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Ninepoint Partners LP Evolution of Portfolio Management

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Page 1: Ninepoint Partners LP...2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% n Portfolio Volatility Efficient Frontier* Factored Classic Allocation Classic Allocation Optimal Portfolio. 13 The New

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Ninepoint Partners LPEvolution of Portfolio Management

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From institutions to retail, investors are looking for allocations to contribute similar characteristics

What are investors looking for in an asset?

✓Adequate risk adjusted return

✓ Low correlation to the current portfolio

✓Portfolio liquidity match to future liabilities

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The Message…

Educate the investing public on the role of alternatives & private

investments in a well diversified portfolio

Debunk the myth of viewing perceived risk on the basis of an

individual asset & view risk in the context of the portfolio

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The Evolution of Portfolio

Management

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Modern Portfolio Theory’s application of the best use of diversification in a portfolio

Optimal Portfolio Allocation – The Efficient Frontier

• Nobel Laureate Harry Markowitz introduced the Efficient Frontier concept

in 1952

• The optimal portfolio does not simply include securities with the highest

potential returns or low-risk securities. In essence an investment perceived

should not be judged on its own merit but in the context of a portfolio.

i.e.: Real Risk vs. Perceived Risk

• Optimal portfolios balance greatest returns with the lowest acceptable risk

• The points on the plot of risk versus expected return is known as the

efficient frontier

Modern

Portfolio TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

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Modern Portfolio Theory states that a risk-averse investor can construct portfolios to optimize

expected return, given a level of market risk

Traditional Allocation: 60% Equity and 40% Fixed Income

• The 60-40 Portfolio was designed to be a

balance of capital growth and income for the

average investor

• Modern Portfolio Theory developed a series of

optimized portfolios given a universe of assets

• The 60-40 Portfolio, is a simplified

approximation of a balanced efficient portfolio

60.0%

40.0%

US Equity Global Fixed Income

EquityFixed Income

The Traditional Allocation BarbellInvestors must balance Passive Income versus Capital Growth from Publicly traded assets

Modern

Portfolio TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

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As the investment universe broadens, the 60-40 portfolio falls away from the Efficient Frontier

The Problems with the Traditional 60-40 Portfolio

• Allocating broadly to the equity and fixed income

markets can reduce portfolio effectiveness

• The method of allocating only between broad

indexes does not allow for the portfolio to take

advantage of relative and perceived riskiness

• In order to identify the new efficient portfolio, each

asset class in the universe must be identified and the

covariances must be understood to optimize risk

adjusted returns

60.0%

40.0%

US Equity Global Fixed Income

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

3.0% 5.0% 7.0% 9.0% 11.0% 13.0% 15.0%

An

nu

alize

d R

etu

rn

Portfolio Volatility

Efficient Frontier

Classic Allocation

Modern

Portfolio TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

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Introduces the idea of factoring the allocation beyond the 60-40 split, in order to optimize the

investors return, based on their risk aversion

Portfolio Factoring – Fama-French Model

60.0%

40.0%

US Equity Global Fixed Income

Modern Portfolio

Theory

Portfolio

Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

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Introduces the idea of factoring the allocation beyond the 60-40 split, in order to optimize the

investors return, based on their risk aversion

Portfolio Factoring – Fama-French Model

• Portfolio factoring allows the separation of asset

classes within the broad market classifications

• A factored portfolio is more likely to be compensated

for systematic risk

• The factored portfolio has more opportunity to

actively manage assets

Modern Portfolio

Theory

Portfolio

Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%

An

nu

alize

d R

etu

rn

Portfolio Volatility

Efficient Frontier* Factored Classic Allocation Classic Allocation

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Economic theory that asset prices in an efficient market fully reflect all available information

Efficient Market Hypothesis

• As public markets become more efficient, the benefits of traditional active management are

mitigated

• If prices reflect all available information, all assets are worth exactly what is paid and no alpha

can be generated

• Factoring and allocation changes in traditional assets along the efficient frontier will not

generate additional risk adjusted return

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Tri

llio

ns

Active Passive

Efficient public markets have reduced the Alpha generated from active

investing, leading to a rise in passive indexing strategies

Source: Morningstar Inc. As of November 2018

Modern Portfolio

TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

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Historical effects of traditional diversification are reduced as assets become more correlated

Correlation of Traditional Asset Classes

0.75

0.96

0.59

0.68

0.82

0.97

0.61

0.70

-

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

Canadian Equity US Equity Global Fixed

Income

Canadian Fixed

Income

Correlations to Global Equities

2003-2008 2009-2018

Modern Portfolio

TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

(1.00)

(0.80)

(0.60)

(0.40)

(0.20)

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

Correlation to Canadian

Equities

Correlation to Canadian

Fixed Income

Global Equity

Commodities

Hedge Funds

Real Estate

Infrastructure

Fixed Income

Canadian Equities

Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon

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Institutional investors use Alternative Asset Allocations to enhance yield and diversify their portfolio

Alternative Market Opportunities – Endowment Model

Modern Portfolio

TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

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Alternative Assets provide vehicles for exposure to private markets where active management thrives

