nh-sen ppp for lcv (april 2013)

7/28/2019 NH-Sen PPP for LCV (April 2013)

1/22

Apri l 19-21, 2013Survey of 933 New Hampshire voters


3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



New Hampshire Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of SenatorJ eanne Shaheen's job performance?

53%Approve ..................

39%Disapprove..............

8%Not sure ..................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof J eb Bradley?

25%Favorable........................................................

39%Unfavorable ....................................................

36%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Scott Brown?

37%Favorable........................................................

42%Unfavorable ....................................................

21%Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ted Gatsas?

16%Favorable........................................................

29%Unfavorable ....................................................

55%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Frank Guinta?

31%Favorable........................................................

47%Unfavorable ....................................................

22%Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Chris Sununu?

34%Favorable........................................................

43%Unfavorable ....................................................

23%Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 If the candidates for Senate next year wereDemocrat J eanne Shaheen and Republican

J eb Bradley, who would you vote for?

54%Jeanne Shaheen.............................................

39%Jeb Bradley.....................................................

7%Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 If the candidates for Senate next year wereDemocrat J eanne Shaheen and RepublicanScott Brown, who would you vote for?

52%Jeanne Shaheen.............................................41%Scott Brown ....................................................

7%Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 If the candidates for Senate next year wereDemocrat J eanne Shaheen and Republican

Ted Gatsas, who would you vote for?

53%Jeanne Shaheen.............................................

34%Ted Gatsas .....................................................

14%Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 If the candidates for Senate next year wereDemocrat J eanne Shaheen and RepublicanFrank Guinta, who would you vote for?

55%Jeanne Shaheen.............................................

37%Frank Guinta ...................................................

8%Not sure ..........................................................

Q11 If the candidates for Senate next year wereDemocrat J eanne Shaheen and RepublicanChris Sununu, who would you vote for?

53%Jeanne Shaheen.............................................

39%Chris Sununu ..................................................

9%Not sure ..........................................................


2/22







Q12 Do you think that former Massachusetts

Senator Scott Brown should run for the Senatein New Hampshire next year, or not?

32%He should run .........

54%He should not..........

14%Not sure ..................

Q13 Do you think that former MassachusettsSenator Scott Brown is a New Hampshirite, ornot?

18%He is a NewHampshirite.............

63%He is not..................

19%Not sure ..................

Q14 In the last presidential election, did you vote forBarack Obama or Mitt Romney?

51%Barack Obama................................................

45%Mitt Romney....................................................

4%Someone else/Don't remember......................

Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

13%Very liberal ......................................................

18%Somewhat liberal ............................................

31%Moderate.........................................................

23%Somewhat conservative..................................

15%Very conservative ...........................................

Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

52%Woman ...........................................................

48%Man.................................................................

Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

32%Democrat ........................................................

29%Republican......................................................

39%Independent/Other..........................................

Q18 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.

91%White ..............................................................

9%Other...............................................................

Q19 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.

12%18 to 29...........................................................

24%30 to 45...........................................................

44%46 to 65...........................................................

20%Older than 65 ..................................................


3/22

Apri l 19-21, 2013survey of 933 New Hampshire voters






Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Shaheen Appr oval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

53% 89% 15% 22%

39% 7% 76% 43%

8% 4% 9% 36%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Bradley Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

25% 10% 42% 22%

39% 57% 18% 31%

36% 33% 39% 47%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Brow n Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

37% 14% 64% 30%

42% 65% 17% 31%

21% 21% 19% 39%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Gatsas Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

16% 9% 25% 10%

29% 41% 17% 17%

55% 50% 59% 73%


4/22







Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Guinta Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

31% 8% 59% 24%

47% 70% 21% 33%

22% 21% 20% 43%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Sununu Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

34% 12% 59% 39%

43% 69% 14% 28%

23% 19% 27% 33%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Shaheen/Bradley

