newfrontiers report fin - knight frank · 2019-07-16 · return prospects. china’s belt and road...
TRANSCRIPT
NEW FRONTIERS
SPECIAL FOCUS:Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
PROSPECTS FOR REAL ESTATE ALONGTHE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE
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P G . 0 1
FOREWORD
BELT AND ROAD INDEX 2019
MARKET UPDATE
PHILIPPINES
THAILAND
MALAYSIA
CAMBODIA
METHODOLOGY
NEW FRONTIERS: SUMMARY
BRIGHT INDUSTRIAL OUTLOOK
TAPERING SUPPLY TO KEEPRENTS IN CHECK
ON TRACK DESPITE THE DETOUR
MAJOR RECENT SOUTHEAST ASIABRI DEALS
MAP
INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
CONTENTS
RANKING THE MARKETS
CONTACTS
THE BELT AND ROAD INDEX (BARI)
ON THE RISE
NEW FRONTIERS KEY CONTACTS
TABLE
MAJOR RECENT SOUTHEAST ASIABRI DEALS
P G . 0 2
NEW FRONTIERS: SUMMARY
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
PORT KLANG, MALAYSIA
The Belt and Road Initiative is helping lift Southeast Asian infrastructure through new ports, railroads and highways. Increased connectivity through shipping and overland trade routes is likely to provide opportunities in the logistics, manufacturing and industrial markets.
Launched in 2013, the Bel t and Road In i t iat ive (BRI ) is China’s p lat-form for mult i latera l cooperat ion which wi l l create new economic l inks and improve i ts business networks across the globe. Of the s ix economic corr idors that were ident i f ied, th is report delves into the Mar i t ime Si lk Road that con-nect Southeast Asia to India and the Europe Middle East and Afr ican region; and gives fur ther ins ights into how the BRI has inf lu-enced the industr ia l markets across Southeast Asia .
This edi t ion includes the updated Knight Frank Bel t and Road Index(BARI ) which ranks 66 BRI-re lated countr ies by thei r economic
potent ia l , demographic advan-tage, inf rastructure development, inst i tut ional ef fect iveness, market accessibi l i ty and resi l ience to natura l d isasters; fur ther detai ls on our methodology can be found on page 9.
Focusing on the Southeast Asian countr ies, S ingapore reta ins i ts top posi t ion fo l lowed by Malaysia which mainta ined i ts top ten status in 9th . Improvements were seen with Thai land and Phi l ippines who moved up f ive and s ix p laces to 26th and 44th respect ively on better inf rastructure development and inst i tut ional ef fect iveness metr ics, whi le Cambodia moved up two places on improved market accessibi l i ty metr ics.
A big dr iver behind the success of the Mar i t ime Si lk Road is the inf ra-structure needed to “connect thedots” across a h ighly f ragmented and rura l region. This includes bui ld ing ports and negot iat ingspecia l economic zones a long
major coastal regions and lay ing ei ther ra i l or expressway t ransport networks connect ing these new economic hubs to the country ’s capi ta l . Over the past f ive years s ince the BRI ’s launch, US$59. 25
bi l l ion in Chinese - l inked capi ta l has been invested across the Southeast Asian t ransportat ion , real estate and logist ics sectors; a lmost 3.5 t imes the US$17.1 b i l l ion invested in the f ive years pr ior to BRI .
These in i t iat ives have breathed new l i fe into the industr ia l and logist ics real estate sectors across the Southeast Asian mar-kets by provid ing new ei ther sources of demand or gentr i fy ing older stock . With expectat ions for more inf rastructure investments a long the Mar i t ime Si lk Road, the out look for the industr ia l real estate sector wi th in the Southeast Asian markets looks promising over the next three to f ive years.
