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Internal Audit, Risk, Business & Technology Consulting NextGen Risk Management How Do Machines Make Decisions?

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Page 1: NextGen Risk Management - Protiviti...Operational Excellence Risk Management • Customer Centricity • Consistent Experiences • Agility • Optimised Performance • Focus on Growth

Internal Audit, Risk, Business & Technology Consulting

NextGen Risk ManagementHow Do Machines Make Decisions?

Page 2: NextGen Risk Management - Protiviti...Operational Excellence Risk Management • Customer Centricity • Consistent Experiences • Agility • Optimised Performance • Focus on Growth

Next Generation Risk Management · 1protiviti.com

Introduction

Value of Agile Risk Management

Effective risk identification and monitoring are integral to an organisation’s success and

improving strategic decision-making. Accurate and timely risk identification and assessment

help drive efficiencies and improve customer experiences with business processes.

Consistent with its agile risk management philosophy, Protiviti presents its perspective

on establishing and sustaining leading practices for identifying, assessing, mitigating and

monitoring risks stemming from artificial intelligence (AI).

Customer Satisfaction

Aligned Organisation

Operational Excellence

Risk Management

• Customer Centricity

• Consistent Experiences

• Agility

• Optimised Performance

• Focus on Growth

• Risk-Enabled Decisions

Protiviti’s Agile Risk Management philosophy enables organisations to focus on growth, improve efficiency and become more effective at managing risks while providing greater value to business partners.

Source: Protiviti Insights — Agile Risk Management: "As costs continue to increase, it is clear that the overly manual, reactive and siloed lines of defence status quo is unsustainable and cannot continue. We believe risk capabilities must be agile, flexible and nimble in order to be effective and efficient in responding to the changing environment. A better model is technology-enabled, proactive, aligned across all three lines of defence and embedded into business processes. This is the solution we refer to as Agile Risk Management.”

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2 · Protiviti

Many organisations are quickly adopting AI based

on the benefits it can create. AI technologies have

the potential to advance established industries by

improving the efficiency and accuracy of company

operations and customer experiences. Additionally,

AI is opening the door to entirely new operating

models, ushering in a new set of competitive

dynamics that rewards organisations focused on

interpreting and extracting internal and external

data quickly and accurately.1

Machine learning, a type of AI, utilises the

fields of knowledge discovery and data mining.

Machine learning algorithms study and react to

data automatically, without human assistance

or intervention, enabling systems to learn from

experience and improve. However, using machine

learning and AI increases complexity and creates

new, more dynamic risks that may lead to

unintended consequences.

To mitigate the new and changing risk environment,

an organisation needs to have a properly established

risk management foundation. Organisations can

leverage existing risk management frameworks to

create a framework that can identify and oversee the

wide range of risks associated with AI. For instance,

risk frameworks utilised to assess new products and

services, as well as activities, can be leveraged, as

AI is developed, implemented and changed. Another

useful framework is a model risk management

(MRM) framework that is based on identifying,

measuring and monitoring all risks related to a

model — generally a component of AI in the form of a

machine learning algorithm.

MRM practices mitigate the risks of traditional

econometric model lifecycles, however, often they

fail to capture the risks presented by AI. While these

frameworks can be leveraged, organisations may not

be currently equipped and resourced to handle all risks

and ongoing monitoring needed in an AI environment.

To account fully for risks posed by AI, organisations’

existing frameworks and risk practices can be

tailored with some well-targeted enhancements

within the AI lifecycle, as discussed in detail below.

As use of AI continues to expand exponentially,

risk and compliance functions will be challenged to

rethink resourcing, traditional oversight monitoring

techniques, and how to leverage existing frameworks to

ease implementation and fully manage risks.

1 “TheNewPhysicsofFinancialServices:HowArtificialIntelligenceIsTransformingtheFinancialEcosystem,”WorldEconomicForum,Aug.15,2018:www.weforum.org/reports/the-new-physics-of-financial-services-how-artificial-intelligence-is-transforming-the-financial-ecosystem.

