nidis implementation team roger s pulwarty noaa
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NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA. Monitoring & Forecasting. Drought and Flood Impacts Assessments and Scenarios. The National Integrated Drought Information System. Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation. Communication and Outreach. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
NIDIS Implementation Team
Roger S Pulwarty NOAA
The National Integrated Drought Information System
Communication and OutreachEngaging Preparedness &
Adaptation
Drought and Flood ImpactsAssessments and ScenariosMonitoring & Forecasting
Climate Services: “The timely production and delivery of useful climate data, information and knowledge to decisionmakers” (NRC, 2001)
VISION
“An informed society anticipating and responding to climate and its impacts”
Mission:
“to develop and deliver research, information, and services to enhance society's ability to understand, anticipate, mitigate, and adapt to climate variability and change”
NIDIS Goals & Objectives
Public Law (109-430, 2006) “better informed and more timely drought-related decisions leading to reduced impacts and costs”
3
NIDIS PL109-430-Three tasks
(1) provide an effective drought early warning system that—
(1 A) is a comprehensive system that collects and integrates information on the key indicators of drought in order to make usable, reliable, and timely drought forecasts and assessments of drought, including assessments of the severity of drought conditions and impacts;
(1 B) communicates drought forecasts, drought conditions, and drought impacts on an ongoing basis to— (i) decision-makers at the Federal, regional, State, tribal, and local levels of government; (ii) the private sector; and (iii) the public
NIDIS Act PL109-430 continued……
(1C) includes timely (where possible real-time) data,information, and products that reflect local, regional, and State differences in drought conditions;
(2) coordinate, and integrate as practicable, Federal research in support of a drought early warning system; and
(3) build upon existing forecasting and assessment programs and partnerships
NIDIS Components
1. NIDIS Program Office2. U.S. Drought Portal
3. Climate Test Beds/Drought– Integrating data and
forecasts4. Coping with Drought
– Integrated Applications Research
5. NIDIS Early Warning Information Systems – Design,Prototype,
Implementation, Process sustainability
NIDIS Governance: Executive Council
NIDIS Program Office NIDIS Implementation Team: Over 50 Federal, state, tribal and private sector
representatives
NIDIS Technical Working Groups
Integrated Drought Information Systems Drought Early Warning System Design-Information clearinghouse, Pilots, and Implementation
WATERSHED/URBAN/LOCAL
REGIONAL
NATIONAL
Public AwarenessAnd Education
Engaging PreparednessCommunities
IntegratedMonitoring and
Forecasting
InterdisciplinaryResearch andApplications
U.S.Drought Portal
NIDIS Early Warning Systems Pilots – Blue-first round;yellow-second round of prototypes/transferabilty
SoutheastSoutheast
Columbia Columbia
River River
BasinBasin
Lower CO Lower CO Basin Basin
Great Lakes Great Lakes
RegionRegion
+Texas+Texas
CaliforniaCalifornia
Upper Upper Missouri Missouri BasinBasin
Kremmling
Lake Powell
Lake Mead
Upper Basin down to Lake MeadUpper Basin down to Lake Mead•Coordinated reservoir operations: Coordinated reservoir operations: Low flow shortage triggering criteria Low flow shortage triggering criteria (Powell/Mead)(Powell/Mead)
•Inter- and Intra-basin transfers; Inter- and Intra-basin transfers; Front range urban-agricultureFront range urban-agriculture
•Ecosystem health/services Ecosystem health/services
• Upper Colorado River Basin (UCRB) EWS Design Workshop– UCRB Monitoring Gaps Assessment – US Drought Portal Upgrades sub-portal – Assimilate and characterize indicators and triggers in the UCRB– ESP improvements and Assessment of water demand in UCRB
(ongoing)– Webinar launched as part of RFC Annual Operating Plan
Outlook
• Drought Index Planning support-Surface Water Supply Index
• NIDIS Newsletter released-circulated across disaster management community, agencies and states
• Drought, Climate change and Early Warning on Western Native Lands June 09
• Centers for Disease Control-Drought and Public Health Report
• Climate Change and Water Resources: Federal Perspectives (USGS 1331)
Coping with Drought: TRACS
• Ensemble Hydrologic Forecasts over the Southeast in Support of the NIDIS Pilot
• Drought Index Evaluation and Implementation in a Geospatial Framework Linked to Hydrologic Data Web Services
• Evaluating Adaptation Policies For Urban Water Resource Management Between Short-Term Drought Responses And Long-Term Planning
• Integrating Socioeconomic Assessments to Build Community Resilience in Mitigating Drought
• A Climate Information System to Enhance Drought Preparedness by Underserved Farmers in the SE U.S.