P G . 0 3NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
Source: Knight Frank Research
SINGAPOREUNITED ARAB EMIRATES
NEW ZEALANDCHINAQATAR
ESTONIASOUTH KOREA
OMANMALAYSIA
CZECH REPUBLICBAHRAIN
INDIAVIETNAM
ISRAELHUNGARY
POLANDSLOVENIA
BHUTANBRUNEI
SLOVAKIAGEORGIA
MONGOLIALITHUANIAMALDIVES
LATVIATHAILAND
ALBANIACROATIA
INDONESIAMONTENEGROSAUDI ARABIA
ROMANIABULGARIA
LAOSSOUTH AFRICA
CAMBODIASERBIA
KUWAITKAZAKHSTAN
TURKEYSRI LANKA
ETHIOPIAJORDAN
PHILIPPINESMYANMAR
BANGLADESHMOLDOVAARMENIA
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINAEGYPT
TURKMENISTANRUSSIA
KYRGYZSTANAZERBAIJAN
LEBANONPAKISTANBELARUS
NEPALUKRAINE
UZBEKISTANTAJIKISTAN
IRANTIMOR-LESTE
YEMENIRAQ
AFGHANISTAN
BELT & ROAD INDEX 2019
123456789
10111213141516171819
2021
22232425262728293031
32333435363738394041
42434445464748495051
52535455565758596061
6263646566
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
69.0 58.2 57.9 57.3 56.9 54.6 54.5 54.2 54.1
53.3 53.2 52.6 52.5 52.4 51.8 51.8 51.7
50.5 50.4 50.4 49.9 49.6 49.5 49.3 48.7 48.3 48.0 47.7 47.7 47.6 46.8 46.5 46.4 46.1
45.3 44.6 44.0 43.3 43.1 43.1
43.0 42.7 42.7 42.4 42.0 41.2
40.4 40.3 39.9 39.5 39.2 38.5 37.8 37.6 37.1
35.9 35.7 35.6 35.5 35.0 34.3 33.7 30.7 27.4 26.5 26.0
RANKINDEX COUNTRY1
6
11
31
28
30
38
5043
2018 RANK
SOUTHEAST ASIA
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics P G . 0 4
Established in 1967, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is an intergovernmental organisation formed by ten Southeast Asian nations to facilitate economic, political and securi-ty cooperation among its member states. These ten countries have a total population 661 million, which accounts for 8.6% of the world’s population, and a total 2017 GDP of US$2.76 trillion or 3.4% of the world’s GDP. In comparison, the European Union with its 513 million population or 6.7% of the world’s population has a combined 2017 GDP of US$17.3 trillion or 21.4% of the world’s GDP. While there are several key differences between these two similar-sized regions, the extensive and efficient transport infrastructure connections in the European Union stands in stark contrast to South-east Asia, where a lack of infrastructure remains a major hurdle to economic expansion.
The authorities within Southeast Asia have recog-nised this and have themselves embarked on bold infrastructure plans, for example Thailand’s Eastern Economic Corridor and Philippines’ “Build, build, build” policy. However, many lack the necessary fiscal strength given the large upfront capital commitments required and the difficulty in attracting private enterprises given the long dated return prospects. China’s Belt and Road initiative
therefore presents an attractive opportunity for the Southeast Asian countries as both sides share common goals. Notable examples in recent years have been the US$2.1 billion highway in Cambodia that will cut the five-hour travel time between capi-tal Phnom Penh and Sihanoukville Port by 50%, and the US$2.7 billion high-speed rail project in Bangkok that will form part of the rail link between China’s Kunming and Singapore.
With all this new infrastructure being built, investor interest in the industrial sector has increased in recent years, especially from cross-border inves-tors. Between 2009 and 2015, cross border invest-ments into the Southeast Asian industrial sector hit a high of US$330 million, while the market share of total industrial investments within the region capped out at 22%. However, from 2016 onwards when several large infrastructure agreements were signed under the BRI banner, interest from cross-border investors saw a significant increase, hitting a peak of US$1.4 billion with a 72% market share (of total industrial investments) in 2017. In brief, the weight of capital interest has benefitted the Southeast Asian industrial markets, which we detail in this report, by driving rapid development, the gentrification of aging stock and rental growth in most markets across the region.