AI technologies have the potential to advance established industries by improving the efficiency and

accuracy of company operations and customer experiences. Additionally, AI is opening the door to entirely

new operating models, ushering in a new set of competitive dynamics that rewards organisations focused on

the scale and sophistication of data much more than the scale or complexity of capital.

AI and Risk Management

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Next Generation Risk Management · 3protiviti.com

AI in the Marketplace

The financial services industry continues to invest

heavily in artificial intelligence systems, leading other

industries such as manufacturing, healthcare and

professional services. Last year, research firm IDC said

it expected the banking industry to spend more than

$5 billion on artificial intelligence systems in 2019.

Overall, IDC projects spending on AI systems will reach

$97.9 billion in 2023, more than two and one half times

the $37.5 billion that will be spent in 2019.2

Financial institutions are incorporating AI into asset

management, fraud detection, credit risk management

and regulatory compliance, to name a few use cases.

Specifically, these organisations are turning to machine

learning models as an alternative to traditional models

to gain faster, more accurate, and insightful predictions

and classifications in their risk management and

financial management business decisions. Several

types of AI components and the effect they have on

organisations are provided below.

AI Use in the Marketplace

2 IDCWorldwideArtificialIntelligenceSpendingGuide:www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS45481219

Component Operating Efficiencies

Machine Learning Models Organisations can use AI as a modelling technique through machine

learning to improve decision-making in these select areas:

• Underwriting/credit decisioning

• Personalised marketing

• Asset management

• Compliance monitoring

• Credit risk management

• Customer segmentation

• Fraud detection

• Loss forecasting

Virtual Agents Virtual financial assistants or chatbots can guide consumers through

day-to-day financial tasks, providing personalised and proactive

assistance to help them stay on top of their personal finances.

Natural Language

Processing (NLP)

NLP enhances organisations’ ability to analyse countless numbers of

documents, including contracts, emails and forms, enabling them to

better quantify and examine available data that would otherwise be

difficult and inefficient to extract from unstructured source material.

Image Analysis AI-powered image analysis can be used by organisations to classify

images and trigger real-time actions based on image data capture,

enhancing the customer experience process. For example, insurers are

using image analysis to capture and analyse images of homes damaged

after a natural disaster, increasing the efficiency of claims processing.

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4 · Protiviti

Incorporating and monitoring AI the correct way is

important. There have been several instances where

major organisations have rushed to deploy AI, only

to learn of the unmitigated risks and unintended

consequences of their application. In 2018, a major

consumer brand discovered that the AI used in its

hiring process discriminated against female job

applicants. The software was designed to align a

candidate’s history with that of employees who had

proven successful at the company over the previous

10 years.3 The design of the algorithm did not

intend to discriminate but the data set on which the

model relied caused unintended consequences and

bias. The following table shows common risks that

organisations are encountering through the use of AI:

3 Forbes Insights: www.forbes.com/sites/insights-intelai/2019/03/27/ai-regulation-its-time-for-training-wheels/#5981d0cc2f26

Key Risks Posed by AI

Common Risks of AI

Regulatory and Compliance Risk

• Legal Risk

• Consumer Protection

• Know Your Customer (KYC)

• Consumer Privacy

• Disparate Impact

• Unfair, Deceptive, or Abusive Acts or Practices

• Fair Credit & Lending

• Sales Practices/Incentive Comp

Operational Risk

• Business Disruption

• System Failures

• Process Failures

• Internal Control Environment

• Third-Party Risk/ Vendor Management

• Change Management

• Operational Errors

Technology Risk

• Software/Application Failure

• Information & Cyber Risk

• Identity & Access Management

• Availability & Accessibility

• Black-Box Issues

• Data Management

• Data Security

Financial Risk

• Credit Risk

• Liquidity Risk

• Market Risk

• Underwriting Risk

• Financial Reporting Risk

Strategic Risk

• Reputational Risk

• Customer Experience

• Stakeholder Risk

• Resource Allocation

• Culture

• Obsolete Workforce

• Talent Management

• Brand Awareness

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Next Generation Risk Management · 5protiviti.com

