastern core infill wells completed
• Long lateral Leota Jacobs infill planned following results of pilots in area
• Clyde Copeland high density spacing pilot producing
• Emerging Lone Rock play yielding best results to date
Operated well
Non-operated well
Leota Jacobs
Eastern CoreClyde Copeland
Lone Rock
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Clyde Copeland Results
• Increased density pilot
— 8 wells testing 16 and 20 wells per section
• Completion design optimized for tighter well spacing
• Results positive for future well spacing
Cumulative Production MMcfe
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0 30 60 90
Days
Average well (20 well spacing)
Average well (16 well spacing)
Average parent well (9 well spacing)
Woodford
Osage
330’
16 well spacing
80’
528’
20 well spacing
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Lone Rock Activity
• ~16,000 net contiguous acres in over-pressured Woodford
• Best Woodford returns in portfolio
• Shelly infill drilling underway
—Nine wells testing 8 and 11 well per section
Woodford
Osage
448’
8 well spacing
637’
11 well spacing
0
400
800
1,200
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
Days
1st Gen (~1,440 lb/ft)
2nd Gen (~2,800 lb/ft)
3rd Gen (~2,800 lb/ft)
Average Cumulative Production MMcfe
Shelly
Hines Federal 1H15.2 MMcfed (40% oil)
Meyers 1H13.4 MMcfed (24% oil)
Meiwes 1-25H10.4 MMcfed (15% oil)
Woodford
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• Diverse portfolio with solid returns
• Strong financial position
— $423 million of cash on the balance sheet at 9/30/17
• Technical emphasis on idea generation
— Enhancements to completion design
— Testing even tighter infill well spacing
• Ultimate field optimization that preserves returns while adding
locations (NPV)
Well-positioned for 2017 and Beyond
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Appendix
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2017 Guidance
Fourth Quarter Full Year
Production
Total Equivalent (MMcfe/d)Total Equivalent (BOE/D)
1,175 – 1,225195.8 – 204.2
1,134 – 1,147189.0 – 191.2
% Oil 30%
Capital Expenditures (billion) ~$1.2
Expenses $/Mcfe $/BOE
Production $0.60 – 0.70 $3.60 – 4.20
Transportation, processing & other $0.50 – 0.60 $3.00 – 3.60
DD&A and ARO accretion $1.05 – 1.15 $6.30 – 6.90
General and administrative $0.20 – 0.25 $1.20 – 1.50
Taxes other than income (% of oil and gas revenue) 5.0 – 5.5% 5.0 – 5.5%
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Hedges as of November 2, 20172017 2018 2019
Fourth Quarter
First Quarter
Second Quarter
Third Quarter
Fourth Quarter
First Quarter
Second Quarter
OIL
WTI Oil Collars1
Volume (Bbl/d) 21,000 28,000 22,000 18,000 12,000 6,000 6,000
Weighted Average Floor 46.29 47.25 47.23 46.61 48.00 48.00 48.00
Weighted Average Ceiling 56.64 56.15 55.35 54.55 54.58 55.21 55.21
WTI Swaps2
Volume (Bbl/d) 5,000 13,000 13,000 13,000 8,000 5,000 5,000
Weighted Average Differential3 0.94 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.58 0.47 0.47
GAS
PEPL Collars4
Volume (MMBtu/d) 120,000 120,000 90,000 60,000 30,000 20,000 20,000
Weighted Average Floor 2.65 2.58 2.48 2.43 2.43 2.40 2.40
Weighted Average Ceiling 3.07 2.94 2.82 2.66 2.64 2.64 2.64
El Paso Perm Collars5
Volume (MMBtu/d) 80,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 10,000 10,000
Weighted Average Floor 2.64 2.55 2.40 2.35 2.35 2.30 2.30
Weighted Average Ceiling 3.04 2.88 2.69 2.52 2.50 2.42 2.42
Total Natural Gas Collars
Volume (MMBtu/d) 200,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 30,000 30,000
Notes:1 WTI refers to West Texas Intermediate oil prices as quoted on the New York Mercantile Exchange 4 PEPL refers to Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Tex/OK Mid-Continent as quoted on Platt’s Inside FERC 2 Index price on basis swaps is WTI Midland as quoted by Argus Americas Crude 5 El Paso Perm refers to El Paso Permian Basin index as quoted on Platt’s Inside FERC3 Index price on basis swaps is WTI NYMEX less weighted average differential shown in table