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
US
D M
illio
ns
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
S O U T H E A S T A S I A I N D U S T R I A LC R O S S B O R D E R I N V E S T M E N T S
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
CROSS - BORDER VOLUME (US$mn) CROSS - BORDER SHARE (%)
SOUTHEAST ASIAINDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS OVERVIEW
Source: Knight Frank Research and Real Capital AnalyticsAs of Q4 2018
0 50 100 150 200
A S I A P A C I F I CW A R E H O U S E R E N T S
SINGAPORE
TOKYO
PHILIPPINES
SHANGHAI
THAILAND
MALAYSIA
CAMBODIA
USD psm pa
MAJOR RECENT SOUTHEAST ASIAN BRI DEALS
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics P G . 0 5
CAMBODIA
LAOS
HIGHWAY
DEEP SEA PORT
HIGH SPEED RAIL
REAL ESTATE, OFFICE
ROAD & TUNNEL PROJECT
LAND RECLAMATION & PORT BUILDING
THAILAND
PHILIPPINES
I N D O N E S I A
M A L A Y S I A
SINGAPORE
Source: Knight Frank Research and The American Enterprise Institute
TO INDIA,AFRICA
AND EUROPE
MAJOR RECENT SOUTHEAST ASIAN BRI DEALS
P G . 0 6NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
COUNTRY SUB-REGION DATE TYPE HOW MUCH SUMMARY OPPORTUNITY
VIENTIANE
VIENTIANE
PHNOM PENH
MANILA
DAVAO
BANGKOK
PENANG
MELAKA
KUALA LUMPURTO KELANTAN
JAKARTATO BANDUNG
2016 Sep
2018 Apr
2018 Jan
2018 Nov
2016 Oct
2017 Dec
2014 Mar
2016 Oct
2016 Nov
2017 Apr
LAOS
LAOS
CAMBODIA
PHILIPPINES
PHILIPPINES
THAILAND
MALAYSIA
MALAYSIA
MALAYSIA
INDONESIA
US$4.15 bn
US$1.2 bn
US$2.1 bn
US$270 mn
US$200 mn
US$2.7 bn
US$1.3 bn
US$1.9 bn
US$2.1 bn
US$3.2 bn
Part of the Kunming-Singapore railway
First highway in Laos linking capital Vientiane to Boten, bordering China.
New four lane highway linking capital Phnom Penh to Sihanoukville port town.
Manila to Bicol railway
New land used for new port and real estate
Part of the Kunming-Singapore railway
Undersea tunnel to link Penang Island to mainland
Part of Melaka Gateway project.
Part of the East Coast Rail Link project.
Highspeed rail linking Indonesia's two major cities.
The railway is expected to spur new developments including industrial parks and hotels for increased tourism. Travel time between kunming and vientiane is cut from 3 days to 3 hours.
The new expressway will spur new developments such as industrial parks for Chinese manufacturers looking outside of China.
Part of the government's long-term industrial development plan. Sihanoukville will progress to be the largest industrial hub in Cambodia; will bode well for its real estate market.
Railway will cut the current 12-hour car travel time down to six hours. Increase flow of shipments from the region which will stimulate industrial real estate, while increased tourism should benefit the hotel sector.
Boost the attractiveness of Davao as a industrial and shipping hub for the Philippines which will attract both domestic and foreign MNCs to setup operations; a boon for the overall real estate market.
High speed rail to connect to a new international airport in the Rayong port region. Expect industrial and residential real estate sectors to benefit.
New mainland link will benefit the real estate markets in Georgetown and Butterworth where tunnel entrances are located.
Increased trading activities from the new port will stimulate warehousing and logistics facilities demand.
Improved economic opportunities to east coast states and likely to benefit overall real estate sector.
Highspeed rail linking Indonesia's two major cities. Cuts travel time between Jakarta and Bandung, second largest city, from five hrs to forty five mins. Main sectors to benefit are residential from decentralizing demand and hotels from increased tourism - logisitics markets along the corridor also likely to be enhanced.