Jeanne Shaheen

Jeb Bradley

Not s ure

54% 93% 13% 26%

39% 5% 78% 43%

7% 3% 9% 31%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Shaheen/Brow n

Jeanne Shaheen

Scott Brow n

Not s ure

52% 90% 10% 33%

41% 6% 81% 46%

7% 5% 9% 21%


5/22







Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Shaheen/Gatsas

Jeanne Shaheen

Ted Gatsas

Not s ure

53% 90% 12% 29%

34% 4% 67% 33%

14% 6% 21% 38%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Shaheen/Guinta

Jeanne Shaheen

Frank Guinta

Not s ure

55% 93% 14% 26%

37% 4% 74% 49%

8% 3% 13% 25%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Shaheen/Sununu

Jeanne Shaheen

Chris Sununu

Not s ure

53% 90% 12% 26%

39% 4% 77% 42%

9% 5% 11% 32%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Should Brow n Run

for Sen. in NH?

He s hould run

He shou ld not

Not s ure

32% 11% 54% 18%

54% 79% 27% 65%

14% 10% 19% 17%


6/22







Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Is Brow n a New

Hampshirite?

He is a New

Hamps hirite

He is not

Not s ure

18% 10% 28% 6%

63% 79% 46% 75%

19% 11% 27% 19%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Shaheen Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not sur e

53% 81% 89% 71% 18% 5%

39% 15% 9% 18% 72% 88%

8% 4% 2% 11% 10% 7%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

25% 16% 14% 13% 41% 43%

39% 54% 50% 51% 18% 21%

36% 30% 37% 36% 41% 37%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Brow n Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

37% 12% 19% 29% 66% 54%

42% 61% 63% 50% 17% 22%

21% 27% 18% 21% 18% 24%


7/22







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Gatsas Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

16% 11% 10% 15% 20% 23%

29% 39% 36% 35% 20% 13%

55% 50% 54% 50% 60% 64%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Guinta Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

31% 12% 10% 18% 53% 68%

47% 70% 64% 60% 26% 13%

22% 18% 26% 22% 21% 20%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Sununu Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

34% 16% 12% 20% 60% 62%

43% 72% 67% 53% 16% 11%

23% 13% 21% 27% 24% 27%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Shaheen/Bradley

Jeanne Shaheen

Jeb Bradley

Not sur e

54% 82% 92% 71% 20% 6%

39% 14% 7% 19% 72% 86%

7% 3% 1% 11% 8% 8%


8/22







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Shaheen/Brown

Jeanne Shaheen

Scott Brown

Not sur e

52% 82% 91% 65% 17% 7%

41% 15% 7% 22% 75% 87%

7% 3% 2% 12% 8% 6%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Shaheen/Gatsas

Jeanne Shaheen

Ted Gatsas

Not sur e

53% 80% 92% 67% 20% 5%

34% 13% 7% 15% 58% 81%

14% 7% 1% 17% 22% 14%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Shaheen/Guinta

Jeanne Shaheen

Frank Guinta

Not sur e

55% 85% 92% 73% 19% 5%

37% 9% 7% 14% 70% 92%

8% 6% 1% 13% 11% 4%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Shaheen/Sununu

Jeanne Shaheen

Chris Sununu

Not sur e

53% 82% 91% 69% 17% 5%

39% 11% 7% 17% 78% 82%

9% 7% 2% 14% 5% 13%


9/22







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Should Brow n Run

for Sen. in NH?

He should r un

He sho uld not

Not sur e

32% 17% 12% 21% 51% 52%

54% 73% 76% 65% 31% 31%

14% 10% 12% 14% 17% 17%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Is Brow n a New

Hampshirite?

