new york state education data profile - may 2011

8/6/2019 New York State Education Data Profile - May 2011

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HOW WELL IS NEW YORKPREPARING ALL

STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

May 2011


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A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good job requires some education beyond high school such as anassociates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completionof an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

Far too many students drop out or graduate from high schoolwithout the knowledge and skills required for success, closing doorsand limiting their post-high school options and opportunities.

The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

Why College- and Career-ReadyExpectations for All?

2


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A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESSThe changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.


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4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Want ed: Proj ec tions of Jobs an d E duc ationR equ ir eme nts Thro ug h 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf

Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) WorkforceRequire More Education and Training


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The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs

5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The F ut ur e of Mi ddle-Sk i ll Jobs.B rookings Institution.

High-skill jobs

Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.

Often require four-year degrees and above

Middle-skill jobs

Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,production, and transportation/material moving.

Low-skill jobs

Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

Often require some education and training beyond high school (buttypically less than a bachelors degree), including associates degrees,vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.


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Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

6Source: National Skills Coalition (2010). The Bri dge to a N ew E c ono my : Wor ke r Trainin g Fi ll s th e Ga p.http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/assets/reports-/the-bridge-to-a-new-economy.pdf ; National Skills Coalition (2011).S tat e Mi ddle Sk i ll Fa c t S hee ts . http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/resources/fact-sheets/state-fact-sheets/


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Education and Training B eyond High SchoolIs Increasingly B eing Demanded

8Source:B ureau of Labor Statistics. O ccup ationa l O u t l ook H an d boo k, 2010 -11 E d ition.

http://www.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm


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The Jobs of Tomorrow

9Source: Milano, Jessica,B

ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009). A

Matt e r of Deg r ee s : Tomorro w s Fast e st Gro w ing Jobs an d Why Co mmu nity Co llege Gra du at e s Wi ll Ge t Them . TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.

New York should be preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow, not the jobs of yesterday or even today.

A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in theCensus B ureaus occupation codes in 1967.

Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it iscommon sense to provide all students with a strong foundation thatkeeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.


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The Public Agrees That Education or Training B eyond High Schoolis Necessary for Future Success

10

To really get ahead in life, aperson needs at least someeducation beyond highschool, whether that meansuniversity, communitycollege, technical or vocational school.

To really get ahead in life,a person needs morethan just a high schooleducation.

87

8

Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). A c hi ev ing the Possib le: What A me ri c ans Thin k the Co llege an d Car ee r -R e ad y A ge nd a. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf


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Americas International Edge is Slipping inPostsecondary Degree Attainment

11Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010 . (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

0 10 20 30 4 0 50 60% Young Adults (25-3 4 ) with College Degree % Adults (25-6 4 ) with College Degree


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% of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )

- 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)

1 U.S. ( 4 0%) Canada ( 44 %) Canada (5 4 %) Korea (58%) Canada ( 4 9%)

2 Canada ( 4 0%) Japan ( 4 3%) Japan ( 4 8%) Canada (56%) Japan ( 4 3%)

3 N.Z. (3 4 %) U.S. ( 4 0%) Finland ( 44 %) Japan (55%) U.S. ( 4 1%)

4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. ( 4 3%) N.Z. ( 4 8%) N.Z. ( 4 0%)

Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea ( 4 3%) Norway ( 4 6%) Finland (37%)

Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. ( 4 0%) Ireland ( 4 5%) Korea (37%)

7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark ( 4 3%) Norway (36%)

8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) B elgium ( 4 2%) Australia (36%)

Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia ( 4 2%) Denmark (3 4 %)

1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. ( 4 2%) Ireland (3 4 %)

11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden ( 4 1%) Switz. (3 4 %)12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France ( 4 1%) U.K. (33%)

13 Germany (2 4 %) B elgium (29%) B elgium (35%) Neth. ( 4 0%) B elgium (32%)

14 Iceland (2 4 %) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)

1 B elgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)

4 - 4: New York (41 % ) NY (47 % ) NY (4 % ) NY (4 % )

