new york, 30 october 2000 4th annual capital link conference dimitris kouvatsos cfo
TRANSCRIPT
New York, 30 October 2000
4th Annual Capital Link Conference
Dimitris Kouvatsos CFO
Trends in European Telecoms
European Market Liberalisation – Current Status
Data and related value added services liberalised in late 1980’s / early 1990’s
Mobile markets liberalised with the introduction of digital cellular systems (GSM / 2G)
Fixed line voice last segment to be liberalised Driven by EU and national governments Aiming to improve service supply and
technology deployment Broader framework for fixed market
liberalisation set by EU directives Recommended time frame and broad
definitions for national regulatory regime National regulators responsible for
implementing EU-directivesFully LiberalisedMarket
Pre 1998
1998-2001
1.1.1998
Post 2001
Tagus
Loire
Rhine
Donau
Danube
Po
Ebe
Seine
OrkneyIslands
Hebrides
ShetlandIslands
DENMARK
FINLAND
ALBANIA
CROATIA
ANDORRAPORTUGAL
SPAIN
FRANCE
IRELANDKINGDOM
UNITED
SWEDEN
RUSSIA
LATVIA
ESTONIA
LITHUANIA
POLAND
BELARUS
UKRAINE
ROMANIA
MOLDOVA
HUNGARY
BULGARIA
GREECE
TURKEY
MACEDONIA
SERBIA
NORWAY
GERMANY
BELGIUM
NETHERLANDS
AUSTRIA
SLOVENIA
BOSNIA ANDHERZEGOVINA
SWITZ.
CZECHREPUBLIC
MONACO
SLOVAKIA
ITALY
Tagus
Loire
Rhine
Donau
Danube
Po
Ebe
Seine
Tagus
Loire
Rhine
Donau
Danube
Po
Ebe
Seine
OrkneyIslands
Hebrides
ShetlandIslands
DENMARK
FINLAND
ALBANIA
CROATIA
ANDORRAPORTUGAL
SPAIN
FRANCE
IRELANDKINGDOM
UNITED
SWEDEN
RUSSIA
LATVIA
ESTONIA
LITHUANIA
POLAND
BELARUS
UKRAINE
ROMANIA
MOLDOVA
HUNGARY
BULGARIA
GREECE
TURKEY
FYROM
SERBIA
NORWAY
GERMANY
BELGIUM
NETHERLANDS
AUSTRIA
SLOVENIA
BOSNIA ANDHERZEGOVINA
SWITZ.
CZECHREPUBLIC
MONACO
SLOVAKIA
ITALY
Overview of the Greek Telecoms Market
Few Barriers Remaining to Full Market Liberalisation
In the ProcessIn the Process
Fixed line market liberalisation (January 2001)
4-7 WLL licences (before year-end 2000)
New Telecom law - draft submitted
NTPC - Independent Regulatory Authority
Interconnection Regime for fixed line operators
UMTS licences (Q2 2001)
Local Loop Unbundling
Number portability and carrier pre-selection (January 2003)
Equal access
Universal Service Obligation
Future issuesFuture issues
Greek Fixed-Line Market Overview
Strong growth potential from higher utilisation and introduction of VAS services
Lines vs. Revenues Lines vs. Revenues GDP / Capita vs. Fixed Line Penetration GDP / Capita vs. Fixed Line Penetration
EU AVERAGE
Luxembourg
Sweden Denmark
Netherlands
France Germany Finland UK
Greece
Belgium Austria
Spain Italy
Ireland Portugal 40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000
GDP per capita (US$)
Fix
ed
lin
e p
en
etr
ati
on
(%
)
Source: IDCSource: IDC
5,200
5,300
5,400
5,500
5,600
5,700
5,800
5,900
6,000
6,100
6,200
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
(000
s)
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,800
2,900
3,000
(US
$m)
Total lines Total fixed revenues
5,200
5,300
5,400
5,500
5,600
5,700
5,800
5,900
6,000
6,100
6,200
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
(000
s)
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,800
2,900
3,000
(US
$m)
Total lines Total fixed revenues
Contract Market ShareContract Market ShareContract Market ShareContract Market Share
0%4Q1999
33.0
22.1
44.9
20%
40%
60%
3Q1998 4Q1998 1Q1999 2Q1999 3Q1999 1Q2000 2Q2000
Panafon STET CosmOTE
Greek Mobile Market Overview
Total Market ShareTotal Market ShareTotal Market ShareTotal Market Share
0%
30%
60%
3Q1998 4Q1998 1Q1999 2Q1999 3Q1999 4Q1999 1Q2000 2Q2000
39.4
29.231.4
Panafon STET CosmOTE
Wireless Penetration - 1H 2000Wireless Penetration - 1H 2000Wireless Penetration - 1H 2000Wireless Penetration - 1H 2000
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80% 72
Fin
land
63
Nor
way
60
Italy
53S
pain
52
Por
tuga
l
64
Sw
eden
62
Aus
tria
59D
enm
ark
52
Sw
itzer
land
Bel
gium
46
Gre
ece
46
Fra
nce
47
Ger
man
y
44
Net
herla
nds
50
UK
49
Irel
and
51
First third entrant to capture #2 position
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Internet Pentration (%)
Mai
n Li
ne P
enet
ratio
n (%
)
Greek Internet Market Overview
Internet vs. Main Line PenetrationEuropean PC Penetration (%)
Greece
Portugal
Spain
Italy
France
BelgiumAustria
GermanyNetherlands
UK
Denmark
Finland
Sweden
54%
47%
37%33% 32% 32% 30% 29% 28%
20% 20% 18%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Low PC and Internet penetration - High growth potential
OTE Corporate Restructuring
Accelerating Developments
Shareholder and Corporate Issues Board of Directors expanded to 15 members
– CEOs of 3 main subsidiaries
– 1 additional minority shareholder
Executive Committee established Internal restructuring Articles of Association in line with private corporate Law (L2190), as
it stands today
Preparation for liberalisation New round of tariff rebalancing New Telecoms Law soon to be approved
Search for a strategic ally Initial expressions of interest received Expected close by Q2 2001
Realising Value from Reorganisation