He is a New

Hampshirite

He is not

Not sur e

18% 13% 14% 10% 27% 27%

63% 75% 77% 72% 44% 53%

19% 12% 9% 18% 29% 20%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Shaheen Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

53% 61% 45%

39% 30% 49%

8% 9% 6%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

25% 22% 28%

39% 40% 38%

36% 38% 35%


10/22







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Brow n Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

37% 34% 40%

42% 40% 43%

21% 25% 16%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Gatsas Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

16% 10% 22%

29% 28% 31%

55% 62% 48%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Guinta Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

31% 27% 36%

47% 49% 44%

22% 24% 20%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Sunun u Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

34% 31% 37%

43% 45% 41%

23% 24% 23%


11/22







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Shaheen/Bradley

Jeanne Shaheen

Jeb Bradley

Not s ure

54% 61% 47%

39% 32% 46%

7% 7% 7%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Shaheen/Brow n

Jeanne Shahee n

Scott Brow n

Not s ure

52% 59% 44%

41% 34% 48%

7% 7% 8%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Shaheen/Gatsas

Jeanne Shaheen

Ted Gatsas

Not s ure

53% 61% 44%

34% 25% 42%

14% 14% 14%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Shaheen/Guinta

Jeanne Shahee n

Frank Guinta

Not s ure

55% 63% 46%

37% 31% 43%

8% 6% 10%


12/22







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Shaheen/Sununu

Jeanne Shaheen

Chris Sununu

Not s ure

53% 61% 44%

39% 32% 46%

9% 7% 10%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Should Brow n Run

for Sen. in NH?

He sh ould run

He s hould not

Not s ure

32% 28% 36%

54% 55% 53%

14% 17% 11%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Is Brow n a New

Hampshirite?

He is a New

Hampshirite

He is not

Not s ure

18% 17% 19%

63% 63% 64%

19% 20% 17%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Shaheen Appro valAp pr ove

Disapprove

Not sur e

53% 87% 15% 53%

39% 8% 78% 37%

8% 5% 8% 10%


13/22







Crosstabs

Base

Party



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

25% 11% 48% 19%

39% 56% 17% 40%

36% 32% 35% 40%

Base

Party


Brow n Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

37% 14% 62% 38%

42% 66% 19% 39%

21% 20% 19% 23%

Base

Party


Gatsas FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 8% 24% 17%

29% 43% 18% 26%

55% 50% 59% 57%

Base

Party


Guinta Favorabilit yFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

31% 8% 58% 31%

47% 70% 21% 46%

22% 22% 20% 22%


14/22







Crosstabs

Base

Party


Sununu Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 13% 62% 30%

43% 70% 13% 42%

23% 17% 25% 28%

Base

Party


Shaheen/Bradley

Jeanne Shaheen

Jeb Bradley

Not sur e

54% 91% 13% 54%

39% 7% 81% 35%

7% 2% 6% 12%

Base

Party


Shaheen/BrownJeanne Shaheen

Scott Brown

Not sure

52% 90% 15% 47%

41% 8% 78% 41%

7% 2% 7% 12%

Base

Party


Shaheen/GatsasJeanne Shaheen

Ted Gatsas

Not sur e

53% 90% 14% 50%

34% 6% 69% 30%

14% 4% 17% 19%


15/22







Crosstabs

Base

Party


Shaheen/Guinta

Jeanne Shaheen

Frank Guinta

Not sure

55% 92% 14% 54%

37% 7% 76% 33%

8% 1% 10% 12%

Base

Party


Shaheen/Sununu

Jeanne Shaheen

Chris Sununu

Not sur e

53% 89% 13% 52%

39% 6% 82% 34%

9% 5% 5% 14%

Base

Party


Should Brown Runfor Sen. in NH?

He shou ld run

He shou ld not

Not sure

32% 13% 52% 31%

54% 79% 28% 54%

14% 8% 21% 15%

Base

Party


Is Brow n a NewHampshirite?