Private Market Opportunities – Yale Endowment Model

• The Endowment Model allocates a

significant portion of assets to non-

traditional asset classes

• Alternative assets are believed to provide

a good source of excess return when

liquidity is not a priority

Modern Portfolio

TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%

An

nu

alize

d R

etu

rn

Portfolio Volatility

Efficient Frontier* Factored Classic Allocation

Classic Allocation Optimal Portfolio

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The New Investor BarbellBalancing liquidity from public markets with private investments that generate addition yield and diversification

Institutional investors have been quick to adopt alternative asset investments, while retail investors

have lagged

Alternative Asset Allocations for Individuals

(1) Source: Blackstone, Global Pension Study 2018, Willis Towers Watson, OTTP, CPP, OMERS

Alternative

Investments

Traditional

Investments

Alternatives operate under

different market conditions:

• Managers less constrained

• Less efficient markets

• Low correlation to public

markets

Most individual investors have not

optimized their portfolio in the full

investment universe

Modern Portfolio

TheoryPortfolio Factoring

Efficient Market

Impact

Endowment

Model

Average Allocation to Alternatives: Institutions vs.

Individuals(1)

69%

62%

52% 50%46%

22%

5%

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The Evolution of Portfolio Management

Modern

Portfolio

Theory

Portfolio

Factoring

Endowment

Model

Est. 1952 – Adopted in 70’s TodayEst. 1960 – Adopted in 80’s

Current Investor Base

Current Management

Providers

• Retirement Savings • Mass Affluent

• High Net Worth

• Ultra High Net Worth

• Family Office

• Institutional Investors

• MFDA

• Low cost ETF Managers

• Robo Advisors

• Traditional Asset Managers

• Banks

• Alternative Asset Managers

Investment Thesis

Risk-averse investors can

construct portfolios to

optimize return based on

a given level of market

risk. i.e.: 60/40

Differentiating assets within

broad classes, based on

their characteristics, can

highlight opportunities to

increase risk adjusted return

Allocating to Alternative

Assets can increase

portfolio efficiency because

of their unique risk-return

profiles

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Ninepoint Partners LP is the investment manager to the Ninepoint Funds (collectively, the “Funds”).

The Funds are offered on a private placement basis pursuant to an offering memorandum and are only available to

investors who meet certain eligibility or minimum purchase amount requirements under applicable securities

legislation. The offering memorandums contain important information about the Funds including their investment

objective and strategies, purchase options, applicable management fees, performance fees, other charges and

expenses, and should be read carefully before investing.

The information contained herein does not constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in the United States or in any

other jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make

such an offer or solicitation. Prospective investors who are not resident in Canada should contact their financial

advisor to determine whether securities of the Funds may be lawfully sold in their jurisdiction.

This document is for information purposes only and should not be relied upon as investment advice. We strongly

recommend that you consult your investment professional for a comprehensive review of your personal financial

situation before undertaking any investment strategy. Information herein is subject to change without notice and

Ninepoint is not responsible for any inaccuracies or to update this information

Disclaimer

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Forward-Looking Statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements which reflect the current expectations of management regarding future growth, results of

operations, performance and business prospects and opportunities. Wherever possible, words such as “may”, “would”, “could”, “will”,“anticipate”, “believe”, “plan”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, and similar expressions have been used to identify these forward-looking

statements. These statements reflect management’s current beliefs with respect to future events and are based on information currently

available to management. Forward-looking statements involve significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Many

factors could cause actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements

that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should

assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements could vary materially from

those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. These factors should be considered carefully and

undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. Although the forward-looking statements contained in this document

are based upon what management currently believes to be reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual results, performance or

achievements will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this

presentation and Ninepoint Partners LP does not assume any obligation to update or revise.

The opinions, estimates and projections (“information”) contained within this report are solely those of Ninepoint Partners LP and are subject to

change without notice. Ninepoint Partners LP makes every effort to ensure that the information has been derived from sources believed to be

reliable and accurate. However, Ninepoint Partners LP assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages, whether direct or indirect, which

arise out of the use of this information. Ninepoint Partners LP is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained

herein. The information should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Please contact your own

personal advisor on your particular circumstances.

Views expressed regarding a particular company, security, industry or market sector should not be considered an indication of trading intent of

any investment funds managed by Ninepoint Partners LP. Any reference to a particular company is for illustrative purposes only and should not

to be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell nor should it be considered as an indication of how the portfolio of

any investment fund managed by Ninepoint Partners LP is or will be invested.

Ninepoint Partners LP and/or its affiliates may collectively beneficially own/control 1% or more of any class of the equity securities of the issuers

mentioned in this report. Ninepoint Partners LP and/or its affiliates may hold short position in any class of the equity securities of the issuers

mentioned in this report. During the preceding 12 months, Ninepoint Partners LP and/or its affiliates may have received remuneration other than

normal course investment advisory or trade execution services from the issuers mentioned in this report.

Disclaimer

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Contact Information

Ninepoint Partners LP

Royal Bank Plaza, South Tower

200 Bay St. Suite 2700

Toronto, Ontario M5J 2J1

[email protected]

www.ninepoint.com