Exit from non-core assets OTE Leasing (strategic sale), OTE Exchange (liquidation) and OTE
Insurance (strategic sale)
Realise value from current asset base CosmOTE IPO
Formation of OTE International
Formation of Real Estate subsidiary
New initiatives OTE Global (international wholesale carrier business)
OTE Com (dedicated salesforce for packaged corporate solutions)
CosmoONE (B2B JV)
Under development Digital TV Strategic review of Directories business
Fixed Line
Fixed Line - Preparing for Competition
Greek fixed line market to be liberalised in January 2001
OTE market share erosion potential exists
First emerging fixed line competitors deploying infrastructure
CLECs: COLT, Grapes, SilkRoute
Others: Panafon, STET Hellas, Public Power Corporation
Fixed wireless access competitors
Continued voice tariff rebalancing
95% network digitalisation
Data/ IP
Hellascom (upgrading/ doubling capacity)
ADSL pilot installation
180,000 FTTC customers by year end
IP network deployment
ATM 40 PoPs available (Frame Relay Option)
Digital TV Platform: Interactive Service/fast internet
20,000 km of fibre already installed with 1 million circuits to be offered commercially
Innovative service offerings
Strengthening of business customer distribution and service approach
45% broadband WLL coverage of Attica region (June 2001)
OTE PreparationEmerging Competition
Mobile
CosmOTE Strategy
IPO allows the market to assess wireless business and unlock shareholder value
To Become the Leading Wireless Operator in GreeceTo Become the Leading Wireless Operator in Greece
Strong brand name/
management team
Strong brand name/
management team
Customer Oriented
Pricing
Customer Oriented
Pricing
Superior Network
Superior Network
Innovative
services offering
Innovative
services offering
World Class Partner-
ships
World Class Partner-
ships
Voice and Data Opportunity
Voice and Data Opportunity
BestPositioned
for theFuture
Largest spectrum Largest spectrum Synergies with OTE groupSynergies with OTE group
Accessfor All
SMSSMSSIM MicrobrowserSIM MicrobrowserWAPWAPVoice RecognitionVoice Recognition
TopContent
Open architecture Open architecture World-class partnershipsWorld-class partnerships
MicrosoftMicrosoftYahoo!Yahoo!Virgin MegastoresVirgin Megastores
Offering Tailored
to Customer Needs
MyCosmos MyCosmos PersonalizedPersonalizedInformation & ServicesInformation & Services
Focus on Wireless Data Opportunity
Internet
Greek Penetration / Number of UsersGreek Penetration / Number of Users
Greek Internet Access Market RevenuesGreek Internet Access Market Revenues
Source: IDC
Strong Growth Projections for the Near Future
Source: IDC
0
50
100
150
200
250
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
(€m
)
Wholesale
Value-Added Services
Business Access
Home Access
Greek e-commerce Spending Greek e-commerce Spending
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
(€m
)
Business goods and services Consumer goods and services
Source: Forrester Research
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Number of users ('000)
Penetration (%)
Strong Internet growth projections for Greece (2000-03 CAGR or 36% in terms of penetration)
OTEnet Strategy
Leading ISP in Greece
Accelerated corporate activity from new management team
Ongoing discussions with content providers for partnerships
Exploring acquisitions (domestic and international)
Review of distribution channels and methods
WAP gateway and content
Headline news, financial news, cinema, hotels, pharmacies etc.
e-commerce (platform already available)
Several vertical portals to be launched
Automotive, health, publishing, various online marketplaces etc.
Free e-mail, calendar and directory services
LMDS/ ADSL access trials
Unified Messaging
International Investments
OTE Group - International Reach
OTE now addresses a total customer base of 50m
Telecom Serbia
20% Population: 10.6m 2.2m lines (34% digital) 105,000 mobile subscribers
RomTelecom
35% (51% voting right) Population: 22.8 m 3.7m lines (48% digital) CosmoRom operation end May
Armentel
90% Population: 3.1 m 547,000 lines (18% digital) 8,000 mobile subscribers
International
Albanian Mobile Communications
85% (CosmOTE & Telenor) Population: 3.3m 12,000 subscribers
Integrated approach to international investments
Formation of OTE International to integrate and manage international holdings
Appointment of dedicated executives
Intention to integrate networks
MakTel privatisation is currently in progress
All licenses include fixed and mobile operations
All international investments are net income positive
Group Vision and Strategy
Group Vision and StrategyOTE - From Regional PTT to Modern Telco
Focus in high growth sectors Mobile telephony Data Internet
Enhance competitive position post-liberalisation Network advantage Service integration One-stop shopping
Roll-out converging technologies and broadband IP Platform Broadband access network UMTS
Create shareholder value Acquisition Corporate restructuring Exploit synergies in international investments
Thank you