nicole hill*, e lawrence, j dambacher, a williams, n barrett, j hulls, b barker, s nichol, v...

21
Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term monitoring programs in offshore CMRs: Applying a novel sampling design to inventory biological assets

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Page 1: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R

Hayes

Designing long-term monitoring programs in off shore CMRs:

Applying a novel sampling design to inventory biological assets

Page 2: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Background

• Announcement of Commonwealth Marine Reserve (CMR) network June 2012

• Need for developing monitoring framework in management plans

Page 3: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Challenges for designing monitoring programs

Flexible framework to accommodate:

• Variable (but mostly limited) knowledge on the spatial distribution of habitats and biodiversity attributes

• Dual purpose- inventory and change detection

• Multiple and different objectives between CMR’s

• Potential for changing objectives

• Logistical constraints of ship-based surveys

• Non-extractive sampling and assessment

Page 4: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Flinders CMR: A case study

Declared June 2007

Continental Shelf:

• Largely unmapped

• Little known about spatial location of habitats and biota

Slope

• Slope extensively mapped, but habitats and biota not well sampled

Page 5: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Flinders CMR Objectives

1) Develop and apply a spatially-balanced survey design, for the purposes of inventory and monitoring of conservation values

Invertebrate mega-benthos:- Sponges, corals, bryozoan

thickets

Commercially important fish: - Striped Trumpeter, Rock

Lobster, Jackass Morwong

Low productivity, highly impacted species:

- Sharks, rays and skates

Page 6: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Approach- GRTS

• Trialling a probabilistic, spatially-balanced survey design called Generalised Random Tessellated Stratified (GRTS)

Stevens & Olsen. 2004. Journal of the American Statistical Association. Vol. 99, 262- 278.

• Allows unbiased estimates of value of interest across entire region

Page 7: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Phase 1: Habitat

Phase 2: Biota

1 km

0 4 8 122Kilometers

Page 8: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

What fish assemblages are present on the Flinders CMR Shelf?

A B CD E F G

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_2

16_r

eef

2_re

ef16

_492

16_5

9210

_10

10_4

7728

_348

15_2

0715

_911

3_42

07_

2119

23_2

33_

37_

1031

7_77

523

_967

3_78

87_

723

_111

123

_104

723

_855

15_1

510

_ree

f15

_ree

f7_

1351

3_10

274_

511

4_99

14_

255

4_4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

yTransform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Bra

y-C

urt

is S

imila

rity

Page 9: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

What fish assemblages are present on the Flinders CMR Shelf?

A

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

B

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Page 10: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

What fish assemblages are present on the Flinders CMR Shelf?

C

Group average28

_105

21_

11_

1153

1_21

771_

577

28_2

842_

2109

2_15

972_

2045

16_2

3628

_28

10_5

86 2_2

16_r

eef

2_re

ef16

_492

16_5

9210

_10

10_4

7728

_348

15_2

0715

_911

3_42

07_

2119

23_2

33_

37_

1031

7_77

523

_967

3_78

87_

723

_111

123

_104

723

_855

15_1

510

_ree

f15

_ree

f7_

1351

3_10

274_

511

4_99

14_

255

4_4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_2

16_r

eef

2_re

ef16

_492

16_5

9210

_10

10_4

7728

_348

15_2

0715

_911

3_42

07_

2119

23_2

33_

37_

1031

7_77

523

_967

3_78

87_

723

_111

123

_104

723

_855

15_1

510

_ree

f15

_ree

f7_

1351

3_10

274_

511

4_99

14_

255

4_4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

D

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Page 11: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

What fish assemblages are present on the Flinders CMR Shelf?