Although AI is innovative and technically complex,

it has foundational components of a core model that

quantifies theories, techniques and assumptions from

processed input data. However, the differences with

AI are the exponential increase of model complexity

due to intricate algorithms, vast unstructured data sets

and the potential for immense decision trees. AI —

specifically, machine learning — removes the element

of human subject-matter expertise from the decision

process, which can result in unwanted risk exposure.

As the use of machine learning models continues

to expand across the financial services industry,

regulators are increasing their attention on model

risk. The following three root causes can result in

model risk:

• A model has fundamental errors that cause it

to produce inaccurate or biased outputs when

viewed against the design objective and intended

business use.

• A model is implemented or used inappropriately,

or when its limitations or assumptions are not

fully understood.

• A model is misused because of a misunderstanding

of its purpose and limitations.

To avoid these challenges, organisations should

consider these fundamental questions:

• Do you know how the machine learning model

was built?

• Do you know its purpose?

• Do you know how to use the results and how

success is defined?

The Federal Reserve Board (FRB) has reinforced

that SR 11-7/ OCC 2011-124 (Guidance on Model Risk

Management) remains the applicable regulatory

guidance on the use of AI. There have been no

indications by the FRB of any new standards or

requirements that will come into place. Although

SR 11-7/ OCC 2011-12 provides a foundation for

establishing risk management frameworks for

mitigating risks posed by AI systems, guidance

and expectations have not been expanded and

formalised to address the dynamic changes,

unintended results, and bias risks5 posed by AI.

4 WhatAreWeLearningaboutArtificialIntelligenceinFinancialServices?:www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20181113a.htm

5 Validation of Machine Learning Models: Challenges and Alternatives: “www.protiviti.com/US-en/insights/validation-machine-learning-models-challenges-and-alternatives”

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AI Lifecycle and Effective Challenge

Design and M

itigate Risk

Imp

lem

ent

and

Test

1

2

3

4

5

67

8

9

10

11

12

Effective Challenge

Request the AI model

Conduct preliminary analytics and design

Develop the AI model

Validate the AI model before implementation

Finalise the AI model

Implement the AI model into production

AI model owners monitor performance

Review performance threshold exception reports

Perform post-implementation model validation

Analyse and review AI modifications

Review process for AI model findings

Perform model redesign and recalibration

Risk & Compliance Monitoring Internal Audit Reviews

6 · Protiviti

Organisations can proactively mitigate these unique

AI risks by establishing cross-functional frameworks,

based on a clearly defined scope of each AI solution

and interdependencies with existing risks in its

operating environment. Consider the use of a

chatbot as an example. An organisation will need

to consider legal, compliance, reputational and

operational risks if any issues (discrimination, bias,

privacy, etc.) arise from the use of a chatbot.

Recently, the New York Department of Financial

Services launched an investigation into gender

discrimination in financial institutions’ consumer

algorithms that are used to determine credit limits.6

Needless to say, organisations using AI for decisions

are facing scrutiny across the board as it relates to the

risk taxonomy. Given these challenges, organisations

should enhance their current risk management

framework by establishing a cross-functional risk

governance process to ensure AI risks are understood,

assessed, and mitigated throughout the AI lifecycle.

6 NYDFS Apple Card Investigation: www.bankingdive.com/news/apple-card-investigation-alleged-gender-discrimination/567050/

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Next Generation Risk Management · 7protiviti.com

Insight into the lifecycle will help organisations navigate various considerations, including risk and compliance,

governance and reporting, data management, technology, and workforce and training implications. Additionally,

an environment of effective challenge, where decision-making processes promote a range of views, fosters

independent testing and validation of current practices and AI solutions prior to implementation and production,

and an integrated environment of open and constructive engagement. Organisations can take the following actions

now to enhance risk mitigation during the AI lifecycle:

1 Design and Mitigate

AI Governance Build-Out

• Adapt and extend existing model governance to

fit AI tools, specifically the use and maintenance

of models, validation of models, and the adequate

disclosure of model assumptions and limitations.