Americas International Edge is Slipping inPostsecondary Degree Attainment

12Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org


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FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROPOUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH

SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REALWORLD CHALLENGES


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Of Every 100 9 th Graders in New York

14Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). S t ude nt Pi pel ine - Transition an d Co mple tion Rat e sfrom 9th Gra de to Co llege . http://www.higheredinfo.org

01020304 05060708090

100

9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears

Enroll inCollege In the

Fall

till Enrolledophomore

ear of College

Earn aCollegeDegree

1

3

3

21


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Achievement Remains Low: 8 th Grade Achievement Over Time

15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

8 th Grade Math 1 2 2

New York 20% 3 4 %

U.S. 21% 3 4 %

8 th Grade Reading 1 8 2

New York 3 4 % 33%

U.S. 33% 32%

8 th Grade Science 1 2

New York 27% 31%

U.S. 29% 30%

% At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP


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And Gaps Persist: New Yorks 8 th Grade Achievement Gap

16Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

Subgroup8 th Grade Math

(2 )8 th Grade

Reading (2 )8 th Grade Science

(2 )

All Students 3 4 % 33% 36%

White 44 % 44 % 4 5%

B lack 13% 13% 7%

Hispanic 15% 16% 11%

Asian 63% 4 9% 4 3%

American Indian n/a n/a n/a

% At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP


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High School Graduation Rates RemainInequitable in New York

17Source: Education Week (2007). Gra du ation in th e Unit ed S tat e s .http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/3 4 sos_gradrate.pdf

0%10%20%30%4 0%50%

60%70%

0%90%

American

Indian Asian

HispanicB lackWhite All

5 1%

81 %

56%54%

77 %69%

4 7%

78 %

49%5 3%

81 %

71 %


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Americas International Edge is Slipping inHigh School Graduation Rates

18Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010 . (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

0 20 4 0 60 80 100

Iceland

U.K.

Netherlands

Norway

Ireland

Denmark

Germany

Israel

Canada

Poland

Korea

U.S.

New ork

% oung Adults (25-3 4 ) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-6 4 ) with HS Diploma+


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Enrollment in College Does NOT EqualCollege Readiness

19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). R emed ial E duc ation at D eg r ee- Grantin g Posts ec ond ary Instit utions in Fa ll 2000.

Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation


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Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are MoreLikely to Require Remediation

20Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). R emed ial E duc ation at D eg r ee-Grantin g Posts ec on d ary Instit utions in Fa ll 2000.

0%5%

0%5%

20%25%30%

35%4 0%4 5%

Reading, Writingor MathReadingWriting

Math

42 %

20 %23%

35%

20 %

6%9%16%

Public 2-Year Colleges Public 4 -Year Colleges

Percentage of U.S. first-year students requiring remediation,by institution type


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Enrollment in College Does NOT EqualCollege Readiness in New York

21Source: New York State Education Department Office of Higher Education (Feb 2009). A n O ve r v i ew of H i g he r E duc ation in N ew Yor k S tat e . http://www.regents.nysed.gov/meetings/2009Meetings/February2009/0209hed2b

Percentage of students at two-year and four-year institutionsrequiring remediation


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Many College Students Fail to Return Their Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees

22Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008).R e t e ntion Rat e s -

First -Ti me Co llege Fr e sh me n R e t urning The ir Sec on d Y e ar ; Gra du ation Rat e s .http://www.higheredinfo.org/

0%

20%

4 0%60%

80%

100%

Completion ( 4 -Year)Persistence ( 4 -

Year)Persistence (2-Year)

56%75%

54% 58%

81%

59%


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Many College Students Fail to Earn aDegree in New York

23Source: NCES. IPED S Gra du ation Rat e Su r ve y , analyzed by National Center for Management of Higher Education Systems.