E

Group average28

_105

21_

11_

1153

1_21

771_

577

28_2

842_

2109

2_15

972_

2045

16_2

3628

_28

10_5

86 2_2

16_r

eef

2_re

ef16

_492

16_5

9210

_10

10_4

7728

_348

15_2

0715

_911

3_42

07_

2119

23_2

33_

37_

1031

7_77

523

_967

3_78

87_

723

_111

123

_104

723

_855

15_1

510

_ree

f15

_ree

f7_

1351

3_10

274_

511

4_99

14_

255

4_4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

G

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Group average

28_1

052

1_1

1_11

531_

2177

1_57

728

_284

2_21

092_

1597

2_20

4516

_236

28_2

810

_586 2_

216

_ree

f2_

reef

16_4

9216

_592

10_1

010

_477

28_3

4815

_207

15_9

113_

420

7_21

1923

_23

3_3

7_10

317_

775

23_9

673_

788

7_7

23_1

111

23_1

047

23_8

5515

_15

10_r

eef

15_r

eef

7_13

513_

1027

4_51

14_

991

4_25

54_

4

Samples

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sim

ilarit

y

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Page 12: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

How do these assemblage relate to environmental factors?

-0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2CAP1

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3C

AP

2

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Bio_Grp3acbedgf

Lat

Dist_Shelf

Soft/ Sediment

Mixed

Hard/ Reef

Group

Page 13: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Distribution of assemblages across the shelf?

Sediment-Deep

Sediment- Shallow

Sediment-Reef Edge

Sediment-Reef Edge

Reef- Reef Edge

Reef- Deep

Reef-Shallow

Video link

Video link

Page 14: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Distribution of assemblages across the shelf?

Sediment-Deep

Sediment- Shallow

Sediment-Reef Edge

Sediment-Reef Edge

Reef- Reef Edge

Reef- Deep

Reef-Shallow

Video link

Video link

Page 15: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Distribution of assemblages across the shelf?

Sediment-Deep

Sediment- Shallow

Sediment-Reef Edge

Sediment-Reef Edge

Reef- Reef Edge

Reef- Deep

Reef-Shallow

Video link

Page 16: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Richness patterns across the shelf?

Factor Pseudo-F P valueProp

variance

Distance to Shelf 37.349 0.001 0.477

Substratum Type 11.780 0.001 0.197

Latitude 1.327 0.272 0.011

Model R²= 0.685

Page 17: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Distribution of key species?

Page 18: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Results Summary

• First assessment of fish assemblages on Flinders CMR shelf

• Distinct assemblages present

• Associated with substrate type and other environmental factors

• Patterns also evident in species richness and distribution of key species of interest

-0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2CAP1

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

CA

P2

Transform: Square rootResemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity (+d)

Bio_Grp3acbedgf

Lat

Dist_Shelf

Soft/ Sediment

Mixed

Hard/ Reef

Page 19: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Lessons Learnt

• 2 phase GRTS enabled spatial balance within logistical and practical constraints of deploying BRUVs across a vast area

• GRTS more challenging to apply, but likely to have missed spatial patterns in fish assemblages and diversity otherwise

• Prospectively good combination of techniques for long term monitoring

- cost-effective, non-extractive, flexibile, high power for extrapolation

• Comprehensive mapping of CMR estate an ultimate aim, but still gain important biological insights

• Standardisation and comparability between area

• Transportable to deeper ocean (large portion of CMRs)

Page 20: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

Where to from here?

• Calculate inclusion probabilities for sites and develop method for calculating variance

• Apply method to estimate relative abundances of key species and assemblages

• Examine length information for key and commercial species

• Evaluate different gear types for targeting fish species

• Assess potential indicator species

• Make recommendations for monitoring of fish species

Page 21: Nicole Hill*, E Lawrence, J Dambacher, A Williams, N Barrett, J Hulls, B Barker, S Nichol, V Lucieer, F Althaus, J Kool and K R Hayes Designing long-term

www.nerpmarine.edu.au

Nicole HillUniversity of Tasmania

Hobart, [email protected]

http://www.environment.gov.au/biodiversity/science/nerp/hubs.html

Questions???