Railway
Highway
Highway
Railway
LandReclamation
High Speed Rail
Road AndTunnelProject
Deep Sea Port
Railway
High Speed Rail
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics P G . 0 7
Since the change of administration in 2016, we have seen a reversal of the previous stance and a pivot towards China; paving the way for a slew of Chinese-funded infrastructure projects and investments into the Philippines. Coincidentally, this is also in line with the current administration’s push towards greater infrastructure spending to boost economic growth. However, things have been slow to get off the ground with only US$6.7 billion of Belt and Road Initiative related investments completed since the change in govern-ment, out of the roughly US$25 to 30 billion in pledges secured. One key reason for this stem from the foreign ownership limit rules in the Philippineson certain key sectors which has yet to
be revised despite the government’s plan to liberalise certain portions of the economy back in 2017.
Nonetheless, with the rapid infra-structure push, developers are once again warming up to the industrial sector. Initially, developers have been forced outside of Manila due to the scarcity of land and cheaper alterna-tives. However, due to recent increased fuel prices, demand for industrial lots and warehouses have been recently redirected towards area closer to Manila. This favourable supply dynamic was the driver behind rental growth for industrial rents across most of the country.
Furthermore, major e-commerce players have also started to enter the market as shown by Alibaba’s Lazada setting up its largest Southeast Asia warehouse in Cabuyao in late 2017 and has plans for another five facili-ties over the coming three to five years. Going forward, with the govern-ment forecasting the economy to expand between 6.5 to 6.9% in 2019 mainly via the strong and consistent delivery of its infrastructure invest-ment agenda, the outlook for the industrial sector does look bright and expectations are for 2019 to at least maintain the growth momentum from last year.
B R I G H T I N D U S T R I A L O U T L O O K2 0 1 9 B A R I R A N K : 4 4 / 2 0 1 8 B A R I R A N K : 5 0
1 0 Y E A R C H I N E S E I N V E S T M E N T S I N T O P H I L I P P I N E S
VALENZUELAQUEZON CITY
MANDALUYONG
PASIG
MAKATI
TAGUIG
PARANAQUE
LAS PINAS
WAREHOUSE RENT Q4 2018 (PHP/sqm/mo)
2018: 152YOY(%): 21.6%
2018: 255YOY(%): -2%
2018: 457YOY(%): 9.5%
2018: 225YOY(%): 25%
2018: 589YOY(%): 1.8%
2018: 300YOY(%): 76.5%
2018: 157YOY(%): 28.7%
2018: 438YOY(%): 157.6%
P H I L I P P I N E S :
Source: The American Enterprise Institute
Source: Knight Frank Research
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
US
D M
illio
ns
2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018
ENERGY REAL ESTATE TRANSPORT OTHERS (E.G. ENTERTAINMENT, TECH, TOURISM, UTILITIES)
P G . 0 8
Unveiled back in 2018, Thailand 4.0 is an ambitious plan by the government to revamp the country’s economy via the development of a special economic zone dubbed the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) which com-prises industrial estates and tourist destinations. The EEC and its projects will be integrated with China’s Belt and Road Initiative through an 873-kilometer Thai-China high-speed railway that will connect Thailand to Kunming, China via Laos. Currently, the initial 250 kilometers are under construction with an estimated cost of US$5.6 billion, running between Bangkok and Nakhon Ratchasima. Separately, other major EEC projects include the US$4.9 billion expansion of Laem Chabang Port in anticipation
of higher international freight demand and the expansion of U-Tapao airport near Thailand’s coast, set to become the country’s third main international airport and anchor a Special Econom-ic Zone.
Along with the capital, Chinese com-panies have also started taking more interest in Thailand. One example is Cainiao, one of China’s leading smart logistics network players, who has committed US$330 million to devel-op a digital hub within the EEC that it plans to further optimize the cross-border flow of goods for Thailand and its neighbors.