• Review and update the model risk policy regulating

the definition of model risk, scope of MRM, roles

and responsibilities, model approval and change

process and management of model weaknesses, to

encompass the new risks that AI presents.

• Develop an AI policy consisting of requirements

around use, development, and ongoing monitoring,

which include roles and responsibilities for business

leaders, independent risk and compliance managers,

and technology and operations functions.

• Determine the interoperability requirements

based on the organisation’s risk appetite as part

of the AI policy.

• Develop a methodology around bias to ensure

fairness and address algorithmic bias, as well as

bias against humans.

• Configure a risk-based methodology consisting of

severity tiers, which will incorporate the necessary

requirements to implement AI successfully.

• Formalise a well-defined project oversight and

change management framework around AI systems.

• Improve data quality programs to profile input

data and strengthen data governance (i.e.,

embed data requirements and a rigorous data

monitoring process).

• Build a data warehouse for all performance

monitoring and testing data. This will allow an AI

tool to easily input and manage the data repository

once the structure is built.

• Configure application resiliency controls, detailed

business-continuity planning and disaster recovery.

• Track and aggregate monitoring in centralised

warehouses and align to issue and change

management programs.

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8 · Protiviti

AI Tool Design

• Define the purpose and scope of the AI solution

clearly, including its methodology, decision criteria,

and data requirements.

• Hold meetings with key stakeholders to

understand the AI tool requirements, desired

output and use cases.

• Before developing an AI tool, map its process

workflow, including data inputs, variables, and

monitoring triggers to gain a full understanding of

the foundation of the tool.

• Complete documentation of the AI tools underlying

model’s purpose, design, assumptions, parameteri-

sation, testing, limitations, and user instruction.

• Identify scale and potential inherent risks that may

be triggered with the use of an AI solution.

• Examine the amount of change that a business will

be required to undergo as it relates to building and

running the AI tool in production.

• Embed, understand and analyse rules and

regulatory requirements in the algorithm design

and monitoring.

• Define hyperparameters, including a standard set of

analysis to be run on input data and output results.

• Perform quality control during

pre-implementation rollout.

• Obtain appropriate approvals and signoffs for

development and use of the AI tool.

• Build mechanisms within the AI tool to ensure

accountability and adequate access to redress.

Algorithms, data and design processes should all

be auditable.

• Configure consistent and recurring testing in a

live environment.

• Conduct preliminary analytics on the outputs

generated by the tool to understand its limitations

and determine optimal parameters when building

out the tool.

• Validate the parameters chosen through

human subject-matter experts (SMEs) and

industry benchmarks.

2 Implement

• Ensure the approved project plan serves as

the baseline or source of record, and acts as

a “contract” of the work to be performed to

successfully implement the AI tool.

• Hold meetings with key stakeholders to introduce

the AI and designate model owners and SMEs to

monitor performance.

• Configure a cross-functional team consisting of

data scientists, AI experts, model risk experts,

data officers, regulatory experts, and any key

stakeholders to help mitigate risks associated with

the implementation of the AI tool.

• Establish and monitor controls and human override

in the design of the algorithm to control inputs,

processing and outcomes during implementation.

• Conduct proof-of-concept testing and/or controlled

case studies before going into live production.

• Develop an implementation plan for moving the

AI solution into production and assist with the

implementation phase.

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Next Generation Risk Management · 9protiviti.com

3 Testing and Effective Challenge

• Perform rigorous and continuous testing of

underlying/input data.

• Perform scheduled backups and parallel testing of

underlying/input data.

• Conduct periodic testing of the controls in place to

guardrail underlying/input data.

