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Forecast of Smart MetersTRANSCRIPT
PowerPoint Presentation
What would be the demand of Prepaid Energy Meters and Smart Energy Meters from 2015-2018 in India.
Panasonic & Niche (IIM-A)
Cross Value Innovation
VAISHALI OBEROI
NMIMS, MUMBAI
DEBASHISH HOTA
NMIMS, MUMBAI
TEAM NAME: BIG BAD BUMBLEBEES
Reasons for Demand of Smart Energy Meters and Prepaid Energy Meters
--- MoP Approved Smart Grid Pilots
Number of smart cities and SEZs as suggested by the government
Number of new apartments - Housing Projects such as Godrej Garden City and Tata Housing
Power theft and Transmission and Distribution (T&D) Losses Average total power loss in India 30%
IT Parks, Finance and Tec Cities, Planned Cities, Industrial areas. Example GIFT City
Development of Smart Grid by Indian Smart Grid Task Force (ISGTF)
Assumptions
Current Scenario
Keeping in mind the above factors we have made the following assumptions
Due to power theft and T&D losses
30% power loss, theft and transmission and distribution.
The per capita average annual domestic electricity consumption in India in 2009 was 288 kWh in urban areas
Total population : 1.252 billion, Urban population, 30% : 0.24 billion (239616613)
Average family size = 4, total meters required = 5,99,04,153
Initial demand: 1%, annual growth rate: 11% (in China, its 17%) so in 2018, demand will be around 819267 due to power theft and loss
In a bid to curb power theft, Pashchimanchal Vidyut Vitran Nigan Ltd. (Meerut, Morbid, Ghaziabad and Saharanpur) is to introduce pre-paid energy meters. (Dec 2014). 15,500 single-phase pre-paid meters; 18,500 three-phase meters already purchased
Lucknow Electricity Supply Administration - 5000 prepaid meters initially. Consumers are also given a rebate of Rs. 1.25 per unit and they wont have to queue up at billing counters
35% of consumers in India pay bills online to avoid standing in queues and almost as many wish to control the amount of energy consumed by them
A single phase energy meter is good for a single household which averages about 100 sq ft. Thus all our calculations are based on the assumption that one energy meter would be needed per 100 sq feet of area. The numbers may vary for commercial spaces where a three phase meter may be used
The Indian Smart Grid Forum has recently announced pilot projects in 14 cities
They have also mentioned the number of consumers, both residential and commercial in each of these projects
One of the major tasks undertaken by them is the installation of Smart Energy Meters
They have also instated a Smart Meter Task Force for the same
Smart Cities
New Apartments
Office Spaces
Smart Grid
The report by KPMG also shows the expected growth in space required in the Office sector, Retail and Industrial sector
30 million square feet by 2018 in Office space An increase can also be witnessed because of the banking licenses by RBI
150 million square feet of Retail space by 2018
450 million square feet space due to Industrial growth mainly due to the growth in Delhi Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC)
Smart meters are an integral part of any Smart City;The Incumbent government has proposed a total of 100 smart cities in India out of which 7 would be built by 2018
Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (GIFT) is one of the first Smart cities, Kochi Smart city and Wave city are other examples currently in development
By our estimates a total of 480000 Smart meters would be needed in 4 buildings of GIFT city itself, and over 800000 Smart Meters in Wave City; The average of these 7 cities come out to be 400000 meters
A report by KPMG suggests that houses built for Middle Income Groups will increase by 6.86 million square feet by 2018
The same report suggests luxury apartments and houses are to grow by approx 10 million square feet
Housing projects such as Godrej Garden city and Tata Housing (3 lakh units by 2018) are increasingly installing smart meters by default
Demand
Estimation
Based on
Assumptions
400000
7
2800000
6860000
205800
10000000
300000
30000000
300000
50000000
1500000
15000000
450000
819267
11904
15000
24532
1900
87031
650
34752
25078
29997
9818
46071
39422
11000
4404
341559
6716626
Office Spaces
Luxury Houses by 2018
Middle Income Houses by 2018
Smart Cities
Due to Smart Grid Implementation By GOI
Due to Power Cuts and Power Thefts
Industrial Space
Retail Space
Estimated number of Smart Meters required
Number of Smart and Prepaid Meters till 2018
Estimated number of smart meters needed in one smart city
Number of smart cities to be completed by 2018
Total number of Smart meters needed in Smart Cities
New houses built each year (sq meter)
Estimated number of Smart Meters required in 3 years
New houses to be built each year (Sq mt)
Karnataka
Office space to be added up by 2018 (sq mt)
Estimated number of Smart Meters required
Retail Space to be added by 2018 (sq mt)
Estimated number of Smart Meters required
Estimated number of Smart meters required
Telangana
Assam
Total Smart Meter Requirement Estimation by 2018
Growth due to DMIC
Estimated number of Smart Meters Required
Punjab
Tripura
Gujarat
Haryana
West Bengal
Total
Chhattisgarh
Puducherry
Himachal Pradesh
Jaipur
Kerela
Maharashtra