Developers have been active in the warehouse sector, adding 302,000
sqm of new space in 2018 and bring-ing the total market supply to 5,177,000 sqm, a 6.2% year-on-year increase. Sector occupancy stood at 83% at the end of 2018, a 1.4% rise from the year before, driven by stock withdrawals while demand remained stable. With occupiers having more supply options last year, rents fell 1.6% year-on-year to Thb151.3 (US$4.75) psm per month. Going forward, while the excess supply situation is expected to persist over the near term, developers conscious of market conditions will likely adjust their supply deliveries. As a result, warehouse rental prices are expected to remain range between Thb150 to 155 (US$4.71 to 4.86).
T A P E R I N G S U P P LY T O K E E P R E N T S I N C H E C K2 0 1 9 B A R I R A N K : 2 6 / 2 0 1 8 B A R I R A N K : 3 1
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
BANGKOK
SUVARNABHUMI- BANGPAKONG
EASTERNSEABOARD
PATHUMTHANI- AYUTTHAYA
SUPPLY
OCCUPIED SPACE
H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018
170
165
160
155
150
145
140
135
130
125
120
Bah
t p
er
sq.m
pe
r m
on
th
Source: Knight Frank Research
PATHUMTHANI- AYUTTHAYA
H2 2018: 144YoY(%): -4%SUPPLY (sqm): 3,628,409 VACANCY: 2%
BANGKOKSUVARNABHUMI - BANGPAKONG
EASTERNSEABOARD
H2 2018: 166YoY(%): -4%SUPPLY (sqm): 5,004,408 VACANCY: 0%
H2 2018: 159YoY(%): -1%SUPPLY (sqm): 4,825,348 VACANCY: 6%
H2 2018: 150YoY(%): -2%SUPPLY (sqm): 4,974,707 VACANCY: 9%
WAREHOUSE RENT Q4 2018 (THB/sqm/mo)
Source: Knight Frank Research
5,500,000
5,000,000
4,500,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000 sqm
T H A I L A N D :
P G . 0 9
Over the past 10 years, Malaysia has been a major beneficiary of Chinese capital with investments totaling US$43.8 billion, the highest amount recorded among its ASEAN peers. A major driver behind this has been the relatively open stance the previous government took on China, and one which is expected to continue under the new administration. The Prime Minister has emphasized his intention to develop deeper ties with China, and this was evident when Beijing was one of the first overseas coun-tries visited in an official capacity since returning to power. Further-more, while the new government has taken precautions by relooking at the feasibilities of all the MOUs signed under the previous leadership, it would not derail but most likely delay the inevitable given the benefits of
these large foreign direct invest-ments. Nonetheless, this has not deterred Chinese manufacturing FDI which rose 410.8% year-on-year to RM15.8 billion in 2018.
Besides just relying on Chinese capi-tal to drive growth, the new govern-ment has also set in place key initia-tives that will have direct benefits on the industrial sector. One major initia-tive is the emphasis on improving the country’s capabilities in the Halal industry, a global industry worth US$2.1 trillion in 2017, and capitalising on Malaysia’s top rated global Islamic economic ecosystem spanning finance to manufacturing standards and halal certifications. Another major initiative announced recently at Budget 2019 was the plan to set up a new Free Trade Area in Pulau Indah
which would support and spur further shipping and logistics activity at Port Klang, Malaysia’s main port.
As these initiatives materialise, the industrial sector is expected to receive a much-needed boost espe-cially given the ageing stock; redevel-opments into sizeable warehouses with higher specifications has been gaining momentum recently as oper-ators seek to get ahead of the curve. Current market rents for warehouses within the major industrial zones near Port Klang in Selangor and in Negeri Sembilan range from RM0.80 to 2.00 (US$0.2 to 0.5) per square foot per month; while in Johor and Penang they command monthly rental rates of RM0.80 to RM2.50 (US$0.2 to 0.6) per square foot.