• Perform post-implementation AI validation

testing and exceptions testing and conduct a

risk assessment.

• Review AI model findings and hold meetings

with key stakeholders and SMEs to discuss

key takeaways.

• Review performance threshold exception reports to

identify areas of improvement for the model.

• Formalise review of key risks inherent in AI and its

operational component (e.g., economic variables,

qualitative factors).

• Perform a quality assurance review of surrounding

business objectives, stated benefits and process flow.

• Review choice of architecture, hyper-parameters,

optimisers, regularisation and activation functions.

• Conduct an independent assessment as it relates

to operating within parameters outlined in the

approval documentation.

• Modify parameters dynamically to reflect emerging

patterns in the input data, as this will replace the

traditional approach of periodic manual review and

model refresh.

• Provide insight regarding risk and compliance

considerations that align to the use of AI.

• Conduct an independent audit to ensure the design

and effectiveness of controls relied upon to mitigate

the model’s risks.

• Perform an independent assessment of the process

for establishing and monitoring limits on model use.

• Conduct a bias/variance analysis.

• Develop a challenger model using alternative

algorithms to benchmark output performance.

• Perform a post-implementation analysis to

determine if the change management process or

methodologies need to be modified.

• If needed, redesign and recalibrate the AI model

based on the findings, discussions, and risk and

compliance considerations.

• Incorporate appropriate human intervention

throughout each component of the AI lifecycle.

• Develop an AI feedback loop consisting of existing

complaints and customer feedback to allow an

organisation to understand and quickly resolve AI

issues and/or defects.

• Develop and formalise communication protocols

to internal and external stakeholders (e.g.,

consumers, investors, regulators) of the use of the

newly implemented AI tool.

• Perform a production readiness analysis to ensure

the AI solution can be implemented successfully.

• Perform validation testing of the AI tool prior to

implementation and make final updates to mitigate

any material weaknesses of the tool.

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10 · Protiviti

Numerous organisations are intensely focused

on gaining a competitive advantage through AI

implementation. To succeed, organisations need

to commit to monitoring and understanding risks

posed by AI.

As AI becomes more prevalent, it is crucial for

organisations to move into an agile risk target state

to manage AI risks. An organisation can align its

MRM infrastructure with the enhanced procedures

and controls, while incorporating new AI activity

governance, agile implementation and effective

challenge of AI tools. Establishing an AI risk

framework will benefit an organisation’s ability

and speed to innovate. This can be applied to all

three lines of defence and updated regularly to reflect

evolving best practices and regulatory expectations.

The updated framework can leverage existing

governance and risk management activities while

catering to AI.

AI Risk Management Framework

AI Risk Management Framework

AI RiskManagement

Framework

Governance

Inventory & Risk Assessment

Integrated Development & Implementation

Ongoing PerformanceMonitoring

Data Aggregation & Quality

Independent Validation

Post-Mortem Review

• Policy & Procedures

• Lifecycle Standards

• Approval & Accountability

• Risk Oversight

• Change Management

• Analysis of Findings

• Findings Prioritisation

• Roadmap for Implementation

• Redesign/Recalibration for Continuous Improvement

• Al Identification

• Al Inventory

• Applicability

• Risk Assessments

• Risk Ratings

• Model Impact Assessment (Risk Scoring)

• Output Analysis

• Interpretability

• Bias Testing

• Operational Issues

• Review of Performance Indicators

• Review of Recommendations

• Data Architecture

• Data Infrastructure

• Data Privacy

• Feature Engineering

• Testing Program

• Effective Challenge

• Stress Testing

• Real-Time Monitoring and Bias Output Reporting

• Dynamic Model Calibration

• Results & Output Based Testing

• Proactive Trend, Concentration & Correlation Identification

• Benchmarking

• Continuous Automated Exception Identification & Reporting

• Data Quality Assessment

• Testing & Analysis

• Control Framework

• Secure Data Model

• Training

• Pre-Implementation Validation

• Hyperparameters

• Production Readiness

• Model Input Change Management

1

2

3

45

6

7

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Next Generation Risk Management · 11protiviti.com

With an agile AI risk framework, organisations should, at a minimum, implement the following activities and

concepts per the framework components:

1 Governance

• A formalised governance structure will establish

accountability around the execution of the AI

lifecycle. It will also assign appropriate resources

and processes required to assess the design and

performance of the AI tool.