FY10 Priority
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Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint Early Warning System Yr1– ACF Monitoring Gaps Assessment
• Carolinas Catawba-Wateree Early Warning System
Planning and information workshops-
Peachtree Georgia May 08
Chapel Hill NC June 09
Columbus Georgia Sept 09
Design workshop
Lake Blackshear Dec 1-2
15
Apalachicola-Coosa-Tallapoosa (ACT) and
Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF)
Basins
ApplicationsResearch
PredictionMonitoring
ImpactMitigation
ProactivePlanning
ImprovedAdaptation
Integrating Tools:e.g. Drought Portal
Coordinating federal, state, and local drought-related activities (e.g., within watersheds and states)
Identifying and transferring innovative strategies for drought risk assessment, communication and preparedness
NIDIS INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
Year 1: Scoping the Drought Early Warning Information System Gap analyses: What information exists and how is it being coordinated and used?Characterize and communicate risks across timescales-with existing information for 2-3 critical issues
Year 2. Implementation of the Drought Early Warning System (seasonal, multi-year, longer term trends): Develop drought sub-portalsEmbed information into preparedness and adaptation plansEstablish network for ongoing briefings on impacts and projections across climate timescales
Develop subteams to assess (1) Monitoring and forecasting; (2) Impact indicators and triggers (3) Preparedness and education: Assemble drought-sensitive planning indicators and management triggers database; Assess present drought information coordination partnerships and processes Identify Federal and state-level partnerships, decision support tools and actions needed (to improve information development, coordination and flow for preparedness and risk reduction) Develop an operational plan for designing and implementing an EWS process
Initiate development region or basin specific Drought Information Monitor and Portal (as a subset of the U.S. Drought Portal) Develop decision support tools for demand projections and revise triggering criteria Prototyping: Given better data and information coordination would responses have been improved for past events? Assess (1) value of improved information using past conditions, (2) responses for projections/ scenarios (decadal, climate change), (3) feedback on priorities (e.g. data gaps) to Executive Council.Feedback into regional Drought Monitor and Portal. Early Warning System maintenance (Fed-state-tribal) and transfer to other sub-basins
Drought stages including preparedness
Indicators,triggers, response and impact avoidance
Declaring drought accurately
Declaring drought early enough
Minimizing the duration of a declaration
Informing an equitable and reasonable response
Where to go for help
Drought and Water Resources Federal Partnerships
Monitoring & ForecastingDrought and Flood Impacts
Assessments and Scenarios
Communication and Outreach Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation
Information Services in support of Adaptation
Drought and Water Resources ServicesMission: Implement a dynamic, accessible, authoritative drought information system
NOAA Produces: With Our Partners: Used By:
Monitoring and Forecasting
U.S. Drought Monitor USDA, National Drought Mitigation Center
USDA, state and local governments
U.S. Soil Moisture Monitoring DOE, USDA (NRCS) USDA, agricultural producers
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index
USGS, NASA USAID (FEWS NET)
Crop Moisture Index USDA USDA, agricultural producers
Ensemble Water Supply Forecasts USDA USBR, USACE, state water management agencies, local district water managers
Soil Moisture Anomaly Forecast USDA (NRCS) USDA, agricultural producers
NOAA Produces With Our Partners: Used By:
Products Informing Risk Assessment and Management
Reconciling projections of future Colorado River stream flow in a changing climate
USBR, USGS, University of Washington, University of Colorado, University of Arizona, University of California-San Diego
USBR, state and local water providers, reservoir managers, Water Conservancy Districts
USGS Circular 1331: Climate Change and Water Resources Management: A Federal Perspective
USGS, USBR, USACE USBR, USACE, Water Utilities
Climate Change in Colorado: A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation
Colorado Water Conservation Board, University of Colorado, Western Water Assessment RISA
Colorado water planners, State Climatologists
Managing Threatened and Endangered Salmon in Low Water Conditions
USBR, CA Department of Fish and Game, CA Department of Water Resources, University of California Davis, Humboldt State University
NMFS, CA Department of Fish and Game, CA Department of Water Resources, Pacific Fisheries Management Council
Assessing Drought Indicators and Triggers
USGS, USDA (NRCS), Colorado Water Conservation Board, Colorado State University, Utah State University, University of Wyoming
USGS, USDA, USBR, water planners/providers, reservoir managers, State Climatologists