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2017 Net Wells Completed
29
26
18
30
24
43
1QA 2QA 3QA 4QE Wells Drilling &WOC at12/31/17Permian Basin Mid-Continent
30
Mid-Continent Region Production
30
Daily Production(MMcfe)
406384
350333
322
385
419
390
353375
417
509 513
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17
Gas NGL Oil
31
Permian Region Production
31
Daily Production(MBOE)
68
74
81
99
94
87
80
85 86 85
96
107105
0
25
50
75
100
Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17
Oil NGL Gas
32
Efficiency Gains Continue in LOE
32
$0.13 $0.10 $0.08 $0.07
$0.27 $0.25
$0.22 $0.20
$0.14
$0.10
$0.05 $0.06
$0.33
$0.24
$0.19 $0.18
$0.21
$0.14
$0.12 $0.11
$1.08
$0.83
$0.66 $0.62
2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD
Compressor Rental & Repair Labor/OtherWater Disposal Repairs, Maintenance, Chemicals & RentalsWorkovers
($/Mcfe)
33
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA1
($ in Millions) 2014 2015 2016LTM
9/30/17
Net income (loss) $ 526 $(2,580) $ (409) $ 368
Income tax expense (benefit) 310 (1,472) (214) 233
Interest expense, net of 37 55 62 56
DD&A and ARO accretion 786 741 400 410
EBITDA 1,659 (3,256) (161) 1,067
Impairment of oil and gas - 4,033 758 -
Adjusted EBITDA 1,659 778 597 1,067
1The above table provides a reconciliation from generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) net income (loss) to non-GAAP EBITDA and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, which excludes ceiling test impairments
34
Non-GAAP ReconciliationReconciliation of cash flow from operations1
Three months Ended Sept 30
($ in Millions) 2017 2016
Net cash provided by operating activities $ 251 $ 223
Change in operating assets and liabilities
33 (41)
Adjusted cash flow from operations $ 284 $ 182
Finding & development (F&D) cost
2016
Additions to proved reserves (Bcfe)
Revisions of previous estimates 19.8
Extensions & discoveries 324.0
Purchase of reserves 0.9
Total Additions (all sources) 344.7
Total Capital ($MM) $ 735
F&D Costs (all sources) ($/Mcfe) $ 2.13
Drilling F&D cost (extensions & discoveries) ($/Mcfe) $ 2.27
Debt/Cap calculation
($ in Millions)Sept 30,
2017
Long-term debt (principal) $ 1,500
Stockholders equity 2,402
Total capitalization 3,902
Long-term debt/total capitalization 38%
Debt/Adjusted EBITDA calculation
Twelve monthsEnded Dec 31, LTM
($ in Millions) 2015 2016 9/30/17
Long-term debt (principal)
$1,500 $1,500 $1,500
Adjusted EBITDA 778 597 1,067
Debt/Adjusted EBITDA
1.9x 2.5x 1.4x
1Management uses the non‐GAAP measure of adjusted cash flow from operations as a means of measuring the company's ability to fund its capital program and dividends, without fluctuations caused by changes in current assets and liabilities, which are included in the GAAP measure of cash flow from operating activities. Management believes this non‐GAAP measure provides useful information to investors for the same reasons, and that it is also used by professional research analysts in providing investment recommendations pertaining to companies in the oil and gas exploration and production industry.
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• Sand volumes have leveled
• Focus on perf placement, number of stages, pump time, etc.
Completion Evolution
Pounds of Sand per Lateral Foot
Jul 2015
Jan 2016
Jul 2016
Jan2017
Jul2017
Culberson Upper Wolfcamp 1,650 1,650 2,500 2,500 2,500
Culberson Lower Wolfcamp 1,250 1,250 2,500 2,500 2,500
Reeves Upper Wolfcamp 1,700 1,700 2,500 2,500 2,500
Meramec 1,800 2,700 2,800 2,800 2,800
Woodford 2,500 3,000 3,500 3,500 3,200