• Organisations will be required to ensure resources

possess the appropriate skill sets needed to

challenge, control, and monitor the use of

AI. However, due to the complexity of AI, the

respective skill set to govern AI effectively will be

tailored for the sustainability and for each business

use of the AI tool.

– For example, a line-of-business SME will be

needed to verify if the expected AI outputs are

achieved, while a technology SME is needed to

verify if the AI was efficiently integrated into

an organisation’s technological infrastructure

without falling into algorithmic loops that

overload the system.

• With the enhancement of the governance structure,

organisations will need to incorporate the following:

– A formalised, documented, clear, and

comprehensive definition of AI.

– Defined roles and responsibilities.

– A formalised and socialised project

governance charter.

– A formalised and responsive change

management process.

2 Inventory & Risk Assessment

• Organisations will immediately need to revisit

their tools inventory to ensure AI models are

included. A robust model inventory provides

management with a comprehensive overview

of all models in use, including model owners,

restrictions on use, and the validation status.

Lack of a robust method to update the model

inventory on a regular basis can result in

undocumented model changes, inefficient

processes to risk rate models, and ineffective

performance monitoring.

• The organisation’s model risk assessment

process, as required under regulatory guidance,

will need to be formally adapted to incorporate

AI. The risk assessment process will need to

assess model impact risk, covering both the

assumptions that are drawn from models and

the impact of decisions based upon model

output. Conducting a risk assessment allows

an institution to understand inherent risks of

the business, products and services, as well

as the effectiveness of the controls in place. A

periodic risk assessment will support appropriate

scheduling of monitoring to ensure resources are

allocated and risk is mitigated.

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12 · Protiviti

4 Integrated Development & Implementation

• The successful development and implementation

of AI solutions within an enterprise depends

largely on the design and effectiveness of the

control and testing process. An enhanced control

framework and continuous testing can help

reduce inherent risks to a residual risk level that

aligns with the organisation’s risk appetite and

framework. Currently, organisations tend to test

new initiatives within a sandbox environment;

however, given the complexity and development of

AI, they should consider configuring consistent and

recurring testing outside a sandbox. Developing a

control framework and testing process would allow

organisations to identify gaps and potential options

for improvement quickly. The control process

should be determined and aligned by an established

and enhanced risk assessment framework. The

risk assessment process is critical, as it helps to

determine the controls needed to mitigate the

inherent risks.

• Organisations should consider the key risks

generated from the use of AI. For example, data

bias will require organisations to produce impartial

decisions by examining the choice of data. As bias

in AI can trigger costly errors, organisations will

need to focus on the front-end of the AI lifecycle,

the development of the AI tool. One way to identify

data bias is by benchmarking with other models or

the opinion of SMEs. Appropriate data de-biasing

techniques should be used to remove bias from

development data. In addition to traditional

methods such as downscaling and quantile mapping,

randomisation and sample weighting should also

be incorporated to correct data bias. The statistical

soundness of selecting unbiased development and

holdout data should be given extra emphasis for

machine learning models.

3 Data Aggregation & Quality

• Organisations will need an effective and transparent

process to improve underlying or input data

throughout the model’s tenure. A formalised and

documented model input change management

process and communication plan is critical to the

aggregation and quality of underlying or input data

used in the AI tool. The key stakeholders (model

owner, model user, model approver, and

independent reviewer) will be required to maintain

and/or understand the following components:

– Data quality and data set integration.

– Data architecture and data infrastructure.

– Understand > review > assess > remediate >

algorithms.

– Transparency of algorithms.