O N T R A C K D E S P I T E T H E D E T O U R2 0 1 9 B A R I R A N K : 9 / 2 0 1 8 B A R I R A N K : 6
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
SELANGOR:KLANG
0.80 – 1.20
SELANGOR:SHAH ALAM
NEGERISEMBILAN
1.50 – 2.00
0.80 – 1.20
1.00 – 1.50
JOHOR:PASIR GUDANG
0.80 – 1.20
JOHOR:SENAI - KULAI
MALAYSIAINDONESIA
SINGAPORELAOS
VIETNAMCAMBODIA
PHILIPPINESTHAILANDMYANMAR
BRUNEI
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 US$ BILLIONS
C H I N E S E I N V E S T M E N T S ( A L L S E C T O R S ) P A S T 1 0 Y R S
M A L A Y S I A
DETACHED FACTORY RENTS Q4 2018 (RM/sqft/mo)
Source: Knight Frank Research
Source: Knight Frank Research and The American Enterprise Institute
P G . 1 0
For many decades, China has devel-oped strong ties with Cambodia, seeing the emerging nation within the Indo-China region for its strategic position within South-East Asia. This was evident in 2018 as Chinese entities invested US$3.83 billion into Cambodian real estate and highway projects, one of the highest amounts within Southeast Asia.
Prior to 2013’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), investments from China had focused mainly on energy projects such as hydroelectric dams across the country. However, post-BRI, this focus has shifted towards transport infrastructure and real estate construction. These two sectors accounted for a 73% share of all Chinese investments into Cambodia
in the 5 years post-BRI, an increase from the 12% share they had prior to the BRI.
Recent notable investments include a US$2.08 billion highway project by China Communications Construction who will build and operate a 190-kilo-meter four lane highway connecting Phnom Penh to Sihanoukville - home to Cambodia’s special economic zones, deep sea port and the coun-try’s main gateway for exports and imports.
The drive to improve infrastructure connecting the capital and economic hub has made Sihanoukville an increasingly attractive destination for foreign direct investments (FDI) and corporate occupiers; current ly the
Chinese account for circa. 80% of all companies operating within Sihan-oukville’s special economic zones (SEZ) followed by the Americans and Europeans at 16%. The improved sentiment has positively impacted factory rents with average long term (30 to 50 years) leases rising 3% YoY to US$32.5 per sq m in 1H 2018.
Underpinned by improving infrastruc-ture, the industrial sector for Sihan-oukville (a proxy for Cambodia’s over-all market) is expected to do well over the medium to long term. Further-more, the sector is expected to be buoyed by the commencement of oil extraction in late 2019 which will drive further demand across the industrial and manufacturing sectors.
O N T H E R I S E2 0 1 9 B A R I R A N K : 3 6 / 2 0 1 8 B A R I R A N K : 3 8
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
1 0 Y E A R C H I N E S E I N V E S T M E N T S I N T O C A M B O D I A
C A M B O D I A
LONG TERM (30-50 YEARS)FACTORY LEASES1H 2018 (USD/psm)
Source: Knight Frank Research
NEW ROADOLD ROAD
30 - 35
Source: Knight Frank Research and The American Enterprise Institute
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
US
D M
illio
ns
2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2015 2016 2017 2018
AGRICULTUREENERGYENTERTAINMENTFINANCEMETALSREAL ESTATETECHNOLOGYTRANSPORT
The Knight Frank Bel t and Road Index (BARI ) has been developed using re l iable and internat ional ly-recognized data sources. The index is c lassi f ied into s ix categor ies: economic potent ia l , demographic advantage, inf ra-structure development, inst i tut ional ef fect iveness, market accessibi l i ty and resi l ience to natura l d isasters. The values with in each category have been normal ized to ensure the resul t ing f igures are comparable and contextu-al ized for th is study. A l l categor ies are assigned with speci f ic weight ings in accordance with thei r potent ia l s igni f icance to investment decis ions. ‘Real Estate Prospects’ in each market wr i te -up refers to the market out look for each real estate sector in the medium term given the prevai l ing demand/supply dynamics and current posi t ion in the property market cycle.