He is a New

Hampshirite

He is not

Not sur e

18% 10% 31% 14%

63% 78% 46% 65%

19% 11% 23% 21%


16/22







Crosstabs

Base

Race

White Other

Shaheen Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

53% 54% 47%

39% 39% 43%

8% 7% 10%

Base

Race

White Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

25% 25% 28%

39% 40% 31%

36% 36% 42%

Base

Race

White Other

Brow n Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

37% 37% 44%

42% 42% 37%

21% 21% 19%

Base

Race

White Other

Gatsas Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

16% 16% 12%

29% 30% 19%

55% 54% 69%


17/22







Crosstabs

Base

Race

White Other

Guinta Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

31% 31% 32%

47% 47% 43%

22% 21% 25%

Base

Race

White Other

Sunun u Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

34% 34% 34%

43% 44% 36%

23% 23% 30%

Base

Race

White Other

Shaheen/Bradley

Jeanne Shaheen

Jeb Bradley

Not s ure

54% 55% 49%

39% 39% 41%

7% 6% 10%

Base

Race

White Other

Shaheen/Brow n

Jeanne Shahee n

Scott Brow n

Not s ure

52% 53% 44%

41% 40% 48%

7% 7% 8%


18/22







Crosstabs

Base

Race

White Other

Shaheen/Gatsas

Jeanne Shaheen

Ted Gatsas

Not s ure

53% 53% 48%

34% 34% 28%

14% 13% 24%

Base

Race

White Other

Shaheen/Guinta

Jeanne Shahee n

Frank Guinta

Not s ure

55% 56% 47%

37% 37% 43%

8% 8% 10%

Base

Race

White Other

Shaheen/Sununu

Jeanne Shaheen

Chris Sununu

Not s ure

53% 54% 44%

39% 39% 33%

9% 7% 23%

Base

Race

White Other

Should Brow n Run

for Sen. in NH?

He sh ould run

He s hould not

Not s ure

32% 32% 30%

54% 53% 62%

14% 15% 8%


19/22







Crosstabs

Base

Race

White Other

Is Brow n a New

Hampshirite?

He is a New

Hampshirite

He is not

Not s ure

18% 18% 16%

63% 63% 64%

19% 19% 20%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Shaheen Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

53% 59% 43% 56% 55%

39% 32% 47% 38% 38%

8% 8% 10% 6% 7%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

25% 22% 25% 25% 27%

39% 46% 37% 39% 35%

36% 32% 39% 36% 37%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Brow n Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

37% 30% 39% 36% 43%

42% 49% 41% 41% 39%

21% 22% 20% 22% 18%


20/22







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Gatsas Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

16% 16% 14% 16% 18%

29% 41% 26% 31% 23%

55% 43% 61% 54% 59%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Guinta Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

31% 24% 40% 29% 31%

47% 54% 44% 47% 44%

22% 22% 16% 24% 24%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Sununu Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

34% 27% 36% 34% 34%

43% 41% 41% 43% 45%

23% 32% 23% 22% 21%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Shaheen/Bradley

Jeanne Shaheen

Jeb Bradley

Not s ure

54% 59% 50% 56% 54%

39% 27% 46% 39% 38%

7% 14% 5% 6% 8%


21/22







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Shaheen/Brown

Jeanne Shaheen

Scott Brow n

Not s ure

52% 57% 46% 53% 54%

41% 30% 49% 40% 41%

7% 14% 6% 7% 6%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Shaheen/Gatsas

Jeanne Shaheen

Ted Gatsas

Not s ure

53% 51% 46% 56% 54%

34% 24% 40% 33% 32%

14% 24% 14% 11% 14%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Shaheen/Guinta

Jeanne Shaheen

Frank Guinta

Not s ure

55% 54% 51% 57% 54%

37% 27% 45% 36% 35%

8% 19% 4% 7% 10%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Shaheen/Sununu

Jeanne Shaheen

Chris Sununu

Not s ure

53% 54% 47% 55% 54%

39% 24% 46% 38% 39%

9% 22% 7% 7% 6%


22/22




i f i bli li lli


i f i bli li lli

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Should Bro w n Run

fo r Sen. in NH?

He sh ould run

He s hould not

Not s ure

32% 29% 35% 31% 30%

54% 58% 48% 56% 54%

14% 13% 16% 13% 16%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Is Brow n a New

Hampshirite?

He is a New

Hampshirite

He is n ot

Not s ure

18% 21% 23% 15% 17%

63% 71% 60% 66% 59%

19% 8% 18% 19% 24%

nh-sen ppp for lcv (april 2013)

Documents