– Effective controls in place to guardrail

underlying/input data.

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5 Ongoing Performance Monitoring

• Performance monitoring is essential to mitigating

risks connected to AI tools. Effective monitoring

will help an organisation draw clear conclusions

to support business decisions. An effective

performance monitoring function comes from a

highly automated monitoring and testing program,

using a common methodology and real-time

reporting. Organisations can enhance the rigor of

the performance monitoring function by using the

techniques below:

– Real-time monitoring and bias output

reporting.

– Results and output-based testing.

– Proactive trend, concentration and

correlation identification.

– Assurance of appropriate and compliant

recommendations.

– Continuous automated exception identification,

alert system and reporting.

– Proper skill set.

– Repurposing workforce.

– Reskilling workforce.

– Multidisciplinary team structure with formal

project management.

• Effective challenge requires the cooperation and

alignment of all three lines of defence, as each

plays a specific role. The first line of defence,

specifically model developers and owners, works

to understand and monitor the risks from the use

of an AI tool. The second line, the model validators,

independently establishes key protocols for risk and

compliance decisions while working with model

developers and owners. Lastly, the third line of

defence, specifically audit, conducts its own tests

to ensure that the residual model risk of the AI

tool does not surpass the risk appetite established.

The scope of activities by the third line of defence

will stay similar in nature in comparison to the

traditional MRM framework. However, the third

line of defence will be required to expand its skill

set to understand how AI algorithms work and their

intended use, as well as understand the risk they

pose to technology infrastructure and operations.

To have the most impact, an effective challenge

must include the following:

– Two-way communication on strategic business

and risk decisions as it relates to the use of the AI

tool.

– Transparency and direction to business and

risk leadership before issues arise from the use

of the AI tool.

– Full use of the AI tool according to the

established risk appetite.

• Additionally, it will be critical for organisations to

maintain human subject-matter oversight rather

than strictly relying on software solutions to

render analysis, as software has the potential to

fail to understand the impacts of the results. Lastly,

organisations should review and update policy,

procedures and processes periodically to encompass

the changes that AI brings, which, in turn, will help

an organisation effectively evaluate an AI tool.

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14 · Protiviti

7 Postmortem Review

• An organisation will need to plan strategically

and execute effectively around the performance

monitoring results, as postmortem reviews will

be crucial to refining and improving the models.

Organisations will need to thoroughly examine the

analysis and explanation of the AI output, bias and

interpretability analysis, and review performance

threshold exceptions and controls in place. Based

on the examination and reviews, organisations will

need to constantly redesign and recalibrate the AI

tool for continuous improvement.

6 Independent Validation

• As with any model, periodic independent

validations7 will continue to be a focal point of

AI monitoring. To assess the innovations of AI,

model validators will need to understand the

challenges, such as a model’s fitness for use,

and develop customised methods for validating

AI tools. The validation will still be required to

assess models broadly from four perspectives:

conceptual soundness, process verification,

ongoing monitoring and outcomes analysis.

• SR 11-7 and OCC 2011-12 require that model

documentation be comprehensive and detailed

enough so that a knowledgeable third party can

recreate the model without having access to the

model development code. The complexity of AI and

the model development process are likely to make

documentation of AI tools much more challenging

than traditional model documentation. It is

recommended that organisations standardise their

model development and validation procedures for

AI and provide a model documentation template

that is consistent with regulatory expectations and

its model risk management policies and standards.

7 Validation of Machine Learning Models: Challenges and Alternatives: www.protiviti.com/sites/default/files/united_states/insights/validating-machine-learning-models-whitepaper-protiviti.pdf

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Next Generation Risk Management · 15protiviti.com

Conclusion

With the continued investment in AI, the use of AI

in business processes and practices is only growing

larger in scope and deeper in granularity. To stay

ahead and provide effective and efficient monitoring

of risk, organisations will not only utilise AI as

their most comprehensive and valued tool but will

need agile risk and compliance management.