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics P G . 1 1
T H E B E LT A N D R O A D I N D E X ( B A R I )
ECONOMIC POTENTIAL
GDP PER CAPITA PP
FUTURE GDP GROWTH RATE
GDP GROWTH RATE
INSTITUTIONAL EFFECTIVENESS
GOVERNMENT EFFECTIVENESS
REGULATORY QUALITY
VOICE AND ACCOUNTABILITY
POLITICAL STABILITY AND ABSENCEOF VIOLENCE/TERRORISM
RULE OF LAW
CORRUPTION PERCEPTIONS INDEX
DEMOGRAPHIC ADVANTAGE
URBANISATION RATE
POPULATION GROWTH
DEPENDENCY RATIO
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
QUALITY OF PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
LOGISTICS PERFORMANCE INDEX
ROAD DENSITY
LINER SHIPPING CONNECTIVITY INDEX I
INTERNET SUBSCRIPTIONS
FIXED BROADBAND SUBSCRIPTIONS
MOBILE CELLULAR SUBSCRIPTIONS
MARKET ACCESSIBILITY
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (% OF GDP)
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTINWARD FLOWS AND STOCK
RESILIENCE TO NATURAL DISASTERS
WORLD RISK INDEX
CLIMATE RISK INDEX 2018
US$
%
%
PERCENTILE RANK (0 - 100)
PERCENTILE RANK (0 - 100)
PERCENTILE RANK (0 - 100)
PERCENTILE RANK (0 - 100)
PERCENTILE RANK (0 - 100)
SCALE (0 - 100)
%
%
RATIO
SCORING (1-7)
AGGREGATE INDICATORS (1-5)
KM OF ROAD PER 100 SQ. KM OF LAND AREA
INDEX (MAXIMUM VALUE IN 2004=100)
% OF POPULATION
PER 100 PEOPLE
PER 100 PEOPLE
%
US$
AGGREGATE INDICATORS
AGGREGATE INDICATORS
2018
AVERAGE 2019-2023
AVERAGE 2014-2018
2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
2018
2015-2020
2015-2020
2015-2020
2018 OR LATEST
2018 OR LATEST
2018 OR LATEST
2018 OR LATEST
2018 OR LATEST
2018 OR LATEST
2018 OR LATEST
AVERAGE 2008-2017
AVERAGE 2008-2017
2018
AVERAGE 1998-2018
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
TRANSPARENCY INTERNATIONAL
UNITED NATIONS
UNITED NATIONS
UNITED NATIONS
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
WORLD BANK
UNITED NATIONS
UNITED NATIONS
GERMANWATCH
25%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
UNIT WEIGH YEAR SOURCE
METHODOLOGY
NEW FRONTIERS Special Focus: Southeast Asia Industrial & Logistics
ASIA-PACIFICKevin Coppel+65 6429 3588
RESEARCHNicholas HoltHead of Research
+86 10 6113 8030
Justin EngSenior Manager Research
+65 6429 3583
CORPORATE SERVICESTim ArmstrongHead of Occupier Business Development
+65 6429 3531
Josephine LeeDirector, Regional Business Development
+65 6429 3599
CHINAAlan Liu+86 21 6032 1700
© Knight Frank 2019 - This report is publ ished for general informat ion only and not to be re l ied upon in any way. A l though high standards have been used in the preparat ion of the informat ion , analys is, v iews and project ions presented in th is report , no responsibi l i ty or l iabi l i ty whatsoever can be accepted by Knight Frank for any loss or damage resul tant f rom any use of, re l iance on or reference to the contents of th is document. As a general report , th is mater ia l does not neces-sar i ly represent the v iew of Knight Frank in re lat ion to part icular propert ies or projects. Reproduct ion of th is report in whole or in part is not a l lowed without pr ior wr i t ten approval of Knight Frank to the form and content wi th in which i t appears.
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INDONESIAWillson Kalip+62 21 570 7170 (100)
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