Percent of students earning a bachelorsdegree within six years in New York, 2 7


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The Majority of Graduates Would Have TakenHarder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

24Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2005). Risin g to th e Cha llenge: A r e H i g h Sc hoo l Gra du at e s Pr ep ar ed for Co llege an d Wor k ? Washington, DC: Achieve.

Would have takenmore challengingcourses in at leastone area

Math

Science

English

Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work


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A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANTHIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL

OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN


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Personal B enefits of Education in New York

While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts andgraduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit y than jobsheld by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:

More education is associated with higher earnings and higher rates of employment.


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27Source: U.S. Census B ureau (2010). C urr e nt Po pul ation Su r ve y . Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html

Personal B enefits of Education in New York

N ew Yor k S tatisti c s : Tota l Unempl oy me nt : 9% , M e an In c ome: $48 ,061


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28Source:Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Want ed: Proj ec tions of Jobs an d E duc ation R equ ir eme nts Thro ug h

2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf Analysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.

B enefits to Education


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29Source: ACT (2010). A CT 2009 R e s ul ts . http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College B oard. M e an 2010 S A T Sc or e s by S tat e . http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf

New Yorks Students Taking College Admissions Exams

2 1 New York U.S.

Participation in ACT 27% 4 7%

Average ACT Score 23.3 21

Participation in SAT 85% 4 7%

Average SAT Score 14 61 1509


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30Source: ACT (2010). Co llege R e ad ine ss B e nc hmar k A ttain me nt by S tat e .http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark

Students Meeting College ReadinessB enchmark

0

20

4 0

60

80

English, 2010Reading, 2010Math, 2010Science, 2010

All 4 tests, 2010

66%

5 2%43 %

29%

24 %

8 %66%66%

46%4 %

Percentage of ACT-tested graduates who met or exceeded the College Readiness Benchmark score

Not e: A be nc hmar k s c or e ind i c at e s a 50% c han ce of obtainin g a Bor hi g he r or abo ut a 75% c han ce of obtainin g a C or hi g he r in th e c orr e s pon d ing c r ed it -be arin g c ollege c ours e s.


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31Source: College B oard (2011). A P R ep ort to th e Nation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf

Students Participating in AdvancedPlacement and Exceeding College and Career Readiness

Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2 8)


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THE SOLUTION:STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE

EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.


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The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

33

Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

Require students to take a college- and career-readycurriculum to earn a high school diploma.Require students to take a college- and career-readycurriculum to earn a high school diploma.

Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.


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New Yorks Commitment to Closing theExpectations Gap to Date

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In 1 996 , New York passed the Learning Standards of New York toensure that all students receive a developmentally-appropriateeducation to prepare them for success in college and career.

In 2 3, New York first administered Regents End-of-Course Examswith a college-ready cut score used to place students in first-year, credit-bearing college courses.

New York was a Round 2 winner of the Race to the Top statecompetition.

New York adopted the Common Core State Standards in July 2 1 .

New York is a Governing state in the Partnership for Assessment of College and Career Readiness (PARCC), a consortium of statesworking to develop a common assessment system using Race to theTop Common Assessment funds.


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How New York Can Continue to B uild on itsMomentum

Leverage Race to the Top funds to advance the states progress to date,and build support structures for students to ensure they are fully preparedto meet the raised expectations.

Realize the promise of the Common Core State Standards byimplementing them fully and successfully, taking into consideration the

related curricular and policy changes.Remain committed to the goals of PARCC and developing a next-generation, computer-based assessment system anchored by college- andcareer-ready tests in high school that will let students know if they areready for college-level coursework and measure the full range of theCommon Core State Standards.

Sustain funding for professional development and instructional resourcesto support teachers and classroom learning.

Re-examine the states K-12 accountability system to determine how itcan better reward measures of college and career readiness.


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HOW WELL IS NEW YORKPREPARING ALL

STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

May 2011

new york state education data profile - may 2011

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