Competitive advantages will come not only from

how organisations use AI but also from how they

are able to avoid mistakes, ensure smooth customer

experiences, prevent violations of law and explain

what AI is intended to do to customers and regulators.

An AI tool will never be fully clear of risk, but an

efficient and effective AI risk management framework

will keep risk manageable and enable organisations to

respond to fluctuations in the outputs and decisions

generated by AI. The key for all organisations using AI

currently is to build and maintain AI in a responsible

and transparent way, which, in turn, will help reduce

operational cost and, more important, maintain the

confidence of customers.

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16 · Protiviti

ABOUT PROTIVITI

Protiviti is a global consulting firm that delivers deep expertise, objective insights, a tailored approach and unparalleled collaboration to help leaders confidentlyfacethefuture.Throughitsnetworkofmorethan85officesinover25countries,ProtivitianditsindependentandlocallyownedMemberFirmsprovide clients with consulting solutions in finance, technology, operations, data, analytics, governance, risk and internal audit.

Named to the 2020Fortune100BestCompaniestoWorkFor®list,Protivitihasservedmorethan60%ofFortune1000®and35%ofFortuneGlobal500® companies. The firm also works with smaller, growing companies, including those looking to go public, as well as with government agencies. Protiviti is a whollyownedsubsidiaryofRobertHalf(NYSE:RHI).Foundedin1948,RobertHalfisamemberoftheS&P500index.

HOW PROTIVITI CAN HELP

Protiviti has a record of success helping clients develop strong risk management practices with the responsiveness required for an ever-changing businessenvironment.Weworkwithover75%oftheworld’slargestfinancialinstitutions,whichbenefitfromourcollaborativeteamapproachtoresolving today’s risk management challenges. Our professional consultants have varied industry and regulatory backgrounds that enable our unified financial services practice, with the seamless integration of risk and compliance, technology, data and analytics solutions, to develop customised agile risk management approaches to meet tomorrow’s challenges today.

Business, risk, compliance and internal audit groups need to work within an integrated framework with clear accountabilities that will lead to an aligned organisation for making sound decisions. We address risk and operational excellence as two sides of the same coin, leading to agility and optimal performance. We understand how customer satisfaction, and in turn growth, have become elusive. While risk management is intended to drive growth, it too often becomes an inhibitor. Our expertise positions you at the forefront of effective risk management with a unique approach to reap both immediate and long-term benefits.

Brian ChristensenExecutive Vice President,Global Internal [email protected]

Andrew Struthers-KennedyManaging DirectorLeader, IT Audit [email protected]

PROTIVITI INTERNAL AUDIT AND FINANCIAL ADVISORY PRACTICE — CONTACT INFORMATION

AUSTRALIA

Adam Christou +61.03.9948.1200 [email protected]

BELGIUM

Jaap Gerkes +31.6.1131.0156 [email protected]

BRAZIL

Raul Silva +55.11.2198.4200 [email protected]

CANADA

Ram Balakrishnan +1.647.288.8525 [email protected]

CHINA (HONG KONG AND MAINLAND CHINA)

Albert Lee +852.2238.0499 [email protected]

FRANCE

Bernard Drui +33.1.42.96.22.77 [email protected]

GERMANY

Peter Grasegger +49.89.552.139.347 [email protected]

INDIA

Sachin Tayal +91.124.661.8640 [email protected]

ITALY

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JAPAN

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MEXICO

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MIDDLE EAST

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THE NETHERLANDS

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SINGAPORE

Nigel Robinson +65.6220.6066 [email protected]

UNITED KINGDOM

Mark Peters +44.207.389.0413 [email protected]

UNITED STATES

Matthew Perconte +1.212.479.0692 Managing Director [email protected]

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© 2020 Protiviti Inc. An Equal Opportunity Employer M/F/Disability/Veterans. Protiviti is not licenced or registered as a public accounting firm and does not issue opinions on financial statements or offer attestation services. PRO-0320-103142I-IZ-ENG

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