New ZealandLand CoverLCDB2(2001/2)

Step 1: Characterizethe present

Step 3: Understand

past changes& trends

New ZealandLand CoverPre-humanEstimate(LENZ)

Step 2: Understand

the past

Step 4:Identify

key drivers & trends and “model”possible

futurescenarios

Step 5: Explore

possible futuresScenarios

How it may help councils

• Up-to-date data and information

• Tools (scenarios, deliberation matrix, models/DSS)

• Access to expert knowledge for interpretation

• LTCCP: prioritising & tracking community outcomes

• Cumulative effects policy and consents (space & time)

• Economic development/growth, and other strategies

• Integrated long term planning & review (RPS/RCP etc)

User Interactions

Important for the success of project

Number of mechanisms in place

• RIKS Visit (Hedwig van Delden) - December 1 - 17, 2008

• Focus on - EW staff & processes (LTCCP, RPS, FutureProof etc)

• Presentations to other councils - ARC, EBoP, HBRC, GWR

• Workshop in Wellington, 10 Dec - DIA, LGNZ/SOLGM

• Project Advisory Group - Central Govt dept & LG (RC, TAs)

Advisory Group • EW, ARC, EBoP, HBRC

• Hamilton CC, Thames-Coromandel DC

• Tainui

• NZTE, EDAs

• LGNZ, DIA

• Stats NZ, MfE, MAF Also:• Governance Group• Steering Group

How it may help councils

• Up-to-date data and information

• Tools (scenarios, deliberation matrix, models/DSS)

• Access to expert knowledge for interpretation

• LTCCP: prioritising & tracking community outcomes

• Cumulative effects policy and consents (space & time)

• Economic development/growth, and other strategies

• Integrated long term planning & review (RPS/RCP etc)

Questionnaire - preliminary results (six Workshops 3 - 10 Dec 2008)

Question agree

disagree

My organisation would benefit from using the Waikato SDSS

26 3

The Waikato SDSS enables communication among planners and decision-makers

29 0

Waikato SDSS is an easy to use and intuitive tool. 17 5

I think learning to use Waikato SDSS is worthwhile, considering the results I can obtain.

27 0

I would prefer a more complex tool even if that requires more parameters to deal with.

9 13

Future Directions SDSS development is ongoing:

First prototype, in December 2008Progressive addition of modules (June 2009)Second round of workshops (Oct/Nov 2009)

Integration into council planning processes

Training and growth in capability & capacity

Data management & quality control

Future development - additional modules, other regions?

Future Directions – additional modules• Transport – (via related EW project)• Coastal/Marine• Ecosystem Services • Social accounts/ Perception Survey Data• Freshwater Biodiversity/Fish modelling (NIWA/EW)• RMA/Zoning Modelling• Relationship among scenarios

– Global/IPCC– National (national scenarios, energy, others…)– Regional/local (EW/Coromandel Blueprint etc)

• Others…

www.creatingfutures.org.nz